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Teuta Durrës vs Skenderbeu Korce Prediction & Stats

Date: 11/10/2026
Time: 15:00
Teuta Durrës
Teuta Durrës
Vs
34%
32%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Skenderbeu Korce
Skenderbeu Korce
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity will likely dictate this encounter, with Teuta Durrës averaging 1.14 goals conceded at home and Skenderbeu Korce conceding 1.4 away. Both sides have similar offensive output, 1.0 for Teuta and 1.6 for Skenderbeu, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair. The model picks an away win, with probabilities of 36% for Skenderbeu, 33% for a draw, and 32% for Teuta. The expected total is 2.1 goals, centring on a 2-goal match and the most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 14.8%. Recent form shows Teuta coming off a 0-0 draw and Skenderbeu a 2-2 draw, hinting at cautious play. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.0%), Under 5.5 (97.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.4%), Under 4.5 (93.7%), Home under 2.5 goals (91.7%), and Away under 2.5 goals (90.1%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Teuta Durrës win
34.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
31.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce win
33.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L12L02L01L11D32W10W00D31WA·VOR05/04A·VLL12/04H·AF 18/04A·BYL26/04H·TIR02/05A·FLA06/05H·EGN10/05H·POG16/05A·PAR22/08H·TIR30/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.101.131.130.801.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.971.101.131.130.801.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D10W10W10W40W11D01L22D01LA·APO14/03H·KOR18/03A·BES22/03H·ILI04/04A·BUR11/04H·KAS19/04A·POG25/04H·LAC04/05A·VLL21/08H·DIN31/08← 1st DivisionSuperliga →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.700.901.800.931.600.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.111.220.501.001.601.40
vs Weaker (21)1.950.762.270.911.600.60
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Teuta Durrës) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%220%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
65.7%
Under 1.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
37.5%
Under 2.5
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
17.9%
Under 3.5
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
45.7%
No
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
12.5%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
10.8%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.6%
Teuta Durrës goals ↓
Skenderbeu Korce goals →
01234
013%11%6.6%2.4%0.7%
111%15%7.3%2.6%0.7%
26.8%7.4%4.0%1.5%0.4%
32.5%2.7%1.5%0.5%0.1%
40.7%0.8%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Teuta Durrës goals (down), columns = Skenderbeu Korce goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
AF Elbasani
1.74
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.69
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.62
Partizani
1.33
Dinamo Tirana
1.33
Tirana
1.22
Teuta Durrës
1.22
Vora
1.17
Skenderbeu Korce
1.17
Laci
1.09
Teuta Durrës is 0.05 points better than Skenderbeu Korce in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
AF Elbasani
1.36
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.28
Dinamo Tirana
1.15
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.13
Vora
1.08
Partizani
1.06
Tirana
1.00
Skenderbeu Korce
0.91
Teuta Durrës
0.89
Laci
0.85
Teuta Durrës is 0.02 goals worse than Skenderbeu Korce in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 0.91).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vllaznia Shkodër
0.85
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.90
Dinamo Tirana
0.97
Teuta Durrës
1.00
AF Elbasani
1.08
Vora
1.11
Skenderbeu Korce
1.21
Tirana
1.28
Laci
1.29
Partizani
1.33
Teuta Durrës is 0.21 goals better than Skenderbeu Korce in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Teuta Durrës or Draw
66.3%
Avg Implied -
34%
32%
34%
covers Teuta Durrës + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës or Skenderbeu Korce
68.1%
Avg Implied -
34%
32%
34%
covers Teuta Durrës + Skenderbeu Korce
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Skenderbeu Korce
65.5%
Avg Implied -
34%
32%
34%
covers Draw + Skenderbeu Korce
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Teuta Durrës over/under 0.5
Over
66.8%
Under
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 1.5
Over
30.2%
Under
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 2.5
Over
10.0%
Under
90.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 3.5
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 0.5
Over
66.3%
Under
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 1.5
Over
29.7%
Under
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 2.5
Over
9.7%
Under
90.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 3.5
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Teuta Durrës, so a minus line means Teuta Durrës give that many goals of a start and Skenderbeu Korce receive them. At -1, Teuta Durrës must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Teuta Durrës win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Teuta Durrës)
Teuta Durrës -2
4.5%
Draw -2
10.0%
Skenderbeu Korce +2
85.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Teuta Durrës)
Teuta Durrës -1
14.4%
Draw -1
20.0%
Skenderbeu Korce +1
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Teuta Durrës)
Teuta Durrës +1
66.3%
Draw +1
19.7%
Skenderbeu Korce -1
13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Teuta Durrës)
Teuta Durrës +2
86.1%
Draw +2
9.7%
Skenderbeu Korce -2
4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L10W01L00D01L11D00D00D01LA·VOR05/04A·VLL12/04H·AF 18/04A·BYL26/04H·TIR02/05A·FLA06/05H·EGN10/05H·POG16/05A·PAR22/08H·TIR30/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.470.470.470.200.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.330.470.470.470.200.47
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D00D20W10W00D00D00DA·APO14/03H·KOR18/03A·BES22/03H·ILI04/04A·BUR11/04H·KAS19/04A·POG25/04H·LAC04/05A·VLL21/08H·DIN31/08← 1st DivisionSuperliga →
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.400.800.330.530.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.220.330.250.000.200.60
vs Weaker (21)0.860.431.000.450.700.40
Clean sheet %77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Teuta Durrës) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Teuta Durrës over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D02L01L01L10W21W10W00D30WA·VOR05/04A·VLL12/04H·AF 18/04A·BYL26/04H·TIR02/05A·FLA06/05H·EGN10/05H·POG16/05A·PAR22/08H·TIR30/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.630.670.670.600.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.630.630.670.670.600.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W10W10W20W01L01L22D01LA·APO14/03H·KOR18/03A·BES22/03H·ILI04/04A·BUR11/04H·KAS19/04A·POG25/04H·LAC04/05A·VLL21/08H·DIN31/08← 1st DivisionSuperliga →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.501.000.601.070.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.890.890.251.001.400.80
vs Weaker (21)1.100.331.270.450.900.20
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Teuta Durrës) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Teuta Durrës over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.8%-------
Under 6.599.3%-------
Under 5.597.5%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.5%-------
Home under 3.5 goals97.4%-------
Under 4.592.8%-------
Away under 2.5 goals90.3%-------
Home under 2.5 goals90.0%-------
Home +2 handicap86.1%-------
Away +2 handicap85.6%-------
Under 3.582.1%-------
Away under 1.5 goals70.3%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
DT (27)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
AE (25)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
SK (27)
€4m
VOR (25)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
Teuta Durrës's squad is €2m more valuable than Skenderbeu Korce's (€6m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
VOR (10)
€2m
SK (9)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
Teuta Durrës and Skenderbeu Korce have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
AE (5)
€1m
LAC (6)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
VOR (4)
€1m
Teuta Durrës and Skenderbeu Korce have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
DT (11)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
SK (12)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
VOR (11)
€1m
Teuta Durrës's defence is €1m more valuable than Skenderbeu Korce's (€3m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
TD wins
1
Draws
2
SK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Teuta Durrës vs Skenderbeu Korce · H/A from TD
DateH/AGameScore
27/03/25HTD Vs Skenderbeu Korce1-0
25/01/25ASkenderbeu Korce Vs TD2-1
09/11/24HTD Vs Skenderbeu Korce1-1
11/09/24ASkenderbeu Korce Vs TD2-3
13/04/24ASkenderbeu Korce Vs TD0-1
03/02/24HTD Vs Skenderbeu Korce3-0
24/11/23ASkenderbeu Korce Vs TD3-1
19/09/23HTD Vs Skenderbeu Korce1-0

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HTD Vs Tirana3-1
22/08/26APartizani Vs TD0-0
16/05/26HTD Vs Pogradeci1-0
10/05/26HTD Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë3-2
06/05/26AFlamurtari Vs TD1-1
02/05/26HTD Vs Tirana0-1
26/04/26ABylis Vs TD2-0
18/04/26HTD Vs AF Elbasani1-2
12/04/26AVllaznia Shkodër Vs TD1-0
05/04/26AVora Vs TD1-0

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HSK Vs Dinamo Tirana0-1
21/08/26AVllaznia Shkodër Vs SK2-2
04/05/26HSK Vs Laci0-1
25/04/26APogradeci Vs SK1-1
19/04/26HSK Vs Kastrioti Krujë4-0
11/04/26ABurreli Vs SK0-1
04/04/26HSK Vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë1-0
22/03/26ABesa Kavajë Vs SK0-1
18/03/26HSK Vs Korabi Peshkopi0-0
14/03/26AApolonia Fier Vs SK0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Teuta Durrës
Teuta Durrës
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDW1.38
HomeLLWWW1.68
AwayLLLDD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%44%20%
AVG goals1.762.121.40
Over 1.5 %46%56%36%
Over 2.5 %26%36%16%
Over 3.5 %14%20%8%
Scored0.901.200.60
Conceded0.860.920.80
BTTS44%56%32%
Clean Sheet40%32%48%
Corners---
Cards---
Skenderbeu Korce
Skenderbeu Korce
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDL2.00
HomeDWWLL2.04
AwayWWWDD1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%64%56%
AVG goals2.382.642.12
Over 1.5 %64%72%56%
Over 2.5 %46%52%40%
Over 3.5 %18%20%16%
Scored1.541.721.36
Conceded0.840.920.76
BTTS46%48%44%
Clean Sheet44%40%48%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë26
100%
3.0
61+5
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2133.00.5
-
2Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.50.5
-
3LaciLaci24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.0
-
4Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana23
50%
1.5
11+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3220.50.5
-
5VoraVora23
50%
1.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.01.5
-
6Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër22
0%
1.0
33+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.51.5
-
7AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.0
-
8Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.01.5
-
9PartizaniPartizani21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.51.0
-
10TiranaTirana20
0%
0.0
16-5
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.53.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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