Tatran Prešov is heavily favored to win at home against Liptovský Mikuláš, with a 65% probability of victory. The model's selection is a home win, which is also the most likely match result. The expected total number of goals is 3.0, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely score is 2-0, with a probability of 11.1%.
At home, Tatran Prešov has been scoring an average of 1.0 goal and conceding 2.5 goals per game against opponents of similar strength. Liptovský Mikuláš, on the other hand, has been scoring 1.57 goals and conceding 2.14 goals per game away from home against similar opponents. The model suggests "Over 1.5" as its selection, with a probability of 81.5%. This pick also has a 7% edge. The home win percentage is 65%, the draw percentage is 21%, and the away win percentage is 13%.
Results analysis
The draw between Tatran Prešov and Liptovský Mikuláš extends the hosts' run of consecutive draws, coming off a 1-1 stalemate against the same opponent. The final score was a 1-1 tie, contrary to the pre-match favourite, Tatran Prešov, who was predicted to win with a 49% probability. The model's call was wrong. The model's selection, Home win, did not come through. The suggested pick of Over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 83.8%. The most likely total goals was 3, with a probability of 22%. The most likely scores included 1-1, 2-1 and 2-0, with probabilities of 11.2%, 9.5% and 7.1% respectively.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Tatran Prešov win✗ Miss
49.1%
Avg Implied 54.8% · @ 1.66
Edge
-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.72
Dafabet
1.71
Superbet
1.68
William Hil
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
Draw✓ Hit
24.6%
Avg Implied 25.1% · @ 3.62
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Dafabet
3.70
BetVictor
3.70
Pinnacle
3.69
Liptovský Mikuláš win✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 20.1% · @ 4.51
Edge
+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
4.75
1xBet
4.73
Marathonbet
4.65
Dafabet
4.60
Betfair
4.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Tatran Prešov
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.13
1.29
1.43
1.25
0.88
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
-
-
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (20)
1.15
1.40
1.00
1.60
1.30
1.20
vs Weaker (8)
1.75
0.75
2.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Liptovský Mikuláš) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liptovský Mikuláš
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.37
1.92
0.85
1.82
1.76
vs Stronger (10)
2.40
0.90
2.00
0.00
2.67
1.50
vs Similar (20)
1.60
1.60
1.89
1.22
1.36
1.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Tatran Prešov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.8%
@ 1.23+9.7%
Under 1.5
16.2%
@ 3.52-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Under
Betfair
3.80
10Bet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.58
1xBet
3.58
Superbet
3.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.9%
@ 1.79+10.1%
Under 2.5
38.1%
@ 1.92-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
Under
Pinnacle
1.96
Bet365
1.95
Betfair
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.6%
@ 2.90+8.1%
Under 3.5
60.4%
@ 1.33-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.10
10Bet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.92
1xBet
2.92
Unibet
2.90
Under
10Bet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.31
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.1%
@ 1.75+10.8%
No
36.9%
@ 1.92-10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Superbet
1.76
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
No
Superbet
1.95
Betfair
1.95
10Bet
1.95
BetVictor
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.2%@ 6.33+4.7%
2-1
9.5%@ 7.17+3.7%
2-0
7.1%@ 7.17+1.4%
1-2
6.7%@ 12.83+3.5%
1-0
6.6%@ 6.53+0.3%
2-2
6.3%@ 12.83+3.1%
3-1
5.9%@ 11.50+2.3%
0-0
5.1%@ 9.88+1.0%
Tatran Prešov goals ↓
Liptovský Mikuláš goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.1%
4.4%
3.6%
1.6%
0.5%
1
6.6%
11%
6.7%
3.0%
1.0%
2
7.1%
9.5%
6.3%
2.8%
0.9%
3
4.4%
5.9%
3.9%
1.7%
0.6%
4
2.1%
2.8%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tatran Prešov goals (down), columns = Liptovský Mikuláš goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.33
Malženice
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Galanta
1.17
Humenné
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
Slovan Bratislava II
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.50
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.50
Tatran Prešov is 0.33 points better than Liptovský Mikuláš in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.67
Šamorín
2.17
Pohronie
2.00
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.83
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.67
Inter Bratislava
1.50
Tatran Prešov
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Žilina II
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.67
Humenné
0.67
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.67
Galanta
0.67
Tatran Prešov is 0.17 goals worse than Liptovský Mikuláš in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.33
Šamorín
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.17
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.33
Humenné
1.50
Galanta
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.67
MFK Bytča
3.17
Tatran Prešov is 0.67 goals worse than Liptovský Mikuláš in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Tatran Prešov
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.60
0.86
0.64
0.50
0.56
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.75
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.80
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.38
1.25
0.50
0.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Liptovský Mikuláš) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liptovský Mikuláš
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
0.54
0.31
0.88
0.76
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.00
1.17
0.83
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.60
0.44
0.44
0.73
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Tatran Prešov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tatran Prešov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Tatran Prešov
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.43
0.79
0.75
0.31
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
-
-
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.45
0.65
0.30
0.90
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
0.38
0.75
0.50
1.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Liptovský Mikuláš) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liptovský Mikuláš
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.80
1.38
0.54
0.94
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
1.40
0.40
1.25
0.00
1.50
0.67
vs Similar (20)
1.00
1.00
1.44
0.78
0.64
1.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Tatran Prešov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tatran Prešov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liptovský Mikuláš over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
83.8%
1.23
Betano
1.25
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
+9.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Tatran Prešov · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Martin Regáli25%
Denys Taraduda17%
Stanislav Olejník14%
Andy Masaryk12%
Michal Sipľak7%
Pavol Bajza0%
Moritz Römling0%
Łukasz Wolsztyński0%
Taras Bondarenko0%
Jurij Medveděv0%
Jan Bernát0%
Roman Begala0%
Jozef Menich0%
Patrik Šimko0%
Filip Souček0%
Juraj Kotula0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Gabriel Barbosa0%
Ioan-Calin Revenco0%
Václav Míka0%
Dominique Simon0%
Bleron Krasniqi0%
Helder Morim0%
Landing Sagna0%
Severin Tatolna0%
Peter Juritka0%
Boris Gall0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Václav Míka33%
Filip Souček29%
Stanislav Olejník29%
Severin Tatolna29%
Patrik Šimko27%
Martin Regáli25%
Helder Morim25%
Roman Begala24%
Taras Bondarenko20%
Denys Taraduda17%
Gabriel Barbosa17%
Michal Sipľak14%
Landing Sagna13%
Jozef Menich11%
Daniels Balodis11%
Dominique Simon8%
Pavol Bajza6%
Andy Masaryk6%
Juraj Kotula6%
Moritz Römling0%
Łukasz Wolsztyński0%
Jurij Medveděv0%
Jan Bernát0%
Ioan-Calin Revenco0%
Bleron Krasniqi0%
Peter Juritka0%
Boris Gall0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Łukasz Wolsztyński20%
Jan Bernát20%
Michal Sipľak14%
Severin Tatolna14%
Ioan-Calin Revenco8%
Stanislav Olejník7%
Roman Begala6%
Denys Taraduda0%
Pavol Bajza0%
Moritz Römling0%
Taras Bondarenko0%
Jurij Medveděv0%
Martin Regáli0%
Jozef Menich0%
Patrik Šimko0%
Filip Souček0%
Juraj Kotula0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Gabriel Barbosa0%
Václav Míka0%
Dominique Simon0%
Bleron Krasniqi0%
Helder Morim0%
Landing Sagna0%
Andy Masaryk0%
Peter Juritka0%
Boris Gall0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stanislav Olejník29%
Łukasz Wolsztyński20%
Gabriel Barbosa17%
Dominique Simon8%
Landing Sagna7%
Martin Regáli6%
Denys Taraduda0%
Pavol Bajza0%
Moritz Römling0%
Michal Sipľak0%
Taras Bondarenko0%
Jurij Medveděv0%
Jan Bernát0%
Roman Begala0%
Jozef Menich0%
Patrik Šimko0%
Filip Souček0%
Juraj Kotula0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Ioan-Calin Revenco0%
Václav Míka0%
Bleron Krasniqi0%
Helder Morim0%
Andy Masaryk0%
Severin Tatolna0%
Peter Juritka0%
Boris Gall0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
BLP (20)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
IB (18)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Tatran Prešov and Liptovský Mikuláš have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
BLP (6)
€0m
IB (5)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Tatran Prešov and Liptovský Mikuláš have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
BLP (3)
€0m
IB (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Tatran Prešov and Liptovský Mikuláš have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
BLP (11)
€0m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
IB (9)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Tatran Prešov and Liptovský Mikuláš have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Petržalka
Šamorín
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Pohronie
Považská Bystrica
Žilina II
Inter Bratislava
Malženice
Galanta
Humenné
Slovan Bratislava II
Zlaté Moravce
Lokomotíva Zvolen
MFK Bytča