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Tirana vs Bylis Result & Analysis

Date: 14/03/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-0
Tirana
Tirana
Vs
37%
31%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bylis
Bylis
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tirana winâś“ Hit
36.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
31.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bylis winâś— Miss
32.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

TiranaTirana

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W11D10W10W11D02L01L13L01LA·AF 24/12A·BYL14/01A·VOR19/01H·FLA25/01A·EGN01/02H·DIN07/02A·PAR15/02H·TEU22/02A·VLL27/02H·AF 08/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.430.431.361.061.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.771.430.431.361.061.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Bylis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BylisBylis

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L01L03L22D00D12L12L21W11D10WA·VOR24/12H·TIR14/01A·FLA18/01H·EGN24/01A·DIN31/01H·PAR06/02A·TEU14/02H·VLL21/02A·AF 28/02H·VOR08/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.301.070.930.871.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.971.301.070.930.871.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.6%
Under 1.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.7%
Under 2.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.5%
Under 3.5
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.4%
No
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.6%
1-0 âś“
10.8%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
6.1%
Tirana goals ↓
Bylis goals →
01234
012%9.9%6.1%2.2%0.6%
111%15%7.3%2.6%0.7%
27.2%7.8%4.3%1.6%0.4%
32.8%3.1%1.7%0.6%0.2%
40.8%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tirana goals (down), columns = Bylis goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Besa Kavajë
2.00
AF Elbasani
1.74
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.69
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.62
Dinamo Tirana
1.33
Partizani
1.33
Pogradeci
1.33
Tirana
1.22
Teuta Durrës
1.22
Vora
1.17
Bylis
1.14
Flamurtari
1.00
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.00
Kastrioti Krujë
0.00
Tirana is 0.08 points better than Bylis in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
AF Elbasani
1.36
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.28
Dinamo Tirana
1.15
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.13
Flamurtari
1.08
Vora
1.08
Bylis
1.06
Partizani
1.06
Tirana
1.00
Pogradeci
1.00
Besa Kavajë
1.00
Teuta Durrës
0.89
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.00
Kastrioti Krujë
0.00
Tirana is 0.06 goals worse than Bylis in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.06).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Besa Kavajë
0.00
Pogradeci
0.33
Vllaznia Shkodër
0.85
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.90
Dinamo Tirana
0.97
Teuta Durrës
1.00
AF Elbasani
1.08
Vora
1.11
Flamurtari
1.25
Tirana
1.28
Partizani
1.33
Bylis
1.39
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
2.00
Kastrioti Krujë
3.00
Tirana is 0.11 goals better than Bylis in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.39).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TiranaTirana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D10W10W02L00D11D01LA·AF 24/12A·BYL14/01A·VOR19/01H·FLA25/01A·EGN01/02H·DIN07/02A·PAR15/02H·TEU22/02A·VLL27/02H·AF 08/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.770.210.710.500.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.370.770.210.710.500.81
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Bylis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BylisBylis

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D01L01L00D10W11D00D00D00DA·VOR24/12H·TIR14/01A·FLA18/01H·EGN24/01A·DIN31/01H·PAR06/02A·TEU14/02H·VLL21/02A·AF 28/02H·VOR08/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.500.270.130.270.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.270.500.270.130.270.87
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tirana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TiranaTirana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W11D10W00D01L00D01L02L00DA·AF 24/12A·BYL14/01A·VOR19/01H·FLA25/01A·EGN01/02H·DIN07/02A·PAR15/02H·TEU22/02A·VLL27/02H·AF 08/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.670.210.640.560.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.400.670.210.640.560.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Bylis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BylisBylis

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L02L21W00D02L01L21W11D10WA·VOR24/12H·TIR14/01A·FLA18/01H·EGN24/01A·DIN31/01H·PAR06/02A·TEU14/02H·VLL21/02A·AF 28/02H·VOR08/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.800.800.800.600.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.700.800.800.800.600.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tirana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.5%-------âś“ Hit

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
DT (27)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
AE (25)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
VOR (25)
€4m
BK (21)
€2m
POG (14)
€2m
IF (26)
€2m
KK (18)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
VOR (10)
€2m
BK (6)
€1m
POG (5)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
IF (9)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
AE (5)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
VOR (4)
€1m
BK (7)
€1m
POG (2)
€0m
IF (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
DT (11)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
VOR (11)
€1m
BK (8)
€1m
POG (7)
€1m
IF (11)
€1m
KK (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
TIR wins
4
Draws
1
BYL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Tirana vs Bylis · H/A from TIR
DateH/AGameScore
14/01/26ABylis Vs TIR0-1
03/11/25HTIR Vs Bylis0-2
23/08/25ABylis Vs TIR0-0
26/03/25HTIR Vs Bylis2-2
25/01/25ABylis Vs TIR0-3
10/11/24HTIR Vs Bylis4-0
11/09/24ABylis Vs TIR2-2
25/05/23HTIR Vs Bylis2-2

TiranaTirana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/26HTIR Vs AF Elbasani0-1
27/02/26AVllaznia Shkodër Vs TIR3-1
22/02/26HTIR Vs Teuta Durrës0-1
15/02/26APartizani Vs TIR2-0
07/02/26HTIR Vs Dinamo Tirana1-1
01/02/26AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs TIR0-1
25/01/26HTIR Vs Flamurtari1-0
19/01/26AVora Vs TIR1-1
14/01/26ABylis Vs TIR0-1
24/12/25AAF Elbasani Vs TIR1-1

BylisBylis

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/26HBYL Vs Vora1-0
28/02/26AAF Elbasani Vs BYL1-1
21/02/26HBYL Vs Vllaznia Shkodër2-1
14/02/26ATeuta Durrës Vs BYL2-1
06/02/26HBYL Vs Partizani1-2
31/01/26ADinamo Tirana Vs BYL0-0
24/01/26HBYL Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë2-2
18/01/26AFlamurtari Vs BYL3-0
14/01/26HBYL Vs Tirana0-1
24/12/25AVora Vs BYL4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tirana
Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL0.92
HomeDWDLL0.88
AwayWDWLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%17%19%
AVG goals2.302.042.54
Over 1.5 %72%58%85%
Over 2.5 %36%29%42%
Over 3.5 %20%21%19%
Scored0.920.751.08
Conceded1.381.291.46
BTTS52%38%65%
Clean Sheet28%29%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Bylis
Bylis
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDW1.18
HomeLDLWW1.50
AwayLLDLD0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%42%17%
AVG goals2.381.962.83
Over 1.5 %64%54%75%
Over 2.5 %50%38%62%
Over 3.5 %22%12%33%
Scored1.000.921.08
Conceded1.381.041.75
BTTS48%38%58%
Clean Sheet26%31%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani3968
49%
1.7
5342+11
2.4
67%
51%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.1
-
2Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë3966
49%
1.7
5035+15
2.2
62%
33%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2131.30.9
-
3Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër3963
46%
1.6
4433+11
2.0
56%
28%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.10.8
-
4Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana3952
33%
1.3
4538+7
2.1
69%
33%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.21.0
-
5PartizaniPartizani3648
36%
1.3
3848-10
2.4
72%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.3
-
6Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës3745
27%
1.2
3337-4
1.9
49%
27%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2130.91.0
-
7TiranaTirana3644
31%
1.2
3646-10
2.3
69%
31%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.3
-
8VoraVora3642
28%
1.2
3940-1
2.2
64%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.11.1
-
9BylisBylis3641
28%
1.1
3850-12
2.4
67%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
10FlamurtariFlamurtari3636
22%
1.0
3945-6
2.3
69%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
11PogradeciPogradeci34
33%
1.3
31+2
1.3
33%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.00.3
-
12Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë24
50%
2.0
20+2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.00.0
-
13Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.02.0
-
14Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1100.03.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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