Tefik Canga vs Kika Result & Analysis

Date: 16/05/2026

Time: 14:00

Final 1-0

Tefik Canga

49%

29%

21%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Kika

Kosovo: Liga E Pare

Referee: -

Match preview & prediction

Tefik Canga are favored to win at home against Kika, with a recent storyline of two straight defeats. This match is expected to be low-scoring, with an average of 2.3 goals and the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 13.7%.

At home, Tefik Canga have been scoring an average of 1.67 goals and conceding 1.33 goals, while Kika have been scoring 0.62 goals and conceding 1.12 goals when playing away against similar opponents.

The model's selection is an Under 3.5 goal match, with a probability of 79.8%. The suggested picks include this under, with a home win percentage of 49%, a draw percentage of 29%, and an away win percentage of 21%. The model's selection of home win has a probability of 49%, while the suggested pick of under 3.5 has a probability of 79.8%.

Results analysis

The win extends Tefik Canga's run, their recent form having been marked by inconsistency after two straight defeats. The final score was 1-0, a result that mirrored the actual outcome. The model's selection, a home win, proved correct, with a pre-match probability of 49%. The most likely score was a 1-1 draw, but the model's call was vindicated. The suggested pick of under 3.5 goals hit, with a probability of 79.8%. The model's pick of under 3.5 goals also came in, as did the most likely score of 1-1, albeit not the actual result.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tefik Canga win✓ Hit

49.4%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Draw✗ Miss

29.3%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Kika win✗ Miss

21.3%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Tefik Canga

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.1

Avg scored

1.2

Avg conceded

1.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.33	1.53	1.40	1.33	1.27	1.73
vs Stronger (7)	1.00	1.43	0.75	1.75	1.33	1.00
vs Similar (19)	1.26	1.68	1.67	1.33	0.90	2.00
vs Weaker (4)	2.25	1.00	1.50	0.50	3.00	1.50
Clean sheet %	13% (-15pp vs league)

This opponent (Kika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kika

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.6

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.77	1.27	1.00	1.13	0.53	1.40
vs Stronger (10)	0.50	1.70	0.80	1.60	0.20	1.80
vs Similar (17)	0.88	1.06	1.11	1.00	0.62	1.12
vs Weaker (3)	1.00	1.00	1.00	0.00	1.00	1.50
Clean sheet %	30% (+2pp vs league)

This opponent (Tefik Canga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

68.4%

Under 1.5

31.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

40.6%

Under 2.5

59.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

20.2%

Under 3.5

79.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

45.5%

54.5%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

13.7%

1-0 ✓

13.1%

0-0

11.2%

2-0

10.4%

2-1

9.0%

0-1

7.4%

1-2

5.4%

3-0

5.0%

Tefik Canga goals ↓

	Kika goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	11%	7.4%	3.7%	1.1%	0.2%
1	13%	14%	5.4%	1.5%	0.3%
2	10%	9.0%	3.9%	1.1%	0.2%
3	5.0%	4.3%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.8%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tefik Canga goals (down), columns = Kika goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Vushtrria

2.21

Feronikeli

2.18

Liria Prizren

2.09

Dinamo Ferizaj

2.09

Vëllaznimi

2.06

Trepça'89

2.06

Ramiz Sadiku

1.47

Suhareka

1.29

Tefik Canga

1.18

2 Korriku

1.15

FC Besa Peja

1.06

Vjosa

1.03

Trepça Mitrovicë

1.00

Kika

0.97

Rilindja 1974

0.94

Istogu

0.94

KEK-u

0.64

Prizreni

0.59

Tefik Canga is 0.21 points better than Kika in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Trepça'89

2.12

Vushtrria

1.82

Dinamo Ferizaj

1.79

Liria Prizren

1.76

Suhareka

1.76

Feronikeli

1.74

Vëllaznimi

1.71

2 Korriku

1.53

Trepça Mitrovicë

1.44

Tefik Canga

1.41

Istogu

1.38

FC Besa Peja

1.18

Ramiz Sadiku

1.15

Vjosa

1.15

Rilindja 1974

1.00

Prizreni

0.82

KEK-u

0.76

Kika

0.74

Tefik Canga is 0.68 goals better than Kika in terms of goals scored per game (1.41 vs 0.74).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Feronikeli

0.65

Vushtrria

0.76

Ramiz Sadiku

0.85

Liria Prizren

0.85

Vëllaznimi

0.94

Trepça'89

0.97

Dinamo Ferizaj

1.15

Kika

1.26

FC Besa Peja

1.58

Tefik Canga

1.59

Istogu

1.76

Rilindja 1974

1.79

Vjosa

1.79

Suhareka

1.79

Trepça Mitrovicë

1.82

2 Korriku

1.88

KEK-u

1.91

Prizreni

1.94

Tefik Canga is 0.32 goals worse than Kika in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.26).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔥 6. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 3.5	79.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FER (27)

€2m

VUS (19)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

VUS (0)

€0m

FER (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

VUS (0)

€0m

FER (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

VUS (0)

€0m

FER (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 8. Games History

Head-to-head

Tefik Canga vs Kika · H/A from TC

Date	H/A	Game	Score
08/11/25	A	Kika Vs TC	2-1

Tefik Canga

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
09/05/26	A	FC Besa Peja Vs TC	3-1
02/05/26	H	TC Vs Vëllaznimi	1-2
25/04/26	A	Ramiz Sadiku Vs TC	0-1
17/04/26	H	TC Vs Trepça Mitrovicë	2-1
12/04/26	A	Prizreni Vs TC	2-2
04/04/26	H	TC Vs Istogu	3-4
28/03/26	A	2 Korriku Vs TC	2-1
23/03/26	H	TC Vs Feronikeli	0-1
15/03/26	A	Vushtrria Vs TC	3-0
07/03/26	H	TC Vs KEK-u	1-1

Kika

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
09/05/26	H	KIK Vs Liria Prizren	0-1
03/05/26	A	Rilindja 1974 Vs KIK	2-0
25/04/26	H	KIK Vs Dinamo Ferizaj	0-1
19/04/26	A	Suhareka Vs KIK	3-1
12/04/26	A	Trepça'89 Vs KIK	1-0
05/04/26	H	KIK Vs FC Besa Peja	0-1
29/03/26	A	Vëllaznimi Vs KIK	2-0
22/03/26	H	KIK Vs Ramiz Sadiku	1-0
15/03/26	A	Trepça Mitrovicë Vs KIK	0-2
08/03/26	H	KIK Vs Prizreni	1-0

📊 9. Overall Statistics

Tefik Canga

Kosovo: Liga E Pare

Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DWWLL	1.16
Home	DLLWL	1.38
Away	LLDWL	0.94

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	34%	44%	25%
AVG goals	2.88	2.81	2.94
Over 1.5 %	81%	75%	88%
Over 2.5 %	56%	56%	56%
Over 3.5 %	28%	25%	31%
Scored	1.38	1.50	1.25
Conceded	1.50	1.31	1.69
BTTS	62%	62%	62%
Clean Sheet	12%	12%	12%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Kika

Kosovo: Liga E Pare

Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LLLLL	1.03
Home	WWLLL	1.44
Away	WLLLL	0.62

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	28%	44%	12%
AVG goals	2.06	2.12	2.00
Over 1.5 %	62%	50%	75%
Over 2.5 %	31%	31%	31%
Over 3.5 %	16%	25%	6%
Scored	0.78	1.06	0.50
Conceded	1.28	1.06	1.50
BTTS	28%	31%	25%
Clean Sheet	31%	38%	25%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 10. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Vushtrria	34	75	65%	2.2	62	26	+36	2.6	74%	50%	24%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	0.8	-
2	Feronikeli	34	74	65%	2.2	59	22	+37	2.4	71%	47%	21%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	0	0	1.7	0.6	-
3	Liria Prizren	34	71	62%	2.1	60	29	+31	2.6	65%	50%	32%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	0.9	-
4	Dinamo Ferizaj	34	71	65%	2.1	61	39	+22	2.9	74%	53%	35%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	1.1	-
5	Trepça'89	34	70	59%	2.1	72	33	+39	3.1	82%	47%	35%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.1	1.0	-
6	Vëllaznimi	34	70	62%	2.1	58	32	+26	2.6	71%	53%	32%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.7	0.9	-
7	Ramiz Sadiku	34	50	41%	1.5	39	29	+10	2.0	59%	32%	9%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.1	0.9	-
8	Suhareka	34	44	38%	1.3	60	61	-1	3.6	82%	68%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	1.8	-
9	Tefik Canga	34	40	35%	1.2	48	54	-6	3.0	79%	56%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	1.6	-
10	2 Korriku	34	39	32%	1.1	52	64	-12	3.4	91%	68%	35%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	1.9	-
11	FC Besa Peja	33	35	27%	1.1	39	52	-13	2.8	70%	52%	24%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	1.6	-
12	Vjosa	34	35	26%	1.0	39	61	-22	2.9	76%	59%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.1	1.8	-
13	Trepça Mitrovicë	34	34	26%	1.0	49	62	-13	3.3	85%	65%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	1.8	-
14	Kika	34	33	26%	1.0	25	43	-18	2.0	59%	29%	15%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.7	1.3	-
15	Istogu	34	32	21%	0.9	47	60	-13	3.1	74%	50%	41%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	1.8	-
16	Rilindja 1974	34	32	24%	0.9	34	61	-27	2.8	82%	50%	32%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	1.8	-
17	KEK-u	33	21	12%	0.6	25	63	-38	2.7	79%	52%	21%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.8	1.9	-
18	Prizreni	34	20	9%	0.6	28	66	-38	2.8	79%	53%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.8	1.9	-

Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

← all matches

Tefik Canga vs Kika Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Tefik Canga

Kika

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🔥 6. Top picks for this game

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 8. Games History

Head-to-head

Tefik Canga

Kika

📊 9. Overall Statistics

🏆 10. League Table

A Pro feature