Teplice are tipped to lift the trophy at home, the model’s pick, with a 45% chance of victory, 27% for a draw and 29% for FK Jablonec to win. The expected total of 2.9 goals points to a lively match, but the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, a 12.5% probability. Teplice have been scoring 1.17 and conceding 0.83 in similar opposition at home, while Jablonec return 1.25 and concede 1.0 on the road. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 at 99.1%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.9% with a 3% edge, Under 6.5 at 97.3% with a 3% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.1% with a 5% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.7% with a 3% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.2% with a 6% edge, Over 19.5 fouls at 95.4%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.7% with a 4% edge. Teplice come off a win against Křimice, while Jablonec return after a defeat to Rangers.
Results analysis
Teplice’s 2-0 victory over FK Jablonec extended their two-game winning run, confirming the model’s prediction of a home win with a 45% probability. The final score of 2-0 matched the actual result, and the model’s favourite call was correct. The model’s selections proved largely accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.1%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.9%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.3%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.1%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.0%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.2%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 95.4%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.0%. All eight selections settled in Teplice’s favour, underscoring the model’s strong performance.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Teplice win✓ Hit
45.1%
Avg Implied 39.1% · @ 2.37
Edge
+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.55
Dafabet
2.46
Superbet
2.42
Pinnacle
2.40
Betano
2.40
Draw✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.28
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.50
Dafabet
3.40
Pinnacle
3.38
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.34
FK Jablonec win✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied 32.7% · @ 2.84
Edge
-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.98
Betano
2.90
William Hil
2.90
10Bet
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Teplice
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.23
1.31
1.25
1.36
1.21
vs Stronger (7)
1.71
2.57
1.75
2.50
1.67
2.67
vs Similar (23)
1.22
0.83
1.17
0.83
1.27
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Jablonec
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.47
1.47
0.94
1.08
2.15
vs Stronger (9)
1.22
2.78
2.00
1.67
0.83
3.33
vs Similar (21)
1.33
0.90
1.36
0.79
1.29
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Teplice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.2%
@ 1.27+6.2%
Under 1.5
20.8%
@ 3.46-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Under
Pinnacle
3.62
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Betano
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.8%
@ 1.90+5.3%
Under 2.5
45.2%
@ 1.86-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.00
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.95
Betano
1.93
Betfair
1.90
Under
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.91
Pinnacle
1.88
Betfair
1.87
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.4%
@ 3.22+3.5%
Under 3.5
67.6%
@ 1.31-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Pinnacle
3.32
Unibet
3.25
Under
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.4%
@ 1.68+3.3%
No
41.6%
@ 2.06-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.75
Betfair
1.73
William Hil
1.70
Superbet
1.70
BetVictor
1.67
No
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.11
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
BetVictor
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%@ 5.97+5.1%
2-1
9.3%@ 8.49+4.1%
1-0
8.1%@ 7.87+2.4%
2-0 ✓
7.5%@ 11.28+3.5%
1-2
7.1%@ 9.58+2.5%
0-0
6.8%@ 9.82+2.3%
0-1
5.9%@ 8.61+0.7%
2-2
5.8%@ 12.12+2.1%
Teplice goals ↓
FK Jablonec goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.8%
5.9%
4.4%
1.8%
0.6%
1
8.1%
13%
7.1%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.5%
9.3%
5.8%
2.4%
0.8%
3
4.1%
5.1%
3.1%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.6%
2.1%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Teplice goals (down), columns = FK Jablonec goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.33
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Slovan Liberec
2.17
Zbrojovka Brno
2.17
FK Jablonec
2.00
Baník Ostrava
1.80
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Teplice
1.67
Sparta Praha
1.50
Hradec Králové
1.40
Plzen
1.20
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Artis
0.67
Slovácko
0.33
Pardubice
0.17
Zlin
0.00
Teplice is 0.33 points worse than FK Jablonec in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.83
Plzen
2.20
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Teplice
2.00
Sparta Praha
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.67
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Slovan Liberec
1.33
Bohemians 1905
1.20
FK Jablonec
1.20
Artis
1.00
Zlin
0.83
Pardubice
0.83
Slovácko
0.83
Hradec Králové
0.80
Baník Ostrava
0.80
Teplice is 0.80 goals better than FK Jablonec in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Slovan Liberec
0.50
FK Jablonec
0.80
Slavia Praha
0.83
Zbrojovka Brno
0.83
Hradec Králové
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc
1.33
Sparta Praha
1.67
Pardubice
2.00
Teplice
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Artis
2.17
Zlin
2.17
Plzen
2.40
Teplice is 1.20 goals worse than FK Jablonec in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 0.80).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sparta Praha
65%
Plzen
59%
Sigma Olomouc
58%
Slavia Praha
54%
Hradec Králové
54%
FK Jablonec
52%
Mlada Boleslav
50%
Teplice
49%
Slovácko
48%
Slovan Liberec
47%
Baník Ostrava
47%
Bohemians 1905
47%
Zbrojovka Brno
45%
Zlin
43%
Artis
42%
Pardubice
40%
Teplice is 3.2 percentage points worse than FK Jablonec in terms of average possession (49% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Teplice
For 5.1 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 13.4 · Total 28.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FK Jablonec
For 4.6 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 14.0 · Total 27.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Teplice
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.5
9.6
4.0
3.7
4.3
28.3
27.8
28.9
vs Stronger (8)
8.2
6.2
10.2
3.9
4.2
3.5
25.4
29.5
21.2
vs Similar (40)
9.2
9.0
9.6
4.1
3.6
4.6
28.9
27.5
30.7
vs Weaker (2)
8.5
-
8.5
3.0
-
3.0
30.0
-
30.0
% over line
38%
32%
45%
52%
52%
52%
87%
88%
86%
% under line
62%
68%
55%
48%
48%
48%
13%
12%
14%
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Jablonec
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.2
10.3
3.5
3.9
3.2
26.8
26.8
26.7
vs Stronger (14)
8.8
9.0
8.8
3.9
4.7
3.4
26.1
27.8
25.0
vs Similar (36)
10.2
9.3
11.2
3.4
3.6
3.1
27.0
26.5
27.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
45%
55%
52%
62%
42%
86%
86%
86%
% under line
50%
55%
45%
48%
38%
58%
14%
14%
14%
This opponent (Teplice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mlada Boleslav
11.2
Slavia Praha
10.8
Zbrojovka Brno
10.6
Bohemians 1905
10.3
Slovácko
10.3
Hradec Králové
9.9
Baník Ostrava
9.9
Pardubice
9.9
FK Jablonec
9.8
Slovan Liberec
9.8
Sparta Praha
9.7
Plzen
9.5
Zlin
9.3
Sigma Olomouc
9.3
Teplice
9.0
Artis
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Slovan Liberec
5.3
Plzen
5.3
Sparta Praha
4.8
Slavia Praha
4.5
Teplice
4.5
Pardubice
4.4
Baník Ostrava
4.2
Sigma Olomouc
4.2
Mlada Boleslav
4.1
FK Jablonec
4.1
Zlin
3.9
Slovácko
3.9
Hradec Králové
3.7
Bohemians 1905
3.7
Zbrojovka Brno
3.6
Artis
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Slovan Liberec
28.9
Zlin
28.6
Teplice
28.2
Slavia Praha
26.7
Slovácko
26.6
Sigma Olomouc
26.6
FK Jablonec
26.5
Artis
26.5
Plzen
26.1
Pardubice
25.5
Mlada Boleslav
25.5
Baník Ostrava
24.5
Sparta Praha
24.4
Bohemians 1905
22.9
Hradec Králové
22.8
Zbrojovka Brno
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.85
Superbet
1.80
Betano
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.67
Under
Pinnacle
2.12
1xBet
2.07
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.06
Unibet
2.00
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.51
Betano
1.50
Under
Betano
2.32
Superbet
2.27
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Teplice or Draw✓ Hit
71.8%
Avg Implied 67.2% · @ 1.38
Edge
+4.7%
45%
27%
28%
covers Teplice + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.42
William Hil
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Unibet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Teplice or FK Jablonec✓ Hit
73.3%
Avg Implied 72.0% · @ 1.29
Edge
+1.3%
45%
27%
28%
covers Teplice + FK Jablonec
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Draw or FK Jablonec✗ Miss
54.9%
Avg Implied 60.8% · @ 1.53
Edge
-6.0%
45%
27%
28%
covers Draw + FK Jablonec
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.57
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.57
William Hil
1.55
1xBet
1.54
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Teplice over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.3%
@ 1.25+6.3%
Under
19.7%
@ 3.58-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.85
1xBet
3.74
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
Teplice over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
48.4%
@ 2.25+7.0%
Under
51.6%
@ 1.59-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.33
Superbet
2.27
Betfair
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
Under
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Teplice over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.3%
@ 5.00+3.8%
Under
77.7%
@ 1.14-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Under
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Teplice over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 12.00+0.3%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.03-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
FK Jablonec over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
71.2%
@ 1.31+0.2%
Under
28.8%
@ 3.20-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.25
Marathonbet
3.24
1xBet
3.24
Unibet
3.20
FK Jablonec over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
35.4%
@ 2.54-1.2%
Under
64.6%
@ 1.47+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.68
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
BetVictor
2.60
10Bet
2.55
Under
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Unibet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
FK Jablonec over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.1%
@ 6.06-2.3%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.10+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.15
1xBet
6.15
Betfair
6.00
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
FK Jablonec over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 14.58-2.7%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.02+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Teplice, so a minus line means Teplice give that many goals of a start and FK Jablonec receive them. At -1, Teplice must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Teplice win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Teplice)Actual: Draw
Teplice -2
10.0%
@ 10.00+1.2%
Draw -2
14.0%
@ 6.37+0.1%
FK Jablonec +2
76.0%
@ 1.14-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
11.00
Superbet
9.80
Marathonbet
6.20
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Unibet
6.75
Superbet
6.50
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Unibet
1.12
Handicap -1 (Teplice)Actual: Teplice
Teplice -1
24.0%
@ 4.62+4.7%
Draw -1
21.1%
@ 4.03-1.0%
FK Jablonec +1
54.9%
@ 1.52-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
4.90
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.55
Superbet
4.55
10Bet
4.50
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.15
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.85
Away
10Bet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.54
Superbet
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Handicap +1 (Teplice)Actual: Teplice
Teplice +1
71.8%
@ 1.39+7.7%
Draw +1
15.9%
@ 4.42-4.3%
FK Jablonec -1
12.3%
@ 5.71-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.43
Superbet
1.41
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.65
Superbet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
3.95
Away
10Bet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Superbet
5.40
Unibet
5.20
Handicap +2 (Teplice)Actual: Teplice
Teplice +2
87.7%
@ 1.11+8.4%
Draw +2
8.2%
@ 6.90-4.5%
FK Jablonec -2
4.0%
@ 11.20-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Superbet
7.40
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Marathonbet
6.60
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Teplice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.62
0.56
0.43
0.79
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.29
1.00
1.25
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.43
0.48
0.50
0.33
0.36
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Jablonec
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.59
0.53
0.69
1.15
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.67
0.67
1.00
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.43
0.57
0.43
0.86
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Teplice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
70.4%
@ 1.37+2.7%
Under 0.5
29.6%
@ 2.87-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
3.04
Betfair
3.00
William Hil
3.00
1xBet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.7%
@ 2.74-1.2%
Under 1.5
67.3%
@ 1.40+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.87
Betano
2.87
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.72
Under
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
BetVictor
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.6%
@ 7.00-1.6%
Under 2.5
88.4%
@ 1.07+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
William Hil
7.00
1xBet
6.75
Marathonbet
6.75
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Teplice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
48.5%
@ 2.00+2.1%
Under
51.5%
@ 1.73-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Pinnacle
2.01
Unibet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.79
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Teplice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.6%
@ 6.00-0.8%
Under
85.4%
@ 1.10+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.55
Superbet
6.00
1xBet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
Teplice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 17.58-2.5%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.01+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
FK Jablonec over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.5%
@ 2.15-0.6%
Under
57.5%
@ 1.63+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.24
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.13
Superbet
2.12
Under
Unibet
1.66
10Bet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.62
Betano
1.62
FK Jablonec over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.2%
@ 7.18-1.7%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.07+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.80
1xBet
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.80
Superbet
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
FK Jablonec over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 20.83-2.5%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Teplice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.57
0.69
0.69
0.93
0.43
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.29
0.75
1.25
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.78
0.35
0.67
0.50
0.91
0.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Jablonec
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
0.88
0.41
0.38
1.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.11
1.33
0.67
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.48
0.79
0.36
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Teplice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.1%
@ 1.22+2.0%
Under 0.5
21.9%
@ 3.88-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.95
10Bet
3.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
44.3%
@ 2.07-0.6%
Under 1.5
55.7%
@ 1.69+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Unibet
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Under
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.9%
@ 4.37+0.7%
Under 2.5
78.1%
@ 1.18-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.40
1xBet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.30
Under
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Teplice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
55.0%
@ 1.69+0.1%
Under
45.0%
@ 2.05-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.75
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.66
10Bet
1.65
Under
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.06
1xBet
2.05
Superbet
1.97
Teplice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
19.3%
@ 4.41-1.8%
Under
80.7%
@ 1.17+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Betano
4.15
Under
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Teplice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.0%
@ 11.42-3.2%
Under
95.0%
@ 1.02+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
11.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
FK Jablonec over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
50.2%
@ 1.81-1.1%
Under
49.8%
@ 1.90+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
FK Jablonec over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.8%
@ 5.08-3.4%
Under
85.2%
@ 1.13+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.35
10Bet
5.25
1xBet
5.20
Superbet
4.90
Betano
4.70
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
FK Jablonec over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 14.50-3.7%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.0%
1.02
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.8%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.02
Superbet
1.02
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.8%
1.07
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.4%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.06
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
87.7%
1.11
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
+8.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.9%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.4%
1.10
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.2%
1.13
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
83.6%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Pinnacle
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.10
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.7%
1.17
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
+1.8%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
80.3%
1.25
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.2%
1.27
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.1%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.1%
1.18
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
77.7%
1.14
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
-3.8%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
76.0%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Unibet
1.12
-1.3%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
73.3%
1.29
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
71.8%
1.38
Betano
1.42
William Hil
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Unibet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
71.8%
1.39
Unibet
1.43
Superbet
1.41
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
71.2%
1.31
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.31
+0.2%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.4%
1.37
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.38
+2.7%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Teplice
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
John Auta60%
Lukáš Mareček40%
Matej Radosta40%
Matej Pulkrab20%
Jan Fortelný20%
Marcel Čermák20%
Matouš Trmal0%
Daniel Mareček0%
Michal Bílek0%
Oskars Vientiess0%
Tomas Zlatohlavek0%
Dalibor Večerka0%
Josef Švanda0%
Matej Riznič0%
Jakub Jakubko0%
Idris Hopi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matej Radosta40%
Jan Fortelný40%
Tomas Zlatohlavek33%
Idris Hopi33%
Josef Švanda25%
Lukáš Mareček20%
Michal Bílek20%
Matej Riznič20%
Matej Pulkrab0%
Matouš Trmal0%
Daniel Mareček0%
Oskars Vientiess0%
Marcel Čermák0%
Dalibor Večerka0%
Jakub Jakubko0%
John Auta0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lukáš Mareček20%
Matej Pulkrab20%
Matej Radosta20%
Oskars Vientiess20%
Matouš Trmal0%
Daniel Mareček0%
Michal Bílek0%
Jan Fortelný0%
Marcel Čermák0%
Tomas Zlatohlavek0%
Dalibor Večerka0%
Josef Švanda0%
Matej Riznič0%
Jakub Jakubko0%
John Auta0%
Idris Hopi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matej Pulkrab40%
Matej Riznič40%
Lukáš Mareček20%
Matouš Trmal0%
Matej Radosta0%
Daniel Mareček0%
Michal Bílek0%
Jan Fortelný0%
Oskars Vientiess0%
Marcel Čermák0%
Tomas Zlatohlavek0%
Dalibor Večerka0%
Josef Švanda0%
Jakub Jakubko0%
John Auta0%
Idris Hopi0%
FK Jablonec
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Cedidla43%
J. Chramosta17%
V. Tchanturishvili14%
J. Suchan14%
R. Sedláček0%
Nemanja Tekijaški0%
F. Novák0%
Matěj Polidar0%
D. Souček0%
J. Sláma0%
L. Jawo0%
A. Růsek0%
F. Zorvan0%
K. Mihelak0%
Sebastian Nebyla0%
Hugo Ahl0%
N. Okeke0%
Dušan Pavlović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hugo Ahl33%
M. Cedidla29%
Nemanja Tekijaški20%
F. Novák20%
J. Sláma20%
A. Růsek17%
N. Okeke17%
R. Sedláček14%
L. Jawo14%
J. Chramosta0%
V. Tchanturishvili0%
Matěj Polidar0%
J. Suchan0%
D. Souček0%
F. Zorvan0%
K. Mihelak0%
Sebastian Nebyla0%
Dušan Pavlović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
J. Suchan29%
Sebastian Nebyla20%
J. Chramosta17%
R. Sedláček14%
Nemanja Tekijaški0%
F. Novák0%
V. Tchanturishvili0%
Matěj Polidar0%
D. Souček0%
J. Sláma0%
M. Cedidla0%
L. Jawo0%
A. Růsek0%
F. Zorvan0%
K. Mihelak0%
Hugo Ahl0%
N. Okeke0%
Dušan Pavlović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
L. Jawo29%
J. Suchan14%
J. Chramosta0%
R. Sedláček0%
Nemanja Tekijaški0%
F. Novák0%
V. Tchanturishvili0%
Matěj Polidar0%
D. Souček0%
J. Sláma0%
M. Cedidla0%
A. Růsek0%
F. Zorvan0%
K. Mihelak0%
Sebastian Nebyla0%
Hugo Ahl0%
N. Okeke0%
Dušan Pavlović0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
Teplice's squad is €6m less valuable than FK Jablonec's (€8m vs €14m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
Teplice's attack is €1m less valuable than FK Jablonec's (€3m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
Teplice's midfield is €2m less valuable than FK Jablonec's (€2m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
Teplice's defence is €3m less valuable than FK Jablonec's (€3m vs €6m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
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Slavia Praha
Zbrojovka Brno
Slovan Liberec
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
Sparta Praha
Baník Ostrava
Hradec Králové
Bohemians 1905
Plzen
Artis
Slovácko
Pardubice
Zlin