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Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Batumi Result & Analysis

Date: 11/05/2025
Time: 17:00
Final 1-0
Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Vs
37%
31%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Batumi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity will shape the early stages, with both sides averaging roughly 1.3 goals for and against at home or away. Torpedo Kutaisi, fresh from a 2-2 draw, is poised to leverage its balanced 1.29-goal per game attack and 1.29-conceded record, while Dinamo Batumi, riding a three-game winning streak, has a more modest 0.88-goal per game offense but a slightly better 1.12-conceded figure. The model favours a home win, assigning a 37% chance, with draws and away victories each at 31%. The expected total of 2.2 goals points to a tight affair, and the most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.7% probability. The single most likely total of two goals has a 28% chance. Suggested picks include Under 3.5, which the model rates at 81.3%. All probabilities are expressed as percentages, and every selection is listed with its exact figure.

Results analysis

The Pythia model nailed the match, with Torpedo Kutaisi’s win extending their recent form after a draw. The final score was 1-0, confirming the home victory that the model had predicted. The pre-match favourite was a home win at 37 percent, and the model’s call was correct. The only suggested pick was Under 3.5 goals, with an 81.3 percent probability, and it hit as the match produced just one goal. All selections were settled, and the outcome matched the model’s expectations.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torpedo Kutaisi win✓ Hit
37.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi win✗ Miss
31.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L11D22D20W11D21W01L31W10WH·DIL15/03A·DIN28/03H·SAM05/04A·KOL09/04H·DIN13/04A·GAR19/04H·GAG24/04H·SAB28/04A·TEL03/05A·DIL07/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.171.360.931.311.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.001.291.291.290.711.29
vs Weaker (16)1.621.061.430.571.781.44
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W11D20W20W20W11D11D11D23LH·TOR28/03H·DIN01/04A·DIL05/04H·TEL10/04H·SAM14/04A·KOL19/04A·DIN25/04H·GAR29/04A·GAG03/05H·SAB07/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.001.200.931.131.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.881.120.881.120.881.12
vs Weaker (14)1.500.861.570.711.431.00
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.7%
Under 1.5
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.6%
Under 2.5
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.7%
Under 3.5
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.5%
No
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.0%
1-0 ✓
11.2%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
7.8%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.0%
Torpedo Kutaisi goals ↓
Dinamo Batumi goals →
01234
012%10%6.0%2.1%0.6%
111%15%7.1%2.5%0.7%
27.4%7.8%4.1%1.5%0.4%
32.9%3.1%1.6%0.6%0.2%
40.8%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Torpedo Kutaisi goals (down), columns = Dinamo Batumi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Saburtalo
2.22
Dila
2.17
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.75
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.58
Spaeri
1.50
Gagra
1.19
Dinamo Batumi
1.19
Samgurali
1.17
Telavi
1.00
Meshakhte
1.00
Gareji
0.97
Kolkheti Poti
0.61
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.56 points better than Dinamo Batumi in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 1.19).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.75
Dila
1.75
Saburtalo
1.67
Spaeri
1.50
Samgurali
1.50
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.42
Gagra
1.22
Gareji
1.13
Dinamo Batumi
1.11
Telavi
1.00
Meshakhte
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
0.92
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.64 goals better than Dinamo Batumi in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 1.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Saburtalo
0.67
Dinamo Tbilisi
0.94
Dila
0.97
Spaeri
1.00
Meshakhte
1.00
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.14
Samgurali
1.47
Gareji
1.50
Gagra
1.53
Telavi
1.61
Dinamo Batumi
1.64
Kolkheti Poti
1.97
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.50 goals better than Dinamo Batumi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.64).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (24)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (26)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (2)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (26)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (22)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
10.2
Saburtalo
10.2
Dila
8.9
Dinamo Tbilisi
7.8
Dinamo Batumi
7.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
6.3
Dila
5.2
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.5
Dinamo Tbilisi
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dila
30.7
Torpedo Kutaisi
28.0
Dinamo Tbilisi
25.0
Dinamo Batumi
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D01L11D20W01L10W01L00D10WH·DIL15/03A·DIN28/03H·SAM05/04A·KOL09/04H·DIN13/04A·GAR19/04H·GAG24/04H·SAB28/04A·TEL03/05A·DIL07/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.570.500.430.560.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.570.710.570.570.570.86
vs Weaker (16)0.500.440.430.290.560.56
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W10W10W10W00D10W01L22DH·TOR28/03H·DIN01/04A·DIL05/04H·TEL10/04H·SAM14/04A·KOL19/04A·DIN25/04H·GAR29/04A·GAG03/05H·SAB07/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.300.870.270.530.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.620.250.750.380.500.12
vs Weaker (14)0.790.361.000.140.570.57
Clean sheet %77% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L10W11D00D10W11D00D31W00DH·DIL15/03A·DIN28/03H·SAM05/04A·KOL09/04H·DIN13/04A·GAR19/04H·GAG24/04H·SAB28/04A·TEL03/05A·DIL07/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.600.860.500.750.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.430.570.710.710.140.43
vs Weaker (16)1.120.621.000.291.220.89
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D01L10W10W10W11D01L10W01LH·TOR28/03H·DIN01/04A·DIL05/04H·TEL10/04H·SAM14/04A·KOL19/04A·DIN25/04H·GAR29/04A·GAG03/05H·SAB07/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.700.330.670.600.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.250.880.120.750.381.00
vs Weaker (14)0.710.500.570.570.860.43
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.581.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
MES (21)
€2m
SPA (20)
€2m
KP (3)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dinamo Batumi have a similar squad value (both €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
MES (7)
€1m
KP (2)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dinamo Batumi have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
MES (5)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dinamo Batumi have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
MES (9)
€1m
KP (1)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dinamo Batumi have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
TK wins
3
Draws
3
DB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Batumi · H/A from TK
DateH/AGameScore
28/03/25ADinamo Batumi Vs TK1-0
08/11/24HTK Vs Dinamo Batumi1-0
01/09/24ADinamo Batumi Vs TK1-1
15/05/24HTK Vs Dinamo Batumi1-0
29/03/24ADinamo Batumi Vs TK3-2
02/12/23ADinamo Batumi Vs TK2-2
28/09/23HTK Vs Dinamo Batumi0-3
01/06/23ADinamo Batumi Vs TK1-1

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/05/25ADila Vs TK0-1
03/05/25ATelavi Vs TK1-3
28/04/25HTK Vs Saburtalo0-1
24/04/25HTK Vs Gagra2-1
19/04/25AGareji Vs TK1-1
13/04/25HTK Vs Dinamo Tbilisi2-0
09/04/25AKolkheti Poti Vs TK2-2
05/04/25HTK Vs Samgurali1-1
28/03/25ADinamo Batumi Vs TK1-0
15/03/25HTK Vs Dila1-2

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/05/25HDB Vs Saburtalo2-3
03/05/25AGagra Vs DB1-1
29/04/25HDB Vs Gareji1-1
25/04/25ADinamo Tbilisi Vs DB1-1
19/04/25AKolkheti Poti Vs DB0-2
14/04/25HDB Vs Samgurali2-0
10/04/25HDB Vs Telavi2-0
05/04/25ADila Vs DB1-1
01/04/25HDB Vs Dinamo Tbilisi1-0
28/03/25HDB Vs Torpedo Kutaisi1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWW1.78
HomeLDWWL2.12
AwayLDDWW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%67%38%
AVG goals2.562.292.81
Over 1.5 %72%67%77%
Over 2.5 %50%42%58%
Over 3.5 %22%12%31%
Scored1.441.421.46
Conceded1.120.881.35
BTTS58%50%65%
Clean Sheet34%46%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Batumi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDDL1.48
HomeWWWDL1.56
AwayDDWDD1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals2.202.242.16
Over 1.5 %66%68%64%
Over 2.5 %34%28%40%
Over 3.5 %18%20%16%
Scored1.121.201.04
Conceded1.081.041.12
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SaburtaloSaburtalo3680
67%
2.2
6024+36
2.3
67%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.70.7
-
2DilaDila3678
69%
2.2
6335+28
2.7
69%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.81.0
-
3Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3663
50%
1.8
6341+22
2.9
78%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.81.1
-
4Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3657
42%
1.6
5134+17
2.4
72%
47%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3131.40.9
-
5GagraGagra3643
33%
1.2
4455-11
2.8
83%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.5
-
6Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3643
31%
1.2
4059-19
2.8
83%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.11.6
-
7SamguraliSamgurali3642
33%
1.2
5453+1
3.0
81%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.5
-
8TelaviTelavi3838
24%
1.0
3861-23
2.6
71%
47%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
9GarejiGareji3837
21%
1.0
4357-14
2.6
71%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
10Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti3622
14%
0.6
3371-38
2.9
78%
56%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
11SpaeriSpaeri23
50%
1.5
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.0
-
12MeshakhteMeshakhte22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.0
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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