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Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi Result & Analysis

Date: 24/05/2023
Time: 12:30
Final 2-3
Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Vs
28%
28%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Tbilisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Torpedo Kutaisi win✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi win✓ Hit
44.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W12L20W00D03L05L10W00D13L01LH·TEL01/04A·DIN08/04A·SHU12/04H·DIN21/04H·SAB25/04A·DIL30/04H·SAM06/05A·GAG10/05H·SAM14/05A·TEL20/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.931.270.871.071.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.921.150.710.571.171.83
vs Weaker (17)1.350.761.751.121.000.44
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W21W22D13L12L20W00D12L61W44DA·SHU02/04H·TOR08/04A·DIN12/04H·SAB21/04H·DIL25/04A·SAM30/04H·GAG06/05A·SAM10/05H·TEL14/05H·SHU20/05
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.231.002.530.931.931.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)2.001.292.141.571.861.00
vs Weaker (16)2.440.752.880.382.001.12
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.4%
Under 1.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.7%
Under 2.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.6%
Under 3.5
71.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.3%
No
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
9.1%
0-0
7.9%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
Torpedo Kutaisi goals ↓
Dinamo Tbilisi goals →
01234
07.9%9.1%7.9%4.0%1.5%
16.7%13%9.2%4.7%1.8%
24.6%7.0%5.4%2.8%1.1%
31.8%2.8%2.1%1.1%0.4%
40.5%0.8%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Torpedo Kutaisi goals (down), columns = Dinamo Tbilisi goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dinamo Batumi
2.06
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.97
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.67
Dila
1.67
Samgurali
1.58
Gareji
1.50
Saburtalo
1.42
Telavi
1.08
Gagra
1.06
Samtredia
0.95
Spaeri
0.50
Shukura
0.47
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.31 points worse than Dinamo Tbilisi in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.97).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.58
Dinamo Batumi
2.31
Gareji
2.00
Saburtalo
1.61
Dila
1.56
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.53
Samgurali
1.47
Samtredia
1.45
Gagra
1.31
Shukura
1.06
Telavi
1.03
Spaeri
0.50
Torpedo Kutaisi is 1.06 goals worse than Dinamo Tbilisi in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 2.58).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.03
Dila
1.08
Dinamo Batumi
1.14
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.36
Saburtalo
1.36
Samgurali
1.42
Telavi
1.66
Samtredia
1.74
Gagra
1.81
Gareji
2.50
Spaeri
2.50
Shukura
3.11
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.33 goals better than Dinamo Tbilisi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.36).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (25)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (25)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.06.010.00.10.00.2---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (26)8.06.010.00.20.00.3---
vs Weaker (24)---0.00.00.0---
% over line50%0%100%2%0%4%---
% under line50%100%0%98%100%96%---
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Saburtalo
10.2
Dinamo Tbilisi
8.0
Dinamo Batumi
7.5
Dila
7.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dila
5.5
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.7
Dinamo Tbilisi
4.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dinamo Batumi
27.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W00D02L01L00D00D02L00DH·TEL01/04A·DIN08/04A·SHU12/04H·DIN21/04H·SAB25/04A·DIL30/04H·SAM06/05A·GAG10/05H·SAM14/05A·TEL20/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.470.530.530.470.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.380.620.430.430.330.83
vs Weaker (17)0.590.350.620.620.560.11
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W12L10W00D10W00D01L30W23LA·SHU02/04H·TOR08/04A·DIN12/04H·SAB21/04H·DIL25/04A·SAM30/04H·GAG06/05A·SAM10/05H·TEL14/05H·SHU20/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.501.270.270.870.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.860.710.860.570.860.86
vs Weaker (16)1.250.311.620.000.880.62
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W11D10W00D01L04L10W00D11D01LH·TEL01/04A·DIN08/04A·SHU12/04H·DIN21/04H·SAB25/04A·DIL30/04H·SAM06/05A·GAG10/05H·SAM14/05A·TEL20/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.470.730.330.600.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.540.540.290.140.831.00
vs Weaker (17)0.760.411.120.500.440.33
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D10W03L12L10W00D11D31W21WA·SHU02/04H·TOR08/04A·DIN12/04H·SAB21/04H·DIL25/04A·SAM30/04H·GAG06/05A·SAM10/05H·TEL14/05H·SHU20/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.501.270.671.070.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.140.571.291.001.000.14
vs Weaker (16)1.190.441.250.381.120.50
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dinamo Tbilisi have a similar squad value (both €7m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dinamo Tbilisi have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi's midfield is €2m more valuable than Dinamo Tbilisi's (€2m vs €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi's defence is €1m less valuable than Dinamo Tbilisi's (€2m vs €3m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
0
TK wins
1
Draws
4
DT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi · H/A from TK
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/23ADinamo Tbilisi Vs TK2-1
02/10/22HTK Vs Dinamo Tbilisi0-0
25/06/22ADinamo Tbilisi Vs TK5-1
29/04/22HTK Vs Dinamo Tbilisi0-3
25/02/22ADinamo Tbilisi Vs TK4-0

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/23ATelavi Vs TK1-0
14/05/23HTK Vs Samgurali1-3
10/05/23AGagra Vs TK0-0
06/05/23HTK Vs Samtredia1-0
30/04/23ADila Vs TK5-0
25/04/23HTK Vs Saburtalo0-3
21/04/23HTK Vs Dinamo Batumi0-0
12/04/23AShukura Vs TK0-2
08/04/23ADinamo Tbilisi Vs TK2-1
01/04/23HTK Vs Telavi2-1

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/23HDT Vs Shukura4-4
14/05/23HDT Vs Telavi6-1
10/05/23ASamgurali Vs DT2-1
06/05/23HDT Vs Gagra0-0
30/04/23ASamtredia Vs DT0-2
25/04/23HDT Vs Dila1-2
21/04/23HDT Vs Saburtalo1-3
12/04/23ADinamo Batumi Vs DT2-2
08/04/23HDT Vs Torpedo Kutaisi2-1
02/04/23AShukura Vs DT1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLL1.48
HomeWDLWL1.76
AwayLWLDL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%52%28%
AVG goals2.402.362.44
Over 1.5 %68%60%76%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.201.321.08
Conceded1.201.041.36
BTTS34%36%32%
Clean Sheet42%40%44%
Corners---
Cards---
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Tbilisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWD2.10
HomeLLDWD2.16
AwayDWDWL2.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%64%60%
AVG goals3.163.323.00
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %62%72%52%
Over 3.5 %34%44%24%
Scored2.142.401.88
Conceded1.020.921.12
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet40%44%36%
Corners8.006.0010.00
Cards4.00-4.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3674
58%
2.1
8341+42
3.4
94%
69%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.31.1
-
2Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3671
58%
2.0
9349+44
3.9
92%
81%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.61.4
-
3Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3660
44%
1.7
5537+18
2.6
67%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.51.0
-
4DilaDila3660
47%
1.7
5639+17
2.6
72%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.61.1
-
5SamguraliSamgurali3657
44%
1.6
5351+2
2.9
72%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.4
-
6SaburtaloSaburtalo3651
39%
1.4
5849+9
3.0
78%
72%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.61.4
-
7TelaviTelavi3841
29%
1.1
3963-24
2.7
71%
55%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
8GagraGagra3638
28%
1.1
4765-18
3.1
64%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.8
-
9SamtrediaSamtredia3836
26%
0.9
5566-11
3.2
82%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10ShukuraShukura3617
11%
0.5
38112-74
4.2
89%
75%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.1
-
11GarejiGareji23
50%
1.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.5
-
12SpaeriSpaeri21
0%
0.5
15-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.52.5
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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