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Tirana vs Teuta Durrës Prediction & Stats

Date: 07/11/2026
Time: 16:00
Tirana
Tirana
Vs
38%
35%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Teuta Durrës
Teuta Durrës
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Tirana’s defensive record at home shows a modest 1.13 goals conceded per game, while they average 0.93 goals scored against opponents of similar strength. Teuta Durrës, playing away, concedes slightly fewer at 1.07 goals per match but only nets 0.8 on the road. The model projects a tight affair, with an expected total of 1.8 goals and a 28% chance of exactly two goals. The most probable scoreline is a 0-0 draw, carrying a 17.1% probability, and the model’s pick is a home win, with a 38% chance compared to 35% for a draw and 27% for an away victory. Recent form hints at a shift: Tirana has rebounded from two straight defeats, whereas Teuta remains unbeaten in five outings. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.0%), Under 5.5 (98.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.0%), Under 4.5 (96.0%), Away under 2.5 goals (94.9%), and Home under 2.5 goals (91.5%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tirana win
38.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
34.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës win
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TiranaTirana

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W11D31W11D21W10W10W31W03L13LH·VOR22/03A·FLA03/04H·EGN12/04A·DIN18/04H·PAR25/04A·TEU02/05H·VLL06/05A·AF 10/05A·EGN23/08A·TEU30/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.370.931.131.071.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.001.370.931.131.071.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Teuta Durrës) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L12L02L01L11D32W10W00D31WA·VOR05/04A·VLL12/04H·AF 18/04A·BYL26/04H·TIR02/05A·FLA06/05H·EGN10/05H·POG16/05A·PAR22/08H·TIR30/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.101.131.130.801.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.971.101.131.130.801.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%17%027%128%217%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
56.4%
Under 1.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
28.1%
Under 2.5
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
11.6%
Under 3.5
88.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
37.2%
No
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
17.1%
1-0
14.8%
1-1
14.6%
0-1
11.7%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
5.3%
Tirana goals ↓
Teuta Durrës goals →
01234
017%12%5.3%1.5%0.3%
115%15%5.5%1.5%0.3%
28.3%6.8%2.8%0.8%0.2%
32.8%2.3%1.0%0.3%0.1%
40.7%0.6%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tirana goals (down), columns = Teuta Durrës goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
AF Elbasani
1.74
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.69
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.62
Partizani
1.33
Dinamo Tirana
1.33
Tirana
1.22
Teuta Durrës
1.22
Vora
1.17
Skenderbeu Korce
1.17
Laci
1.09
Tirana is 0.01 points better than Teuta Durrës in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
AF Elbasani
1.36
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.28
Dinamo Tirana
1.15
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.13
Vora
1.08
Partizani
1.06
Tirana
1.00
Skenderbeu Korce
0.91
Teuta Durrës
0.89
Laci
0.85
Tirana is 0.11 goals better than Teuta Durrës in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.89).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vllaznia Shkodër
0.85
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.90
Dinamo Tirana
0.97
Teuta Durrës
1.00
AF Elbasani
1.08
Vora
1.11
Skenderbeu Korce
1.21
Tirana
1.28
Laci
1.29
Partizani
1.33
Tirana is 0.28 goals worse than Teuta Durrës in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Tirana or Draw
72.8%
Avg Implied -
38%
35%
27%
covers Tirana + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tirana or Teuta Durrës
65.2%
Avg Implied -
38%
35%
27%
covers Tirana + Teuta Durrës
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Teuta Durrës
62.0%
Avg Implied -
38%
35%
27%
covers Draw + Teuta Durrës
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Tirana over/under 0.5
Over
64.0%
Under
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5
Over
27.3%
Under
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5
Over
8.5%
Under
91.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 3.5
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 0.5
Over
56.0%
Under
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 1.5
Over
19.9%
Under
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 2.5
Over
5.1%
Under
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 3.5
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Tirana, so a minus line means Tirana give that many goals of a start and Teuta Durrës receive them. At -1, Tirana must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Tirana win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Tirana)
Tirana -2
4.5%
Draw -2
10.8%
Teuta Durrës +2
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Tirana)
Tirana -1
15.4%
Draw -1
22.7%
Teuta Durrës +1
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Tirana)
Tirana +1
72.8%
Draw +1
17.9%
Teuta Durrës -1
9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Tirana)
Tirana +2
90.8%
Draw +2
7.0%
Teuta Durrës -2
2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TiranaTirana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W00D01L00D10W10W03L10WH·VOR22/03A·FLA03/04H·EGN12/04A·DIN18/04H·PAR25/04A·TEU02/05H·VLL06/05A·AF 10/05A·EGN23/08A·TEU30/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.700.330.670.470.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.400.700.330.670.470.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Teuta Durrës) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L10W01L00D01L11D00D00D01LA·VOR05/04A·VLL12/04H·AF 18/04A·BYL26/04H·TIR02/05A·FLA06/05H·EGN10/05H·POG16/05A·PAR22/08H·TIR30/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.470.470.470.200.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.330.470.470.470.200.47
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tirana over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TiranaTirana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L21W11D20W10W00D21W00D03LH·VOR22/03A·FLA03/04H·EGN12/04A·DIN18/04H·PAR25/04A·TEU02/05H·VLL06/05A·AF 10/05A·EGN23/08A·TEU30/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.670.600.470.600.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.600.670.600.470.600.87
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Teuta Durrës) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D02L01L01L10W21W10W00D30WA·VOR05/04A·VLL12/04H·AF 18/04A·BYL26/04H·TIR02/05A·FLA06/05H·EGN10/05H·POG16/05A·PAR22/08H·TIR30/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.630.670.670.600.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.630.630.670.670.600.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tirana over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.9%-------
Under 6.599.7%-------
Away under 3.5 goals99.0%-------
Under 5.598.8%-------
Home under 3.5 goals98.0%-------
Under 4.596.0%-------
Away under 2.5 goals94.9%-------
Home under 2.5 goals91.5%-------
Home +2 handicap90.8%-------
Under 3.588.4%-------
Away +2 handicap84.6%-------
Away under 1.5 goals80.1%-------
Home or Draw72.8%-------
Home +1 handicap72.8%-------
Home under 1.5 goals72.7%-------
Under 2.571.9%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
DT (27)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
AE (25)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
SK (27)
€4m
VOR (25)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
Tirana and Teuta Durrës have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
VOR (10)
€2m
SK (9)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
Tirana and Teuta Durrës have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
AE (5)
€1m
LAC (6)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
VOR (4)
€1m
Tirana and Teuta Durrës have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
DT (11)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
SK (12)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
VOR (11)
€1m
Tirana and Teuta Durrës have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
TIR wins
3
Draws
4
TD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Tirana vs Teuta Durrës · H/A from TIR
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26ATeuta Durrës Vs TIR3-1
02/05/26ATeuta Durrës Vs TIR0-1
22/02/26HTIR Vs Teuta Durrës0-1
13/12/25ATeuta Durrës Vs TIR1-1
18/10/25HTIR Vs Teuta Durrës0-0
19/04/25HTIR Vs Teuta Durrës0-1
22/02/25ATeuta Durrës Vs TIR2-1
09/12/24HTIR Vs Teuta Durrës0-0

TiranaTirana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26ATeuta Durrës Vs TIR3-1
23/08/26AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs TIR3-0
10/05/26AAF Elbasani Vs TIR1-3
06/05/26HTIR Vs Vllaznia Shkodër1-0
02/05/26ATeuta Durrës Vs TIR0-1
25/04/26HTIR Vs Partizani2-1
18/04/26ADinamo Tirana Vs TIR1-1
12/04/26HTIR Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë3-1
03/04/26AFlamurtari Vs TIR1-1
22/03/26HTIR Vs Vora3-0

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HTD Vs Tirana3-1
22/08/26APartizani Vs TD0-0
16/05/26HTD Vs Pogradeci1-0
10/05/26HTD Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë3-2
06/05/26AFlamurtari Vs TD1-1
02/05/26HTD Vs Tirana0-1
26/04/26ABylis Vs TD2-0
18/04/26HTD Vs AF Elbasani1-2
12/04/26AVllaznia Shkodër Vs TD1-0
05/04/26AVora Vs TD1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tirana
Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.20
HomeWWWWW1.32
AwayDWWLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%24%
AVG goals2.402.202.60
Over 1.5 %72%60%84%
Over 2.5 %38%36%40%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.081.081.08
Conceded1.321.121.52
BTTS52%40%64%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Teuta Durrës
Teuta Durrës
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDW1.38
HomeLLWWW1.68
AwayLLLDD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%44%20%
AVG goals1.762.121.40
Over 1.5 %46%56%36%
Over 2.5 %26%36%16%
Over 3.5 %14%20%8%
Scored0.901.200.60
Conceded0.860.920.80
BTTS44%56%32%
Clean Sheet40%32%48%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë26
100%
3.0
61+5
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2133.00.5
-
2Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.50.5
-
3LaciLaci24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.0
-
4Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana23
50%
1.5
11+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3220.50.5
-
5VoraVora23
50%
1.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.01.5
-
6Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër22
0%
1.0
33+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.51.5
-
7AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.0
-
8Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.01.5
-
9PartizaniPartizani21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.51.0
-
10TiranaTirana20
0%
0.0
16-5
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.53.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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