PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dila Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2025
Time: 17:00
Final 0-1
Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Vs
28%
31%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dila
Dila
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Torpedo Kutaisi’s defensive record at home shows they concede 1.5 goals per game, while Dila, on the road, averages only one goal against similar opposition - a clear advantage for the visitors. The model therefore picks an away win, with the probabilities of a home win, a draw and an away win standing at 28%, 31% and 41% respectively. The expected total goals is 2.2, with the most likely total being two goals at 28%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.5% chance. Dila’s away form is stronger, scoring 1.57 goals per match and conceding just one, whereas Torpedo Kutaisi’s home form shows 1.12 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s only suggested pick is Under 3.5 goals, with an 82% probability. These figures point to a tight, low-scoring encounter where the visitors are favoured to edge out a win.

Results analysis

Torpedo Kutaisi’s recent run of LDWLD left them still on a losing streak, while Dila, fresh from a defeat yet boasting a LDWWW sequence, carried momentum into the match. The model’s favourite, an Away win with a 41% probability, proved accurate as Dila edged Torpedo 0-1. The predicted total of 2.2 goals and the most likely score of 1-1 were not realised, but the model’s sole selection - Under 3.5 goals with an 82% chance - hit, as the game finished with just one goal. All suggested picks settled, and the model’s call was correct, confirming the predicted outcome and the accuracy of its key selection.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torpedo Kutaisi win✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dila win✓ Hit
40.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W02L02L43W11D01L04L21W00D11DH·KOL20/05A·DIN24/05H·GAR29/05H·ORD10/07A·ORD17/07A·OMO24/07H·OMO31/07H·GAG03/08A·SAB09/08H·TEL17/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.201.311.190.931.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.751.251.121.500.381.00
vs Weaker (14)1.571.141.500.881.671.50
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dila) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DilaDila

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-643W21W21W21W10W12L33D20W10W06LH·SAM20/05A·KOL24/05H·DIN28/05A·RAC10/07H·RAC17/07A·RIG24/07H·RIG31/07H·GAR03/08A·GAG10/08H·SAB17/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.101.801.331.470.87
vs Stronger (2)2.002.503.003.001.002.00
vs Similar (15)1.271.201.001.381.571.00
vs Weaker (13)2.000.772.671.001.430.57
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
65.8%
Under 1.5
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.7%
Under 2.5
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.0%
Under 3.5
82.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.2%
No
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.4%
0-1 ✓
12.3%
1-0
9.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.2%
Torpedo Kutaisi goals ↓
Dila goals →
01234
012%12%8.4%3.4%1.0%
19.5%15%8.1%3.3%1.0%
25.2%6.4%3.9%1.6%0.5%
31.7%2.1%1.3%0.5%0.2%
40.4%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Torpedo Kutaisi goals (down), columns = Dila goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Saburtalo
2.22
Dila
2.17
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.75
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.58
Spaeri
1.50
Gagra
1.19
Dinamo Batumi
1.19
Samgurali
1.17
Telavi
1.00
Meshakhte
1.00
Gareji
0.97
Kolkheti Poti
0.61
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.42 points worse than Dila in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 2.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.75
Dila
1.75
Saburtalo
1.67
Spaeri
1.50
Samgurali
1.50
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.42
Gagra
1.22
Gareji
1.13
Dinamo Batumi
1.11
Telavi
1.00
Meshakhte
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
0.92
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dila are level in goals scored per game (both 1.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Saburtalo
0.67
Dinamo Tbilisi
0.94
Dila
0.97
Spaeri
1.00
Meshakhte
1.00
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.14
Samgurali
1.47
Gareji
1.50
Gagra
1.53
Telavi
1.61
Dinamo Batumi
1.64
Kolkheti Poti
1.97
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.17 goals worse than Dila in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

DilaDila

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (27)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (23)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Dila) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DilaDila

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (2)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (24)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (24)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
10.2
Saburtalo
10.2
Dila
8.9
Dinamo Tbilisi
7.8
Dinamo Batumi
7.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
6.3
Dila
5.2
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.5
Dinamo Tbilisi
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dila
30.7
Torpedo Kutaisi
28.0
Dinamo Tbilisi
25.0
Dinamo Batumi
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L01L22D10W01L01L10W00D00DH·KOL20/05A·DIN24/05H·GAR29/05H·ORD10/07A·ORD17/07A·OMO24/07H·OMO31/07H·GAG03/08A·SAB09/08H·TEL17/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.570.620.560.430.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.440.620.620.750.250.50
vs Weaker (14)0.640.500.620.380.670.67
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Dila) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DilaDila

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D11D11D00D00D01L11D10W00D02LH·SAM20/05A·KOL24/05H·DIN28/05A·RAC10/07H·RAC17/07A·RIG24/07H·RIG31/07H·GAR03/08A·GAG10/08H·SAB17/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.500.800.600.330.40
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (15)0.400.530.380.750.430.29
vs Weaker (13)0.770.381.330.330.290.43
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dila over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dila over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dila over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L01L21W01L00D03L11D00D11DH·KOL20/05A·DIN24/05H·GAR29/05H·ORD10/07A·ORD17/07A·OMO24/07H·OMO31/07H·GAG03/08A·SAB09/08H·TEL17/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.630.690.620.500.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.310.620.500.750.120.50
vs Weaker (14)0.930.640.880.501.000.83
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dila) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DilaDila

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W10W10W21W10W11D22D10W10W04LH·SAM20/05A·KOL24/05H·DIN28/05A·RAC10/07H·RAC17/07A·RIG24/07H·RIG31/07H·GAR03/08A·GAG10/08H·SAB17/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.601.000.731.130.47
vs Stronger (2)1.501.502.002.001.001.00
vs Similar (15)0.870.670.620.621.140.71
vs Weaker (13)1.230.381.330.671.140.14
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dila over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dila over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dila over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
MES (21)
€2m
SPA (20)
€2m
KP (3)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi's squad is €3m more valuable than Dila's (€7m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
MES (7)
€1m
KP (2)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dila have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
MES (5)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi's midfield is €2m more valuable than Dila's (€2m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
MES (9)
€1m
KP (1)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dila have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
TK wins
2
Draws
2
DIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dila · H/A from TK
DateH/AGameScore
07/05/25ADila Vs TK0-1
15/03/25HTK Vs Dila1-2
02/11/24ADila Vs TK1-1
25/08/24HTK Vs Dila1-5
10/05/24ADila Vs TK1-1
16/03/24HTK Vs Dila1-0
07/10/23ADila Vs TK0-1
05/06/23HTK Vs Dila1-0

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/25HTK Vs Telavi1-1
09/08/25ASaburtalo Vs TK0-0
03/08/25HTK Vs Gagra2-1
31/07/25HTK Vs Omonia Nicosia0-4
24/07/25AOmonia Nicosia Vs TK1-0
17/07/25AOrdabasy Vs TK1-1
10/07/25HTK Vs Ordabasy4-3
29/05/25HTK Vs Gareji0-2
24/05/25ADinamo Tbilisi Vs TK2-0
20/05/25HTK Vs Kolkheti Poti2-1

DilaDila

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/25HDIL Vs Saburtalo0-6
10/08/25AGagra Vs DIL0-1
03/08/25HDIL Vs Gareji2-0
31/07/25HDIL Vs Riga3-3
24/07/25ARiga Vs DIL2-1
17/07/25HDIL Vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg1-0
10/07/25ARacing FC Union Luxembourg Vs DIL1-2
28/05/25HDIL Vs Dinamo Tbilisi2-1
24/05/25AKolkheti Poti Vs DIL1-2
20/05/25HDIL Vs Samgurali4-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDD1.68
HomeLWLWD1.96
AwayWLDLD1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%62%38%
AVG goals2.482.542.42
Over 1.5 %76%77%75%
Over 2.5 %48%46%50%
Over 3.5 %16%12%21%
Scored1.281.381.17
Conceded1.201.151.25
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet28%35%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Dila
Dila
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.90
HomeWWDWL1.72
AwayWWWLW2.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%48%64%
AVG goals2.702.922.48
Over 1.5 %70%80%60%
Over 2.5 %48%48%48%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.661.601.72
Conceded1.041.320.76
BTTS54%64%44%
Clean Sheet36%24%48%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SaburtaloSaburtalo3680
67%
2.2
6024+36
2.3
67%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.70.7
-
2DilaDila3678
69%
2.2
6335+28
2.7
69%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.81.0
-
3Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3663
50%
1.8
6341+22
2.9
78%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.81.1
-
4Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3657
42%
1.6
5134+17
2.4
72%
47%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3131.40.9
-
5GagraGagra3643
33%
1.2
4455-11
2.8
83%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.5
-
6Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3643
31%
1.2
4059-19
2.8
83%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.11.6
-
7SamguraliSamgurali3642
33%
1.2
5453+1
3.0
81%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.5
-
8TelaviTelavi3838
24%
1.0
3861-23
2.6
71%
47%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
9GarejiGareji3837
21%
1.0
4357-14
2.6
71%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
10Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti3622
14%
0.6
3371-38
2.9
78%
56%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
11SpaeriSpaeri23
50%
1.5
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.0
-
12MeshakhteMeshakhte22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.0
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

← all matches