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Tarxien Rainbows vs Msida St. Joseph Result & Analysis

Date: 14/04/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 3-1
Tarxien Rainbows
Tarxien Rainbows
Vs
64%
24%
12%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Msida St. Joseph
Msida St. Joseph
Malta: Challenge League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarxien Rainbows win✓ Hit
63.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Msida St. Joseph win✗ Miss
12.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W24L00D11D40W00D10W31W01L01LA·ST.07/01A·LUQ20/01H·ZUR27/01A·ZAB03/02A·LIJ11/02H·ZEJ18/02A·SWI03/03H·ZEB10/03A·ST.16/03H·FGU07/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.001.401.201.600.80
vs Stronger (2)1.001.502.003.000.000.00
vs Similar (18)1.561.221.501.501.601.00
vs Weaker (10)1.500.501.170.502.000.50
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Msida St. Joseph) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Msida St. JosephMsida St. Joseph

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L01L01L23L02L02L02L23L06L13LA·ZAB06/01A·ZUR21/01H·LUQ28/01A·ST.03/02A·LUQ11/02H·LIJ17/02A·ZEJ03/03H·SWI10/03A·ZEB17/03H·ST.07/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.572.240.802.000.362.45
vs Stronger (15)0.602.000.711.860.502.12
vs Similar (3)1.002.331.002.33--
vs Weaker (3)0.003.33--0.003.33
Clean sheet %5% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Tarxien Rainbows) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%019%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.1%
Under 1.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.4%
Under 2.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.1%
Under 3.5
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.1%
No
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.0%
2-0
13.7%
1-1
11.2%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
8.3%
3-1 ✓
5.6%
0-1
4.6%
Tarxien Rainbows goals ↓
Msida St. Joseph goals →
01234
09.3%4.6%1.9%0.4%0.1%
114%11%3.4%0.8%0.1%
214%9.2%3.1%0.7%0.1%
38.3%5.6%1.9%0.4%0.1%
43.8%2.5%0.9%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tarxien Rainbows goals (down), columns = Msida St. Joseph goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Melita
2.36
Zabbar St. Patrick
2.04
Marsa
1.60
Swieqi United
1.58
Fgura United
1.54
Pietà Hotspurs
1.52
Senglea Athletic
1.40
Zurrieq
1.40
Lija Athletic
1.33
Tarxien Rainbows
1.29
Luqa St. Andrew's
1.24
Zebbug Rangers
1.21
Zejtun Corinthians
1.12
St. Andrews
1.12
Attard
0.75
Msida St. Joseph
0.33
Tarxien Rainbows is 0.96 points better than Msida St. Joseph in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 0.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Melita
2.24
Marsa
1.76
Fgura United
1.62
Zabbar St. Patrick
1.52
Zebbug Rangers
1.50
Swieqi United
1.42
Pietà Hotspurs
1.40
Luqa St. Andrew's
1.32
Lija Athletic
1.29
Tarxien Rainbows
1.25
St. Andrews
1.16
Senglea Athletic
1.12
Zurrieq
1.08
Zejtun Corinthians
0.96
Attard
0.92
Msida St. Joseph
0.67
Tarxien Rainbows is 0.58 goals better than Msida St. Joseph in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 0.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zabbar St. Patrick
0.80
Tarxien Rainbows
0.92
Swieqi United
0.96
Melita
0.96
Zejtun Corinthians
1.00
Senglea Athletic
1.08
Marsa
1.20
Pietà Hotspurs
1.24
Fgura United
1.33
St. Andrews
1.40
Zebbug Rangers
1.42
Zurrieq
1.44
Luqa St. Andrew's
1.60
Lija Athletic
1.83
Attard
1.92
Msida St. Joseph
2.21
Tarxien Rainbows is 1.29 goals better than Msida St. Joseph in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 2.21).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W03L00D00D10W00D00D01L00D00DA·ST.07/01A·LUQ20/01H·ZUR27/01A·ZAB03/02A·LIJ11/02H·ZEJ18/02A·SWI03/03H·ZEB10/03A·ST.16/03H·FGU07/04
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.530.530.470.530.60
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (19)0.680.630.780.560.600.70
vs Weaker (9)0.330.330.200.200.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Msida St. Joseph) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Msida St. JosephMsida St. Joseph

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D11D01L01L00D12L03L01LA·ZAB06/01A·ZUR21/01H·LUQ28/01A·ST.03/02A·LUQ11/02H·LIJ17/02A·ZEJ03/03H·SWI10/03A·ZEB17/03H·ST.07/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.141.190.201.000.091.36
vs Stronger (15)0.131.000.140.710.121.25
vs Similar (3)0.331.670.331.67--
vs Weaker (3)0.001.67--0.001.67
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Tarxien Rainbows) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tarxien Rainbows over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tarxien Rainbows over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tarxien Rainbows over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Msida St. Joseph over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Msida St. Joseph over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Msida St. Joseph over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W21W00D11D30W00D10W30W01L01LA·ST.07/01A·LUQ20/01H·ZUR27/01A·ZAB03/02A·LIJ11/02H·ZEJ18/02A·SWI03/03H·ZEB10/03A·ST.16/03H·FGU07/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.470.870.671.070.27
vs Stronger (2)1.001.002.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (19)0.790.580.560.781.000.40
vs Weaker (9)1.330.111.200.201.500.00
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Msida St. Joseph) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Msida St. JosephMsida St. Joseph

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L12L01L01L02L11D03L12LA·ZAB06/01A·ZUR21/01H·LUQ28/01A·ST.03/02A·LUQ11/02H·LIJ17/02A·ZEJ03/03H·SWI10/03A·ZEB17/03H·ST.07/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.050.601.000.271.09
vs Stronger (15)0.471.000.571.140.380.88
vs Similar (3)0.670.670.670.67--
vs Weaker (3)0.001.67--0.001.67
Clean sheet %24% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Tarxien Rainbows) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tarxien Rainbows over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tarxien Rainbows over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tarxien Rainbows over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Msida St. Joseph over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Msida St. Joseph over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Msida St. Joseph over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.572.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZSP (24)
€4m
TR (8)
€1m
SU (2)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZSP (6)
€1m
TR (2)
€0m
SU (2)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZSP (6)
€1m
TR (2)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZSP (12)
€2m
TR (4)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
TR wins
0
Draws
0
MSJ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Tarxien Rainbows vs Msida St. Joseph · H/A from TR
DateH/AGameScore
10/12/23AMsida St. Joseph Vs TR0-2

Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/24HTR Vs Fgura United0-1
16/03/24ASt. Andrews Vs TR1-0
10/03/24HTR Vs Zebbug Rangers3-1
03/03/24ASwieqi United Vs TR0-1
18/02/24HTR Vs Zejtun Corinthians0-0
11/02/24ALija Athletic Vs TR0-4
03/02/24AZabbar St. Patrick Vs TR1-1
27/01/24HTR Vs Zurrieq0-0
20/01/24ALuqa St. Andrew's Vs TR4-2
07/01/24ASt. Andrews Vs TR0-3

Msida St. JosephMsida St. Joseph

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/24HMSJ Vs St. Andrews1-3
17/03/24AZebbug Rangers Vs MSJ6-0
10/03/24HMSJ Vs Swieqi United2-3
03/03/24AZejtun Corinthians Vs MSJ2-0
17/02/24HMSJ Vs Lija Athletic0-2
11/02/24ALuqa St. Andrew's Vs MSJ2-0
03/02/24ASt. Andrews Vs MSJ3-2
28/01/24HMSJ Vs Luqa St. Andrew's0-1
21/01/24AZurrieq Vs MSJ1-0
06/01/24AZabbar St. Patrick Vs MSJ1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tarxien Rainbows
Tarxien Rainbows
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLL1.52
HomeLDDWL1.33
AwayLDWWL1.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%33%46%
AVG goals2.672.542.79
Over 1.5 %67%62%71%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %33%33%33%
Scored1.651.421.88
Conceded1.021.120.92
BTTS46%42%50%
Clean Sheet42%38%46%
Corners---
Cards---
Msida St. Joseph
Msida St. Joseph
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 0 Wins / 0 Draws / 10 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.29
HomeWLLLL0.60
AwayLLLLL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %10%20%0%
AVG goals2.812.802.82
Over 1.5 %71%80%64%
Over 2.5 %48%50%45%
Over 3.5 %38%40%36%
Scored0.570.800.36
Conceded2.242.002.45
BTTS29%40%18%
Clean Sheet5%10%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1MelitaMelita2559
72%
2.4
5624+32
3.2
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
2Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick2551
60%
2.0
3820+18
2.3
60%
36%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.50.8
-
3MarsaMarsa2540
44%
1.6
4430+14
3.0
76%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
4Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United2438
42%
1.6
3423+11
2.4
62%
42%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
5Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs2538
44%
1.5
3531+4
2.6
68%
48%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
6Fgura UnitedFgura United2437
42%
1.5
3932+7
3.0
71%
54%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
7Senglea AthleticSenglea Athletic2535
36%
1.4
2827+1
2.2
60%
32%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
8ZurrieqZurrieq2535
40%
1.4
2736-9
2.5
72%
44%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
9Lija AthleticLija Athletic2432
38%
1.3
3144-13
3.1
83%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
10Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows2431
29%
1.3
3022+8
2.2
46%
38%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.20.9
-
11Luqa St. AndrewLuqa St. Andrew's2531
32%
1.2
3340-7
2.9
72%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
12Zebbug RangersZebbug Rangers2429
33%
1.2
3634+2
2.9
79%
50%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
13St. AndrewsSt. Andrews2528
28%
1.1
2935-6
2.6
68%
48%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
14Zejtun CorinthiansZejtun Corinthians2427
25%
1.1
2324-1
2.0
54%
25%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15AttardAttard2418
17%
0.8
2246-24
2.8
83%
46%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
16Msida St. JosephMsida St. Joseph248
8%
0.3
1653-37
2.9
75%
50%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.2
-
Malta: Challenge League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Challenge League stats & trends →

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