Torpedo Kutaisi are the clear favorites, with a 56 % chance of victory, a 25 % chance of a draw and a 19 % chance of Dinamo Batumi winning. The model expects 2.8 goals in total, with the most probable total being two goals at a 25 % probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 11.9 % chance. Torpedo Kutaisi have been strong at home, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded against teams of similar strength, while Dinamo Batumi, playing away, average only 0.5 goals scored and 1.38 conceded to comparable opponents. The model’s selection is Over 1.5 goals, with a 78.1 % probability. The home win percentage is 56 %, the draw percentage 25 %, and the away win percentage 19 %. The only suggested pick is Over 1.5, with a 78.1 % probability.
Results analysis
Torpedo Kutaisi finished 2-3 against Dinamo Batumi (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 56% home win, 25% draw and 19% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (78%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Torpedo Kutaisi win✗ Miss
56.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi win✓ Hit
18.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Torpedo Kutaisi
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.30
2.13
1.40
1.53
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.68
1.36
2.20
1.60
1.25
1.17
vs Weaker (8)
2.25
1.12
2.00
1.00
2.67
1.33
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Batumi
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.97
1.36
2.29
0.88
1.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.88
2.00
1.22
2.56
0.50
1.38
vs Weaker (13)
1.38
1.92
1.60
1.80
1.25
2.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.3%
Under 2.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 3.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.5%
No
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
2-0
10.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.1%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.3%
Torpedo Kutaisi goals ↓
Dinamo Batumi goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
4.8%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
1
9.9%
12%
5.3%
1.7%
0.4%
2
10%
9.9%
4.8%
1.6%
0.4%
3
6.1%
6.0%
2.9%
1.0%
0.2%
4
2.8%
2.8%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Torpedo Kutaisi goals (down), columns = Dinamo Batumi goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Rustavi
2.57
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.00
Dinamo Batumi
1.86
Samgurali
1.86
Dila
1.67
Gagra
1.43
Saburtalo
1.40
Torpedo Kutaisi
0.71
Spaeri
0.43
Meshakhte
0.14
Torpedo Kutaisi is 1.14 points worse than Dinamo Batumi in terms of average points per game (0.71 vs 1.86).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.67
Dila
2.50
Dinamo Batumi
2.00
Samgurali
2.00
Rustavi
1.71
Saburtalo
1.60
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.43
Gagra
1.14
Spaeri
1.14
Meshakhte
0.71
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.57 goals worse than Dinamo Batumi in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Rustavi
0.71
Gagra
1.29
Dinamo Batumi
1.29
Saburtalo
1.60
Dila
1.67
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.83
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.86
Spaeri
1.86
Meshakhte
2.29
Samgurali
2.29
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.57 goals worse than Dinamo Batumi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.86 vs 1.29).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saburtalo
55%
Meshakhte
50%
Gagra
46%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Torpedo Kutaisi
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Dinamo Batumi
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Torpedo Kutaisi
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (34)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (16)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Batumi
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (22)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
10.2
Saburtalo
10.2
Dila
8.9
Dinamo Tbilisi
7.8
Dinamo Batumi
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
6.3
Dila
5.2
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.5
Dinamo Tbilisi
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dila
30.7
Torpedo Kutaisi
28.0
Dinamo Tbilisi
25.0
Dinamo Batumi
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Torpedo Kutaisi
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.60
1.07
0.67
0.80
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.95
0.59
1.10
0.70
0.83
0.50
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.62
1.00
0.60
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Batumi
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.87
0.86
0.93
0.25
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.82
0.78
1.00
0.12
0.62
vs Weaker (13)
0.62
0.92
1.00
0.80
0.38
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Torpedo Kutaisi
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.70
1.07
0.73
0.73
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.77
1.10
0.90
0.42
0.67
vs Weaker (8)
1.38
0.50
1.00
0.40
2.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Batumi
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.10
0.50
1.36
0.62
0.88
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.41
1.18
0.44
1.56
0.38
0.75
vs Weaker (13)
0.77
1.00
0.60
1.00
0.88
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 13. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (25)
€6m
TK (18)
€6m
DIL (15)
€3m
SPA (20)
€2m
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dinamo Batumi have a similar squad value (both €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
TK (5)
€2m
DIL (7)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
Torpedo Kutaisi's attack is €1m less valuable than Dinamo Batumi's (€2m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (6)
€1m
TK (4)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
DIL (2)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dinamo Batumi have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dinamo Batumi have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Rustavi
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dila
Gagra
Saburtalo
Spaeri
Meshakhte