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Tarxien Rainbows vs Pietà Hotspurs Result & Analysis

Date: 17/12/2023
Time: 18:00
Final 0-1
Tarxien Rainbows
Tarxien Rainbows
Vs
32%
26%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pietà Hotspurs
Pietà Hotspurs
Malta: Challenge League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarxien Rainbows win✗ Miss
32.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs win✓ Hit
42.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L01L00D42W00D00D00D00D33D20WA·MEL17/09H·FGU24/09A·LIJ30/09H·ATT22/10A·ZEB25/10H·ZEJ29/10A·SEN05/11H·SWI25/11H·MAR03/12A·MSI10/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.001.671.202.000.80
vs Stronger (3)1.001.331.502.000.000.00
vs Similar (21)1.951.101.801.302.090.91
vs Weaker (6)1.830.501.330.332.330.67
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Pietà Hotspurs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W22D40W22D12L20W22D01L10W31WA·SWI16/09H·MEL24/09A·FGU30/09H·LIJ22/10A·ATT26/10H·ZEB29/10A·ZEJ05/11H·SEN25/11H·MSI03/12A·MAR10/12
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.831.072.131.471.53
vs Stronger (2)1.002.501.002.50--
vs Similar (20)1.152.250.892.671.361.91
vs Weaker (8)1.620.621.500.751.750.50
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Tarxien Rainbows) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.3%
Under 1.5
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.9%
Under 2.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.6%
Under 3.5
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.6%
No
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.5%
0-1 ✓
6.2%
0-2
6.1%
0-0
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
Tarxien Rainbows goals ↓
Pietà Hotspurs goals →
01234
05.3%6.2%6.1%3.5%1.5%
15.2%12%8.9%5.0%2.1%
24.6%7.7%6.5%3.7%1.6%
32.2%3.8%3.2%1.8%0.8%
40.8%1.4%1.2%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tarxien Rainbows goals (down), columns = Pietà Hotspurs goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Melita
2.36
Zabbar St. Patrick
2.04
Marsa
1.60
Swieqi United
1.58
Fgura United
1.54
Pietà Hotspurs
1.52
Senglea Athletic
1.40
Zurrieq
1.40
Lija Athletic
1.33
Tarxien Rainbows
1.29
Luqa St. Andrew's
1.24
Zebbug Rangers
1.21
Zejtun Corinthians
1.12
St. Andrews
1.12
Attard
0.75
Msida St. Joseph
0.33
Tarxien Rainbows is 0.23 points worse than Pietà Hotspurs in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.52).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Melita
2.24
Marsa
1.76
Fgura United
1.62
Zabbar St. Patrick
1.52
Zebbug Rangers
1.50
Swieqi United
1.42
Pietà Hotspurs
1.40
Luqa St. Andrew's
1.32
Lija Athletic
1.29
Tarxien Rainbows
1.25
St. Andrews
1.16
Senglea Athletic
1.12
Zurrieq
1.08
Zejtun Corinthians
0.96
Attard
0.92
Msida St. Joseph
0.67
Tarxien Rainbows is 0.15 goals worse than Pietà Hotspurs in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.40).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zabbar St. Patrick
0.80
Tarxien Rainbows
0.92
Swieqi United
0.96
Melita
0.96
Zejtun Corinthians
1.00
Senglea Athletic
1.08
Marsa
1.20
Pietà Hotspurs
1.24
Fgura United
1.33
St. Andrews
1.40
Zebbug Rangers
1.42
Zurrieq
1.44
Luqa St. Andrew's
1.60
Lija Athletic
1.83
Attard
1.92
Msida St. Joseph
2.21
Tarxien Rainbows is 0.32 goals better than Pietà Hotspurs in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 1.24).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D02L21W00D00D00D00D11D00DH·ZUR16/04A·SLI22/04A·MEL17/09H·ATT22/10A·ZEB25/10H·ZEJ29/10A·SEN05/11H·SWI25/11H·MAR03/12A·MSI10/12
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.530.810.440.930.64
vs Stronger (3)0.000.330.000.500.000.00
vs Similar (21)1.100.571.090.451.100.70
vs Weaker (6)0.500.500.330.330.670.67
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Pietà Hotspurs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D01L21W01L00D21W00D10W21WA·BIR14/04A·SIR20/04A·SWI16/09H·MEL24/09H·LIJ22/10H·ZEB29/10A·ZEJ05/11H·SEN25/11H·MSI03/12A·MAR10/12← Premier LeagueChallenge League →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.870.440.810.570.93
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (21)0.571.000.401.000.731.00
vs Weaker (7)0.430.430.750.250.000.67
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Tarxien Rainbows) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tarxien Rainbows over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tarxien Rainbows over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tarxien Rainbows over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D10W21W00D00D00D00D22D20WH·ZUR16/04A·SLI22/04A·MEL17/09H·ATT22/10A·ZEB25/10H·ZEJ29/10A·SEN05/11H·SWI25/11H·MAR03/12A·MSI10/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.670.940.941.000.36
vs Stronger (3)1.001.001.501.500.000.00
vs Similar (21)0.860.760.821.000.900.50
vs Weaker (6)1.330.171.000.331.670.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Pietà Hotspurs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D20W01L21W20W01L01L00D10WA·BIR14/04A·SIR20/04A·SWI16/09H·MEL24/09H·LIJ22/10H·ZEB29/10A·ZEJ05/11H·SEN25/11H·MSI03/12A·MAR10/12← Premier LeagueChallenge League →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.130.691.380.640.86
vs Stronger (2)1.001.501.001.50--
vs Similar (21)0.571.380.601.700.551.09
vs Weaker (7)0.860.290.750.501.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Tarxien Rainbows) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tarxien Rainbows over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tarxien Rainbows over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tarxien Rainbows over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pietà Hotspurs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZSP (24)
€4m
TR (8)
€1m
SU (2)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZSP (6)
€1m
TR (2)
€0m
SU (2)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZSP (6)
€1m
TR (2)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZSP (12)
€2m
TR (4)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
TR wins
0
Draws
0
PH wins

Head-to-head

Tarxien Rainbows vs Pietà Hotspurs · H/A from TR
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/12/23AMsida St. Joseph Vs TR0-2
03/12/23HTR Vs Marsa3-3
25/11/23HTR Vs Swieqi United0-0
05/11/23ASenglea Athletic Vs TR0-0
29/10/23HTR Vs Zejtun Corinthians0-0
25/10/23AZebbug Rangers Vs TR0-0
22/10/23HTR Vs Attard4-2
30/09/23ALija Athletic Vs TR0-0
24/09/23HTR Vs Fgura United0-1
17/09/23AMelita Vs TR2-1

Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/12/23AMarsa Vs PH1-3
03/12/23HPH Vs Msida St. Joseph1-0
25/11/23HPH Vs Senglea Athletic0-1
05/11/23AZejtun Corinthians Vs PH2-2
29/10/23HPH Vs Zebbug Rangers2-0
26/10/23AAttard Vs PH2-1
22/10/23HPH Vs Lija Athletic2-2
30/09/23AFgura United Vs PH0-4
24/09/23HPH Vs Melita2-2
16/09/23ASwieqi United Vs PH1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tarxien Rainbows
Tarxien Rainbows
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDDW1.57
HomeLWDDD1.42
AwayLDDDW1.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%37%44%
AVG goals2.842.892.78
Over 1.5 %73%74%72%
Over 2.5 %57%58%56%
Over 3.5 %35%37%33%
Scored1.761.631.89
Conceded1.081.260.89
BTTS51%47%56%
Clean Sheet41%37%44%
Corners---
Cards---
Pietà Hotspurs
Pietà Hotspurs
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW0.83
HomeDDWLW0.67
AwayWWLDW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%17%28%
AVG goals3.253.562.94
Over 1.5 %83%83%83%
Over 2.5 %67%67%67%
Over 3.5 %47%56%39%
Scored1.141.061.22
Conceded2.112.501.72
BTTS58%61%56%
Clean Sheet14%11%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1MelitaMelita2559
72%
2.4
5624+32
3.2
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
2Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick2551
60%
2.0
3820+18
2.3
60%
36%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.50.8
-
3MarsaMarsa2540
44%
1.6
4430+14
3.0
76%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
4Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United2438
42%
1.6
3423+11
2.4
62%
42%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
5Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs2538
44%
1.5
3531+4
2.6
68%
48%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
6Fgura UnitedFgura United2437
42%
1.5
3932+7
3.0
71%
54%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
7Senglea AthleticSenglea Athletic2535
36%
1.4
2827+1
2.2
60%
32%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
8ZurrieqZurrieq2535
40%
1.4
2736-9
2.5
72%
44%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
9Lija AthleticLija Athletic2432
38%
1.3
3144-13
3.1
83%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
10Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows2431
29%
1.3
3022+8
2.2
46%
38%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.20.9
-
11Luqa St. AndrewLuqa St. Andrew's2531
32%
1.2
3340-7
2.9
72%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
12Zebbug RangersZebbug Rangers2429
33%
1.2
3634+2
2.9
79%
50%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
13St. AndrewsSt. Andrews2528
28%
1.1
2935-6
2.6
68%
48%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
14Zejtun CorinthiansZejtun Corinthians2427
25%
1.1
2324-1
2.0
54%
25%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15AttardAttard2418
17%
0.8
2246-24
2.8
83%
46%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
16Msida St. JosephMsida St. Joseph248
8%
0.3
1653-37
2.9
75%
50%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.2
-
Malta: Challenge League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Challenge League stats & trends →

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