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Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dila Result & Analysis

Date: 15/03/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Vs
32%
31%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dila
Dila
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The encounter between Torpedo Kutaisi and Dila is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. Home win odds sit at 32%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 37%. The expected total is 2.3 goals, and the most likely total is two, with a 28% chance. The single score the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 14.6% probability, even though the final result last week was a 1-2 away victory. Torpedo Kutaisi, playing at home against a similar-strength side, averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Dila, on the road against a comparable opponent, averages 2.67 goals scored and only 1.0 conceded. The model’s selection is Under 3.5, with a 79.8% probability of hitting that outcome. Both teams have recently come off defeats, with Torpedo losing 0-2 to Meshakhte and Dila falling 1-2 to Dinamo Tbilisi. The match remains finely balanced, and the predicted outcome is an away win.

Results analysis

The match saw Torpedo Kutaisi return from a defeat, their recent form a mix of losses and a win, while Dila, also coming off a loss, had a string of victories. The model’s favourite, an away win, proved accurate as Dila edged Torpedo Kutaisi 1-2, confirming the predicted result. The pre-match favourite was the away side with a 37% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The single suggested pick, Under 3.5 goals, carried a 79.8% probability and hit, as the total goals scored were two. All selections settled as forecast, underscoring the model’s reliability in this fixture.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torpedo Kutaisi win✗ Miss
32.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dila win✓ Hit
36.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D10W13L20W12L10W21W02L12LH·DIN28/10A·DIL02/11H·DIN08/11A·KOL23/11H·GAG27/11A·SAM01/12H·TEL08/12A·GAG01/03A·SAB05/03H·TEL09/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.201.400.871.601.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.071.431.291.290.861.57
vs Weaker (16)1.881.001.500.502.251.50
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dila) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DilaDila

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W01L11D23L10W10W20W12L00D01LH·SAM20/10A·TEL28/10H·TOR02/11A·SAB08/11H·DIN23/11A·SAM27/11A·DIN01/12H·KOL08/12A·GAG06/03H·SAB10/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.530.901.141.211.880.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.771.151.001.292.671.00
vs Weaker (17)1.350.711.291.141.400.40
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.3%
Under 1.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.5%
Under 2.5
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.2%
Under 3.5
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.1%
No
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.3%
0-1
10.6%
1-0
9.7%
1-2 ✓
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
Torpedo Kutaisi goals ↓
Dila goals →
01234
011%11%7.1%2.8%0.8%
19.7%15%7.9%3.2%0.9%
26.1%7.3%4.4%1.7%0.5%
32.3%2.7%1.6%0.6%0.2%
40.6%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Torpedo Kutaisi goals (down), columns = Dila goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Saburtalo
2.22
Dila
2.17
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.75
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.58
Spaeri
1.50
Gagra
1.19
Dinamo Batumi
1.19
Samgurali
1.17
Telavi
1.00
Meshakhte
1.00
Gareji
0.97
Kolkheti Poti
0.61
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.42 points worse than Dila in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 2.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.75
Dila
1.75
Saburtalo
1.67
Spaeri
1.50
Samgurali
1.50
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.42
Gagra
1.22
Gareji
1.13
Dinamo Batumi
1.11
Telavi
1.00
Meshakhte
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
0.92
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dila are level in goals scored per game (both 1.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Saburtalo
0.67
Dinamo Tbilisi
0.94
Dila
0.97
Spaeri
1.00
Meshakhte
1.00
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.14
Samgurali
1.47
Gareji
1.50
Gagra
1.53
Telavi
1.61
Dinamo Batumi
1.64
Kolkheti Poti
1.97
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.17 goals worse than Dila in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

DilaDila

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (23)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (27)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Dila) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DilaDila

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (23)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (27)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
10.2
Saburtalo
10.2
Dila
8.9
Dinamo Tbilisi
7.8
Dinamo Batumi
7.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
6.3
Dila
5.2
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.5
Dinamo Tbilisi
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dila
30.7
Torpedo Kutaisi
28.0
Dinamo Tbilisi
25.0
Dinamo Batumi
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D02L10W11D10W10W01L01LH·DIN28/10A·DIL02/11H·DIN08/11A·KOL23/11H·GAG27/11A·SAM01/12H·TEL08/12A·GAG01/03A·SAB05/03H·TEL09/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.470.400.670.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.500.710.430.430.571.00
vs Weaker (16)0.620.380.500.380.750.38
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Dila) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DilaDila

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W01L01L01L00D00D10W10W00D01LH·SAM20/10A·TEL28/10H·TOR02/11A·SAB08/11H·DIN23/11A·SAM27/11A·DIN01/12H·KOL08/12A·GAG06/03H·SAB10/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.400.360.640.620.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.460.690.001.001.000.33
vs Weaker (17)0.530.180.710.290.400.10
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dila over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dila over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dila over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L10W11D10W01L00D11D01L11DH·DIN28/10A·DIL02/11H·DIN08/11A·KOL23/11H·GAG27/11A·SAM01/12H·TEL08/12A·GAG01/03A·SAB05/03H·TEL09/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.670.930.470.930.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.570.710.860.860.290.57
vs Weaker (16)1.250.621.000.121.501.12
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Dila) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DilaDila

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D10W22D10W10W10W02L00D00DH·SAM20/10A·TEL28/10H·TOR02/11A·SAB08/11H·DIN23/11A·SAM27/11A·DIN01/12H·KOL08/12A·GAG06/03H·SAB10/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.500.790.571.250.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.310.461.000.291.670.67
vs Weaker (17)0.820.530.570.861.000.30
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dila over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dila over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dila over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
MES (21)
€2m
SPA (20)
€2m
KP (3)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi's squad is €3m more valuable than Dila's (€7m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
MES (7)
€1m
KP (2)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dila have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
MES (5)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi's midfield is €2m more valuable than Dila's (€2m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
MES (9)
€1m
KP (1)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dila have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
TK wins
3
Draws
2
DIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dila · H/A from TK
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/24ADila Vs TK1-1
25/08/24HTK Vs Dila1-5
10/05/24ADila Vs TK1-1
16/03/24HTK Vs Dila1-0
07/10/23ADila Vs TK0-1
05/06/23HTK Vs Dila1-0
30/04/23ADila Vs TK5-0
04/03/23HTK Vs Dila0-0

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/25HTK Vs Telavi1-2
05/03/25ASaburtalo Vs TK2-0
01/03/25AGagra Vs TK1-2
08/12/24HTK Vs Telavi1-0
01/12/24ASamgurali Vs TK2-1
27/11/24HTK Vs Gagra2-0
23/11/24AKolkheti Poti Vs TK3-1
08/11/24HTK Vs Dinamo Batumi1-0
02/11/24ADila Vs TK1-1
28/10/24HTK Vs Dinamo Tbilisi2-0

DilaDila

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/03/25HDIL Vs Saburtalo0-1
06/03/25AGagra Vs DIL0-0
08/12/24HDIL Vs Kolkheti Poti1-2
01/12/24ADinamo Batumi Vs DIL0-2
27/11/24ASamtredia Vs DIL0-1
23/11/24HDIL Vs Dinamo Tbilisi1-0
08/11/24ASaburtalo Vs DIL3-2
02/11/24HDIL Vs Torpedo Kutaisi1-1
28/10/24ATelavi Vs DIL1-0
20/10/24HDIL Vs Samgurali2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLL1.84
HomeWWWWL2.20
AwayDLLWL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%68%40%
AVG goals2.822.762.88
Over 1.5 %74%68%80%
Over 2.5 %56%48%64%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.681.881.48
Conceded1.140.881.40
BTTS58%48%68%
Clean Sheet36%52%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Dila
Dila
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDL1.76
HomeWDWLL1.72
AwayLLWWD1.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%48%52%
AVG goals2.402.322.48
Over 1.5 %66%72%60%
Over 2.5 %44%44%44%
Over 3.5 %26%20%32%
Scored1.501.401.60
Conceded0.900.920.88
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet38%36%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SaburtaloSaburtalo3680
67%
2.2
6024+36
2.3
67%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.70.7
-
2DilaDila3678
69%
2.2
6335+28
2.7
69%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.81.0
-
3Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3663
50%
1.8
6341+22
2.9
78%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.81.1
-
4Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3657
42%
1.6
5134+17
2.4
72%
47%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3131.40.9
-
5GagraGagra3643
33%
1.2
4455-11
2.8
83%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.5
-
6Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3643
31%
1.2
4059-19
2.8
83%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.11.6
-
7SamguraliSamgurali3642
33%
1.2
5453+1
3.0
81%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.5
-
8TelaviTelavi3838
24%
1.0
3861-23
2.6
71%
47%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
9GarejiGareji3837
21%
1.0
4357-14
2.6
71%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
10Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti3622
14%
0.6
3371-38
2.9
78%
56%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
11SpaeriSpaeri23
50%
1.5
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.0
-
12MeshakhteMeshakhte22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.0
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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