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Tauras vs Be1 NFA Prediction & Stats

Date: 24/10/2026
Time: 11:00
Tauras
Tauras
Vs
45%
25%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Be1 NFA
Be1 NFA
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Tauras, coming off a 2-2 draw, faces Be1 NFA, who are on a three-game winning streak after a 5-0 demolition of Ekranas. The model favours a home win, with a 43% chance, a 25% draw probability and a 32% chance for Be1 NFA. The expected total is 3.3 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.2% probability. Tauras averages 1.33 goals scored and 2.67 conceded at home against stronger opposition, while Be1 NFA averages 2.08 scored and 1.23 conceded away against weaker teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.2%), Under 6.5 (95.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (93.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (89.8%), Under 5.5 (88.9%), Over 1.5 (84.6%), Home +2 handicap (84.6%), and Home over 0.5 goals (82.7%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tauras win
45.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA win
29.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TaurasTauras

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D00D14L42W11D02L10W11D22DA·KAU31/10H·HEG09/11H·EKR11/04H·HEG21/04H·KAU24/07A·DAI02/08H·NEP08/08A·GAR15/08A·BAB21/08H·BFA28/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.171.531.601.730.73
vs Stronger (8)2.121.381.332.672.600.60
vs Similar (7)1.001.430.672.331.250.75
vs Weaker (15)1.670.931.891.001.330.83
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Be1 NFA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Be1 NFABe1 NFA

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W30W50W01L13L02L03L21W20W50WH·FA 31/10A·MIN09/11A·ŠIL11/04A·KLA28/04A·BFA26/07H·JON31/07A·MIN08/08H·HEG14/08H·GAR21/08A·EKR29/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.501.141.711.691.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.252.501.005.000.001.67
vs Weaker (26)1.621.351.151.462.081.23
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Tauras) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.7%
Under 1.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.3%
Under 2.5
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
41.1%
Under 3.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
65.0%
No
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
1-0
6.0%
3-1
5.5%
0-0
4.8%
Tauras goals ↓
Be1 NFA goals →
01234
04.8%4.5%4.0%1.9%0.7%
16.0%11%7.3%3.5%1.3%
26.3%9.1%6.6%3.2%1.2%
33.8%5.5%4.0%1.9%0.7%
41.7%2.5%1.8%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tauras goals (down), columns = Be1 NFA goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Žalgiris II
2.71
Minija
2.40
Babrungas
2.29
BFA
2.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.86
Be1 NFA
1.50
Jonava
1.50
Dainava
1.50
Tauras
1.50
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.50
FA Šiauliai II
1.17
Hegelmann II
0.86
Atmosfera
0.83
Ekranas
0.57
Transinvest 2
0.57
Garliava
0.00
Tauras and Be1 NFA are level in average points per game (both 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Minija
2.80
BFA
2.14
Žalgiris II
2.14
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.83
Babrungas
1.71
Be1 NFA
1.67
Transinvest 2
1.57
Tauras
1.50
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.43
Atmosfera
1.33
Jonava
1.17
Dainava
1.17
Hegelmann II
1.14
FA Šiauliai II
1.00
Ekranas
0.86
Garliava
0.17
Tauras is 0.17 goals worse than Be1 NFA in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Minija
0.40
Babrungas
0.43
Dainava
0.83
Žalgiris II
0.86
Jonava
1.00
BFA
1.00
Tauras
1.33
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.43
Be1 NFA
1.50
Garliava
1.50
FA Šiauliai II
1.50
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.67
Atmosfera
1.83
Transinvest 2
2.29
Hegelmann II
2.57
Ekranas
3.00
Tauras is 0.17 goals better than Be1 NFA in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Tauras or Draw
70.1%
Avg Implied -
45%
25%
30%
covers Tauras + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tauras or Be1 NFA
75.2%
Avg Implied -
45%
25%
30%
covers Tauras + Be1 NFA
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Be1 NFA
54.7%
Avg Implied -
45%
25%
30%
covers Draw + Be1 NFA
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Tauras over/under 0.5
Over
83.7%
Under
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tauras over/under 1.5
Over
54.1%
Under
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tauras over/under 2.5
Over
27.3%
Under
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tauras over/under 3.5
Over
11.1%
Under
88.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA over/under 0.5
Over
76.5%
Under
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA over/under 1.5
Over
42.4%
Under
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA over/under 2.5
Over
17.8%
Under
82.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA over/under 3.5
Over
5.9%
Under
94.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Tauras, so a minus line means Tauras give that many goals of a start and Be1 NFA receive them. At -1, Tauras must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Tauras win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Tauras)
Tauras -2
11.3%
Draw -2
14.0%
Be1 NFA +2
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Tauras)
Tauras -1
25.3%
Draw -1
20.1%
Be1 NFA +1
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Tauras)
Tauras +1
70.1%
Draw +1
15.8%
Be1 NFA -1
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Tauras)
Tauras +2
85.9%
Draw +2
8.9%
Be1 NFA -2
5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TaurasTauras

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D03L12L01L01L00D10W00DA·KAU31/10H·HEG09/11H·EKR11/04H·HEG21/04H·KAU24/07A·DAI02/08H·NEP08/08A·GAR15/08A·BAB21/08H·BFA28/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.630.400.930.800.33
vs Stronger (8)1.120.620.331.671.600.00
vs Similar (7)0.291.000.001.670.500.50
vs Weaker (15)0.470.470.560.440.330.50
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Be1 NFA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Be1 NFABe1 NFA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D20W01L01L00D01L11D20W10WH·FA 31/10A·MIN09/11A·ŠIL11/04A·KLA28/04A·BFA26/07H·JON31/07A·MIN08/08H·HEG14/08H·GAR21/08A·EKR29/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.710.640.560.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.001.250.002.000.001.00
vs Weaker (26)0.730.500.770.540.690.46
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Tauras) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tauras over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tauras over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tauras over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TaurasTauras

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D11D30W10W01L10W01L22DA·KAU31/10H·HEG09/11H·EKR11/04H·HEG21/04H·KAU24/07A·DAI02/08H·NEP08/08A·GAR15/08A·BAB21/08H·BFA28/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.531.130.670.930.40
vs Stronger (8)1.000.751.001.001.000.60
vs Similar (7)0.710.430.670.670.750.25
vs Weaker (15)1.200.471.330.561.000.33
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Be1 NFA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Be1 NFABe1 NFA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W30W30W00D12L02L02L10W00D40WH·FA 31/10A·MIN09/11A·ŠIL11/04A·KLA28/04A·BFA26/07H·JON31/07A·MIN08/08H·HEG14/08H·GAR21/08A·EKR29/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.900.431.071.120.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.251.251.003.000.000.67
vs Weaker (26)0.880.850.380.921.380.77
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Tauras) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tauras over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tauras over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tauras over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.1%-------
Under 6.595.2%-------
Away under 3.5 goals94.1%-------
Home under 3.5 goals88.9%-------
Under 5.588.8%-------
Home +2 handicap85.9%-------
Over 1.584.7%-------
Home over 0.5 goals83.7%-------
Away under 2.5 goals82.2%-------
Under 4.577.0%-------
Away over 0.5 goals76.5%-------
Home or Away75.2%-------
Away +2 handicap74.7%-------
Home under 2.5 goals72.7%-------
Home or Draw70.1%-------
Home +1 handicap70.1%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (6)
€1m
HI (4)
€0m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
TAU (2)
€0m
T2 (3)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TAU (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
T2 (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FŠI (2)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
T2 (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
TAU (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (3)
€0m
HI (2)
€0m
TAU (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
T2 (2)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
TAU wins
0
Draws
2
BN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Tauras vs Be1 NFA · H/A from TAU
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/25ABe1 NFA Vs TAU0-2
26/04/25HTAU Vs Be1 NFA1-0
02/11/24HTAU Vs Be1 NFA0-1
14/06/24ABe1 NFA Vs TAU2-1

TaurasTauras

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HTAU Vs BFA2-2
21/08/26ABabrungas Vs TAU1-1
15/08/26AGarliava Vs TAU0-1
08/08/26HTAU Vs Neptūną Klaipėda0-2
02/08/26ADainava Vs TAU1-1
24/07/26HTAU Vs Kauno Žalgiris II4-2
21/04/26HTAU Vs Hegelmann Litauen1-4
11/04/26HTAU Vs Ekranas0-0
09/11/25HTAU Vs Hegelmann II0-0
31/10/25AKauno Žalgiris II Vs TAU0-1

Be1 NFABe1 NFA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26AEkranas Vs BN0-5
21/08/26HBN Vs Garliava2-0
14/08/26HBN Vs Hegelmann II2-1
08/08/26AMinija Vs BN3-0
31/07/26HBN Vs Jonava0-2
26/07/26ABFA Vs BN3-1
28/04/26AKlaipėdos FM Vs BN1-0
11/04/26AŠilutė Vs BN0-5
09/11/25AMinija Vs BN0-3
31/10/25HBN Vs FA Šiauliai II3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tauras
Tauras
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDD1.88
HomeDLWLD1.60
AwayWWDWD2.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%44%64%
AVG goals2.882.802.96
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %50%56%44%
Over 3.5 %36%40%32%
Scored1.961.642.28
Conceded0.921.160.68
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet40%36%44%
Corners---
Cards---
Be1 NFA
Be1 NFA
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW1.22
HomeWWLWW1.23
AwayWLLLW1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%32%36%
AVG goals2.822.732.89
Over 1.5 %76%82%71%
Over 2.5 %60%50%68%
Over 3.5 %36%32%39%
Scored1.361.271.43
Conceded1.461.451.46
BTTS42%55%32%
Clean Sheet30%27%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II719
86%
2.7
156+9
3.0
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.10.9
-
2BabrungasBabrungas716
71%
2.3
123+9
2.1
71%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.4
-
3BFABFA714
57%
2.0
157+8
3.1
71%
57%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.0
-
4Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda713
57%
1.9
1010+0
2.9
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
5MinijaMinija512
80%
2.4
142+12
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.4
-
6DainavaDainava69
33%
1.5
75+2
2.0
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
-
7Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II69
50%
1.5
1110+1
3.5
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.7
-
8Be1 NFABe1 NFA69
50%
1.5
109+1
3.2
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.5
-
9TaurasTauras69
33%
1.5
98+1
2.8
83%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
10JonavaJonava69
50%
1.5
76+1
2.2
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
11FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II67
33%
1.2
69-3
2.5
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
12Hegelmann IIHegelmann II76
29%
0.9
818-10
3.7
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.6
-
13AtmosferaAtmosfera65
17%
0.8
811-3
3.2
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
14Transinvest 2Transinvest 274
14%
0.6
1116-5
3.9
86%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.3
-
15EkranasEkranas74
14%
0.6
621-15
3.9
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.0
-
16GarliavaGarliava60
0%
0.0
19-8
1.7
33%
17%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.21.5
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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