This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
2.03
1.21
1.21
1.00
2.75
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
2.83
0.80
1.40
0.57
3.86
vs Similar (18)
1.39
1.50
1.44
1.11
1.33
1.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Throttur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.8%
Under 1.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.3%
Under 2.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.2%
Under 3.5
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.6%
No
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
2-1 ✓
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.9%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
5.8%
Throttur Reykjavik goals ↓
IBV Vestmannaeyjar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.8%
7.5%
5.8%
2.6%
0.8%
1
7.9%
13%
8.1%
3.6%
1.2%
2
6.4%
8.5%
5.6%
2.5%
0.8%
3
3.0%
4.0%
2.6%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.0%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Throttur Reykjavik goals (down), columns = IBV Vestmannaeyjar goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Breidablik
2.29
Valur Reykjavik
2.17
Thor Akureyri
2.17
KA Akureyri
2.00
KR Reykjavik
2.00
Grindavik
2.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.80
FH hafnarfjordur
1.80
IR Reykjavik
1.80
Keflavik
1.60
Fjolnir
1.60
IA Akranes
1.57
Afturelding
1.40
Throttur Reykjavik
1.40
Fylkir
1.20
Fram Reykjavik
1.00
Leiknir R.
1.00
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.80
HK Kopavogur
0.80
Stjarnan
0.60
Grotta
0.60
Vestri
0.40
Njardvik
0.40
Dalvík / Reynir
0.00
Throttur Reykjavik is 0.60 points better than IBV Vestmannaeyjar in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 0.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valur Reykjavik
3.33
Afturelding
3.20
Breidablik
2.86
Thor Akureyri
2.83
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.80
KR Reykjavik
2.60
IA Akranes
2.43
Keflavik
2.40
IR Reykjavik
2.40
Leiknir R.
2.40
KA Akureyri
2.20
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.80
Grindavik
1.80
Fylkir
1.80
Fjolnir
1.80
FH hafnarfjordur
1.60
Fram Reykjavik
1.60
Throttur Reykjavik
1.40
HK Kopavogur
1.40
Grotta
1.00
Njardvik
1.00
Stjarnan
0.80
Vestri
0.60
Dalvík / Reynir
0.20
Throttur Reykjavik is 0.40 goals worse than IBV Vestmannaeyjar in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Thor Akureyri
0.67
Breidablik
0.71
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.20
KA Akureyri
1.20
Valur Reykjavik
1.33
IA Akranes
1.57
Vestri
1.60
FH hafnarfjordur
1.60
Fylkir
1.60
Fjolnir
1.60
KR Reykjavik
1.80
Fram Reykjavik
1.80
Throttur Reykjavik
1.80
Grindavik
2.00
HK Kopavogur
2.00
Keflavik
2.20
Stjarnan
2.20
Leiknir R.
2.20
Grotta
2.20
IR Reykjavik
2.80
Afturelding
2.80
Njardvik
2.80
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
3.40
Dalvík / Reynir
5.20
Throttur Reykjavik is 1.60 goals better than IBV Vestmannaeyjar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 3.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Throttur Reykjavik or Draw✓ Hit
65.7%
Avg Implied -
38%
28%
34%
covers Throttur Reykjavik + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik or IBV Vestmannaeyjar✓ Hit
71.9%
Avg Implied -
38%
28%
34%
covers Throttur Reykjavik + IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or IBV Vestmannaeyjar✗ Miss
62.4%
Avg Implied -
38%
28%
34%
covers Draw + IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.3%
Under
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
40.8%
Under
59.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.6%
Under
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.4%
Under
94.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.5%
Under
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
38.3%
Under
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.9%
Under
85.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Throttur Reykjavik, so a minus line means Throttur Reykjavik give that many goals of a start and IBV Vestmannaeyjar receive them. At -1, Throttur Reykjavik must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Throttur Reykjavik win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.73
0.50
0.21
0.44
1.19
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.17
0.20
0.40
0.43
1.71
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.44
0.67
0.11
0.44
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Throttur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Throttur Reykjavik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.12
1.00
1.50
0.58
0.75
1.42
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
0.67
1.50
0.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (17)
1.06
1.06
1.50
0.62
0.67
1.44
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
42% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.30
0.71
1.00
0.56
1.56
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.67
0.60
1.00
0.14
2.14
vs Similar (18)
0.83
1.06
0.78
1.00
0.89
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Throttur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
Throttur Reykjavik and IBV Vestmannaeyjar have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
TA (7)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
Throttur Reykjavik and IBV Vestmannaeyjar have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
Throttur Reykjavik and IBV Vestmannaeyjar have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
Throttur Reykjavik and IBV Vestmannaeyjar have a similar defence value (both €0m).
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
TR wins
0
Draws
0
IV wins
Head-to-head
Throttur Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar · H/A from TR
Iceland: 1. Deild 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Afturelding
Keflavik
Fjolnir
IR Reykjavik
Njardvik
Leiknir R.
Grindavik
Thor Akureyri
Grotta
Dalvík / Reynir