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Teuta Durrës vs Laci Result & Analysis

Date: 12/04/2025
Time: 13:30
Final 1-0
Teuta Durrës
Teuta Durrës
Vs
39%
36%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Laci
Laci
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Teuta Durrës win✓ Hit
39.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
36.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Laci win✗ Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L21W11D01L00D00D10W00D11DH·DIN10/02A·LAC16/02H·TIR22/02A·EGN02/03A·BYL06/03H·AF 11/03A·PAR16/03H·SKE27/03A·VLL30/03A·DIN06/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.170.930.930.621.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.771.170.930.930.621.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaciLaci

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W30W02L22D14L11D00D01L01L12LA·SKE10/02H·TEU16/02A·DIN21/02H·VLL01/03A·TIR06/03H·EGN11/03A·BYL16/03H·AF 26/03A·PAR30/03H·SKE06/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.101.200.930.671.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.931.101.200.930.671.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Teuta Durrës) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%22%29%20%029%128%215%36%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (29%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
51.5%
Under 1.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
23.9%
Under 2.5
76.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
9.1%
Under 3.5
90.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
32.9%
No
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
19.8%
1-0 ✓
16.9%
1-1
14.1%
0-1
11.8%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
6.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
Teuta Durrës goals ↓
Laci goals →
01234
020%12%4.6%1.1%0.2%
117%14%4.5%1.1%0.2%
28.9%6.3%2.2%0.5%0.1%
32.9%2.0%0.7%0.2%0.0%
40.7%0.5%0.2%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Teuta Durrës goals (down), columns = Laci goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.66
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.58
Partizani
1.50
Dinamo Tirana
1.45
AF Elbasani
1.39
Teuta Durrës
1.22
Bylis
1.17
Tirana
1.08
Skenderbeu Korce
1.06
Laci
1.03
Teuta Durrës is 0.19 points better than Laci in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.47
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.34
Dinamo Tirana
1.34
Tirana
1.19
AF Elbasani
1.11
Partizani
1.05
Skenderbeu Korce
0.97
Bylis
0.92
Laci
0.86
Teuta Durrës
0.81
Teuta Durrës is 0.06 goals worse than Laci in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 0.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.79
Partizani
0.89
Laci
1.03
AF Elbasani
1.06
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.16
Teuta Durrës
1.17
Dinamo Tirana
1.18
Tirana
1.22
Skenderbeu Korce
1.25
Bylis
1.39
Teuta Durrës is 0.14 goals worse than Laci in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.03).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L11D11D00D00D00D10W00D10WH·DIN10/02A·LAC16/02H·TIR22/02A·EGN02/03A·BYL06/03H·AF 11/03A·PAR16/03H·SKE27/03A·VLL30/03A·DIN06/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.570.290.570.380.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.330.570.290.570.380.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaciLaci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W01L20W11D10W00D01L01L11DA·SKE10/02H·TEU16/02A·DIN21/02H·VLL01/03A·TIR06/03H·EGN11/03A·BYL16/03H·AF 26/03A·PAR30/03H·SKE06/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.400.600.400.270.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.430.400.600.400.270.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Teuta Durrës) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Teuta Durrës over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L10W00D01L00D00D00D00D01LH·DIN10/02A·LAC16/02H·TIR22/02A·EGN02/03A·BYL06/03H·AF 11/03A·PAR16/03H·SKE27/03A·VLL30/03A·DIN06/04
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.600.640.360.250.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.430.600.640.360.250.81
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaciLaci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W01L02L03L01L00D00D00D01LA·SKE10/02H·TEU16/02A·DIN21/02H·VLL01/03A·TIR06/03H·EGN11/03A·BYL16/03H·AF 26/03A·PAR30/03H·SKE06/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.700.600.530.400.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.500.700.600.530.400.87
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Teuta Durrës) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Teuta Durrës over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.590.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.576.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
DT (27)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
AE (25)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
SK (27)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
Teuta Durrës's squad is €3m more valuable than Laci's (€6m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
SK (9)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
Teuta Durrës's attack is €1m more valuable than Laci's (€2m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
AE (5)
€1m
LAC (6)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
Teuta Durrës and Laci have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
DT (11)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
SK (12)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
Teuta Durrës's defence is €1m more valuable than Laci's (€3m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
TD wins
3
Draws
4
LAC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Teuta Durrës vs Laci · H/A from TD
DateH/AGameScore
16/02/25ALaci Vs TD3-0
04/12/24HTD Vs Laci1-1
28/09/24ALaci Vs TD0-1
07/04/24HTD Vs Laci0-1
28/01/24ALaci Vs TD1-1
05/11/23HTD Vs Laci1-1
15/09/23ALaci Vs TD6-1
09/04/23HTD Vs Laci1-2

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/25ADinamo Tirana Vs TD1-1
30/03/25AVllaznia Shkodër Vs TD0-0
27/03/25HTD Vs Skenderbeu Korce1-0
16/03/25APartizani Vs TD0-0
11/03/25HTD Vs AF Elbasani0-0
06/03/25ABylis Vs TD1-0
02/03/25AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs TD1-1
22/02/25HTD Vs Tirana2-1
16/02/25ALaci Vs TD3-0
10/02/25HTD Vs Dinamo Tirana0-0

LaciLaci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/25HLAC Vs Skenderbeu Korce1-2
30/03/25APartizani Vs LAC1-0
26/03/25HLAC Vs AF Elbasani0-1
16/03/25ABylis Vs LAC0-0
11/03/25HLAC Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë1-1
06/03/25ATirana Vs LAC4-1
01/03/25HLAC Vs Vllaznia Shkodër2-2
21/02/25ADinamo Tirana Vs LAC2-0
16/02/25HLAC Vs Teuta Durrës3-0
10/02/25ASkenderbeu Korce Vs LAC0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Teuta Durrës
Teuta Durrës
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDD1.38
HomeLDWDW1.68
AwayDLDDD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%44%24%
AVG goals1.921.842.00
Over 1.5 %60%56%64%
Over 2.5 %38%36%40%
Over 3.5 %12%12%12%
Scored0.941.080.80
Conceded0.980.761.20
BTTS40%40%40%
Clean Sheet42%48%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Laci
Laci
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLL1.10
HomeWDDLL1.31
AwayWLLDL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%27%17%
AVG goals1.801.881.71
Over 1.5 %60%65%54%
Over 2.5 %28%27%29%
Over 3.5 %8%12%4%
Scored0.861.040.67
Conceded0.940.851.04
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet32%35%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë3863
45%
1.7
5130+21
2.1
74%
34%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2131.30.8
-
2Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër3860
42%
1.6
5644+12
2.6
79%
55%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.51.2
-
3PartizaniPartizani3857
37%
1.5
4034+6
1.9
68%
26%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.10.9
-
4Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana3855
37%
1.4
5145+6
2.5
82%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.31.2
-
5AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani3650
31%
1.4
4038+2
2.2
75%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
6Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës3644
28%
1.2
2942-13
2.0
64%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2130.81.2
-
7BylisBylis3642
31%
1.2
3350-17
2.3
64%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
8TiranaTirana3639
19%
1.1
4344-1
2.4
72%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.2
-
9Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce3638
25%
1.1
3545-10
2.2
69%
42%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.01.2
-
10LaciLaci3637
22%
1.0
3137-6
1.9
58%
33%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.91.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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