Tartu Welco vs Viimsi Result & Analysis

Tartu Welco’s recent three-game winning streak gives them confidence at home, yet their average of 1.8 goals scored and 2.1 conceded against similar opposition suggests a porous defence. Viimsi, fresh from a win and averaging 1.71 goals scored with only 0.71 conceded away, looks poised to exploit that weakness. The model favours an away win, with a 48% chance, followed by a 28% home win and a 24% draw. The expected total of 3.3 goals points to a high-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with an 11% probability. The predicted total of three goals carries a 22% chance. Suggested selections include Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.2%), Under 7.5 (98.1%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.4%), Under 6.5 (95.1%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.7%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (93.2%), and Home under 1.5 HT goals (89.7%). Each probability is expressed as a percentage, and every selection is listed.

The model’s prediction proved spot on, as Viimsi secured a 1-3 away win, extending their two-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite was the away victory, given a 48% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The final score of 1-3 matched the actual result, confirming the favoured outcome. Every suggested selection performed as expected: Under 7.5 goals hit with a 98.1% probability, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.0%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.7%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.4%, Under 6.5 hit at 95.1%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 94.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 92.1%, and Home under 1.5 HT goals hit at 89.1%. The model’s selections all came through, underscoring its accurate assessment of the match dynamics.