The match between Torpedo Kutaisi and Dinamo Batumi is a tight affair, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities are 29% for a home victory, 29% for a draw, and 41% for Dinamo Batumi to lift the trophy. The expected total of goals is 2.5, with the most likely total being two goals, a 27% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 14% probability, and that is the only scoreline to be mentioned.
Torpedo Kutaisi, playing at home against a team of similar strength, averages 1.71 goals scored and 0.29 conceded. Dinamo Batumi, on the road against a comparable opponent, averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The suggested selections from the model are: Under 3.5 with a 75.7% chance, and Over 1.5 with a 72.6% chance, the latter marked as a miss.
With Dinamo Batumi on a three-game winning streak and Torpedo Kutaisi recently drawing, the contest remains uncertain, but the model’s pick points to an away win as the most likely outcome.
The pre-match favourite, Dinamo Batumi, slipped into a 0-0 draw, a shock that left the model’s prediction of an away win incorrect. The match ended in a stalemate, with the final score of 0-0 confirming the actual result of a draw. The model had chosen an away win with a 41% probability, but the outcome proved otherwise. Among the suggested picks, Under 3.5 goals hit with a 75.7% probability, while Over 1.5 missed despite a 72.6% chance. The game was a quiet affair, extending Torpedo Kutaisi’s recent draw and Dinamo Batumi’s three-game winning streak into a flat, goalless conclusion.
Torpedo Kutaisi| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.53 | 1.03 | 1.79 | 0.57 | 1.31 | 1.44 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (15) | 1.60 | 1.27 | 1.71 | 0.29 | 1.50 | 2.12 |
| vs Weaker (15) | 1.47 | 0.80 | 1.86 | 0.86 | 1.12 | 0.75 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+18pp vs league) | |||||
Dinamo Batumi| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 2.03 | 1.20 | 2.44 | 1.12 | 1.57 | 1.29 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 0.25 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 2.50 |
| vs Similar (14) | 2.07 | 1.21 | 2.75 | 1.38 | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (12) | 2.58 | 1.08 | 2.67 | 1.00 | 2.50 | 1.17 |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (-2pp vs league) | |||||
| Dinamo Batumi goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 14% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Batumi
Torpedo Kutaisi| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (44) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (23) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Weaker (21) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - |
| % under line | - | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | - | - |
Dinamo Batumi| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (48) | 7.5 | 8.5 | 6.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 27.0 | - | 27.0 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 7.5 | 8.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 27.0 | - | 27.0 |
| vs Similar (24) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Weaker (20) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 25% | 50% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 100% | - | 100% |
| % under line | 75% | 50% | 100% | 96% | 96% | 96% | 0% | - | 0% |
Torpedo Kutaisi| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.67 | 0.43 | 0.79 | 0.29 | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (15) | 0.67 | 0.60 | 0.86 | 0.14 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (15) | 0.67 | 0.27 | 0.71 | 0.43 | 0.62 | 0.12 |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+35pp vs league) | |||||
Dinamo Batumi| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 0.47 | 1.25 | 0.31 | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 0.00 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (14) | 1.00 | 0.43 | 1.50 | 0.38 | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (12) | 1.17 | 0.42 | 1.33 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+35pp vs league) | |||||
Torpedo Kutaisi| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.87 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.29 | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (15) | 0.93 | 0.67 | 0.86 | 0.14 | 1.00 | 1.12 |
| vs Weaker (15) | 0.80 | 0.53 | 1.14 | 0.43 | 0.50 | 0.62 |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+35pp vs league) | |||||
Dinamo Batumi| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.10 | 0.73 | 1.19 | 0.81 | 1.00 | 0.64 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (14) | 1.07 | 0.79 | 1.25 | 1.00 | 0.83 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (12) | 1.42 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+12pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 75.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 72.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✗ Miss |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/12/22 | A | 2-2 | |
| 18/09/22 | H | 1-0 | |
| 21/06/22 | A | 4-0 | |
| 23/04/22 | H | 0-3 |
Torpedo Kutaisi| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/23 | A | 0-2 | |
| 08/04/23 | A | 2-1 | |
| 01/04/23 | H | 2-1 | |
| 19/03/23 | A | 0-0 | |
| 12/03/23 | H | 3-1 | |
| 08/03/23 | A | 0-2 | |
| 04/03/23 | H | 0-0 | |
| 26/02/23 | A | 0-0 | |
| 03/12/22 | A | 2-2 | |
| 26/11/22 | H | 3-0 |
Dinamo Batumi| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/23 | H | 2-2 | |
| 08/04/23 | A | 1-4 | |
| 02/04/23 | H | 2-0 | |
| 18/03/23 | A | 1-4 | |
| 12/03/23 | H | 3-2 | |
| 08/03/23 | A | 1-1 | |
| 03/03/23 | H | 3-1 | |
| 26/02/23 | H | 2-1 | |
| 03/12/22 | H | 2-2 | |
| 26/11/22 | A | 1-4 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Dinamo Batumi | 36 | 74 | 58% | 2.1 | 83 | 41 | +42 | 3.4 | 94% | 69% | 47% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2.3 | 1.1 | - |
| 2 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 36 | 71 | 58% | 2.0 | 93 | 49 | +44 | 3.9 | 92% | 81% | 53% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2.6 | 1.4 | - |
| 3 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 36 | 60 | 44% | 1.7 | 55 | 37 | +18 | 2.6 | 67% | 53% | 31% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | - |
| 4 | Dila | 36 | 60 | 47% | 1.7 | 56 | 39 | +17 | 2.6 | 72% | 56% | 28% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | - |
| 5 | Samgurali | 36 | 57 | 44% | 1.6 | 53 | 51 | +2 | 2.9 | 72% | 56% | 36% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 1.4 | - |
| 6 | Saburtalo | 36 | 51 | 39% | 1.4 | 58 | 49 | +9 | 3.0 | 78% | 72% | 31% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | - |
| 7 | Telavi | 38 | 41 | 29% | 1.1 | 39 | 63 | -24 | 2.7 | 71% | 55% | 26% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | - |
| 8 | Gagra | 36 | 38 | 28% | 1.1 | 47 | 65 | -18 | 3.1 | 64% | 56% | 39% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | 1.8 | - |
| 9 | Samtredia | 38 | 36 | 26% | 0.9 | 55 | 66 | -11 | 3.2 | 82% | 58% | 39% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | - |
| 10 | Shukura | 36 | 17 | 11% | 0.5 | 38 | 112 | -74 | 4.2 | 89% | 75% | 53% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | 3.1 | - |
| 11 | Gareji | 2 | 3 | 50% | 1.5 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | - |
| 12 | Spaeri | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.5 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 3.0 | 100% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | - |