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The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay Result & Analysis

Date: 15/12/2024
Time: 17:30
Final 4-1
The New Saints
The New Saints
Vs
20%
24%
55%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Colwyn Bay
Colwyn Bay
Wales: Welsh Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

The New Saints win✓ Hit
20.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Colwyn Bay win✗ Miss
55.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

The New SaintsThe New Saints

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W41W12L21W31W13L32W01L01L02LA·GAP30/10A·BAR02/11A·SHA07/11H·HAV10/11A·CAR16/11A·BRI20/11H·PEN23/11H·DJU28/11A·BAL04/12H·PAN12/12
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.371.202.730.872.001.53
vs Stronger (4)0.252.750.502.000.003.50
vs Similar (8)2.750.503.600.201.331.00
vs Weaker (18)2.671.172.751.002.601.30
Clean sheet %33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Colwyn Bay) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Colwyn BayColwyn Bay

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-763W50W50W22D70W21W21W21W60W30WH·AIR27/09A·GRE05/10A·GUI12/10A·BUC19/10H·PRE25/10H·FLI01/11A·LLA09/11H·RUT16/11H·GRE30/11H·RUT06/12
Avg total
4.8
Avg scored
4.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.131.272.441.061.791.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)2.271.322.420.922.101.80
vs Weaker (8)1.751.122.501.501.000.75
Clean sheet %40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (The New Saints) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.7%
Under 1.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.1%
Under 2.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.7%
Under 3.5
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.1%
No
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.2%
0-1
8.7%
1-3
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
The New Saints goals ↓
Colwyn Bay goals →
01234
06.2%8.7%9.2%5.8%2.8%
14.5%11%9.9%6.3%3.0%
23.0%5.6%5.3%3.4%1.6%
31.1%2.0%1.9%1.2%0.6%
40.3%0.5%0.5%0.3%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = The New Saints goals (down), columns = Colwyn Bay goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
The New Saints
3.00
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.50
llanelli AFC
2.40
Trearddur Bay
2.33
Caersws
2.25
Denbigh Town
2.25
Airbus UK
2.25
Swansea University
2.00
Llantwit Major
2.00
Goytre AFC
2.00
Llanrwst United
2.00
Cardiff Corinthians
2.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
2.00
Buckley Town
2.00
Rogerstone
2.00
Mold Alexandra
2.00
Pill AFC
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.00
Flint Town United
2.00
Trefelin
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Llanuwchllyn
1.75
Caerau (Ely)
1.75
Penydarren BGC
1.67
Morriston Town
1.67
Cambrian & Clydach
1.60
Gresford Athletic
1.50
Holyhead Hotspur
1.50
Aber Valley
1.50
Llangollen Town
1.50
Monmouth Town
1.50
Llay Miners Welfare
1.50
Llanrhaeadr
1.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.50
Cardiff MET
1.50
Porthmadog
1.50
Briton Ferry
1.50
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
1.50
Kinmel Bay
1.50
Cardiff Bay Warriors
1.50
Penrhyncoch
1.50
Newport Corinthians
1.50
Llanefydd
1.50
Llangefni Town
1.50
Cardiff Draconians
1.50
Cerrigydrudion
1.50
Bala Town
1.33
Colwyn Bay
1.33
Carmarthen Town
1.25
Barry Town
1.00
Treherbert
1.00
Newtown AFC
1.00
Abertillery Bluebirds
1.00
Afan Lido
1.00
Flint Mountain
1.00
Holywell
1.00
Goytre United
1.00
Caernarfon Town
1.00
Porthcawl Town Athletic
1.00
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.67
Clwb Cymric
0.50
Ruthin Town
0.50
New Inn
0.50
Rhyl
0.50
Risca United
0.00
Taffs Well
0.00
Pontypridd Town
0.00
Aberystwyth Town
0.00
Prestatyn Town
0.00
Carno
0.00
Penmaenmawr Phoenix
0.00
Newport City
0.00
Ynysygerwn
0.00
Penybont
0.00
Gaerwen
0.00
Cwmbran Town
0.00
Ely Rangers
0.00
Chepstow Town
0.00
St Asaph City
0.00
Llansannan
0.00
NFA
0.00
Llanberis
0.00
Builth Wells
0.00
Menai Bridge Tigers
0.00
St Joseph's
0.00
Llandudno Amateurs
0.00
Pencoed Athletic Amateur
0.00
Llwydcoed
0.00
Rhydymwyn
0.00
Corwen
0.00
Guilsfield
0.00
Cwmbran Celtic
0.00
Caldicot Town
0.00
Brickfield Rangers
0.00
Queens Park
0.00
Talysarn Celts
0.00
West End
0.00
Cwmamman United FC
0.00
Baglan Dragons
0.00
Cefn Albion
0.00
The New Saints is 1.67 points better than Colwyn Bay in terms of average points per game (3.00 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
The New Saints
5.83
Gresford Athletic
5.00
Buckley Town
4.50
Llangefni Town
4.50
Cardiff Corinthians
3.50
Caersws
3.50
Denbigh Town
3.50
Flint Town United
3.50
Trefelin
3.33
Llandudno
3.33
Barry Town
3.00
Caerau (Ely)
3.00
Porthmadog
3.00
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
3.00
Kinmel Bay
3.00
Cwmbran Celtic
3.00
Porthcawl Town Athletic
3.00
Airbus UK
2.75
Rogerstone
2.67
Llanrhaeadr
2.50
Rhyl
2.50
Swansea University
2.33
Llanrwst United
2.33
Penydarren BGC
2.33
llanelli AFC
2.20
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.17
Ely Rangers
2.00
Monmouth Town
2.00
Builth Wells
2.00
Briton Ferry
2.00
Cardiff Bay Warriors
2.00
Carmarthen Town
1.75
Bala Town
1.67
Goytre AFC
1.67
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Mold Alexandra
1.67
Aber Valley
1.50
Llantwit Major
1.50
Llanuwchllyn
1.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.50
Penrhyncoch
1.50
Cardiff Draconians
1.50
Cerrigydrudion
1.50
Trearddur Bay
1.33
Afan Lido
1.33
Pill AFC
1.33
Cambrian & Clydach
1.20
Risca United
1.00
Holyhead Hotspur
1.00
Penmaenmawr Phoenix
1.00
Treherbert
1.00
Ynysygerwn
1.00
Llangollen Town
1.00
Gaerwen
1.00
Cwmbran Town
1.00
Ruthin Town
1.00
Abertillery Bluebirds
1.00
NFA
1.00
Llay Miners Welfare
1.00
Menai Bridge Tigers
1.00
Pencoed Athletic Amateur
1.00
Flint Mountain
1.00
Holywell
1.00
Morriston Town
1.00
Cardiff MET
1.00
Ammanford AFC
1.00
Caldicot Town
1.00
Brickfield Rangers
1.00
Queens Park
1.00
Talysarn Celts
1.00
Llanefydd
1.00
Cwmamman United FC
1.00
Baglan Dragons
1.00
Clwb Cymric
0.50
Trethomas Bluebirds
0.50
New Inn
0.50
Newport Corinthians
0.50
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.33
Taffs Well
0.00
Pontypridd Town
0.00
Aberystwyth Town
0.00
Prestatyn Town
0.00
Carno
0.00
Newtown AFC
0.00
Newport City
0.00
Penybont
0.00
Chepstow Town
0.00
St Asaph City
0.00
Llansannan
0.00
Llanberis
0.00
St Joseph's
0.00
Llandudno Amateurs
0.00
Llwydcoed
0.00
Rhydymwyn
0.00
Corwen
0.00
Guilsfield
0.00
Goytre United
0.00
Caernarfon Town
0.00
West End
0.00
Cefn Albion
0.00
The New Saints is 4.17 goals better than Colwyn Bay in terms of goals scored per game (5.83 vs 1.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Holyhead Hotspur
0.00
Newtown AFC
0.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
0.00
Goytre United
0.00
Caernarfon Town
0.00
llanelli AFC
0.40
The New Saints
0.50
Ammanford AFC
0.50
Cardiff Draconians
0.50
Trearddur Bay
0.67
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.67
Morriston Town
0.67
Taffs Well
1.00
Aberystwyth Town
1.00
Treherbert
1.00
Llantwit Major
1.00
Penybont
1.00
Chepstow Town
1.00
Abertillery Bluebirds
1.00
Llay Miners Welfare
1.00
Haverfordwest County AFC
1.00
Mold Alexandra
1.00
Flint Mountain
1.00
Llwydcoed
1.00
Holywell
1.00
Rhydymwyn
1.00
Corwen
1.00
Denbigh Town
1.00
Briton Ferry
1.00
Llanefydd
1.00
Cerrigydrudion
1.00
Bala Town
1.33
Swansea University
1.33
Afan Lido
1.33
Aber Valley
1.50
Ruthin Town
1.50
Monmouth Town
1.50
Llanrhaeadr
1.50
Caerau (Ely)
1.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.50
Cardiff MET
1.50
Porthmadog
1.50
Airbus UK
1.50
Flint Town United
1.50
Cambrian & Clydach
1.60
Llanrwst United
1.67
Penydarren BGC
1.67
Trefelin
1.67
Caersws
1.75
Pontypridd Town
2.00
Penmaenmawr Phoenix
2.00
Newport City
2.00
Clwb Cymric
2.00
Llanuwchllyn
2.00
Cardiff Corinthians
2.00
Carmarthen Town
2.00
St Asaph City
2.00
Llansannan
2.00
NFA
2.00
Buckley Town
2.00
Pill AFC
2.00
New Inn
2.00
Cardiff Bay Warriors
2.00
Caldicot Town
2.00
Penrhyncoch
2.00
Talysarn Celts
2.00
West End
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Colwyn Bay
2.33
Gresford Athletic
2.50
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
2.50
Kinmel Bay
2.50
Newport Corinthians
2.50
Llangefni Town
2.50
Goytre AFC
2.67
Barry Town
3.00
Ynysygerwn
3.00
Cwmbran Town
3.00
Ely Rangers
3.00
St Joseph's
3.00
Pencoed Athletic Amateur
3.00
Brickfield Rangers
3.00
Cwmamman United FC
3.00
Porthcawl Town Athletic
3.00
Rogerstone
3.67
Risca United
4.00
Carno
4.00
Llanberis
4.00
Llandudno Amateurs
4.00
Cwmbran Celtic
4.00
Rhyl
4.00
Menai Bridge Tigers
5.00
Guilsfield
5.00
Baglan Dragons
5.00
Cefn Albion
5.00
Queens Park
6.00
Gaerwen
7.00
Builth Wells
7.00
Llangollen Town
8.00
Prestatyn Town
9.00
The New Saints is 1.83 goals better than Colwyn Bay in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 2.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
The New Saints or Draw✓ Hit
44.5%
Avg Implied -
20%
24%
55%
covers The New Saints + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
The New Saints or Colwyn Bay✓ Hit
75.7%
Avg Implied -
20%
24%
55%
covers The New Saints + Colwyn Bay
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Colwyn Bay✗ Miss
79.8%
Avg Implied -
20%
24%
55%
covers Draw + Colwyn Bay
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
The New Saints over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.9%
Under
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
The New Saints over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
29.3%
Under
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
The New Saints over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
9.5%
Under
90.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
The New Saints over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Colwyn Bay over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
85.0%
Under
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Colwyn Bay over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
56.5%
Under
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Colwyn Bay over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
29.6%
Under
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Colwyn Bay over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.5%
Under
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to The New Saints, so a minus line means The New Saints give that many goals of a start and Colwyn Bay receive them. At -1, The New Saints must win by two or more to land; a one-goal The New Saints win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (The New Saints)Actual: The New Saints
The New Saints -2
2.3%
Draw -2
5.6%
Colwyn Bay +2
92.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (The New Saints)Actual: The New Saints
The New Saints -1
7.8%
Draw -1
12.4%
Colwyn Bay +1
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (The New Saints)Actual: The New Saints
The New Saints +1
44.5%
Draw +1
22.6%
Colwyn Bay -1
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (The New Saints)Actual: The New Saints
The New Saints +2
67.1%
Draw +2
17.3%
Colwyn Bay -2
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

The New SaintsThe New Saints

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W12L11D21W13L02L01L01L01LA·GAP30/10A·BAR02/11A·SHA07/11H·HAV10/11A·CAR16/11A·BRI20/11H·PEN23/11H·DJU28/11A·BAL04/12H·PAN12/12
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.731.270.531.070.93
vs Stronger (4)0.001.250.001.000.001.50
vs Similar (8)1.380.502.000.200.331.00
vs Weaker (18)1.330.721.120.621.500.80
Clean sheet %47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Colwyn Bay) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Colwyn BayColwyn Bay

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W20W30W00D40W21W11D11D30W10WH·AIR27/09A·GRE05/10A·GUI12/10A·BUC19/10H·PRE25/10H·FLI01/11A·LLA09/11H·RUT16/11H·GRE30/11H·RUT06/12
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.531.000.560.710.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.950.551.080.500.800.60
vs Weaker (8)0.620.500.750.750.500.25
Clean sheet %57% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (The New Saints) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
The New Saints over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
The New Saints over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
The New Saints over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Colwyn Bay over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Colwyn Bay over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Colwyn Bay over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

The New SaintsThe New Saints

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W00D10W10W00D30W00D00D01LA·GAP30/10A·BAR02/11A·SHA07/11H·HAV10/11A·CAR16/11A·BRI20/11H·PEN23/11H·DJU28/11A·BAL04/12H·PAN12/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.471.470.330.930.60
vs Stronger (4)0.251.500.501.000.002.00
vs Similar (8)1.380.001.600.001.000.00
vs Weaker (18)1.330.441.620.381.100.50
Clean sheet %63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Colwyn Bay) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Colwyn BayColwyn Bay

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-442W30W20W22D30W00D10W10W30W20WH·AIR27/09A·GRE05/10A·GUI12/10A·BUC19/10H·PRE25/10H·FLI01/11A·LLA09/11H·RUT16/11H·GRE30/11H·RUT06/12
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.731.440.501.071.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.320.771.330.421.301.20
vs Weaker (8)1.120.621.750.750.500.50
Clean sheet %53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (The New Saints) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
The New Saints over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
The New Saints over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
The New Saints over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Colwyn Bay over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Colwyn Bay over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Colwyn Bay over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals97.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 6.596.8%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap92.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.591.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals90.5%-------✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals87.5%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals85.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.582.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.580.7%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away79.8%-------✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap79.8%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away75.7%-------✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals70.7%-------✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals70.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

The New Saints
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rory Holden25%
Jordan Williams14%
Declan McManus12%
Joshua Daniels12%
Danny Davies12%
Adrian Cieślewicz0%
Ashley Baker0%
Jordan Marshall0%
Connor Roberts0%
Jack Bodenham0%
Ryan Brobbell0%
Ben Clark0%
Daniel Redmond0%
Leo Smith0%
Sion Bradley0%
Josh Pask0%
Adam Wilson0%
Daniel Williams0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ashley Baker25%
Declan McManus25%
Sion Bradley17%
Jordan Williams14%
Ryan Brobbell14%
Connor Roberts12%
Daniel Redmond12%
Joshua Daniels12%
Danny Davies12%
Daniel Williams12%
Adrian Cieślewicz0%
Rory Holden0%
Jordan Marshall0%
Jack Bodenham0%
Ben Clark0%
Leo Smith0%
Josh Pask0%
Adam Wilson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jordan Williams14%
Ryan Brobbell14%
Adrian Cieślewicz0%
Ashley Baker0%
Rory Holden0%
Declan McManus0%
Jordan Marshall0%
Connor Roberts0%
Jack Bodenham0%
Ben Clark0%
Daniel Redmond0%
Leo Smith0%
Sion Bradley0%
Josh Pask0%
Joshua Daniels0%
Danny Davies0%
Adam Wilson0%
Daniel Williams0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Declan McManus25%
Jordan Williams14%
Adrian Cieślewicz0%
Ashley Baker0%
Rory Holden0%
Jordan Marshall0%
Connor Roberts0%
Jack Bodenham0%
Ryan Brobbell0%
Ben Clark0%
Daniel Redmond0%
Leo Smith0%
Sion Bradley0%
Josh Pask0%
Joshua Daniels0%
Danny Davies0%
Adam Wilson0%
Daniel Williams0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
CB (20)
€1m
CT (16)
€1m
BF (19)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
GCS (9)
€1m
BT (12)
€1m
FTU (10)
€1m
CM (11)
€1m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
NC (4)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AT (2)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
The New Saints's squad is €1m more valuable than Colwyn Bay's (€3m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
BF (7)
€0m
GCS (5)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
CT (3)
€0m
CM (5)
€0m
BT (4)
€0m
FTU (2)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
The New Saints and Colwyn Bay have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
CB (7)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CT (4)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
CM (2)
€0m
FTU (3)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
NC (0)
€0m
The New Saints and Colwyn Bay have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
CT (9)
€1m
BF (10)
€0m
PEN (7)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
FTU (5)
€0m
BT (6)
€0m
CM (4)
€0m
C&C (4)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
The New Saints and Colwyn Bay have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
TNS wins
0
Draws
0
CB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay · H/A from TNS
DateH/AGameScore
31/10/23HTNS Vs Colwyn Bay6-1
29/08/23AColwyn Bay Vs TNS0-1

The New SaintsThe New Saints

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/12/24HTNS Vs Panathinaikos0-2
04/12/24ABala Town Vs TNS1-0
28/11/24HTNS Vs Djurgardens IF0-1
23/11/24HTNS Vs Penybont3-2
20/11/24ABriton Ferry Vs TNS3-1
16/11/24ACardiff MET Vs TNS1-3
10/11/24HTNS Vs Haverfordwest County AFC2-1
07/11/24AShamrock Rovers Vs TNS2-1
02/11/24ABarry Town Vs TNS1-4
30/10/24AGAP Connah S Quay FC Vs TNS1-2

Colwyn BayColwyn Bay

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/12/24HCB Vs Ruthin Town3-0
30/11/24HCB Vs Gresford Athletic6-0
16/11/24HCB Vs Ruthin Town2-1
09/11/24ALlay Miners Welfare Vs CB1-2
01/11/24HCB Vs Flint Mountain2-1
25/10/24HCB Vs Prestatyn Town7-0
19/10/24ABuckley Town Vs CB2-2
12/10/24AGuilsfield Vs CB0-5
05/10/24AGresford Athletic Vs CB0-5
27/09/24HCB Vs Airbus UK6-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

The New Saints
The New Saints
Wales: Welsh Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL2.16
HomeWWWLL2.24
AwayWLWLL2.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%72%68%
AVG goals3.703.883.52
Over 1.5 %82%88%76%
Over 2.5 %68%72%64%
Over 3.5 %44%40%48%
Scored2.823.202.44
Conceded0.880.681.08
BTTS44%36%52%
Clean Sheet44%56%32%
Corners6.866.757.00
Cards3.625.002.25
Colwyn Bay
Colwyn Bay
Wales: Welsh Cup
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.40
HomeWWWWW1.50
AwayWWWDW1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%46%38%
AVG goals3.443.543.33
Over 1.5 %80%81%79%
Over 2.5 %70%73%67%
Over 3.5 %44%46%42%
Scored1.782.041.50
Conceded1.661.501.83
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet28%31%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

The New Saints plays in Wales - Premier League
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1The New SaintsThe New Saints3278
81%
2.4
8931+58
3.8
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.81.0
-
2PenybontPenybont3264
59%
2.0
5632+24
2.8
69%
56%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.0
-
3Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC3354
42%
1.6
4227+15
2.1
58%
36%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.30.8
-
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town3552
43%
1.5
5956+3
3.3
86%
66%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.71.6
-
5Barry TownBarry Town3352
45%
1.6
5756+1
3.4
91%
67%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.7
-
6Cardiff METCardiff MET3448
38%
1.4
4446-2
2.6
74%
59%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.4
-
7GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC3242
38%
1.3
4735+12
2.6
69%
47%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.1
-
8Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United3242
41%
1.3
4862-14
3.4
91%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.9
-
9Bala TownBala Town3337
24%
1.1
3844-6
2.5
70%
45%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.3
-
10Briton FerryBriton Ferry3232
28%
1.0
4665-19
3.5
78%
66%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.0
-
11Newtown AFCNewtown AFC3226
19%
0.8
3665-29
3.2
84%
69%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town3221
19%
0.7
2871-43
3.1
81%
66%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.2
-
Wales: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: Premier League stats & trends →
Colwyn Bay plays in Wales - FAW Championship
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Colwyn BayColwyn Bay3081
87%
2.7
8822+66
3.7
87%
70%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.90.7
-
2Airbus UKAirbus UK3078
83%
2.6
10230+72
4.4
93%
73%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.41.0
-
3llanelli AFCllanelli AFC3064
60%
2.1
6425+39
3.0
87%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.10.8
-
4Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds3059
57%
2.0
5333+20
2.9
73%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.1
-
5HolywellHolywell3057
60%
1.9
5641+15
3.2
87%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.4
-
6Newport CityNewport City3054
53%
1.8
5032+18
2.7
73%
57%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
7TrefelinTrefelin3053
50%
1.8
5441+13
3.2
80%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.4
-
8Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town3053
53%
1.8
5444+10
3.3
83%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
9Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach3050
43%
1.7
5038+12
2.9
73%
53%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
10LlandudnoLlandudno3049
50%
1.6
6560+5
4.2
97%
77%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.22.0
-
11Buckley TownBuckley Town3047
47%
1.6
4847+1
3.2
83%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.6
-
12Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town3045
40%
1.5
5544+11
3.3
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
13GuilsfieldGuilsfield3045
43%
1.5
5952+7
3.7
90%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
14Flint MountainFlint Mountain3044
43%
1.5
6856+12
4.1
90%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.9
-
15Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra3044
43%
1.5
5248+4
3.3
83%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.6
-
16Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons3043
37%
1.4
4434+10
2.6
73%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
17Denbigh TownDenbigh Town3043
40%
1.4
6862+6
4.3
97%
77%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.32.1
-
18Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major3043
37%
1.4
3734+3
2.4
67%
37%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.1
-
19PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch3040
37%
1.3
4852-4
3.3
80%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
20Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic3038
37%
1.3
4467-23
3.7
80%
63%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.2
-
21Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC3036
37%
1.2
4750-3
3.2
87%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
22Afan LidoAfan Lido3034
27%
1.1
4451-7
3.2
87%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
23CaerswsCaersws3034
33%
1.1
4755-8
3.4
80%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
24Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)3032
30%
1.1
4243-1
2.8
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
25Cwmbran CelticCwmbran Celtic3030
30%
1.0
3962-23
3.4
77%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.1
-
26Ruthin TownRuthin Town3029
27%
1.0
4059-19
3.3
77%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
27Bangor City 1876 FCBangor City 1876 FC3028
27%
0.9
4664-18
3.7
90%
73%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.1
-
28Penrhiwceiber RangersPenrhiwceiber Rangers3028
23%
0.9
3057-27
2.9
73%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.9
-
29Goytre UnitedGoytre United3023
20%
0.8
4172-31
3.8
90%
73%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.4
-
30Taffs WellTaffs Well3015
10%
0.5
3276-44
3.6
93%
73%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
31Llay Miners WelfareLlay Miners Welfare3014
10%
0.5
3584-49
4.0
90%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.8
-
32Prestatyn TownPrestatyn Town3013
13%
0.4
38105-67
4.8
90%
80%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.33.5
-
Wales: FAW Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: FAW Championship stats & trends →

← all matches