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Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dila Result & Analysis

Date: 04/03/2023
Time: 11:30
Final 0-0
Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Vs
42%
31%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dila
Dila
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Torpedo Kutaisi are tipped to win, with a 42% chance of triumph, a 31% draw probability and a 27% chance for Dila. The match is expected to see about 2.3 goals, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 28% likelihood. The most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.3% chance. Torpedo’s home form shows they score 1.33 goals and concede 1.0 against teams of similar strength, while Dila, on the road, averages 1.0 goal for and 1.78 against. The model’s selection is Under 3.5, with a 79.9% probability of success. The home win percentage is 42%, the draw 31%, and the away win 27%. The model’s selection Under 3.5 carries a 79.9% chance, and the result is marked hit.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Torpedo Kutaisi, failed to deliver, as the match finished 0-0, a draw that left the model’s pick wrong. The model had given the home side a 42% chance of victory, but the game ended in a stalemate, a result that was not predicted. The only other selection was Under 3.5 goals, with a 79.9% probability, and it hit, as the total goals were indeed zero. Torpedo’s recent form was a shaky run of LDWLD, coming off a defeat, while Dila’s run of LDWWW also ended in a loss. The final score of 0-0 matched the model’s most likely score of 1-1, but the outcome was a draw.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torpedo Kutaisi win✗ Miss
42.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dila win✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L11D00D10W22D01L30W22D00DH·DIN02/10A·DIL07/10H·SAB16/10A·LOK22/10H·TEL29/10A·SAM06/11H·GAG11/11H·SIO26/11A·DIN03/12A·SAB26/02
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.271.400.931.331.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.331.501.331.001.332.00
vs Weaker (12)1.420.921.500.831.331.00
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dila) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DilaDila

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W23L23L21W20W10W11D30W12LA·GAG01/10H·TOR07/10A·DIN16/10H·DIN22/10A·SIO30/10A·SAB06/11H·LOK12/11A·TEL26/11H·SAM03/12H·DIN25/02
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.071.400.801.001.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.111.441.221.111.001.78
vs Weaker (12)1.330.501.670.331.000.67
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.2%
Under 1.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.4%
Under 2.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.1%
Under 3.5
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.3%
No
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.7%
0-0 ✓
11.3%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.0%
Torpedo Kutaisi goals ↓
Dila goals →
01234
011%8.7%5.0%1.7%0.4%
112%14%6.5%2.2%0.5%
28.4%8.5%4.2%1.4%0.4%
33.7%3.7%1.8%0.6%0.2%
41.2%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Torpedo Kutaisi goals (down), columns = Dila goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dinamo Batumi
2.06
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.97
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.67
Dila
1.67
Samgurali
1.58
Gareji
1.50
Saburtalo
1.42
Telavi
1.08
Gagra
1.06
Samtredia
0.95
Spaeri
0.50
Shukura
0.47
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dila are level in average points per game (both 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.58
Dinamo Batumi
2.31
Gareji
2.00
Saburtalo
1.61
Dila
1.56
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.53
Samgurali
1.47
Samtredia
1.45
Gagra
1.31
Shukura
1.06
Telavi
1.03
Spaeri
0.50
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.03 goals worse than Dila in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.56).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.03
Dila
1.08
Dinamo Batumi
1.14
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.36
Saburtalo
1.36
Samgurali
1.42
Telavi
1.66
Samtredia
1.74
Gagra
1.81
Gareji
2.50
Spaeri
2.50
Shukura
3.11
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.06 goals better than Dila in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.08).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

DilaDila

For 4.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 7.0

🚩 Corners

70524377H·KUPA·KUP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.5

🟨 Cards

60324256H·KUPA·KUP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (37)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (21)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (16)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Dila) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DilaDila

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (39)7.07.07.00.30.20.3---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (23)7.07.07.00.50.40.5---
vs Weaker (16)---0.00.00.0---
% over line0%0%0%5%5%5%---
% under line100%100%100%95%95%95%---
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Saburtalo
10.2
Dinamo Tbilisi
8.0
Dinamo Batumi
7.5
Dila
7.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dila
5.5
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.7
Dinamo Tbilisi
4.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dinamo Batumi
27.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L11D00D10W11D00D10W11D00DH·DIN02/10A·DIL07/10H·SAB16/10A·LOK22/10H·TEL29/10A·SAM06/11H·GAG11/11H·SIO26/11A·DIN03/12A·SAB26/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.500.640.360.620.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.650.710.750.380.561.00
vs Weaker (13)0.620.230.500.330.710.14
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Dila) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DilaDila

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W03L11D11D20W10W10W10W11DA·GAG01/10H·TOR07/10A·DIN16/10H·DIN22/10A·SIO30/10A·SAB06/11H·LOK12/11A·TEL26/11H·SAM03/12H·DIN25/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.430.730.330.530.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.560.670.780.440.330.89
vs Weaker (12)0.750.080.670.170.830.00
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dila over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dila over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dila over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D00D11D01L20W11D00DH·DIN02/10A·DIL07/10H·SAB16/10A·LOK22/10H·TEL29/10A·SAM06/11H·GAG11/11H·SIO26/11A·DIN03/12A·SAB26/02
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.670.860.430.620.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.760.710.750.380.781.00
vs Weaker (13)0.690.621.000.500.430.71
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Dila) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DilaDila

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W12L10W00D00D01L20W01LA·GAG01/10H·TOR07/10A·DIN16/10H·DIN22/10A·SIO30/10A·SAB06/11H·LOK12/11A·TEL26/11H·SAM03/12H·DIN25/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.630.670.470.470.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.560.780.440.670.670.89
vs Weaker (12)0.580.421.000.170.170.67
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dila over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dila over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dila over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi's squad is €3m more valuable than Dila's (€7m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dila have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi's midfield is €2m more valuable than Dila's (€2m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dila have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
TK wins
0
Draws
2
DIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dila · H/A from TK
DateH/AGameScore
07/10/22ADila Vs TK2-1
29/06/22HTK Vs Dila4-1
03/05/22ADila Vs TK2-0
04/03/22HTK Vs Dila1-0

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/02/23ASaburtalo Vs TK0-0
03/12/22ADinamo Batumi Vs TK2-2
26/11/22HTK Vs Sioni3-0
11/11/22HTK Vs Gagra0-1
06/11/22ASamgurali Vs TK2-2
29/10/22HTK Vs Telavi1-0
22/10/22ALokomotivi Tbilisi Vs TK0-0
16/10/22HTK Vs Saburtalo1-1
07/10/22ADila Vs TK2-1
02/10/22HTK Vs Dinamo Tbilisi0-0

DilaDila

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/02/23HDIL Vs Dinamo Tbilisi1-2
03/12/22HDIL Vs Samgurali3-0
26/11/22ATelavi Vs DIL1-1
12/11/22HDIL Vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi1-0
06/11/22ASaburtalo Vs DIL0-2
30/10/22ASioni Vs DIL1-2
22/10/22HDIL Vs Dinamo Tbilisi2-3
16/10/22ADinamo Batumi Vs DIL3-2
07/10/22HDIL Vs Torpedo Kutaisi2-1
01/10/22AGagra Vs DIL0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDD1.49
HomeDDWLW1.83
AwayLDDDD1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%56%26%
AVG goals2.592.442.74
Over 1.5 %73%61%84%
Over 2.5 %49%44%53%
Over 3.5 %27%22%32%
Scored1.301.441.16
Conceded1.301.001.58
BTTS35%33%37%
Clean Sheet38%39%37%
Corners---
Cards---
Dila
Dila
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.54
HomeWLWWL1.95
AwayDLWWD1.11
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%60%26%
AVG goals2.262.302.21
Over 1.5 %67%65%68%
Over 2.5 %51%55%47%
Over 3.5 %13%10%16%
Scored1.261.501.00
Conceded1.000.801.21
BTTS41%50%32%
Clean Sheet41%40%42%
Corners7.007.007.00
Cards5.505.006.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3674
58%
2.1
8341+42
3.4
94%
69%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.31.1
-
2Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3671
58%
2.0
9349+44
3.9
92%
81%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.61.4
-
3Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3660
44%
1.7
5537+18
2.6
67%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.51.0
-
4DilaDila3660
47%
1.7
5639+17
2.6
72%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.61.1
-
5SamguraliSamgurali3657
44%
1.6
5351+2
2.9
72%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.4
-
6SaburtaloSaburtalo3651
39%
1.4
5849+9
3.0
78%
72%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.61.4
-
7TelaviTelavi3841
29%
1.1
3963-24
2.7
71%
55%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
8GagraGagra3638
28%
1.1
4765-18
3.1
64%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.8
-
9SamtrediaSamtredia3836
26%
0.9
5566-11
3.2
82%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10ShukuraShukura3617
11%
0.5
38112-74
4.2
89%
75%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.1
-
11GarejiGareji23
50%
1.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.5
-
12SpaeriSpaeri21
0%
0.5
15-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.52.5
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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