The New Saints are the clear favourites, with a 66 % chance of victory, 22 % for a draw and 12 % for a Colwyn Bay win. The model picks a home win, driven by the Saints’ strong 2.5 goals per game at home against weaker opposition and the away side’s lower 1.0 goal average when playing stronger teams. The expected total is 2.7 goals, with the most likely scoreline 2-0, a 13.1 % probability. The Saints’ home form shows they score 2.5 and concede only 0.86 against weaker opponents, while Colwyn Bay’s away form shows 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded against stronger sides. Suggested picks include Away under 3.5 goals (99.3 %), Under 7.5 (99.3 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.2 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.3 %), Under 6.5 (97.9 % with a 7 % edge), Home +2 handicap (96.5 %), Away under 2.5 goals (96.3 % with a 5 % edge) and Away under 1.5 HT goals (95.1 % with a 5 % edge). The Saints’ recent 3-game winning streak and a 5-0 win over Cardiff MET underline their momentum, while Colwyn Bay’s fresh win against Airbus UK keeps them competitive but still at a disadvantage at this venue.
Results analysis
The New Saints’ 5-1 triumph over Colwyn Bay extended their four-game winning run, confirming the model’s home win pick with a 67% probability. The forecasted 2-goal total fell short, yet every suggested selection landed: Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.4%, Under 7.5 at 99.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.6%, Under 6.5 at 97.8%, Home +2 handicap at 96.7%, Away under 2.5 goals at 96.4%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 94.1%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages, and the model’s predictions proved accurate across the board.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
The New Saints win✓ Hit
67.1%
Avg Implied 72.3% · @ 1.25
Edge
-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Dafabet
1.29
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
SBO
1.26
Draw✗ Miss
21.7%
Avg Implied 17.5% · @ 5.16
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
5.65
Unibet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Dafabet
5.40
Pinnacle
5.39
Colwyn Bay win✗ Miss
11.2%
Avg Implied 10.2% · @ 8.85
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
10.00
1xBet
9.90
10Bet
9.75
William Hil
9.50
Pinnacle
9.45
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
The New Saints
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.40
0.77
2.50
0.86
2.31
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (29)
2.41
0.76
2.50
0.86
2.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Colwyn Bay) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Colwyn Bay
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.27
1.86
1.36
1.19
1.19
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (24)
1.58
1.38
2.09
1.55
1.15
1.23
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.67
1.50
0.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (The New Saints) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.7%
@ 1.14-3.0%
Under 1.5
23.3%
@ 4.49+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.60
Betano
4.50
Superbet
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.6%
@ 1.52-8.6%
Under 2.5
48.4%
@ 2.30+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.58
Unibet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
Betano
1.53
Under
Betfair
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.40
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.33
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.4%
@ 2.31-10.4%
Under 3.5
70.6%
@ 1.53+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.42
Unibet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.36
Betfair
2.30
Under
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.60
Betfair
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.2%
@ 1.93-2.2%
No
54.8%
@ 1.74+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
2.15
Unibet
2.10
Marathonbet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Betano
1.93
No
Betfair
1.87
William Hil
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.77
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.3%@ 5.99+6.0%
1-0
12.2%@ 7.06+6.0%
1-1
10.3%@ 9.61+5.7%
2-1
9.5%@ 7.93+3.9%
3-0
8.9%@ 7.40+3.0%
0-0
7.4%@ 14.32+4.4%
3-1
6.4%@ 9.76+1.9%
4-0
4.5%@ 11.53+0.7%
The New Saints goals ↓
Colwyn Bay goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
3.7%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
1
12%
10%
3.3%
0.8%
0.1%
2
13%
9.5%
3.4%
0.8%
0.1%
3
8.9%
6.4%
2.3%
0.5%
0.1%
4
4.5%
3.2%
1.2%
0.3%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = The New Saints goals (down), columns = Colwyn Bay goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barry Town
3.00
The New Saints
2.67
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.50
Penybont
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Cardiff MET
2.00
Caernarfon Town
2.00
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Airbus UK
1.50
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Briton Ferry
1.17
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.50
Ammanford AFC
0.33
Flint Town United
0.17
Trefelin
0.17
Holywell
0.00
The New Saints is 1.00 points better than Colwyn Bay in terms of average points per game (2.67 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barry Town
2.83
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.83
The New Saints
2.67
Cardiff MET
2.67
Caernarfon Town
2.50
Llandudno
2.17
Airbus UK
1.83
Penybont
1.67
Holywell
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.33
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Flint Town United
1.00
Briton Ferry
0.83
Ammanford AFC
0.67
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.33
Trefelin
0.33
The New Saints is 1.33 goals better than Colwyn Bay in terms of goals scored per game (2.67 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
The New Saints
0.50
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.67
Penybont
0.83
Llandudno
1.17
Barry Town
1.17
Cardiff MET
1.17
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Airbus UK
1.50
Caernarfon Town
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Briton Ferry
1.67
Flint Town United
1.83
Haverfordwest County AFC
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.33
Trefelin
2.83
Holywell
4.33
The New Saints is 1.17 goals better than Colwyn Bay in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
The New Saints or Draw✓ Hit
88.8%
Avg Implied 89.0% · @ 1.04
Edge
-0.2%
67%
22%
11%
covers The New Saints + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
William Hil
1.05
BetVictor
1.04
Betfair
1.03
The New Saints or Colwyn Bay✓ Hit
78.3%
Avg Implied 83.9% · @ 1.10
Edge
-5.6%
67%
22%
11%
covers The New Saints + Colwyn Bay
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw or Colwyn Bay✗ Miss
32.9%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.40
Edge
+5.8%
67%
22%
11%
covers Draw + Colwyn Bay
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.75
Betano
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Superbet
3.45
William Hil
3.40
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
The New Saints over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.8%
@ 1.05-2.1%
Under
13.2%
@ 8.43+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Under
1xBet
10.00
Bet365
8.00
Betano
7.30
The New Saints over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
60.0%
@ 1.35-8.6%
Under
40.0%
@ 2.95+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.00
Superbet
3.00
1xBet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.83
The New Saints over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
33.0%
@ 2.08-11.5%
Under
67.0%
@ 1.66+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.18
Marathonbet
2.09
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Under
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.72
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.66
The New Saints over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
14.7%
@ 3.53-11.5%
Under
85.3%
@ 1.25+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.58
Betano
3.55
Superbet
3.40
1xBet
3.35
Under
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Colwyn Bay over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
51.1%
@ 1.83+0.6%
Under
48.9%
@ 1.86-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.95
Unibet
1.89
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Under
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.95
Pinnacle
1.94
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.86
Colwyn Bay over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
16.1%
@ 4.97-2.4%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.13+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.35
1xBet
4.80
Betano
4.60
Superbet
4.60
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Colwyn Bay over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 10.75-5.2%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.03+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Betano
10.25
Bet365
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Colwyn Bay over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.6%
@ 21.00-99.4%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to The New Saints, so a minus line means The New Saints give that many goals of a start and Colwyn Bay receive them. At -1, The New Saints must win by two or more to land; a one-goal The New Saints win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (The New Saints)Actual: The New Saints
The New Saints -2
22.0%
@ 2.82-8.9%
Draw -2
20.9%
@ 3.70-2.6%
Colwyn Bay +2
57.1%
@ 1.91+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.74
Unibet
2.48
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.92
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Unibet
3.10
Away
10Bet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.92
Betfair
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Unibet
1.87
Handicap -1 (The New Saints)Actual: The New Saints
The New Saints -1
42.9%
@ 1.82-5.9%
Draw -1
24.2%
@ 3.61-0.4%
Colwyn Bay +1
32.9%
@ 3.35+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.91
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.76
Draw
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.65
Betfair
3.40
Away
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.30
10Bet
3.10
Handicap +1 (The New Saints)Actual: The New Saints
The New Saints +1
88.8%
@ 1.04+0.0%
Draw +1
7.9%
@ 12.00+0.2%
Colwyn Bay -1
3.3%
@ 26.00-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Away
Bet365
26.00
Handicap +2 (The New Saints)Actual: The New Saints
The New Saints +2
96.7%
Draw +2
2.6%
Colwyn Bay -2
0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
The New Saints
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.30
0.86
0.43
1.00
0.19
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (29)
0.97
0.31
0.86
0.43
1.07
0.20
Clean sheet %
80% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Colwyn Bay) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Colwyn Bay
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.43
1.07
0.50
0.75
0.38
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.50
1.09
0.64
0.62
0.38
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (The New Saints) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.5%
@ 1.25+5.6%
Under 0.5
21.5%
@ 3.35-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.75
William Hil
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Bet365
3.40
Betano
3.35
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
41.4%
@ 2.23+0.2%
Under 1.5
58.6%
@ 1.56-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.38
Pinnacle
2.37
Betano
2.27
Marathonbet
2.26
Under
Superbet
1.64
Betfair
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Betano
1.60
William Hil
1.57
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
16.2%
@ 4.64-3.4%
Under 2.5
83.8%
@ 1.13+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
William Hil
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
The New Saints over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
71.6%
@ 1.42+6.2%
Under
28.4%
@ 2.67-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
1xBet
1.40
Superbet
1.37
Under
Superbet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.70
1xBet
2.70
Betano
2.57
The New Saints over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
26.6%
@ 2.93-4.9%
Under
73.4%
@ 1.35+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.98
Betano
2.95
1xBet
2.85
Under
1xBet
1.37
Betano
1.35
Marathonbet
1.32
The New Saints over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
10.9%
@ 7.00-2.4%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.07+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Colwyn Bay over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
27.7%
@ 3.17-1.3%
Under
72.3%
@ 1.29+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Betano
3.10
Under
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Colwyn Bay over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 9.25-4.1%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.03+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Colwyn Bay over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
The New Saints
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.47
1.64
0.43
1.31
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (29)
1.45
0.45
1.64
0.43
1.27
0.47
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Colwyn Bay) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Colwyn Bay
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.83
0.79
0.86
0.44
0.81
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.75
0.88
1.00
0.91
0.54
0.85
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (The New Saints) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
84.2%
@ 1.14+3.5%
Under 0.5
15.8%
@ 4.77-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Under
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
4.75
Betano
4.70
William Hil
4.60
Superbet
4.55
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
51.4%
@ 1.77-1.1%
Under 1.5
48.6%
@ 1.95+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.91
William Hil
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Under
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Marathonbet
1.92
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
25.0%
@ 3.23-3.4%
Under 2.5
75.0%
@ 1.28+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.28
Superbet
3.10
1xBet
3.08
Under
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
William Hil
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
The New Saints over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
74.7%
@ 1.26+1.5%
Under
25.3%
@ 3.45-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Under
1xBet
3.50
Betano
3.40
The New Saints over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
44.1%
@ 2.24+3.0%
Under
55.9%
@ 1.56-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.28
Superbet
2.25
1xBet
2.24
Betano
2.18
Under
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
The New Saints over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.3%
@ 4.70-3.4%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.15+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Betano
4.40
Under
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Colwyn Bay over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
31.8%
@ 2.64-3.0%
Under
68.2%
@ 1.41+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.75
1xBet
2.65
Superbet
2.60
Betano
2.55
Under
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.42
Superbet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.37
Colwyn Bay over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.0%
@ 9.67-3.7%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.03+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Marathonbet
10.50
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.01
Colwyn Bay over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.8%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
96.4%
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.1%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
94.0%
1.03
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.0%
1.06
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
+8.4%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 HT goals
89.1%
1.07
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
+2.4%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
88.8%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
William Hil
1.05
BetVictor
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
88.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
86.8%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-2.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
85.7%
1.21
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.20
+10.5%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
85.3%
1.25
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
+11.5%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
84.2%
1.14
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
83.9%
1.13
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
83.8%
1.13
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.13
+3.4%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals
83.7%
1.15
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.13
-
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
78.5%
1.25
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
78.3%
1.10
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-5.6%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.7%
1.14
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
75.0%
1.28
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
William Hil
1.25
+3.4%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 2H goals
74.7%
1.26
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
-
-
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
73.4%
1.35
1xBet
1.37
Betano
1.35
Marathonbet
1.32
-
-
+4.9%
✗ Miss
Away under 0.5 HT goals
72.3%
1.29
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 HT goals
71.6%
1.42
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
1xBet
1.40
Superbet
1.37
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.6%
1.53
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.60
Betfair
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Superbet
1.56
+10.4%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
The New Saints · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rory Holden25%
Jordan Williams14%
Declan McManus12%
Joshua Daniels12%
Danny Davies12%
Adrian Cieślewicz0%
Ashley Baker0%
Jordan Marshall0%
Connor Roberts0%
Jack Bodenham0%
Ryan Brobbell0%
Ben Clark0%
Daniel Redmond0%
Leo Smith0%
Sion Bradley0%
Josh Pask0%
Adam Wilson0%
Daniel Williams0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ashley Baker25%
Declan McManus25%
Sion Bradley17%
Jordan Williams14%
Ryan Brobbell14%
Connor Roberts12%
Daniel Redmond12%
Joshua Daniels12%
Danny Davies12%
Daniel Williams12%
Adrian Cieślewicz0%
Rory Holden0%
Jordan Marshall0%
Jack Bodenham0%
Ben Clark0%
Leo Smith0%
Josh Pask0%
Adam Wilson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jordan Williams14%
Ryan Brobbell14%
Adrian Cieślewicz0%
Ashley Baker0%
Rory Holden0%
Declan McManus0%
Jordan Marshall0%
Connor Roberts0%
Jack Bodenham0%
Ben Clark0%
Daniel Redmond0%
Leo Smith0%
Sion Bradley0%
Josh Pask0%
Joshua Daniels0%
Danny Davies0%
Adam Wilson0%
Daniel Williams0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Declan McManus25%
Jordan Williams14%
Adrian Cieślewicz0%
Ashley Baker0%
Rory Holden0%
Jordan Marshall0%
Connor Roberts0%
Jack Bodenham0%
Ryan Brobbell0%
Ben Clark0%
Daniel Redmond0%
Leo Smith0%
Sion Bradley0%
Josh Pask0%
Joshua Daniels0%
Danny Davies0%
Adam Wilson0%
Daniel Williams0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
CB (20)
€1m
CT (16)
€1m
BF (19)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
GCS (9)
€1m
FTU (10)
€1m
CM (11)
€1m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
The New Saints's squad is €1m more valuable than Colwyn Bay's (€3m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
BF (7)
€0m
GCS (5)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
CT (3)
€0m
CM (5)
€0m
FTU (2)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
The New Saints and Colwyn Bay have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
CB (7)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CT (4)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
CM (2)
€0m
FTU (3)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
The New Saints and Colwyn Bay have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
CT (9)
€1m
BF (10)
€0m
PEN (7)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
FTU (5)
€0m
CM (4)
€0m
C&C (4)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
The New Saints and Colwyn Bay have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Wales: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Barry Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Cardiff MET
Caernarfon Town
Llandudno
Penybont
Airbus UK
Cambrian & Clydach
Briton Ferry
Haverfordwest County AFC
Ammanford AFC
Flint Town United
Trefelin
Holywell