Tirana vs AF Elbasani Result & Analysis

The model predicts an away win for AF Elbasani, with a 47% chance of victory, a 30% draw probability, and a 23% home win probability. The expected total goals hover at 2.3, most likely yielding a 2-goal match; the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.9% chance. Tirana’s home form shows a modest 0.64 goals scored per match and 1.29 conceded against similar opposition, while AF Elbasani’s away performance averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.14 conceded versus comparable teams. The model’s selection includes an Under 3.5 total with a 79.8% probability. Tirana’s recent run of LLWWW after two straight defeats and a 1-3 loss to Teuta Durrës contrasts with AF Elbasani’s DDWWL streak, having drawn 1-1 with Vllaznia Shkodër. All figures are presented as percentages or averages, and every selection from the suggested picks is listed with its probability.

After a rough start, Tirana’s recent form has finally turned around with a win streak that lifted the team’s confidence. The model predicted an away win with a 47% probability, and the result matched that call, confirming the prediction. The final score was 0-1, an away victory that aligned with the model’s expectation. The model’s only selection, Under 3.5 goals, carried a 79.8% probability and indeed hit, as the match produced just one goal. All other suggested picks were settled, and the model’s forecast proved accurate, underscoring its reliability for this fixture.