PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra Result & Analysis

Date: 28/05/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 1-2
Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Vs
57%
24%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Gagra
Gagra
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Torpedo Kutaisi win✗ Miss
57.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gagra win✓ Hit
19.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W20W31W22D01L51W42W40W22D21WA·GAR03/10A·GAG17/10H·SAB21/10A·TEL27/10A·DIL03/11H·DIN08/11A·SAM22/11H·KOL26/11A·DIN30/11H·GAR06/12
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.232.071.331.671.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.321.321.601.501.001.11
vs Weaker (11)2.821.093.001.002.671.17
Clean sheet %20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Gagra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GagraGagra

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L02L05L41W11D13L42W41W12L12LH·SAB03/10H·TOR17/10A·DIL21/10H·DIN26/10A·SAM02/11H·KOL07/11A·DIN21/11H·GAR25/11H·TEL01/12A·SAB06/12
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.501.431.291.251.69
vs Stronger (16)1.121.811.001.431.222.11
vs Similar (14)1.571.141.861.141.291.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.0%
Under 1.5
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.0%
Under 2.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.6%
Under 3.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.9%
No
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
1-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
3-0
6.1%
0-0
5.7%
1-2 ✓
5.4%
Torpedo Kutaisi goals ↓
Gagra goals →
01234
05.7%4.1%2.7%1.0%0.3%
18.3%11%5.4%1.9%0.5%
29.2%9.9%5.4%1.9%0.5%
36.1%6.6%3.5%1.3%0.3%
43.0%3.2%1.8%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Torpedo Kutaisi goals (down), columns = Gagra goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rustavi
2.38
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.14
Dinamo Batumi
2.00
Samgurali
1.75
Gagra
1.62
Dila
1.43
Saburtalo
1.17
Torpedo Kutaisi
0.62
Meshakhte
0.50
Spaeri
0.38
Torpedo Kutaisi is 1.00 points worse than Gagra in terms of average points per game (0.62 vs 1.62).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.57
Dila
2.29
Dinamo Batumi
2.12
Samgurali
1.88
Rustavi
1.62
Saburtalo
1.33
Gagra
1.25
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.25
Spaeri
1.00
Meshakhte
0.88
Torpedo Kutaisi and Gagra are level in goals scored per game (both 1.25).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Rustavi
0.75
Gagra
1.12
Dinamo Batumi
1.12
Saburtalo
1.67
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.71
Dila
1.71
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.88
Spaeri
2.00
Meshakhte
2.00
Samgurali
2.12
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.75 goals worse than Gagra in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 1.12).

⏱ïļ Possession

Avg possession %
Saburtalo
55%
Meshakhte
50%
Gagra
46%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

GagraGagra

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (28)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (22)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Gagra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GagraGagra

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (30)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (19)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (1)---0.00.0----
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
10.2
Saburtalo
10.2
Dila
8.9
Dinamo Tbilisi
7.8
Dinamo Batumi
7.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
6.3
Dila
5.2
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.5
Dinamo Tbilisi
3.2

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dila
30.7
Torpedo Kutaisi
28.0
Dinamo Tbilisi
25.0
Dinamo Batumi
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W00D21W21W00D41W11D20W11D00DA·GAR03/10A·GAG17/10H·SAB21/10A·TEL27/10A·DIL03/11H·DIN08/11A·SAM22/11H·KOL26/11A·DIN30/11H·GAR06/12
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.531.000.600.800.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.840.580.800.700.890.44
vs Weaker (11)1.000.451.400.400.670.50
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Gagra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GagraGagra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D00D10W00D01L21W20W11D01LH·SAB03/10H·TOR17/10A·DIL21/10H·DIN26/10A·SAM02/11H·KOL07/11A·DIN21/11H·GAR25/11H·TEL01/12A·SAB06/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.670.640.500.380.81
vs Stronger (16)0.500.690.570.430.440.89
vs Similar (14)0.500.640.710.570.290.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W10W01L01L10W31W20W11D21WA·GAR03/10A·GAG17/10H·SAB21/10A·TEL27/10A·DIL03/11H·DIN08/11A·SAM22/11H·KOL26/11A·DIN30/11H·GAR06/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.701.070.730.870.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.470.740.800.800.110.67
vs Weaker (11)1.820.641.600.602.000.67
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Gagra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GagraGagra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L02L05L31W11D12L21W21W01L11DH·SAB03/10H·TOR17/10A·DIL21/10H·DIN26/10A·SAM02/11H·KOL07/11A·DIN21/11H·GAR25/11H·TEL01/12A·SAB06/12
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.830.790.790.880.88
vs Stronger (16)0.621.120.431.000.781.22
vs Similar (14)1.070.501.140.571.000.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
RUS (22)
€2m
MES (21)
€2m
SPA (20)
€2m
Torpedo Kutaisi's squad is €4m more valuable than Gagra's (€7m vs €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
RUS (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
MES (7)
€1m
Torpedo Kutaisi's attack is €2m more valuable than Gagra's (€2m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
MES (5)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
RUS (4)
€0m
SPA (4)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi's midfield is €2m more valuable than Gagra's (€2m vs €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
RUS (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
MES (9)
€1m
Torpedo Kutaisi's defence is €1m more valuable than Gagra's (€2m vs €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
8
TK wins
0
Draws
0
GAG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra · H/A from TK
DateH/AGameScore
17/10/25AGagra Vs TK0-2
03/08/25HTK Vs Gagra2-1
24/04/25HTK Vs Gagra2-1
01/03/25AGagra Vs TK1-2
27/11/24HTK Vs Gagra2-0
22/09/24AGagra Vs TK0-3
24/05/24HTK Vs Gagra2-1
07/04/24AGagra Vs TK0-1

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/12/25HTK Vs Gareji2-1
30/11/25ADinamo Tbilisi Vs TK2-2
26/11/25HTK Vs Kolkheti Poti4-0
22/11/25ASamgurali Vs TK2-4
08/11/25HTK Vs Dinamo Batumi5-1
03/11/25ADila Vs TK1-0
27/10/25ATelavi Vs TK2-2
21/10/25HTK Vs Saburtalo3-1
17/10/25AGagra Vs TK0-2
03/10/25AGareji Vs TK1-3

GagraGagra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/12/25ASaburtalo Vs GAG2-1
01/12/25HGAG Vs Telavi1-2
25/11/25HGAG Vs Gareji4-1
21/11/25ADinamo Tbilisi Vs GAG2-4
07/11/25HGAG Vs Kolkheti Poti1-3
02/11/25ASamgurali Vs GAG1-1
26/10/25HGAG Vs Dinamo Batumi4-1
21/10/25ADila Vs GAG5-0
17/10/25HGAG Vs Torpedo Kutaisi0-2
03/10/25HGAG Vs Saburtalo1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.66
HomeDWWWW2.00
AwayWDLWD1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%62%35%
AVG goals2.842.922.77
Over 1.5 %78%79%77%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %30%25%35%
Scored1.601.831.38
Conceded1.241.081.38
BTTS58%54%62%
Clean Sheet22%29%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Gagra
Gagra
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLL1.18
HomeLWLWL1.08
AwayLLDWL1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%27%38%
AVG goals2.782.652.92
Over 1.5 %84%85%83%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.201.151.25
Conceded1.581.501.67
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet22%19%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RustaviRustavi819
75%
2.4
136+7
2.4
75%
62%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.60.8
-
2Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi816
62%
2.0
179+8
3.2
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.11.1
-
3Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi715
71%
2.1
1812+6
4.3
100%
100%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.61.7
-
4SamguraliSamgurali814
50%
1.8
1517-2
4.0
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.92.1
-
5GagraGagra813
38%
1.6
109+1
2.4
88%
50%
12%
5.0
0%
3.0
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.1
46%
6DilaDila710
43%
1.4
1612+4
4.0
100%
100%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.31.7
-
7SaburtaloSaburtalo67
33%
1.2
810-2
3.0
83%
50%
17%
5.0
0%
7.0
100%
-
0%
6
3221.31.7
55%
8Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi85
12%
0.6
1015-5
3.1
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.21.9
-
9MeshakhteMeshakhte84
12%
0.5
716-9
2.9
75%
50%
25%
5.0
0%
5.0
50%
-
0%
2
1110.92.0
50%
10SpaeriSpaeri83
0%
0.4
816-8
3.0
88%
62%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.02.0
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

← all matches