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Tefik Canga vs FC Besa Peja Result & Analysis

Date: 01/11/2025
Time: 12:00
Final 2-1
Tefik Canga
Tefik Canga
Vs
73%
19%
8%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Besa Peja
FC Besa Peja
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tefik Canga win✓ Hit
73.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
18.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja win✗ Miss
7.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Tefik CangaTefik Canga

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W41W21W02L20W11D20W23L01L01LH·VJO05/09A·KEK13/09H·VUS16/09A·FER20/09H·2 K26/09A·IST04/10H·PRI10/10A·TRE18/10H·RAM21/10A·VËL26/10
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.641.212.000.671.381.62
vs Stronger (2)0.501.00--0.501.00
vs Similar (11)1.821.272.000.601.671.83
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %14% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Besa Peja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-711D17L11D03L12L00D01L13L01L13LH·PRI05/09A·TRE13/09H·RAM17/09A·VËL20/09H·TRE27/09H·KIK04/10A·SUH11/10H·DIN18/10A·RIL22/10H·LIR26/10
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.932.071.381.750.332.50
vs Stronger (3)0.672.671.002.500.003.00
vs Similar (10)1.002.001.601.600.402.40
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %7% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Tefik Canga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%016%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.7%
Under 2.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.5%
Under 3.5
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.7%
No
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
14.8%
1-0
12.7%
3-0
10.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-1 ✓
8.8%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
5.9%
Tefik Canga goals ↓
FC Besa Peja goals →
01234
07.0%2.9%1.1%0.2%0.0%
113%8.9%2.4%0.5%0.1%
215%8.8%2.6%0.5%0.1%
311%6.4%1.9%0.4%0.1%
45.9%3.5%1.1%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tefik Canga goals (down), columns = FC Besa Peja goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vushtrria
2.21
Feronikeli
2.18
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Istogu
0.94
KEK-u
0.64
Prizreni
0.59
Tefik Canga is 0.12 points better than FC Besa Peja in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Vushtrria
1.82
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Feronikeli
1.74
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Prizreni
0.82
KEK-u
0.76
Kika
0.74
Tefik Canga is 0.23 goals better than FC Besa Peja in terms of goals scored per game (1.41 vs 1.18).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Feronikeli
0.65
Vushtrria
0.76
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Liria Prizren
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Suhareka
1.79
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
KEK-u
1.91
Prizreni
1.94
Tefik Canga is 0.01 goals worse than FC Besa Peja in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.58).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Tefik CangaTefik Canga

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D11D00D00D00D00D12L00D01LH·VJO05/09A·KEK13/09H·VUS16/09A·FER20/09H·2 K26/09A·IST04/10H·PRI10/10A·TRE18/10H·RAM21/10A·VËL26/10
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.460.540.400.200.500.75
vs Stronger (2)0.501.00--0.501.00
vs Similar (10)0.400.400.250.000.500.67
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %54% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Besa Peja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D02L00D02L00D00D00D12L00D01LH·PRI05/09A·TRE13/09H·RAM17/09A·VËL20/09H·TRE27/09H·KIK04/10A·SUH11/10H·DIN18/10A·RIL22/10H·LIR26/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.540.770.880.620.001.00
vs Stronger (3)0.331.330.501.000.002.00
vs Similar (9)0.560.671.000.600.000.75
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %46% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Tefik Canga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tefik Canga over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Tefik CangaTefik Canga

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W41W10W02L20W11D20W11D01L00DH·VJO05/09A·KEK13/09H·VUS16/09A·FER20/09H·2 K26/09A·IST04/10H·PRI10/10A·TRE18/10H·RAM21/10A·VËL26/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.080.691.400.400.880.88
vs Stronger (2)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (10)1.300.901.500.501.171.17
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %38% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Besa Peja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D15L11D01L12L00D01L01L01L12LH·PRI05/09A·TRE13/09H·RAM17/09A·VËL20/09H·TRE27/09H·KIK04/10A·SUH11/10H·DIN18/10A·RIL22/10H·LIR26/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.381.310.501.120.201.60
vs Stronger (3)0.331.330.501.500.001.00
vs Similar (9)0.441.330.601.000.251.75
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Tefik Canga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tefik Canga over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Besa Peja over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.5%-------✓ Hit
Home win73.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (14)
€3m
VUS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (7)
€1m
VUS (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (2)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (5)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
TC wins
0
Draws
0
FBP wins

Head-to-head

Tefik Canga vs FC Besa Peja · H/A from TC
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Tefik CangaTefik Canga

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/25AVëllaznimi Vs TC1-0
21/10/25HTC Vs Ramiz Sadiku0-1
18/10/25ATrepça Mitrovicë Vs TC3-2
10/10/25HTC Vs Prizreni2-0
04/10/25AIstogu Vs TC1-1
26/09/25HTC Vs 2 Korriku2-0
20/09/25AFeronikeli Vs TC2-0
16/09/25HTC Vs Vushtrria2-1
13/09/25AKEK-u Vs TC1-4
05/09/25HTC Vs Vjosa3-1

FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/25HFBP Vs Liria Prizren1-3
22/10/25ARilindja 1974 Vs FBP1-0
18/10/25HFBP Vs Dinamo Ferizaj1-3
11/10/25ASuhareka Vs FBP1-0
04/10/25HFBP Vs Kika0-0
27/09/25HFBP Vs Trepça'891-2
20/09/25AVëllaznimi Vs FBP3-0
17/09/25HFBP Vs Ramiz Sadiku1-1
13/09/25ATrepça Mitrovicë Vs FBP7-1
05/09/25HFBP Vs Prizreni1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tefik Canga
Tefik Canga
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL1.64
HomeWWWWL2.50
AwayWLDLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%83%25%
AVG goals2.862.673.00
Over 1.5 %86%83%88%
Over 2.5 %43%50%38%
Over 3.5 %36%33%38%
Scored1.642.001.38
Conceded1.210.671.62
BTTS57%50%62%
Clean Sheet14%33%0%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Besa Peja
FC Besa Peja
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL0.50
HomeDLDLL0.88
AwayLLLLL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %7%12%0%
AVG goals3.003.122.83
Over 1.5 %71%88%50%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %29%38%17%
Scored0.931.380.33
Conceded2.071.752.50
BTTS64%88%33%
Clean Sheet7%12%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VushtrriaVushtrria3475
65%
2.2
6226+36
2.6
74%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.8
-
2FeronikeliFeronikeli3474
65%
2.2
5922+37
2.4
71%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.70.6
-
3Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren3471
62%
2.1
6029+31
2.6
65%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
4Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj3471
65%
2.1
6139+22
2.9
74%
53%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.1
-
5TrepçaTrepça'893470
59%
2.1
7233+39
3.1
82%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.0
-
6VëllaznimiVëllaznimi3470
62%
2.1
5832+26
2.6
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
7Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku3450
41%
1.5
3929+10
2.0
59%
32%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
8SuharekaSuhareka3444
38%
1.3
6061-1
3.6
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Tefik CangaTefik Canga3440
35%
1.2
4854-6
3.0
79%
56%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
102 Korriku2 Korriku3439
32%
1.1
5264-12
3.4
91%
68%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.9
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja3335
27%
1.1
3952-13
2.8
70%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
12VjosaVjosa3435
26%
1.0
3961-22
2.9
76%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
13Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë3434
26%
1.0
4962-13
3.3
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
14KikaKika3433
26%
1.0
2543-18
2.0
59%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
15IstoguIstogu3432
21%
0.9
4760-13
3.1
74%
50%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
16Rilindja 1974Rilindja 19743432
24%
0.9
3461-27
2.8
82%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
17KEK-uKEK-u3321
12%
0.6
2563-38
2.7
79%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
18PrizreniPrizreni3420
9%
0.6
2866-38
2.8
79%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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