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Thor Akureyri vs IA Akranes Result & Analysis

Date: 02/09/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 2-3
Thor Akureyri
Thor Akureyri
Vs
26%
25%
49%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
IA Akranes
IA Akranes
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Thor Akureyri win✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes win✓ Hit
48.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D13L01L31W01L01L32W21W22D03LA·GRI12/07H·AFT16/07A·VES22/07H·GRO25/07A·LEI29/07H·FJO02/08A·ÆGI11/08H·THR16/08A·SEL20/08H·NJA25/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.571.431.211.061.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.051.861.101.501.002.17
vs Weaker (8)1.750.752.250.501.251.00
Clean sheet %17% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (IA Akranes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W11D20W52W15L31W10W40W11D10WH·NJA07/07H·VES16/07A·GRI21/07A·AFT28/07H·LEI02/08A·GRO08/08A·FJO11/08H·ÆGI16/08A·THR20/08H·SEL25/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.131.732.271.732.001.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)2.131.742.331.581.911.91
vs Weaker (7)2.141.712.002.332.251.25
Clean sheet %23% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Thor Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.1%
Under 1.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.7%
Under 2.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.4%
Under 3.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.2%
No
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.3%
0-1
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
5.8%
0-0
5.4%
Thor Akureyri goals ↓
IA Akranes goals →
01234
05.4%6.9%7.3%4.5%2.1%
14.6%11%9.5%5.8%2.7%
23.7%6.8%6.2%3.8%1.7%
31.6%2.9%2.7%1.6%0.8%
40.5%1.0%0.9%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Thor Akureyri goals (down), columns = IA Akranes goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IA Akranes
2.23
Afturelding
2.00
Fjolnir
1.79
Vestri
1.76
Leiknir R.
1.46
Grindavik
1.27
Thor Akureyri
1.23
Grotta
1.18
Throttur Reykjavik
1.18
Njardvik
1.05
Selfoss
1.05
Ægir
0.41
Thor Akureyri is 1.00 points worse than IA Akranes in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 2.23).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Afturelding
2.60
IA Akranes
2.45
Fjolnir
2.33
Throttur Reykjavik
2.05
Leiknir R.
2.00
Selfoss
1.68
Njardvik
1.64
Vestri
1.56
Grotta
1.55
Thor Akureyri
1.23
Grindavik
1.23
Ægir
1.05
Thor Akureyri is 1.23 goals worse than IA Akranes in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 2.45).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vestri
1.08
Afturelding
1.36
IA Akranes
1.41
Fjolnir
1.42
Grotta
1.68
Grindavik
1.73
Leiknir R.
1.75
Thor Akureyri
1.77
Throttur Reykjavik
2.09
Njardvik
2.14
Selfoss
2.23
Ægir
3.05
Thor Akureyri is 0.36 goals worse than IA Akranes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.77 vs 1.41).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L00D10W00D00D20W11D10W02LA·GRI12/07H·AFT16/07A·VES22/07H·GRO25/07A·LEI29/07H·FJO02/08A·ÆGI11/08H·THR16/08A·SEL20/08H·NJA25/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.570.790.640.620.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.550.730.600.900.500.58
vs Weaker (8)1.120.121.250.001.000.25
Clean sheet %63% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (IA Akranes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W10W12L20W00D20W11D10WH·NJA07/07H·VES16/07A·GRI21/07A·AFT28/07H·LEI02/08A·GRO08/08A·FJO11/08H·ÆGI16/08A·THR20/08H·SEL25/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.800.800.931.000.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.780.830.671.000.910.64
vs Weaker (7)1.290.711.330.671.250.75
Clean sheet %53% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Thor Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Thor Akureyri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Thor Akureyri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Thor Akureyri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L01L21W01L01L12L10W12L01LA·GRI12/07H·AFT16/07A·VES22/07H·GRO25/07A·LEI29/07H·FJO02/08A·ÆGI11/08H·THR16/08A·SEL20/08H·NJA25/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.000.640.570.441.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.501.140.500.600.501.58
vs Weaker (8)0.620.621.000.500.250.75
Clean sheet %27% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (IA Akranes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D10W42W03L11D10W20W00D00DH·NJA07/07H·VES16/07A·GRI21/07A·AFT28/07H·LEI02/08A·GRO08/08A·FJO11/08H·ÆGI16/08A·THR20/08H·SEL25/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.931.470.801.001.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.350.911.670.581.001.27
vs Weaker (7)0.861.000.671.671.000.50
Clean sheet %43% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Thor Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Thor Akureyri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Thor Akureyri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Thor Akureyri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IA (19)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
ÆGI (14)
€0m
Thor Akureyri and IA Akranes have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
ÆGI (3)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
Thor Akureyri and IA Akranes have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
ÆGI (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
Thor Akureyri and IA Akranes have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IA (10)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
ÆGI (6)
€0m
Thor Akureyri and IA Akranes have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
TA wins
0
Draws
1
IA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Thor Akureyri vs IA Akranes · H/A from TA
DateH/AGameScore
29/06/23AIA Akranes Vs TA4-0

Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/23HTA Vs Njardvik0-3
20/08/23ASelfoss Vs TA2-2
16/08/23HTA Vs Throttur Reykjavik2-1
11/08/23AÆgir Vs TA2-3
02/08/23HTA Vs Fjolnir0-1
29/07/23ALeiknir R. Vs TA1-0
25/07/23HTA Vs Grotta3-1
22/07/23AVestri Vs TA1-0
16/07/23HTA Vs Afturelding1-3
12/07/23AGrindavik Vs TA1-1

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/23HIA Vs Selfoss1-0
20/08/23AThrottur Reykjavik Vs IA1-1
16/08/23HIA Vs Ægir4-0
11/08/23AFjolnir Vs IA0-1
08/08/23AGrotta Vs IA1-3
02/08/23HIA Vs Leiknir R.1-5
28/07/23AAfturelding Vs IA2-5
21/07/23AGrindavik Vs IA0-2
16/07/23HIA Vs Vestri1-1
07/07/23HIA Vs Njardvik2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Thor Akureyri
Thor Akureyri
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.32
HomeLWLWL1.90
AwayDLLWD0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%60%19%
AVG goals3.002.603.38
Over 1.5 %73%70%76%
Over 2.5 %61%55%67%
Over 3.5 %41%30%52%
Scored1.291.501.10
Conceded1.711.102.29
BTTS51%50%52%
Clean Sheet17%30%5%
Corners---
Cards---
IA Akranes
IA Akranes
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.41
HomeWDLWW1.35
AwayWWWWD1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%39%39%
AVG goals3.653.743.57
Over 1.5 %87%96%78%
Over 2.5 %70%74%65%
Over 3.5 %48%39%57%
Scored1.721.741.70
Conceded1.932.001.87
BTTS63%61%65%
Clean Sheet20%17%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding2550
60%
2.0
6534+31
4.0
88%
76%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.61.4
-
2IA AkranesIA Akranes2249
68%
2.2
5431+23
3.9
86%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.4
-
3VestriVestri2544
48%
1.8
3927+12
2.6
84%
56%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.1
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2443
50%
1.8
5634+22
3.8
79%
67%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2435
46%
1.5
4842+6
3.8
83%
79%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.8
-
6GrindavikGrindavik2228
36%
1.3
2738-11
3.0
82%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
7Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2227
36%
1.2
2739-12
3.0
73%
68%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.8
-
8Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2226
32%
1.2
4546-1
4.1
95%
91%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.02.1
-
9GrottaGrotta2226
27%
1.2
3437-3
3.2
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.7
-
10NjardvikNjardvik2223
27%
1.0
3647-11
3.8
91%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.1
-
11SelfossSelfoss2223
32%
1.0
3749-12
3.9
86%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.2
-
12ÆgirÆgir229
9%
0.4
2367-44
4.1
86%
86%
77%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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