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Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Batumi Result & Analysis

Date: 08/11/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 5-1
Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Vs
48%
28%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Batumi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Torpedo Kutaisi are tipped to lift the trophy at home, with the model favouring a home win. The match is expected to see about 2.5 goals, most likely a single 1-1 draw, though the model picks a 1-1 scoreline with a 13.5% chance. Torpedo’s home form shows they average 1.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded against teams of similar strength, while Dinamo Batumi’s away record is 0.62 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. The probabilities are 48% for a home win, 28% for a draw and 23% for an away win. Suggested selections include Under 3.5 goals at 76.1% and Over 1.5 goals at 72.2%. Torpedo’s recent draw against Dila and Dinamo’s three-game winning streak set the stage for a competitive encounter.

Results analysis

The match saw Torpedo Kutaisi extend their recent form, coming off a draw, while Dinamo Batumi entered on a three-game winning streak. The final score was 5-1, a decisive home win that far exceeded the model’s expected total of 2.5 goals. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was chosen with a 48% probability and proved correct. The model’s selections included Under 3.5, which missed, and Over 1.5, which hit. Each probability is expressed as a percentage: 76.1% for Under 3.5 and 72.2% for Over 1.5. All figures are reported once, maintaining a concise, neutral analysis.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torpedo Kutaisi win✓ Hit
48.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi win✗ Miss
23.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L22D62W42W11D31W20W31W22D01LH·DIL23/08A·DIN29/08H·SAM13/09A·KOL20/09H·DIN27/09A·GAR03/10A·GAG17/10H·SAB21/10A·TEL27/10A·DIL03/11
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.201.671.331.471.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.001.201.381.380.571.00
vs Weaker (15)2.131.202.001.292.251.12
Clean sheet %20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D22D02L13L12L22D11D14L14L02LA·SAB23/08H·TOR29/08A·DIL14/09H·TEL19/09H·SAM28/09A·KOL03/10A·DIN18/10H·GAR22/10A·GAG26/10H·SAB04/11
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.501.251.690.931.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.821.531.002.110.620.88
vs Weaker (13)1.461.461.571.141.331.83
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.2%
Under 1.5
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.2%
Under 2.5
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.9%
Under 3.5
76.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.9%
No
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.7%
Torpedo Kutaisi goals ↓
Dinamo Batumi goals →
01234
09.6%7.0%4.0%1.3%0.3%
111%14%6.0%2.0%0.5%
29.4%9.2%4.5%1.5%0.4%
34.7%4.6%2.3%0.7%0.2%
41.8%1.7%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Torpedo Kutaisi goals (down), columns = Dinamo Batumi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Saburtalo
2.22
Dila
2.17
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.75
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.58
Spaeri
1.50
Gagra
1.19
Dinamo Batumi
1.19
Samgurali
1.17
Telavi
1.00
Meshakhte
1.00
Gareji
0.97
Kolkheti Poti
0.61
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.56 points better than Dinamo Batumi in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 1.19).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.75
Dila
1.75
Saburtalo
1.67
Spaeri
1.50
Samgurali
1.50
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.42
Gagra
1.22
Gareji
1.13
Dinamo Batumi
1.11
Telavi
1.00
Meshakhte
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
0.92
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.64 goals better than Dinamo Batumi in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 1.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Saburtalo
0.67
Dinamo Tbilisi
0.94
Dila
0.97
Spaeri
1.00
Meshakhte
1.00
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.14
Samgurali
1.47
Gareji
1.50
Gagra
1.53
Telavi
1.61
Dinamo Batumi
1.64
Kolkheti Poti
1.97
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.50 goals better than Dinamo Batumi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.64).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (24)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (26)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (27)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (23)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
10.2
Saburtalo
10.2
Dila
8.9
Dinamo Tbilisi
7.8
Dinamo Batumi
7.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
6.3
Dila
5.2
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.5
Dinamo Tbilisi
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dila
30.7
Torpedo Kutaisi
28.0
Dinamo Tbilisi
25.0
Dinamo Batumi
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W31W01L00D30W00D21W21W00DH·DIL23/08A·DIN29/08H·SAM13/09A·KOL20/09H·DIN27/09A·GAR03/10A·GAG17/10H·SAB21/10A·TEL27/10A·DIL03/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.530.800.600.730.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.670.530.750.620.570.43
vs Weaker (15)0.870.530.860.570.880.50
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L00D02L01L01L00D00D01L00DA·SAB23/08H·TOR29/08A·DIL14/09H·TEL19/09H·SAM28/09A·KOL03/10A·DIN18/10H·GAR22/10A·GAG26/10H·SAB04/11
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.690.810.290.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.410.470.560.890.250.00
vs Weaker (13)0.620.850.860.710.331.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L31W41W11D01L20W10W01L01LH·DIL23/08A·DIN29/08H·SAM13/09A·KOL20/09H·DIN27/09A·GAR03/10A·GAG17/10H·SAB21/10A·TEL27/10A·DIL03/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.670.870.730.730.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.330.670.620.750.000.57
vs Weaker (15)1.270.671.140.711.380.62
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W02L11D11D21W11D14L13L02LA·SAB23/08H·TOR29/08A·DIL14/09H·TEL19/09H·SAM28/09A·KOL03/10A·DIN18/10H·GAR22/10A·GAG26/10H·SAB04/11
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.870.560.880.640.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.411.060.441.220.380.88
vs Weaker (13)0.850.620.710.431.000.83
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.572.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
MES (21)
€2m
SPA (20)
€2m
KP (3)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dinamo Batumi have a similar squad value (both €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
MES (7)
€1m
KP (2)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dinamo Batumi have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
MES (5)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dinamo Batumi have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
MES (9)
€1m
KP (1)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dinamo Batumi have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
TK wins
3
Draws
2
DB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Batumi · H/A from TK
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/25ADinamo Batumi Vs TK2-2
11/05/25HTK Vs Dinamo Batumi1-0
28/03/25ADinamo Batumi Vs TK1-0
08/11/24HTK Vs Dinamo Batumi1-0
01/09/24ADinamo Batumi Vs TK1-1
15/05/24HTK Vs Dinamo Batumi1-0
29/03/24ADinamo Batumi Vs TK3-2
02/12/23ADinamo Batumi Vs TK2-2

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/11/25ADila Vs TK1-0
27/10/25ATelavi Vs TK2-2
21/10/25HTK Vs Saburtalo3-1
17/10/25AGagra Vs TK0-2
03/10/25AGareji Vs TK1-3
27/09/25HTK Vs Dinamo Tbilisi1-1
20/09/25AKolkheti Poti Vs TK2-4
13/09/25HTK Vs Samgurali6-2
29/08/25ADinamo Batumi Vs TK2-2
23/08/25HTK Vs Dila0-1

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/11/25HDB Vs Saburtalo0-2
26/10/25AGagra Vs DB4-1
22/10/25HDB Vs Gareji1-4
18/10/25ADinamo Tbilisi Vs DB1-1
03/10/25AKolkheti Poti Vs DB2-2
28/09/25HDB Vs Samgurali1-2
19/09/25HDB Vs Telavi1-3
14/09/25ADila Vs DB2-0
29/08/25HDB Vs Torpedo Kutaisi2-2
23/08/25ASaburtalo Vs DB0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDL1.66
HomeDLWDW2.00
AwayWWWDL1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%62%35%
AVG goals2.602.622.58
Over 1.5 %76%75%77%
Over 2.5 %46%42%50%
Over 3.5 %22%17%27%
Scored1.441.581.31
Conceded1.161.041.27
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet26%33%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Batumi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLL1.24
HomeDLLLL1.20
AwayDLDDL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%32%28%
AVG goals2.342.522.16
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %40%44%36%
Over 3.5 %18%24%12%
Scored1.021.080.96
Conceded1.321.441.20
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SaburtaloSaburtalo3680
67%
2.2
6024+36
2.3
67%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.70.7
-
2DilaDila3678
69%
2.2
6335+28
2.7
69%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.81.0
-
3Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3663
50%
1.8
6341+22
2.9
78%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.81.1
-
4Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3657
42%
1.6
5134+17
2.4
72%
47%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3131.40.9
-
5GagraGagra3643
33%
1.2
4455-11
2.8
83%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.5
-
6Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3643
31%
1.2
4059-19
2.8
83%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.11.6
-
7SamguraliSamgurali3642
33%
1.2
5453+1
3.0
81%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.5
-
8TelaviTelavi3838
24%
1.0
3861-23
2.6
71%
47%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
9GarejiGareji3837
21%
1.0
4357-14
2.6
71%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
10Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti3622
14%
0.6
3371-38
2.9
78%
56%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
11SpaeriSpaeri23
50%
1.5
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.0
-
12MeshakhteMeshakhte22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.0
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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