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The New Saints vs Barry Town Prediction & Stats

Date: 05/09/2026
Time: 16:15
The New Saints
The New Saints
Vs
66%
20%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Barry Town
Barry Town
Wales: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The New Saints are the clear favourite, with the model assigning a 66% chance of a home win. Their recent five-game winning streak, highlighted by a 3-2 victory over Caernarfon Town, underpins this confidence, while Barry Town’s away form shows a 0% scoring average against stronger opposition, conceding one goal per game. The model predicts an average of 3.4 goals, with the most likely total being three, a 2-1 scoreline at 9.6% probability. Home advantage is reinforced by The New Saints’ 2.57 goals scored and 0.79 conceded at home versus weaker teams, whereas Barry Town’s away form shows 0 goals scored and 1 conceded against stronger sides. The suggested picks include: Away under 2.5 HT goals 99.2%, Away under 2.5 2H goals 98.6%, Away under 3.5 goals 97.7%, Under 7.5 97.6%, Home +2 handicap 94.6%, Under 6.5 93.9%, Away under 1.5 HT goals 93.5%, and Away under 2.5 goals 90.8%. The probabilities for the match outcome are 66% home win, 20% draw, and 15% away win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

The New Saints win
65.7%
Avg Implied 73.2% · @ 1.24
Edge
-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Dafabet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Draw
19.7%
Avg Implied 17.2% · @ 5.29
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
5.80
Superbet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Pinnacle
5.49
Bet365
5.25
Barry Town win
14.5%
Avg Implied 9.5% · @ 9.54
Edge
+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.50
1xBet
10.40
William Hil
10.00
Dafabet
9.80

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

The New SaintsThe New Saints

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L40W21W10W00D20W10W50W51W32WH·COL20/03A·CAE27/03H·GAP03/04A·BAR18/04A·PEN02/08H·HAV07/08H·BRI14/08A·CAR21/08H·COL28/08A·CAE31/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.470.802.570.792.380.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Weaker (29)2.480.792.570.792.400.80
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Barry Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Barry TownBarry Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D20W01L11D21W32W10W31W42W41WA·GAP29/03A·PEN03/04H·THE18/04H·HAV26/04H·CAM31/07A·FLI07/08H·CAR15/08A·HOL21/08H·AIR28/08A·BRI31/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.030.871.860.572.191.12
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (24)2.040.791.820.362.231.15
vs Weaker (4)3.001.253.001.503.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (The New Saints) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.6%
@ 1.15+6.2%
Under 1.5
13.4%
@ 4.67-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Under
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.70
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.30
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66.8%
@ 1.52+6.0%
Under 2.5
33.2%
@ 2.36-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Superbet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Under
Betfair
2.55
10Bet
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Unibet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.32
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
45.0%
@ 2.32+5.1%
Under 3.5
55.0%
@ 1.54-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.38
Pinnacle
2.38
Betano
2.37
10Bet
2.35
1xBet
2.34
Under
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Unibet
1.55
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Both teams to score
Yes
60.1%
@ 1.95+12.8%
No
39.9%
@ 1.75-12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
2.10
Superbet
2.00
Betano
2.00
William Hil
1.95
1xBet
1.93
No
William Hil
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Unibet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.76

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.6%@ 7.84+4.1%
2-0
9.1%@ 6.08+1.9%
1-1
8.9%@ 9.52+4.3%
3-1
7.6%@ 9.56+3.1%
3-0
7.2%@ 7.29+1.2%
1-0
6.8%@ 7.35+0.9%
2-2
5.1%@ 18.75+2.8%
4-1
4.5%@ 14.79+1.6%
The New Saints goals ↓
Barry Town goals →
01234
04.0%2.6%1.8%0.6%0.2%
16.8%8.9%4.3%1.5%0.4%
29.1%9.6%5.1%1.8%0.5%
37.2%7.6%4.1%1.4%0.4%
44.3%4.5%2.4%0.9%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = The New Saints goals (down), columns = Barry Town goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barry Town
3.00
The New Saints
2.67
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.50
Penybont
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Cardiff MET
2.00
Caernarfon Town
2.00
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Airbus UK
1.50
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Briton Ferry
1.17
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.50
Ammanford AFC
0.33
Flint Town United
0.17
Trefelin
0.17
Holywell
0.00
The New Saints is 0.33 points worse than Barry Town in terms of average points per game (2.67 vs 3.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barry Town
2.83
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.83
The New Saints
2.67
Cardiff MET
2.67
Caernarfon Town
2.50
Llandudno
2.17
Airbus UK
1.83
Penybont
1.67
Holywell
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.33
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Flint Town United
1.00
Briton Ferry
0.83
Ammanford AFC
0.67
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.33
Trefelin
0.33
The New Saints is 0.17 goals worse than Barry Town in terms of goals scored per game (2.67 vs 2.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
The New Saints
0.50
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.67
Penybont
0.83
Llandudno
1.17
Barry Town
1.17
Cardiff MET
1.17
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Airbus UK
1.50
Caernarfon Town
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Briton Ferry
1.67
Flint Town United
1.83
Haverfordwest County AFC
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.33
Trefelin
2.83
Holywell
4.33
The New Saints is 0.67 goals better than Barry Town in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
The New Saints or Draw
85.5%
Avg Implied 89.5% · @ 1.03
Edge
-4.0%
66%
20%
15%
covers The New Saints + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.07
William Hil
1.05
Unibet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.03
The New Saints or Barry Town
80.3%
Avg Implied 83.6% · @ 1.11
Edge
-3.3%
66%
20%
15%
covers The New Saints + Barry Town
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Draw or Barry Town
34.3%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.44
Edge
+7.3%
66%
20%
15%
covers Draw + Barry Town
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.75
Betano
3.65
William Hil
3.50
1xBet
3.45
10Bet
3.40

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
The New Saints over/under 0.5
Over
90.7%
@ 1.06+2.4%
Under
9.3%
@ 8.00-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Under
1xBet
8.90
Bet365
8.00
Betano
7.10
The New Saints over/under 1.5
Over
68.7%
@ 1.34-0.2%
Under
31.3%
@ 2.96+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
1xBet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.92
Betano
2.92
10Bet
2.85
The New Saints over/under 2.5
Over
42.4%
@ 2.06-2.4%
Under
57.6%
@ 1.67+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.14
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Betano
2.07
Under
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Unibet
1.66
The New Saints over/under 3.5
Over
21.7%
@ 3.65-3.6%
Under
78.3%
@ 1.23+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.78
Betano
3.65
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Under
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
Barry Town over/under 0.5
Over
65.4%
@ 1.78+13.9%
Under
34.6%
@ 1.89-13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.87
Betano
1.85
Superbet
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.76
Under
10Bet
1.95
Bet365
1.91
Marathonbet
1.91
Unibet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.88
Barry Town over/under 1.5
Over
28.7%
@ 4.69+9.1%
Under
71.3%
@ 1.15-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.20
Betano
4.90
Superbet
4.75
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Under
1xBet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Barry Town over/under 2.5
Over
9.2%
@ 11.08+0.7%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.02-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Betano
10.75
Bet365
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Barry Town over/under 3.5
Over
2.3%
@ 21.00-97.7%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to The New Saints, so a minus line means The New Saints give that many goals of a start and Barry Town receive them. At -1, The New Saints must win by two or more to land; a one-goal The New Saints win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (The New Saints)
The New Saints -2
24.7%
@ 2.78-6.8%
Draw -2
19.6%
@ 3.81-3.4%
Barry Town +2
55.7%
@ 1.93+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.88
Betfair
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Unibet
2.50
Draw
Marathonbet
4.15
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.25
Away
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
2.00
10Bet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.89
Unibet
1.83
Handicap -1 (The New Saints)
The New Saints -1
44.3%
@ 1.81-5.2%
Draw -1
21.5%
@ 3.78-2.2%
Barry Town +1
34.3%
@ 3.33+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.91
Marathonbet
1.78
Bet365
1.73
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.74
Betfair
3.60
Away
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.38
Betfair
3.20
Handicap +1 (The New Saints)
The New Saints +1
85.5%
@ 1.03-3.5%
Draw +1
9.1%
@ 13.00+2.1%
Barry Town -1
5.4%
@ 23.00+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.03
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
23.00
Handicap +2 (The New Saints)
The New Saints +2
94.6%
@ 1.02+1.4%
Draw +2
3.9%
@ 21.00-0.6%
Barry Town -2
1.5%
@ 41.00-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Draw
Bet365
21.00
Away
Bet365
41.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

The New SaintsThe New Saints

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L20W00D10W00D10W00D10W30W21WH·COL20/03A·CAE27/03H·GAP03/04A·BAR18/04A·PEN02/08H·HAV07/08H·BRI14/08A·CAR21/08H·COL28/08A·CAE31/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.300.930.361.060.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Weaker (29)1.030.310.930.361.130.27
Clean sheet %80% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Barry Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Barry TownBarry Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W01L10W00D12L00D11D10W20WA·GAP29/03A·PEN03/04H·THE18/04H·HAV26/04H·CAM31/07A·FLI07/08H·CAR15/08A·HOL21/08H·AIR28/08A·BRI31/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.330.640.141.060.50
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.920.290.730.091.080.46
vs Weaker (4)1.000.250.500.001.500.50
Clean sheet %70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (The New Saints) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.2%
@ 1.24+4.2%
Under 0.5
21.8%
@ 3.52-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
Under
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.60
10Bet
3.60
Superbet
3.45
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.9%
@ 2.20-0.0%
Under 1.5
58.1%
@ 1.59+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.32
Pinnacle
2.30
1xBet
2.24
Marathonbet
2.24
Betfair
2.20
Under
Betfair
1.62
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.60
William Hil
1.60
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.6%
@ 4.81-0.4%
Under 2.5
81.4%
@ 1.13+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.05
Marathonbet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
William Hil
5.00
Betano
4.75
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.13

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
The New Saints over/under 0.5 HT
Over
67.1%
@ 1.42+2.0%
Under
32.9%
@ 2.65-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Superbet
1.39
Under
Pinnacle
2.76
1xBet
2.70
Superbet
2.62
Betano
2.52
The New Saints over/under 1.5 HT
Over
30.2%
@ 2.92-1.6%
Under
69.8%
@ 1.36+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.04
Betano
3.00
1xBet
2.90
Pinnacle
2.74
Under
Pinnacle
1.42
1xBet
1.36
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.31
The New Saints over/under 2.5 HT
Over
12.5%
@ 7.10-0.5%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.06+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.60
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Barry Town over/under 0.5 HT
Over
32.8%
@ 3.14+3.5%
Under
67.2%
@ 1.30-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
Superbet
3.10
1xBet
3.00
Under
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Barry Town over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.6%
@ 9.50-3.2%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.03+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Barry Town over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

The New SaintsThe New Saints

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D20W21W00D00D10W10W40W21W11DH·COL20/03A·CAE27/03H·GAP03/04A·BAR18/04A·PEN02/08H·HAV07/08H·BRI14/08A·CAR21/08H·COL28/08A·CAE31/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.501.640.431.310.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Weaker (29)1.450.481.640.431.270.53
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Barry Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Barry TownBarry Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D01L21W20W10W20W32W21WA·GAP29/03A·PEN03/04H·THE18/04H·HAV26/04H·CAM31/07A·FLI07/08H·CAR15/08A·HOL21/08H·AIR28/08A·BRI31/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.531.210.431.120.62
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (24)1.120.501.090.271.150.69
vs Weaker (4)2.001.002.501.501.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (The New Saints) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
84.2%
@ 1.14+3.4%
Under 0.5
15.8%
@ 4.78-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Under
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.90
Betano
4.55
Superbet
4.45
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
54.8%
@ 1.76+2.2%
Under 1.5
45.2%
@ 1.95-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.83
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
Superbet
1.75
Under
Bet365
2.00
Betano
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
26.5%
@ 3.33-1.1%
Under 2.5
73.5%
@ 1.27+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.60
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.28
Marathonbet
3.28
Superbet
3.25
Under
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
William Hil
1.25

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
The New Saints over/under 0.5 2H
Over
72.6%
@ 1.27-0.0%
Under
27.4%
@ 3.38+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Under
1xBet
3.40
Betano
3.35
The New Saints over/under 1.5 2H
Over
34.7%
@ 2.27-5.9%
Under
65.3%
@ 1.55+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.30
1xBet
2.26
Betano
2.22
Under
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Superbet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
The New Saints over/under 2.5 2H
Over
14.2%
@ 4.80-5.1%
Under
85.8%
@ 1.15+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.10
Betano
4.50
Under
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Barry Town over/under 0.5 2H
Over
42.6%
@ 2.60+7.3%
Under
57.4%
@ 1.42-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.65
Marathonbet
2.64
Superbet
2.62
1xBet
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.46
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Barry Town over/under 1.5 2H
Over
9.1%
@ 9.40-0.8%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.03+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
9.80
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Barry Town over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.1%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.7%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.7%-------
Under 7.597.6%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.5%
Home +2 handicap94.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+1.4%
Under 6.593.9%1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
--+3.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals93.4%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+3.2%
Away under 1.5 2H goals90.9%1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.02
---+0.8%
Away under 2.5 goals90.8%1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
----0.7%
Home over 0.5 goals90.7%1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.03
--+2.4%
Home under 2.5 HT goals87.5%1.06
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.05
---+0.5%
Over 1.586.6%1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.12
+6.2%
Under 5.586.6%1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
--0.5%
Home under 2.5 2H goals85.8%1.15
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.13
---+5.1%
Home or Draw85.5%1.03
Betano
1.07
William Hil
1.05
Unibet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.03
-4.0%
Home +1 handicap85.5%1.03
Bet365
1.03
-----3.5%
Over 0.5 2H goals84.2%1.14
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
+3.4%
Under 2.5 HT goals81.4%1.13
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.13
+0.4%
Home or Away80.3%1.11
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.10
-3.3%
Home under 3.5 goals78.3%1.23
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
+3.6%
Over 0.5 HT goals78.2%1.24
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
+4.2%
Under 4.573.7%1.20
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Superbet
1.18
-2.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals73.5%1.27
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
+1.1%
Home over 0.5 2H goals72.6%1.27
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.27
----0.0%
Away under 1.5 goals71.3%1.15
1xBet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
-9.1%

🎽 13. Player market rates

The New Saints · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rory Holden25%
Jordan Williams14%
Declan McManus12%
Joshua Daniels12%
Danny Davies12%
Adrian Cieślewicz0%
Ashley Baker0%
Jordan Marshall0%
Connor Roberts0%
Jack Bodenham0%
Ryan Brobbell0%
Ben Clark0%
Daniel Redmond0%
Leo Smith0%
Sion Bradley0%
Josh Pask0%
Adam Wilson0%
Daniel Williams0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ashley Baker25%
Declan McManus25%
Sion Bradley17%
Jordan Williams14%
Ryan Brobbell14%
Connor Roberts12%
Daniel Redmond12%
Joshua Daniels12%
Danny Davies12%
Daniel Williams12%
Adrian Cieślewicz0%
Rory Holden0%
Jordan Marshall0%
Jack Bodenham0%
Ben Clark0%
Leo Smith0%
Josh Pask0%
Adam Wilson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jordan Williams14%
Ryan Brobbell14%
Adrian Cieślewicz0%
Ashley Baker0%
Rory Holden0%
Declan McManus0%
Jordan Marshall0%
Connor Roberts0%
Jack Bodenham0%
Ben Clark0%
Daniel Redmond0%
Leo Smith0%
Sion Bradley0%
Josh Pask0%
Joshua Daniels0%
Danny Davies0%
Adam Wilson0%
Daniel Williams0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Declan McManus25%
Jordan Williams14%
Adrian Cieślewicz0%
Ashley Baker0%
Rory Holden0%
Jordan Marshall0%
Connor Roberts0%
Jack Bodenham0%
Ryan Brobbell0%
Ben Clark0%
Daniel Redmond0%
Leo Smith0%
Sion Bradley0%
Josh Pask0%
Joshua Daniels0%
Danny Davies0%
Adam Wilson0%
Daniel Williams0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
CB (20)
€1m
CT (16)
€1m
BF (19)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
GCS (9)
€1m
FTU (10)
€1m
CM (11)
€1m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
The New Saints's squad is €2m more valuable than Barry Town's (€3m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
BF (7)
€0m
GCS (5)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
CT (3)
€0m
CM (5)
€0m
FTU (2)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
The New Saints and Barry Town have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
CB (7)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CT (4)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
CM (2)
€0m
FTU (3)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
The New Saints and Barry Town have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
CT (9)
€1m
BF (10)
€0m
PEN (7)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
FTU (5)
€0m
CM (4)
€0m
C&C (4)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
The New Saints and Barry Town have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
TNS wins
2
Draws
0
BT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

The New Saints vs Barry Town · H/A from TNS
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/26ABarry Town Vs TNS0-1
24/01/26HTNS Vs Barry Town1-0
04/10/25HTNS Vs Barry Town4-0
30/08/25ABarry Town Vs TNS0-0
02/11/24ABarry Town Vs TNS1-4
14/09/24HTNS Vs Barry Town4-0
21/10/23ABarry Town Vs TNS2-6
26/08/23HTNS Vs Barry Town2-2

The New SaintsThe New Saints

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26ACaernarfon Town Vs TNS2-3
28/08/26HTNS Vs Colwyn Bay5-1
21/08/26ACardiff MET Vs TNS0-5
14/08/26HTNS Vs Briton Ferry1-0
07/08/26HTNS Vs Haverfordwest County AFC2-0
02/08/26APenybont Vs TNS0-0
18/04/26ABarry Town Vs TNS0-1
03/04/26HTNS Vs GAP Connah S Quay FC2-1
27/03/26ACaernarfon Town Vs TNS0-4
20/03/26HTNS Vs Colwyn Bay0-2

Barry TownBarry Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26ABriton Ferry Vs BT1-4
28/08/26HBT Vs Airbus UK4-2
21/08/26AHolywell Vs BT1-3
15/08/26HBT Vs Cardiff MET1-0
07/08/26AFlint Town United Vs BT2-3
31/07/26HBT Vs Cambrian & Clydach2-1
26/04/26HBT Vs Haverfordwest County AFC1-1
18/04/26HBT Vs The New Saints0-1
03/04/26APenybont Vs BT0-2
29/03/26AGAP Connah S Quay FC Vs BT1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

The New Saints
The New Saints
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.32
HomeLWWWW2.39
AwayWWDWW2.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %74%78%70%
AVG goals3.143.352.96
Over 1.5 %80%78%81%
Over 2.5 %62%65%59%
Over 3.5 %38%35%41%
Scored2.382.522.26
Conceded0.760.830.70
BTTS42%39%44%
Clean Sheet48%48%48%
Corners---
Cards---
Barry Town
Barry Town
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.78
HomeLDWWW2.00
AwayDWWWW1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%58%46%
AVG goals3.042.543.50
Over 1.5 %74%58%88%
Over 2.5 %56%50%62%
Over 3.5 %44%33%54%
Scored1.921.832.00
Conceded1.120.711.50
BTTS52%42%62%
Clean Sheet38%46%31%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Barry TownBarry Town618
100%
3.0
177+10
4.0
83%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.2
-
2The New SaintsThe New Saints616
83%
2.7
163+13
3.2
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.70.5
-
3GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.80.7
-
4Cardiff METCardiff MET612
67%
2.0
167+9
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.71.2
-
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town612
67%
2.0
159+6
4.0
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.51.5
-
6LlandudnoLlandudno612
67%
2.0
137+6
3.3
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
7PenybontPenybont612
50%
2.0
105+5
2.5
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.70.8
-
8Colwyn BayColwyn Bay610
50%
1.7
810-2
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
9Airbus UKAirbus UK69
50%
1.5
119+2
3.3
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach68
33%
1.3
88+0
2.7
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Briton FerryBriton Ferry67
33%
1.2
510-5
2.5
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
12Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC63
17%
0.5
212-10
2.3
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.32.0
-
13Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC62
0%
0.3
414-10
3.0
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.3
-
14Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United61
0%
0.2
611-5
2.8
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.8
-
15TrefelinTrefelin61
0%
0.2
217-15
3.2
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.32.8
-
16HolywellHolywell60
0%
0.0
926-17
5.8
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.54.3
-
Wales: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: Premier League stats & trends →

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