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Tefik Canga vs Vëllaznimi Result & Analysis

Date: 15/08/2026
Time: 14:30
Final 1-3
Tefik Canga
Tefik Canga
Vs
29%
27%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vëllaznimi
Vëllaznimi
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Vëllaznimi is expected to win this match, with a narrow margin expected throughout. The recent form of both teams is a storyline to follow, as Tefik Canga is coming off a defeat, while Vëllaznimi is coming off a win but also a defeat in their last two matches. The expected total number of goals is 2.8, with a most likely total of 2 goals.

Tefik Canga's home form is a concern, scoring an average of 1.25 goals and conceding 1.75 goals per match against stronger opponents. Vëllaznimi's away form is relatively strong, scoring 1.54 goals and conceding 1.08 goals per match against weaker opponents.

The model's selection is the away win, with a 44% probability. The model also suggests Over 1.5 goals, with a 77.7% probability. The home win probability is 29%, the draw probability is 27%, and the away win probability is 44%. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 13% probability.

Results analysis

The win extends Tefik Canga's recent form woes, having now lost three straight matches, including the last encounter against Vëllaznimi. The 1-3 final score confirms the actual result of the away win, a prediction that the Pythia model got right. The model's selection of an away win was correct, as Vëllaznimi secured a convincing victory. The model's call was on the money, with Vëllaznimi clearly the favourite. The model's selection of an away win had a pre-match probability of 44%. The suggested pick of Over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 77.7%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tefik Canga win✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi win✓ Hit
43.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Tefik CangaTefik Canga

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L12L34L22D21W10W12L13L10W36LH·FER23/03A·2 K28/03H·IST04/04A·PRI12/04H·TRE17/04A·RAM25/04H·VËL02/05A·FC 09/05H·KIK16/05A·SUH23/05
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.601.381.251.362.00
vs Stronger (3)1.002.001.502.500.001.00
vs Similar (25)1.441.521.311.081.582.00
vs Weaker (2)1.002.002.001.000.003.00
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Vëllaznimi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W31W21W11D10W21W31W32W13LA·FC 22/03H·KIK29/03A·SUH05/04H·DIN11/04A·RIL19/04H·LIR25/04A·TEF02/05H·VJO09/05A·KEK16/05H·VUS23/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.931.730.671.471.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.001.001.501.000.501.00
vs Weaker (26)1.690.921.770.621.621.23
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Tefik Canga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.7%
Under 1.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.5%
Under 2.5
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.3%
Under 3.5
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.9%
No
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.4%
0-2
7.5%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
Tefik Canga goals ↓
Vëllaznimi goals →
01234
07.4%8.4%7.5%3.8%1.5%
16.5%13%9.2%4.7%1.8%
24.7%7.3%5.6%2.9%1.1%
31.9%3.0%2.3%1.2%0.5%
40.6%0.9%0.7%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tefik Canga goals (down), columns = Vëllaznimi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Tefik Canga is 0.88 points worse than Vëllaznimi in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 2.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
Tefik Canga is 0.29 goals worse than Vëllaznimi in terms of goals scored per game (1.41 vs 1.71).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
Tefik Canga is 0.65 goals worse than Vëllaznimi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 0.94).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Tefik CangaTefik Canga

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L00D21W10W00D01L00D10W00DA·VUS15/03H·FER23/03A·2 K28/03A·PRI12/04H·TRE17/04A·RAM25/04H·VËL02/05A·FC 09/05H·KIK16/05A·SUH23/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.550.310.460.440.62
vs Stronger (4)0.251.000.001.000.501.00
vs Similar (23)0.390.390.300.300.460.46
vs Weaker (2)0.501.501.001.000.002.00
Clean sheet %52% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Vëllaznimi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D11D00D11D00D10W00D11D01LA·TRE15/03A·FC 22/03A·SUH05/04H·DIN11/04A·RIL19/04H·LIR25/04A·TEF02/05H·VJO09/05A·KEK16/05H·VUS23/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.500.530.400.870.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.000.750.000.500.001.00
vs Weaker (26)0.810.460.620.381.000.54
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Tefik Canga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tefik Canga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Tefik CangaTefik Canga

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L00D12L01L11D10W11D13L00D36LA·VUS15/03H·FER23/03A·2 K28/03A·PRI12/04H·TRE17/04A·RAM25/04H·VËL02/05A·FC 09/05H·KIK16/05A·SUH23/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.970.920.540.941.31
vs Stronger (4)0.750.751.501.500.000.00
vs Similar (23)1.001.040.800.401.151.54
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %38% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Vëllaznimi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L20W21W00D10W11D31W21W12LA·TRE15/03A·FC 22/03A·SUH05/04H·DIN11/04A·RIL19/04H·LIR25/04A·TEF02/05H·VJO09/05A·KEK16/05H·VUS23/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.501.330.400.530.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.000.251.500.500.500.00
vs Weaker (26)0.920.541.310.380.540.69
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Tefik Canga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tefik Canga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
TC wins
0
Draws
2
VËL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Tefik Canga vs Vëllaznimi · H/A from TC
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26HTC Vs Vëllaznimi1-2
26/10/25AVëllaznimi Vs TC1-0

Tefik CangaTefik Canga

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26ASuhareka Vs TC6-3
16/05/26HTC Vs Kika1-0
09/05/26AFC Besa Peja Vs TC3-1
02/05/26HTC Vs Vëllaznimi1-2
25/04/26ARamiz Sadiku Vs TC0-1
17/04/26HTC Vs Trepça Mitrovicë2-1
12/04/26APrizreni Vs TC2-2
04/04/26HTC Vs Istogu3-4
28/03/26A2 Korriku Vs TC2-1
23/03/26HTC Vs Feronikeli0-1

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26HVËL Vs Vushtrria1-3
16/05/26AKEK-u Vs VËL2-3
09/05/26HVËL Vs Vjosa3-1
02/05/26ATefik Canga Vs VËL1-2
25/04/26HVËL Vs Liria Prizren1-0
19/04/26ARilindja 1974 Vs VËL1-1
11/04/26HVËL Vs Dinamo Ferizaj2-1
05/04/26ASuhareka Vs VËL1-3
29/03/26HVËL Vs Kika2-0
22/03/26AFC Besa Peja Vs VËL1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tefik Canga
Tefik Canga
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.18
HomeLLWLW1.47
AwayLDWLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%47%24%
AVG goals3.002.713.29
Over 1.5 %79%71%88%
Over 2.5 %56%53%59%
Over 3.5 %29%24%35%
Scored1.411.471.35
Conceded1.591.241.94
BTTS62%59%65%
Clean Sheet15%18%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Vëllaznimi
Vëllaznimi
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL2.06
HomeWWWWL2.35
AwayLWDWW1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%71%53%
AVG goals2.652.592.71
Over 1.5 %71%71%71%
Over 2.5 %53%53%53%
Over 3.5 %32%29%35%
Scored1.711.821.59
Conceded0.940.761.12
BTTS56%53%59%
Clean Sheet35%47%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VëllaznimiVëllaznimi39
100%
3.0
61+5
2.3
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.3
-
2Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj37
67%
2.3
81+7
3.0
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.70.3
-
3TrepçaTrepça'8937
67%
2.3
30+3
1.0
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.0
-
4Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren37
67%
2.3
42+2
2.0
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
5SuharekaSuhareka36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
62 Korriku2 Korriku36
67%
2.0
42+2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
7Rilindja 1974Rilindja 197434
33%
1.3
34-1
2.3
100%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
8VjosaVjosa33
33%
1.0
54+1
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
9Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku33
0%
1.0
44+0
2.7
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
10KikaKika33
0%
1.0
11+0
0.7
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.30.3
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja33
33%
1.0
23-1
1.7
33%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.0
-
12Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë33
33%
1.0
48-4
4.0
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.7
-
13Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re33
33%
1.0
26-4
2.7
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.0
-
14IstoguIstogu33
33%
1.0
27-5
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.3
-
15KF LepenciKF Lepenci32
0%
0.7
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
16MitrovicaMitrovica32
0%
0.7
13-2
1.3
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.31.0
-
17FerizajFerizaj31
0%
0.3
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
18Tefik CangaTefik Canga31
0%
0.3
36-3
3.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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