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Tirana vs Bylis Result & Analysis

Date: 21/01/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 4-1
Tirana
Tirana
Vs
58%
25%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bylis
Bylis
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tirana winâś“ Hit
58.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
25.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bylis winâś— Miss
16.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

TiranaTirana

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-433D10W01L41W10W00D40W01L01L21WH·LAC07/10A·BYL16/10H·ERZ22/10H·FK 30/10H·EGN03/11A·VLL13/11H·KAS12/12A·TEU16/12H·PAR21/12A·LAC13/01
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.901.801.101.000.70
vs Stronger (2)1.002.000.001.002.003.00
vs Similar (14)1.210.861.431.291.000.43
vs Weaker (4)2.250.504.000.500.500.50
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bylis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BylisBylis

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L12L03L00D12L01L10W11D00DA·FK 08/10H·TIR16/10A·VLL21/10A·KAS29/10H·TEU02/11A·PAR14/11H·LAC11/12A·EGN16/12A·ERZ22/12H·FK 13/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.750.940.750.500.751.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.500.800.000.601.001.00
vs Weaker (6)1.171.172.000.330.332.00
Clean sheet %38% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.8%
Under 1.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.8%
Under 2.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.9%
Under 3.5
73.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.7%
No
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.7%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.3%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.1%
Tirana goals ↓
Bylis goals →
01234
08.3%5.1%2.6%0.7%0.2%
112%12%4.7%1.3%0.3%
211%9.7%4.1%1.2%0.3%
36.7%5.7%2.4%0.7%0.1%
43.0%2.5%1.1%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tirana goals (down), columns = Bylis goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Partizani
1.86
Tirana
1.86
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.44
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.39
Laci
1.33
Teuta Durrës
1.33
FK Kukesi
1.25
Erzeni Shijak
1.11
Bylis
1.06
Korabi Peshkopi
1.00
Kastrioti Krujë
0.97
Tirana is 0.81 points better than Bylis in terms of average points per game (1.86 vs 1.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Partizani
1.56
Tirana
1.56
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.28
Laci
1.25
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.08
Korabi Peshkopi
1.00
Erzeni Shijak
1.00
Teuta Durrës
0.92
Bylis
0.86
FK Kukesi
0.86
Kastrioti Krujë
0.72
Tirana is 0.69 goals better than Bylis in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 0.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.89
Tirana
0.92
FK Kukesi
0.97
Korabi Peshkopi
1.00
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.03
Partizani
1.03
Teuta Durrës
1.11
Bylis
1.17
Laci
1.28
Erzeni Shijak
1.32
Kastrioti Krujë
1.36
Tirana is 0.25 goals better than Bylis in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TiranaTirana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D01L11D00D00D30W00D01L11DH·LAC07/10A·BYL16/10H·ERZ22/10H·FK 30/10H·EGN03/11A·VLL13/11H·KAS12/12A·TEU16/12H·PAR21/12A·LAC13/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.550.700.700.300.40
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (14)0.430.430.430.710.430.14
vs Weaker (4)1.000.502.000.500.000.50
Clean sheet %55% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Bylis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BylisBylis

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D01L01L00D01L01L00D10W00DA·FK 08/10H·TIR16/10A·VLL21/10A·KAS29/10H·TEU02/11A·PAR14/11H·LAC11/12A·EGN16/12A·ERZ22/12H·FK 13/01
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.250.380.250.250.250.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.100.400.000.400.200.40
vs Weaker (6)0.500.330.670.000.330.67
Clean sheet %62% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tirana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TiranaTirana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W00D30W10W00D10W01L00D10WH·LAC07/10A·BYL16/10H·ERZ22/10H·FK 30/10H·EGN03/11A·VLL13/11H·KAS12/12A·TEU16/12H·PAR21/12A·LAC13/01
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.351.100.400.700.30
vs Stronger (2)1.000.500.000.002.001.00
vs Similar (14)0.790.431.000.570.570.29
vs Weaker (4)1.250.002.000.000.500.00
Clean sheet %75% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Bylis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BylisBylis

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L11D02L00D11D00D10W01L00DA·FK 08/10H·TIR16/10A·VLL21/10A·KAS29/10H·TEU02/11A·PAR14/11H·LAC11/12A·EGN16/12A·ERZ22/12H·FK 13/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.560.500.250.500.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.400.400.000.200.800.60
vs Weaker (6)0.670.831.330.330.001.33
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tirana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.8%-------âś“ Hit
Under 3.573.1%-------âś— Miss

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
KK (18)
€2m
KP (24)
€2m
FK (20)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
KP (9)
€1m
FK (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
LAC (6)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
KP (4)
€0m
FK (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
KP (11)
€1m
FK (10)
€1m
KK (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
TIR wins
0
Draws
0
BYL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Tirana vs Bylis · H/A from TIR
DateH/AGameScore
16/10/22ABylis Vs TIR0-1

TiranaTirana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/01/23ALaci Vs TIR1-2
21/12/22HTIR Vs Partizani0-1
16/12/22ATeuta Durrës Vs TIR1-0
12/12/22HTIR Vs Kastrioti Krujë4-0
13/11/22AVllaznia Shkodër Vs TIR0-0
03/11/22HTIR Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë1-0
30/10/22HTIR Vs FK Kukesi4-1
22/10/22HTIR Vs Erzeni Shijak0-1
16/10/22ABylis Vs TIR0-1
07/10/22HTIR Vs Laci3-3

BylisBylis

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/01/23HBYL Vs FK Kukesi0-0
22/12/22AErzeni Shijak Vs BYL1-1
16/12/22AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs BYL0-1
11/12/22HBYL Vs Laci0-1
14/11/22APartizani Vs BYL2-1
02/11/22HBYL Vs Teuta Durrës0-0
29/10/22AKastrioti Krujë Vs BYL3-0
21/10/22AVllaznia Shkodër Vs BYL2-1
16/10/22HBYL Vs Tirana0-1
08/10/22AFK Kukesi Vs BYL2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tirana
Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLW1.40
HomeLWWWL1.30
AwayWWDLW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%40%40%
AVG goals2.302.901.70
Over 1.5 %55%60%50%
Over 2.5 %40%60%20%
Over 3.5 %25%40%10%
Scored1.401.801.00
Conceded0.901.100.70
BTTS35%40%30%
Clean Sheet40%30%50%
Corners8.339.008.00
Cards6.679.005.50
Bylis
Bylis
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDD1.06
HomeWLDLD1.12
AwayLLLWD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%25%25%
AVG goals1.691.252.12
Over 1.5 %50%25%75%
Over 2.5 %25%12%38%
Over 3.5 %6%12%0%
Scored0.750.750.75
Conceded0.940.501.38
BTTS31%12%50%
Clean Sheet38%50%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TiranaTirana3667
56%
1.9
5633+23
2.5
69%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.60.9
-
2PartizaniPartizani3667
56%
1.9
5637+19
2.6
78%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.0
-
3Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë3652
39%
1.4
4632+14
2.2
64%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2131.30.9
-
4Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër3650
36%
1.4
3937+2
2.1
58%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.11.0
-
5LaciLaci3648
39%
1.3
4546-1
2.5
64%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.3
-
6Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës3648
33%
1.3
3340-7
2.0
61%
31%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2130.91.1
-
7FK KukesiFK Kukesi3645
33%
1.2
3135-4
1.8
58%
31%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.0
-
8Erzeni ShijakErzeni Shijak3741
22%
1.1
3749-12
2.3
73%
38%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
9BylisBylis3638
25%
1.1
3142-11
2.0
61%
31%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
10Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë3635
22%
1.0
2649-23
2.1
53%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1100.71.4
-
11Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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