This opponent (Amorebieta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amorebieta
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.37
0.94
1.06
0.71
1.71
vs Stronger (21)
0.86
1.48
0.82
1.00
0.90
2.00
vs Similar (9)
0.78
1.11
1.20
1.20
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Tenerife) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
59.6%
Under 1.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
31.4%
@ 2.38-7.8%
Under 2.5
68.6%
@ 1.54+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.7%
Under 3.5
86.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
34.1%
No
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
18.3%
0-0
15.1%
2-0
13.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-1
7.8%
0-1 ✓
7.0%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
Tenerife goals ↓
Amorebieta goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
7.0%
2.3%
0.5%
0.1%
1
18%
12%
3.3%
0.6%
0.1%
2
13%
7.8%
2.3%
0.4%
0.1%
3
6.2%
3.6%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
4
2.2%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tenerife goals (down), columns = Amorebieta goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leganes
1.76
Valladolid
1.71
Espanyol
1.65
Eibar
1.64
Oviedo
1.54
Racing Santander
1.52
Sporting Gijon
1.50
Burgos
1.40
Levante
1.40
Elche
1.40
Racing Ferrol
1.40
Tenerife
1.33
FC Cartagena
1.21
Zaragoza
1.21
Albacete
1.21
Eldense
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Mirandes
1.17
Amorebieta
1.07
Alcorcon
1.05
Villarreal II
1.02
FC Andorra
1.02
Tenerife is 0.26 points better than Amorebieta in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.07).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Eibar
1.64
Racing Santander
1.50
Espanyol
1.35
Leganes
1.33
Oviedo
1.26
Burgos
1.24
Valladolid
1.21
Albacete
1.19
Levante
1.17
Racing Ferrol
1.17
Sporting Gijon
1.16
Mirandes
1.12
Eldense
1.10
Elche
1.02
Zaragoza
1.00
Villarreal II
0.98
Tenerife
0.90
Amorebieta
0.88
FC Cartagena
0.88
Huesca
0.86
FC Andorra
0.79
Alcorcon
0.76
Tenerife is 0.02 goals better than Amorebieta in terms of goals scored per game (0.90 vs 0.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leganes
0.64
Huesca
0.79
Valladolid
0.86
Oviedo
0.89
Espanyol
0.89
Tenerife
0.98
Sporting Gijon
0.98
Zaragoza
1.00
Levante
1.07
Elche
1.10
Eibar
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.21
Racing Ferrol
1.24
Amorebieta
1.26
FC Andorra
1.26
Alcorcon
1.26
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.31
Mirandes
1.31
Eldense
1.33
Albacete
1.33
Villarreal II
1.48
Tenerife is 0.29 goals better than Amorebieta in terms of goals conceded per game (0.98 vs 1.26).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
63%
Elche
58%
Valladolid
56%
Eibar
55%
Oviedo
54%
Sporting Gijon
54%
Levante
52%
Racing Ferrol
52%
Espanyol
51%
Zaragoza
50%
Villarreal II
50%
Tenerife
50%
Albacete
49%
Racing Santander
47%
Burgos
47%
Amorebieta
46%
Leganes
46%
Eldense
45%
Huesca
45%
Mirandes
45%
FC Cartagena
44%
Alcorcon
42%
Tenerife is 3.3 percentage points better than Amorebieta in terms of average possession (50% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Tenerife
For 3.6 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 10.6 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Amorebieta
For 3.4 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 9.4 · Total 20.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tenerife
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.3
9.4
4.3
4.4
4.3
26.4
27.5
25.4
vs Stronger (11)
9.5
9.8
9.2
4.5
3.7
5.6
28.6
27.5
29.8
vs Similar (37)
9.0
9.1
8.9
4.3
4.9
3.7
26.1
27.5
24.7
vs Weaker (2)
17.0
-
17.0
4.0
0.0
8.0
17.0
-
17.0
% over line
46%
42%
50%
64%
64%
64%
92%
95%
90%
% under line
54%
58%
50%
36%
36%
36%
8%
5%
10%
This opponent (Amorebieta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amorebieta
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.6
8.6
4.5
4.8
4.1
24.4
25.4
23.2
vs Stronger (31)
9.2
9.6
8.8
4.5
4.9
4.1
23.6
24.9
22.5
vs Similar (19)
9.0
9.5
8.2
4.5
4.6
4.2
25.5
26.2
24.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
50%
29%
64%
65%
62%
66%
81%
50%
% under line
60%
50%
71%
36%
35%
38%
34%
19%
50%
This opponent (Tenerife) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Oviedo
10.3
Mirandes
10.1
Racing Santander
10.0
Espanyol
9.9
Sporting Gijon
9.9
Levante
9.8
Burgos
9.6
Eibar
9.6
Elche
9.6
Huesca
9.5
Valladolid
9.5
Eldense
9.5
Villarreal II
9.4
Tenerife
9.2
Amorebieta
9.1
FC Cartagena
9.0
Albacete
9.0
Leganes
9.0
Zaragoza
8.9
Alcorcon
8.7
FC Andorra
8.7
Racing Ferrol
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
5.9
Espanyol
5.8
Tenerife
5.5
Leganes
5.4
Oviedo
5.3
Huesca
5.3
Valladolid
5.3
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Elche
5.2
Levante
5.0
FC Cartagena
5.0
Mirandes
5.0
Alcorcon
4.9
Eibar
4.9
FC Andorra
4.9
Albacete
4.8
Zaragoza
4.8
Villarreal II
4.7
Burgos
4.6
Amorebieta
4.6
Eldense
4.2
Racing Ferrol
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
29.9
Espanyol
28.3
Leganes
27.5
Oviedo
27.1
Elche
26.8
Valladolid
26.8
Tenerife
26.6
Albacete
26.3
Eldense
26.3
Huesca
26.0
Levante
26.0
Zaragoza
25.6
Racing Ferrol
25.5
FC Cartagena
25.4
Villarreal II
25.3
FC Andorra
25.1
Alcorcon
25.0
Amorebieta
24.4
Mirandes
23.9
Sporting Gijon
23.5
Eibar
23.4
Burgos
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
39.6%
Under 9.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
72.8%
Under 3.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
71.0%
Under 21.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Tenerife
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.40
0.36
0.36
0.31
0.44
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.17
0.00
0.50
0.25
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.39
0.43
0.42
0.33
0.36
0.55
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Amorebieta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amorebieta
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.53
0.50
0.50
0.21
0.57
vs Stronger (21)
0.33
0.57
0.45
0.55
0.20
0.60
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.44
0.60
0.40
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Tenerife) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tenerife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Tenerife
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.67
0.50
0.21
0.50
1.06
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.17
0.00
0.00
0.75
1.75
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.52
0.58
0.25
0.45
0.82
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Amorebieta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amorebieta
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.83
0.44
0.56
0.50
1.14
vs Stronger (21)
0.52
0.90
0.36
0.45
0.70
1.40
vs Similar (9)
0.33
0.67
0.60
0.80
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Tenerife) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tenerife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Tenerife
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ángel Rodríguez24%
Roberto López18%
Enric Gallego17%
Luismi Cruz10%
Teto9%
Jeremy Mellot6%
Sergio González5%
Waldo Rubio Marín4%
José León4%
Yann Bodiger3%
Nacho Martínez3%
Álex Corredera3%
Juan Soriano0%
Dauda Mohammed0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Tomeu Nadal0%
Álvaro Jiménez0%
Alvaro Romero0%
Aitor Sanz0%
Eladio Zorrilla Jiménez0%
Aitor Buñuel0%
José Amo0%
Yanis Rahmani0%
Fernando Medrano0%
Ethyan González0%
Loïc Williams0%
Alassán Gutiérrez0%
Jesús Belza0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
José Amo38%
Dauda Mohammed36%
Aitor Sanz36%
Enric Gallego36%
Nikola Šipčić29%
Loïc Williams29%
Sergio González28%
Álvaro Jiménez25%
Eladio Zorrilla Jiménez25%
Luismi Cruz23%
Waldo Rubio Marín21%
Jeremy Mellot18%
Nacho Martínez16%
Aitor Buñuel14%
Yanis Rahmani14%
Fernando Medrano14%
Yann Bodiger13%
Juan Soriano12%
Teto12%
Ángel Rodríguez11%
Álex Corredera10%
Roberto López10%
Jesús Belza10%
José León8%
Tomeu Nadal0%
Alvaro Romero0%
Ethyan González0%
Alassán Gutiérrez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ethyan González25%
Waldo Rubio Marín17%
Alassán Gutiérrez11%
Roberto López10%
Fernando Medrano10%
Nacho Martínez6%
Luismi Cruz6%
Teto6%
Jeremy Mellot6%
Enric Gallego6%
Yann Bodiger3%
Ángel Rodríguez3%
Sergio González3%
Álex Corredera3%
Juan Soriano0%
Dauda Mohammed0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Tomeu Nadal0%
Álvaro Jiménez0%
Alvaro Romero0%
Aitor Sanz0%
José León0%
Eladio Zorrilla Jiménez0%
Aitor Buñuel0%
José Amo0%
Yanis Rahmani0%
Loïc Williams0%
Jesús Belza0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Álvaro Jiménez25%
Enric Gallego17%
Ángel Rodríguez14%
Waldo Rubio Marín12%
Roberto López8%
Yanis Rahmani7%
Aitor Sanz5%
Luismi Cruz3%
José Amo3%
Juan Soriano0%
Jeremy Mellot0%
Dauda Mohammed0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Tomeu Nadal0%
Sergio González0%
Alvaro Romero0%
Yann Bodiger0%
Nacho Martínez0%
José León0%
Eladio Zorrilla Jiménez0%
Aitor Buñuel0%
Álex Corredera0%
Fernando Medrano0%
Ethyan González0%
Teto0%
Loïc Williams0%
Alassán Gutiérrez0%
Jesús Belza0%
Amorebieta
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Iker Unzueta Arregui25%
Eneko Jauregi16%
Félix Garreta13%
Manu Hernando9%
Javier Eraso9%
Ryan Edwards8%
Jon Morcillo8%
Josué Dorrio7%
Javier Avilés7%
Unai Bustinza6%
Álvaro Núñez5%
Josep Gayá5%
Rayco Rodriguez3%
Kwasi Sibo3%
Jürgen Locadia0%
Erik Morán0%
Jorge Mier0%
Daniel Lasure0%
Àlex Carbonell0%
Xabier Etxeita0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Iker Seguin0%
Pablo Cunat0%
Angel Troncho0%
Luis Quintero0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josep Gayá33%
Unai Bustinza29%
Manu Hernando23%
Kwasi Sibo21%
Álvaro Núñez21%
Iker Seguin20%
Félix Garreta19%
Xabier Etxeita19%
Erik Morán19%
Daniel Lasure17%
Àlex Carbonell16%
Jorge Mier10%
Javier Eraso9%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca8%
Eneko Jauregi8%
Josué Dorrio7%
Javier Avilés7%
Jorge Yriarte7%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia6%
Ryan Edwards6%
Luis Quintero6%
Jon Morcillo5%
Pablo Cunat4%
Rayco Rodriguez3%
Jürgen Locadia0%
Iker Unzueta Arregui0%
Angel Troncho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Erik Morán12%
Josué Dorrio12%
Daniel Lasure7%
Rayco Rodriguez7%
Luis Quintero6%
Eneko Jauregi5%
Jon Morcillo5%
Álvaro Núñez5%
Xabier Etxeita4%
Félix Garreta3%
Kwasi Sibo0%
Jürgen Locadia0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Jorge Mier0%
Àlex Carbonell0%
Unai Bustinza0%
Javier Eraso0%
Javier Avilés0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Iker Unzueta Arregui0%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca0%
Manu Hernando0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Iker Seguin0%
Josep Gayá0%
Pablo Cunat0%
Angel Troncho0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jürgen Locadia25%
Jon Morcillo14%
Eneko Jauregi11%
Josué Dorrio7%
Iker Unzueta Arregui5%
Javier Eraso4%
Daniel Lasure3%
Àlex Carbonell3%
Álvaro Núñez3%
Kwasi Sibo0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Erik Morán0%
Jorge Mier0%
Rayco Rodriguez0%
Unai Bustinza0%
Javier Avilés0%
Xabier Etxeita0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca0%
Manu Hernando0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Iker Seguin0%
Josep Gayá0%
Pablo Cunat0%
Angel Troncho0%
Félix Garreta0%
Luis Quintero0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →