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Teuta Durrës vs Tirana Result & Analysis

Date: 02/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 0-1
Teuta Durrës
Teuta Durrës
Vs
39%
31%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tirana
Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Teuta Durrës win✗ Miss
38.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tirana win✓ Hit
30.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W10W11D24L10W22D01L01L12L02LH·BYL14/02A·TIR22/02H·FLA28/02A·EGN09/03A·DIN15/03H·PAR21/03A·VOR05/04A·VLL12/04H·AF 18/04A·BYL26/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.071.071.140.691.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.871.071.071.140.691.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TiranaTirana

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L13L01L10W30W11D31W11D21WA·PAR15/02H·TEU22/02A·VLL27/02H·AF 08/03H·BYL14/03H·VOR22/03A·FLA03/04H·EGN12/04A·DIN18/04H·PAR25/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.370.881.191.071.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.971.370.881.191.071.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Teuta Durrës) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.1%
Under 1.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.3%
Under 2.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.0%
Under 3.5
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.7%
No
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.4%
1-0
11.1%
0-1 ✓
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.7%
Teuta Durrës goals ↓
Tirana goals →
01234
011%9.4%5.7%2.0%0.5%
111%15%7.0%2.5%0.7%
27.6%8.1%4.3%1.5%0.4%
33.1%3.3%1.8%0.6%0.2%
41.0%1.0%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Teuta Durrës goals (down), columns = Tirana goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Besa Kavajë
2.00
AF Elbasani
1.74
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.69
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.62
Dinamo Tirana
1.33
Partizani
1.33
Pogradeci
1.33
Tirana
1.22
Teuta Durrës
1.22
Vora
1.17
Bylis
1.14
Flamurtari
1.00
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.00
Kastrioti Krujë
0.00
Teuta Durrës is 0.01 points worse than Tirana in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
AF Elbasani
1.36
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.28
Dinamo Tirana
1.15
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.13
Flamurtari
1.08
Vora
1.08
Bylis
1.06
Partizani
1.06
Tirana
1.00
Pogradeci
1.00
Besa Kavajë
1.00
Teuta Durrës
0.89
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.00
Kastrioti Krujë
0.00
Teuta Durrës is 0.11 goals worse than Tirana in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Besa Kavajë
0.00
Pogradeci
0.33
Vllaznia Shkodër
0.85
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.90
Dinamo Tirana
0.97
Teuta Durrës
1.00
AF Elbasani
1.08
Vora
1.11
Flamurtari
1.25
Tirana
1.28
Partizani
1.33
Bylis
1.39
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
2.00
Kastrioti Krujë
3.00
Teuta Durrës is 0.28 goals better than Tirana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D00D12L10W11D01L01L10W01LH·BYL14/02A·TIR22/02H·FLA28/02A·EGN09/03A·DIN15/03H·PAR21/03A·VOR05/04A·VLL12/04H·AF 18/04A·BYL26/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.470.640.500.190.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.400.470.640.500.190.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TiranaTirana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D11D01L00D10W10W10W00D01LA·PAR15/02H·TEU22/02A·VLL27/02H·AF 08/03H·BYL14/03H·VOR22/03A·FLA03/04H·EGN12/04A·DIN18/04H·PAR25/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.730.250.690.570.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.400.730.250.690.570.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Teuta Durrës) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Teuta Durrës over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W11D12L00D11D00D00D02L01LH·BYL14/02A·TIR22/02H·FLA28/02A·EGN09/03A·DIN15/03H·PAR21/03A·VOR05/04A·VLL12/04H·AF 18/04A·BYL26/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.600.430.640.500.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.470.600.430.640.500.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TiranaTirana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L02L00D10W20W01L21W11D20WA·PAR15/02H·TEU22/02A·VLL27/02H·AF 08/03H·BYL14/03H·VOR22/03A·FLA03/04H·EGN12/04A·DIN18/04H·PAR25/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.630.620.500.500.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.570.630.620.500.500.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Teuta Durrës) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Teuta Durrës over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
DT (27)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
AE (25)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
VOR (25)
€4m
BK (21)
€2m
POG (14)
€2m
IF (26)
€2m
KK (18)
€2m
Teuta Durrës and Tirana have a similar squad value (both €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
VOR (10)
€2m
BK (6)
€1m
POG (5)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
IF (9)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
Teuta Durrës and Tirana have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
AE (5)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
VOR (4)
€1m
BK (7)
€1m
POG (2)
€0m
IF (6)
€0m
Teuta Durrës and Tirana have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
DT (11)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
VOR (11)
€1m
BK (8)
€1m
POG (7)
€1m
IF (11)
€1m
KK (4)
€0m
Teuta Durrës and Tirana have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
TD wins
3
Draws
0
TIR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Teuta Durrës vs Tirana · H/A from TD
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/26ATirana Vs TD0-1
13/12/25HTD Vs Tirana1-1
18/10/25ATirana Vs TD0-0
19/04/25ATirana Vs TD0-1
22/02/25HTD Vs Tirana2-1
09/12/24ATirana Vs TD0-0
06/10/24HTD Vs Tirana3-1
29/03/24ATirana Vs TD1-2

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26ABylis Vs TD2-0
18/04/26HTD Vs AF Elbasani1-2
12/04/26AVllaznia Shkodër Vs TD1-0
05/04/26AVora Vs TD1-0
21/03/26HTD Vs Partizani2-2
15/03/26ADinamo Tirana Vs TD0-1
09/03/26AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs TD4-2
28/02/26HTD Vs Flamurtari1-1
22/02/26ATirana Vs TD0-1
14/02/26HTD Vs Bylis2-1

TiranaTirana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26HTIR Vs Partizani2-1
18/04/26ADinamo Tirana Vs TIR1-1
12/04/26HTIR Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë3-1
03/04/26AFlamurtari Vs TIR1-1
22/03/26HTIR Vs Vora3-0
14/03/26HTIR Vs Bylis1-0
08/03/26HTIR Vs AF Elbasani0-1
27/02/26AVllaznia Shkodër Vs TIR3-1
22/02/26HTIR Vs Teuta Durrës0-1
15/02/26APartizani Vs TIR2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Teuta Durrës
Teuta Durrës
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL1.18
HomeLWDDL1.42
AwayLWLLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%33%19%
AVG goals1.822.001.65
Over 1.5 %50%58%42%
Over 2.5 %30%33%27%
Over 3.5 %14%17%12%
Scored0.801.000.62
Conceded1.021.001.04
BTTS44%54%35%
Clean Sheet38%33%42%
Corners---
Cards---
Tirana
Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDW1.12
HomeLWWWW1.19
AwayWLLDD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%31%21%
AVG goals2.422.312.54
Over 1.5 %76%65%88%
Over 2.5 %38%38%38%
Over 3.5 %20%23%17%
Scored1.081.041.12
Conceded1.341.271.42
BTTS54%42%67%
Clean Sheet26%27%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani3968
49%
1.7
5342+11
2.4
67%
51%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.1
-
2Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë3966
49%
1.7
5035+15
2.2
62%
33%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2131.30.9
-
3Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër3963
46%
1.6
4433+11
2.0
56%
28%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.10.8
-
4Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana3952
33%
1.3
4538+7
2.1
69%
33%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.21.0
-
5PartizaniPartizani3648
36%
1.3
3848-10
2.4
72%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.3
-
6Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës3745
27%
1.2
3337-4
1.9
49%
27%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2130.91.0
-
7TiranaTirana3644
31%
1.2
3646-10
2.3
69%
31%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.3
-
8VoraVora3642
28%
1.2
3940-1
2.2
64%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.11.1
-
9BylisBylis3641
28%
1.1
3850-12
2.4
67%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
10FlamurtariFlamurtari3636
22%
1.0
3945-6
2.3
69%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
11PogradeciPogradeci34
33%
1.3
31+2
1.3
33%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.00.3
-
12Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë24
50%
2.0
20+2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.00.0
-
13Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.02.0
-
14Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1100.03.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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