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Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Result & Analysis

Date: 24/08/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 1-3
Tallinna Kalev
Tallinna Kalev
Vs
47%
27%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Maardu
Maardu
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Tallinna Kalev’s recent five matches (WWDWW) show a 2-game winning streak, while Maardu, after a loss, returns with a 0-1 defeat to Elva. The model favours a Tallinna Kalev victory with a 47 % chance, a draw at 27 % and an away win at 26 %. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a moderate scoring game, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 25 %. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.8 % probability. Tallinna Kalev, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.13 goals scored and 2.33 conceded, whereas Maardu, away against a weaker side, averages 4.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.2 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.2 % with an 8 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.3 % with a 9 % edge), Under 6.5 (97.6 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.0 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.3 % with an 8 % edge), Away under 1.5 HT goals (93.7 % with a 14 % edge) and Under 5.5 (93.7 % with a 17 % edge).

Results analysis

The upset came early as Tallinna Kalev, the pre-match favourite with a 47 % chance, fell to a 1-3 defeat. The model’s call was wrong, and the away side capitalised on their recent 3-1 win streak. The final score confirmed an away victory, a result the model had not predicted. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.2 %; Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.2 %; Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.3 %; Under 6.5 hit at 97.6 %; Away under 3.5 goals hit at 97.0 %; Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.3 %; Under 5.5 hit at 93.7 %; the only miss was Away under 1.5 HT goals at 93.7 %. The match saw a total of four goals, far above the model’s most likely 2-goal outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tallinna Kalev win✗ Miss
47.4%
Avg Implied 53.1% · @ 1.68
Edge
-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.75
Dafabet
1.73
William Hil
1.73
Bet365
1.70
Draw✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied 21.5% · @ 4.16
Edge
+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Pinnacle
4.31
Marathonbet
4.30
Maardu win✓ Hit
25.7%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.53
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.70
BetVictor
3.70
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.55

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-821W06L23L31W80W21W11D80W10W30WH·KUR08/11A·PAI11/03A·FCI11/07H·NÕM18/07A·TAM23/07A·VII03/08H·FC 08/08H·TAR11/08H·ELV15/08A·NÕM20/08← MeistriliigaEsiliiga A →
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
3.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.002.301.772.002.182.53
vs Stronger (16)1.562.751.572.291.563.11
vs Similar (13)2.081.922.001.672.142.14
vs Weaker (1)8.000.00--8.000.00
Clean sheet %17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Maardu) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MaarduMaardu

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-832W18L31W41W12L10W01LH·FLO09/07H·TAR13/07A·FLO18/07A·NÕM01/08H·VII08/08H·FC 15/08A·ELV20/08
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.862.141.503.002.331.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.602.801.674.001.501.00
vs Weaker (2)2.500.501.000.004.001.00
Clean sheet %14% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.7%
@ 1.05-10.9%
Under 1.5
22.3%
@ 8.17+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.03
Under
Betfair
9.00
1xBet
8.50
Superbet
7.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.6%
@ 1.22-22.2%
Under 2.5
47.4%
@ 3.61+22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.65
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
Superbet
3.45
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.4%
@ 1.59-27.1%
Under 3.5
69.6%
@ 2.15+27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Under
Betfair
2.30
BetVictor
2.20
Unibet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.1%
@ 1.26-16.8%
No
43.9%
@ 3.39+16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
No
Betfair
3.70
BetVictor
3.50
Superbet
3.35
William Hil
3.30
1xBet
3.30

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%@ 9.63+8.3%
2-1
9.5%@ 8.63+4.5%
1-0
8.9%@ 15.20+6.1%
2-0
8.2%@ 13.35+5.0%
0-0
7.4%@ 31.07+6.0%
1-2
6.7%@ 12.50+3.3%
0-1
6.0%@ 21.87+4.0%
2-2
5.5%@ 9.80+1.1%
Tallinna Kalev goals ↓
Maardu goals →
01234
07.4%6.0%4.1%1.6%0.5%
18.9%13%6.7%2.6%0.7%
28.2%9.5%5.5%2.1%0.6%
34.5%5.2%3.0%1.1%0.3%
41.8%2.1%1.2%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tallinna Kalev goals (down), columns = Maardu goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Maardu
2.00
Elva
2.00
FCI Levadia II
1.78
Tallinna Kalev
1.62
Viimsi
1.60
Tartu Welco
1.50
Flora II
1.27
FC Tallinn
1.22
Nõmme United II
0.89
Nõmme Kalju II
0.50
Tallinna Kalev is 0.38 points worse than Maardu in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Tartu Welco
2.62
Viimsi
2.30
Maardu
2.22
FCI Levadia II
2.11
Flora II
1.82
Tallinna Kalev
1.62
Elva
1.56
Nõmme United II
1.00
Nõmme Kalju II
0.90
FC Tallinn
0.89
Tallinna Kalev is 0.60 goals worse than Maardu in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 2.22).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Elva
0.78
FC Tallinn
1.22
Flora II
1.36
Viimsi
1.40
Tallinna Kalev
1.75
Nõmme United II
1.78
Tartu Welco
1.88
Maardu
2.00
FCI Levadia II
2.11
Nõmme Kalju II
2.70
Tallinna Kalev is 0.25 goals better than Maardu in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Tallinna Kalev or Draw✗ Miss
74.3%
Avg Implied 74.8% · @ 1.21
Edge
-0.5%
47%
27%
26%
covers Tallinna Kalev + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
Tallinna Kalev or Maardu✓ Hit
73.1%
Avg Implied 78.4% · @ 1.16
Edge
-5.3%
47%
27%
26%
covers Tallinna Kalev + Maardu
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Draw or Maardu✓ Hit
52.6%
Avg Implied 46.7% · @ 1.94
Edge
+5.9%
47%
27%
26%
covers Draw + Maardu
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
1xBet
1.98

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Tallinna Kalev over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.4%
@ 1.02-8.4%
Under
19.6%
@ 8.10+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.02
Under
1xBet
8.10
Tallinna Kalev over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
48.5%
@ 1.37-18.3%
Under
51.5%
@ 2.75+18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
Superbet
1.35
Under
Superbet
2.77
Marathonbet
2.76
1xBet
2.72
Tallinna Kalev over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.4%
@ 2.05-22.3%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.66+22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.06
Pinnacle
2.05
Unibet
1.93
Under
Unibet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Superbet
1.62
Tallinna Kalev over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.3%
@ 4.05-14.2%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.18+14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.40
Superbet
3.70
Under
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Maardu over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.3%
@ 1.16-9.8%
Under
31.7%
@ 4.12+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Under
1xBet
4.15
Superbet
4.10
Maardu over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
31.9%
@ 1.87-17.0%
Under
68.1%
@ 1.80+17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
Superbet
1.88
Unibet
1.77
Under
Superbet
1.82
Unibet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Maardu over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
11.0%
@ 3.58-14.5%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.22+14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Under
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.21
Maardu over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Tallinna Kalev, so a minus line means Tallinna Kalev give that many goals of a start and Maardu receive them. At -1, Tallinna Kalev must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Tallinna Kalev win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Tallinna Kalev)Actual: Maardu
Tallinna Kalev -2
10.7%
@ 4.25-9.9%
Draw -2
14.8%
@ 4.95-2.9%
Maardu +2
74.5%
@ 1.42+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.25
Draw
Marathonbet
4.95
Away
Marathonbet
1.42
Handicap -1 (Tallinna Kalev)Actual: Maardu
Tallinna Kalev -1
25.5%
@ 2.50-9.0%
Draw -1
21.9%
@ 3.88-0.4%
Maardu +1
52.6%
@ 1.99+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.63
10Bet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.49
Unibet
2.28
Draw
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.95
Unibet
3.35
Away
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Unibet
1.92
Handicap +1 (Tallinna Kalev)Actual: Maardu
Tallinna Kalev +1
74.3%
@ 1.19+6.8%
Draw +1
15.1%
@ 4.60-2.3%
Maardu -1
10.6%
@ 5.30-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.19
Draw
Unibet
4.60
Away
Unibet
5.30
Handicap +2 (Tallinna Kalev)Actual: Draw
Tallinna Kalev +2
89.4%
Draw +2
7.3%
Maardu -2
3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D04L02L20W20W11D11D20W10W10WH·KUR08/11A·PAI11/03A·FCI11/07H·NÕM18/07A·TAM23/07A·VII03/08H·FC 08/08H·TAR11/08H·ELV15/08A·NÕM20/08← MeistriliigaEsiliiga A →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.100.850.850.711.29
vs Stronger (16)0.501.560.711.000.332.00
vs Similar (13)1.000.621.000.671.000.57
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Maardu) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MaarduMaardu

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W14L00D11D11D10W00DH·FLO09/07H·TAR13/07A·FLO18/07A·NÕM01/08H·VII08/08H·FC 15/08A·ELV20/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.861.001.251.500.330.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.801.201.332.000.000.00
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.2%
@ 1.14-13.2%
Under 0.5
31.8%
@ 4.96+13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Under
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.10
William Hil
4.80
Superbet
4.45
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
34.5%
@ 1.71-18.8%
Under 1.5
65.5%
@ 1.96+18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.77
1xBet
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.74
Under
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Pinnacle
1.97
William Hil
1.95
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.2%
@ 3.19-16.6%
Under 2.5
87.8%
@ 1.29+16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Superbet
3.15
1xBet
3.10
Under
1xBet
1.31
William Hil
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.26

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tallinna Kalev over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
56.6%
@ 1.41-8.0%
Under
43.4%
@ 2.58+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.41
Superbet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.41
Under
Pinnacle
2.62
Superbet
2.57
1xBet
2.55
Tallinna Kalev over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
18.7%
@ 2.87-13.0%
Under
81.3%
@ 1.33+13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.87
Under
1xBet
1.33
Tallinna Kalev over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 6.85-9.8%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.07+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.85
Under
1xBet
1.07
Maardu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
34.4%
@ 1.80-16.7%
Under
65.6%
@ 1.88+16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Superbet
1.78
Under
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.89
Pinnacle
1.84
Maardu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
6.3%
@ 4.70-13.2%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.14+13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.70
Under
1xBet
1.14
Maardu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
@ 11.00-7.6%
Under
99.2%
@ 1.01+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W02L21W11D60W10W00D60W00D20WH·KUR08/11A·PAI11/03A·FCI11/07H·NÕM18/07A·TAM23/07A·VII03/08H·FC 08/08H·TAR11/08H·ELV15/08A·NÕM20/08← MeistriliigaEsiliiga A →
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.200.921.151.471.24
vs Stronger (16)1.061.190.861.291.221.11
vs Similar (13)1.081.311.001.001.141.57
vs Weaker (1)6.000.00--6.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Maardu) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MaarduMaardu

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D04L31W30W01L00D01LH·FLO09/07H·TAR13/07A·FLO18/07A·NÕM01/08H·VII08/08H·FC 15/08A·ELV20/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.140.251.502.000.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.801.600.332.001.501.00
vs Weaker (2)1.500.000.000.003.000.00
Clean sheet %29% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.1%
@ 1.06-11.2%
Under 0.5
23.9%
@ 7.30+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.06
Under
1xBet
7.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
41.5%
@ 1.41-23.2%
Under 1.5
58.5%
@ 2.57+23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.43
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Under
Marathonbet
2.60
1xBet
2.60
Superbet
2.52
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.0%
@ 2.27-22.2%
Under 2.5
82.0%
@ 1.52+22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.24
1xBet
2.24
Under
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Superbet
1.51

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tallinna Kalev over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
62.2%
@ 1.29-8.7%
Under
37.8%
@ 3.15+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.29
Under
1xBet
3.15
Tallinna Kalev over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
21.5%
@ 2.33-17.8%
Under
78.5%
@ 1.50+17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.33
Superbet
2.32
Under
Superbet
1.51
1xBet
1.50
Tallinna Kalev over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.8%
@ 5.10-9.2%
Under
91.2%
@ 1.12+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.10
Under
1xBet
1.12
Maardu over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
41.3%
@ 1.54-18.2%
Under
58.7%
@ 2.26+18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.56
Superbet
1.52
Under
Superbet
2.30
1xBet
2.22
Maardu over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.8%
@ 3.50-17.4%
Under
91.2%
@ 1.24+17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.50
Under
1xBet
1.24
Maardu over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 8.45-9.3%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.04+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.45
Under
1xBet
1.04

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.2%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.2%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+7.6%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.3%1.04
1xBet
1.04
----+9.3%✓ Hit
Under 6.597.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.3%1.07
1xBet
1.07
----+9.8%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals93.7%1.14
1xBet
1.14
----+13.2%✗ Miss
Under 5.593.7%1.21
Betfair
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
-+18.0%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals91.7%1.18
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.16
---+14.2%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals91.2%1.24
1xBet
1.24
----+17.4%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals91.2%1.12
1xBet
1.12
----+9.2%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap89.4%-------✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals89.0%1.22
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.21
---+14.5%✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals87.8%1.29
1xBet
1.31
William Hil
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.26
-+16.6%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals81.3%1.33
1xBet
1.33
----+13.0%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals80.4%1.02
1xBet
1.02
-----8.4%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals78.5%1.50
Superbet
1.51
1xBet
1.50
---+17.8%✓ Hit
Over 1.577.7%1.05
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.03
---10.9%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals76.1%1.06
1xBet
1.06
-----11.2%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap74.5%1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
----+12.8%✓ Hit
Home or Draw74.3%1.21
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
-0.5%✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap74.3%1.19
Unibet
1.19
----+6.8%✗ Miss
Home or Away73.1%1.16
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
-5.3%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
TK wins
0
Draws
0
MAA wins

Head-to-head

Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu · H/A from TK
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/26ANõmme Kalju II Vs TK0-3
15/08/26HTK Vs Elva1-0
11/08/26HTK Vs Tartu Kalev8-0
08/08/26HTK Vs FC Tallinn1-1
03/08/26AViimsi Vs TK1-2
23/07/26ATammeka Tartu U19 Vs TK0-8
18/07/26HTK Vs Nõmme United II3-1
11/07/26AFCI Levadia II Vs TK3-2
11/03/26APaide Vs TK6-0
08/11/25HTK Vs Kuressaare2-1

MaarduMaardu

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/26AElva Vs MAA1-0
15/08/26HMAA Vs FC Tallinn1-0
08/08/26HMAA Vs Viimsi1-2
01/08/26ANõmme Kalju II Vs MAA1-4
18/07/26AFlora II Vs MAA1-3
13/07/26HMAA Vs Tartu Welco1-8
09/07/26HMAA Vs Flora II3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tallinna Kalev
Tallinna Kalev
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW0.96
HomeWWDWW1.09
AwayLLWWW0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%35%26%
AVG goals4.203.964.41
Over 1.5 %90%87%93%
Over 2.5 %78%74%81%
Over 3.5 %60%57%63%
Scored1.561.391.70
Conceded2.642.572.70
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet14%13%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Maardu
Maardu
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWL1.71
HomeWLLW1.50
AwayWWL2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %57%50%67%
AVG goals4.004.503.33
Over 1.5 %71%75%67%
Over 2.5 %71%75%67%
Over 3.5 %57%50%67%
Scored1.861.502.33
Conceded2.143.001.00
BTTS71%75%67%
Clean Sheet14%25%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ElvaElva918
56%
2.0
147+7
2.3
56%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.8
-
2MaarduMaardu918
67%
2.0
2018+2
4.2
78%
78%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.22.0
-
3ViimsiViimsi1016
50%
1.6
2314+9
3.7
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
4FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II916
56%
1.8
1919+0
4.2
100%
89%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.12.1
-
5Flora IIFlora II1114
36%
1.3
2015+5
3.2
82%
73%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.4
-
6Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev813
50%
1.6
1314-1
3.4
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
7Tartu WelcoTartu Welco812
50%
1.5
2115+6
4.5
100%
88%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.9
-
8FC TallinnFC Tallinn911
33%
1.2
811-3
2.1
78%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
9Nõmme United IINõmme United II98
22%
0.9
916-7
2.8
89%
56%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
10Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II105
10%
0.5
927-18
3.6
100%
70%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.7
-
Estonia: Esiliiga A 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Esiliiga A stats & trends →

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