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Tirana vs Dinamo Tirana Prediction & Stats

Date: 28/10/2026
Time: 16:00
Tirana
Tirana
Vs
36%
33%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dinamo Tirana
Dinamo Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity will shape this tight encounter, with both sides averaging more than a goal conceded per match. The model favours a home win, assigning Tirana a 38% chance, a draw 32%, and Dinamo Tirana 29%. The average goal output is 2.1, so a 2-goal total is most likely, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 14.8%. Tirana’s home form shows 0.93 goals scored and 1.13 conceded against similar opposition, while Dinamo Tirana, on the road, averages 0.79 scored and 1.29 conceded. The suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.3%), Under 5.5 (98.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.2%), Under 4.5 (93.8%), Away under 2.5 goals (92.6%), and Home under 2.5 goals (89.3%). Tirana enters after a defeat to Egnatia Rrogozhinë, while Dinamo Tirana comes off a 2-2 draw with Pafos.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tirana win
36.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
33.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tirana win
30.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TiranaTirana

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W11D31W11D21W10W10W31W03L13LH·VOR22/03A·FLA03/04H·EGN12/04A·DIN18/04H·PAR25/04A·TEU02/05H·VLL06/05A·AF 10/05A·EGN23/08A·TEU30/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.370.931.131.071.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.001.370.931.131.071.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W03L02L30W01L40W11D01L22D10WA·VLL16/05A·AF 24/05A·EGN31/05H·ALU30/07A·AUD04/08H·AUD13/08H·PAF20/08H·VOR23/08A·PAF27/08A·SKE31/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.101.430.930.881.25
vs Stronger (2)1.501.501.001.002.002.00
vs Similar (28)1.111.071.460.920.801.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
62.1%
Under 1.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
33.7%
Under 2.5
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
15.2%
Under 3.5
84.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
42.4%
No
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
14.2%
1-0
12.5%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
6.1%
Tirana goals ↓
Dinamo Tirana goals →
01234
014%11%6.1%2.0%0.5%
113%15%6.5%2.1%0.5%
27.5%7.3%3.5%1.1%0.3%
32.7%2.6%1.3%0.4%0.1%
40.7%0.7%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tirana goals (down), columns = Dinamo Tirana goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
AF Elbasani
1.74
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.69
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.62
Partizani
1.33
Dinamo Tirana
1.33
Tirana
1.22
Teuta Durrës
1.22
Vora
1.17
Skenderbeu Korce
1.17
Laci
1.09
Tirana is 0.11 points worse than Dinamo Tirana in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
AF Elbasani
1.36
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.28
Dinamo Tirana
1.15
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.13
Vora
1.08
Partizani
1.06
Tirana
1.00
Skenderbeu Korce
0.91
Teuta Durrës
0.89
Laci
0.85
Tirana is 0.15 goals worse than Dinamo Tirana in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vllaznia Shkodër
0.85
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.90
Dinamo Tirana
0.97
Teuta Durrës
1.00
AF Elbasani
1.08
Vora
1.11
Skenderbeu Korce
1.21
Tirana
1.28
Laci
1.29
Partizani
1.33
Tirana is 0.30 goals worse than Dinamo Tirana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Tirana or Draw
69.3%
Avg Implied -
36%
33%
31%
covers Tirana + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tirana or Dinamo Tirana
67.0%
Avg Implied -
36%
33%
31%
covers Tirana + Dinamo Tirana
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Dinamo Tirana
63.7%
Avg Implied -
36%
33%
31%
covers Draw + Dinamo Tirana
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Tirana over/under 0.5
Over
66.0%
Under
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5
Over
29.3%
Under
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5
Over
9.5%
Under
90.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 3.5
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tirana over/under 0.5
Over
62.1%
Under
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tirana over/under 1.5
Over
25.4%
Under
74.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tirana over/under 2.5
Over
7.5%
Under
92.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tirana over/under 3.5
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Tirana, so a minus line means Tirana give that many goals of a start and Dinamo Tirana receive them. At -1, Tirana must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Tirana win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Tirana)
Tirana -2
4.6%
Draw -2
10.5%
Dinamo Tirana +2
84.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Tirana)
Tirana -1
15.1%
Draw -1
21.2%
Dinamo Tirana +1
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Tirana)
Tirana +1
69.3%
Draw +1
18.9%
Dinamo Tirana -1
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Tirana)
Tirana +2
88.3%
Draw +2
8.5%
Dinamo Tirana -2
3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TiranaTirana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W00D01L00D10W10W03L10WH·VOR22/03A·FLA03/04H·EGN12/04A·DIN18/04H·PAR25/04A·TEU02/05H·VLL06/05A·AF 10/05A·EGN23/08A·TEU30/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.700.330.670.470.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.400.700.330.670.470.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L02L20W00D20W00D01L11D00DA·VLL16/05A·AF 24/05A·EGN31/05H·ALU30/07A·AUD04/08H·AUD13/08H·PAF20/08H·VOR23/08A·PAF27/08A·SKE31/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.700.710.500.120.88
vs Stronger (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.390.710.770.540.070.87
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tirana over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tirana over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tirana over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tirana over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TiranaTirana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L21W11D20W10W00D21W00D03LH·VOR22/03A·FLA03/04H·EGN12/04A·DIN18/04H·PAR25/04A·TEU02/05H·VLL06/05A·AF 10/05A·EGN23/08A·TEU30/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.670.600.470.600.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.600.670.600.470.600.87
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D10W01L20W11D00D11D10WA·VLL16/05A·AF 24/05A·EGN31/05H·ALU30/07A·AUD04/08H·AUD13/08H·PAF20/08H·VOR23/08A·PAF27/08A·SKE31/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.400.710.430.750.38
vs Stronger (2)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.710.360.690.380.730.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tirana over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tirana over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tirana over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tirana over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.9%-------
Under 6.599.5%-------
Away under 3.5 goals98.3%-------
Under 5.598.2%-------
Home under 3.5 goals97.6%-------
Under 4.594.3%-------
Away under 2.5 goals92.5%-------
Home under 2.5 goals90.5%-------
Home +2 handicap88.3%-------
Away +2 handicap84.9%-------
Under 3.584.8%-------
Away under 1.5 goals74.6%-------
Home under 1.5 goals70.7%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
DT (27)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
AE (25)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
SK (27)
€4m
VOR (25)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
Tirana's squad is €1m less valuable than Dinamo Tirana's (€5m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
VOR (10)
€2m
SK (9)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
Tirana and Dinamo Tirana have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
AE (5)
€1m
LAC (6)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
VOR (4)
€1m
Tirana and Dinamo Tirana have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
DT (11)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
SK (12)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
VOR (11)
€1m
Tirana and Dinamo Tirana have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
TIR wins
3
Draws
4
DT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Tirana vs Dinamo Tirana · H/A from TIR
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/26ADinamo Tirana Vs TIR1-1
07/02/26HTIR Vs Dinamo Tirana1-1
03/12/25ADinamo Tirana Vs TIR6-2
27/09/25HTIR Vs Dinamo Tirana1-2
27/04/25ADinamo Tirana Vs TIR0-2
02/03/25HTIR Vs Dinamo Tirana1-4
14/12/24ADinamo Tirana Vs TIR2-1
19/10/24HTIR Vs Dinamo Tirana0-0

TiranaTirana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26ATeuta Durrës Vs TIR3-1
23/08/26AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs TIR3-0
10/05/26AAF Elbasani Vs TIR1-3
06/05/26HTIR Vs Vllaznia Shkodër1-0
02/05/26ATeuta Durrës Vs TIR0-1
25/04/26HTIR Vs Partizani2-1
18/04/26ADinamo Tirana Vs TIR1-1
12/04/26HTIR Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë3-1
03/04/26AFlamurtari Vs TIR1-1
22/03/26HTIR Vs Vora3-0

Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26ASkenderbeu Korce Vs DT0-1
27/08/26APafos Vs DT2-2
23/08/26HDT Vs Vora0-1
20/08/26HDT Vs Pafos1-1
13/08/26HDT Vs Auda4-0
04/08/26AAuda Vs DT1-0
30/07/26HDT Vs Aluminij3-0
31/05/26AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs DT2-0
24/05/26AAF Elbasani Vs DT3-0
16/05/26AVllaznia Shkodër Vs DT0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tirana
Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.20
HomeWWWWW1.32
AwayDWWLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%24%
AVG goals2.402.202.60
Over 1.5 %72%60%84%
Over 2.5 %38%36%40%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.081.081.08
Conceded1.321.121.52
BTTS52%40%64%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Dinamo Tirana
Dinamo Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDW1.34
HomeDWWDL1.62
AwayLLLDW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%27%
AVG goals2.162.381.96
Over 1.5 %68%75%62%
Over 2.5 %36%33%38%
Over 3.5 %16%21%12%
Scored1.181.540.85
Conceded0.980.831.12
BTTS40%46%35%
Clean Sheet34%38%31%
Corners4.002.507.00
Cards5.673.0011.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë26
100%
3.0
61+5
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2133.00.5
-
2Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.50.5
-
3LaciLaci24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.0
-
4Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana23
50%
1.5
11+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3220.50.5
-
5VoraVora23
50%
1.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.01.5
-
6Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër22
0%
1.0
33+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.51.5
-
7AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.0
-
8Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.01.5
-
9PartizaniPartizani21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.51.0
-
10TiranaTirana20
0%
0.0
16-5
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.53.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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