Torpedo Kutaisi are the clear favourite, with the model assigning a 71% chance of a home win, 20% for a draw and 8% for Meshakhte to triumph. The prediction favours a 2-0 victory, the most likely scoreline with a 15.1% probability, and the expected total goals is 2.6, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 26% chance. Torpedo’s home form is strong against weaker opponents, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.12 conceded, while Meshakhte’s away record against stronger sides is weak, with only 0.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. The model’s selections include Away under 3.5 goals (99.7%), Under 7.5 (99.4%), Under 11.5 corners (99.4% with a 19% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.0%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.8%), Under 6.5 (98.1%), Home +2 handicap (97.9%) and Away under 2.5 goals (97.9%). Torpedo’s recent draw against Dila and Meshakhte’s four-game losing streak after a 0-1 loss to Dinamo Batumi underline the home side’s advantage and the model’s confidence in a decisive home win.
Results analysis
In a shock to the model’s expectations, Meshakhte snatched a 2-0 away win, ending Torpedo Kutaisi’s brief run of defeats. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was given a 71% probability, but the outcome proved the opposite, so the model’s pick was wrong. The model’s other selections all hit: Away under 3.5 goals at 99.7%, Under 7.5 at 99.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.8%, Under 6.5 at 98.1%, and Away under 2.5 goals at 97.9%. Only Home +2 handicap, with a 97.9% probability, missed. The final score of 0-2 confirmed the unexpected away triumph.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Torpedo Kutaisi win✗ Miss
71.3%
Avg Implied 65.3% · @ 1.38
Edge
+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.48
Marathonbet
1.41
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.39
10Bet
1.36
Draw✗ Miss
20.3%
Avg Implied 20.5% · @ 4.38
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.75
Dafabet
4.70
Superbet
4.40
1xBet
4.40
10Bet
4.40
Meshakhte win✓ Hit
8.5%
Avg Implied 14.2% · @ 6.34
Edge
-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
7.50
Betfair
7.00
Dafabet
6.80
William Hil
6.50
10Bet
6.25
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Torpedo Kutaisi
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.50
2.19
1.62
1.64
1.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.63
1.63
2.10
2.00
1.11
1.22
vs Weaker (11)
2.45
1.27
2.33
1.00
2.60
1.60
Clean sheet %
13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Meshakhte) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Meshakhte
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.13
1.07
1.13
0.80
1.13
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
2.00
0.67
2.33
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (21)
0.86
1.00
0.90
1.00
0.82
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.33
2.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.0%
@ 1.16-2.9%
Under 1.5
25.0%
@ 4.08+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Under
1xBet
4.15
Superbet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.3%
@ 1.56-9.7%
Under 2.5
50.7%
@ 2.24+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.62
1xBet
1.59
Superbet
1.58
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.50
Under
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.25
Superbet
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Betano
2.15
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.4%
@ 2.35-11.2%
Under 3.5
72.6%
@ 1.48+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.46
Superbet
2.42
1xBet
2.38
10Bet
2.25
Betano
2.22
Under
Betano
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.43
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
39.4%
@ 1.78-12.1%
No
60.6%
@ 1.89+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
1.81
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
William Hil
1.75
No
Superbet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
15.1%@ 6.54+8.8%
1-0
13.8%@ 7.01+7.9%
3-0
10.4%@ 8.30+5.4%
1-1
9.4%@ 7.96+4.2%
2-1
8.8%@ 7.34+3.2%
0-0
8.0%@ 13.29+4.8%
3-1
6.1%@ 9.74+1.8%
4-0
5.4%@ 13.71+2.3%
Torpedo Kutaisi goals ↓
Meshakhte goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.0%
3.3%
1.2%
0.2%
0.0%
1
14%
9.4%
2.5%
0.5%
0.1%
2
15%
8.8%
2.6%
0.5%
0.1%
3
10%
6.1%
1.8%
0.3%
0.1%
4
5.4%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Torpedo Kutaisi goals (down), columns = Meshakhte goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Rustavi
2.38
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.14
Dinamo Batumi
2.00
Samgurali
1.75
Gagra
1.62
Dila
1.43
Saburtalo
1.17
Torpedo Kutaisi
0.62
Meshakhte
0.50
Spaeri
0.38
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.12 points better than Meshakhte in terms of average points per game (0.62 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.57
Dila
2.29
Dinamo Batumi
2.12
Samgurali
1.88
Rustavi
1.62
Saburtalo
1.33
Gagra
1.25
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.25
Spaeri
1.00
Meshakhte
0.88
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.38 goals better than Meshakhte in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 0.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Rustavi
0.75
Gagra
1.12
Dinamo Batumi
1.12
Saburtalo
1.67
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.71
Dila
1.71
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.88
Spaeri
2.00
Meshakhte
2.00
Samgurali
2.12
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.12 goals better than Meshakhte in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saburtalo
55%
Meshakhte
50%
Gagra
46%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Torpedo Kutaisi
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Meshakhte
For 3.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Torpedo Kutaisi
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (22)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Meshakhte) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Meshakhte
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (45)
5.0
5.0
5.0
0.2
0.1
0.3
-
-
-
vs Stronger (8)
5.0
-
5.0
0.9
0.0
1.8
-
-
-
vs Similar (33)
5.0
5.0
-
0.1
0.2
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
5%
-
-
-
% under line
100%
100%
100%
98%
100%
95%
-
-
-
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
10.2
Saburtalo
9.0
Dila
8.9
Dinamo Tbilisi
7.8
Dinamo Batumi
7.0
Meshakhte
5.0
Gagra
5.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
6.3
Dila
5.2
Meshakhte
5.0
Saburtalo
4.9
Dinamo Batumi
4.5
Dinamo Tbilisi
3.2
Gagra
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dila
30.7
Saburtalo
30.0
Torpedo Kutaisi
28.0
Dinamo Tbilisi
25.0
Dinamo Batumi
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
3.4%
@ 2.31-36.4%
Under 9.5
96.6%
@ 1.53+36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.31
Under
1xBet
1.53
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
82.1%
Under 3.5
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Torpedo Kutaisi or Draw✗ Miss
91.5%
Avg Implied 86.5% · @ 1.06
Edge
+5.1%
71%
20%
8%
covers Torpedo Kutaisi + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Torpedo Kutaisi or Meshakhte✓ Hit
79.7%
Avg Implied 80.8% · @ 1.14
Edge
-1.0%
71%
20%
8%
covers Torpedo Kutaisi + Meshakhte
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Draw or Meshakhte✓ Hit
28.7%
Avg Implied 32.7% · @ 2.81
Edge
-4.0%
71%
20%
8%
covers Draw + Meshakhte
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.10
10Bet
2.88
William Hil
2.80
1xBet
2.74
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
87.3%
@ 1.05-0.1%
Under
12.7%
@ 7.30+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.05
Under
1xBet
7.30
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
61.1%
@ 1.47-1.8%
Under
38.9%
@ 2.49+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.49
1xBet
1.45
Under
1xBet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.38
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
34.0%
@ 2.49-2.8%
Under
66.0%
@ 1.45+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.48
Under
Marathonbet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
15.4%
@ 4.10-6.9%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.18+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.10
Under
1xBet
1.18
Meshakhte over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
44.2%
@ 1.62-12.0%
Under
55.8%
@ 2.08+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.59
Under
Marathonbet
2.13
1xBet
2.03
Meshakhte over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
11.6%
@ 4.14-10.5%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.18+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.30
Marathonbet
3.98
Under
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Meshakhte over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Meshakhte over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.3%
Under
99.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Torpedo Kutaisi, so a minus line means Torpedo Kutaisi give that many goals of a start and Meshakhte receive them. At -1, Torpedo Kutaisi must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Torpedo Kutaisi win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Torpedo Kutaisi)Actual: Meshakhte
Torpedo Kutaisi -2
24.6%
@ 3.30-2.5%
Draw -2
22.1%
@ 4.05+0.0%
Meshakhte +2
53.3%
@ 1.76+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.70
10Bet
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Draw
Marathonbet
4.25
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Away
10Bet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Marathonbet
1.60
Handicap -1 (Torpedo Kutaisi)Actual: Meshakhte
Torpedo Kutaisi -1
46.7%
@ 2.02+3.1%
Draw -1
24.5%
@ 3.58-0.1%
Meshakhte +1
28.7%
@ 2.79-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.16
10Bet
2.00
Betfair
1.91
Draw
10Bet
3.65
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.50
Away
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
2.88
Marathonbet
2.49
Handicap +1 (Torpedo Kutaisi)Actual: Meshakhte
Torpedo Kutaisi +1
91.5%
Draw +1
6.3%
Meshakhte -1
2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Torpedo Kutaisi)Actual: Draw
Torpedo Kutaisi +2
97.9%
Draw +2
1.8%
Meshakhte -2
0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Torpedo Kutaisi
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.70
1.19
0.75
0.71
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.00
0.74
1.20
0.90
0.78
0.56
vs Weaker (11)
0.91
0.64
1.17
0.50
0.60
0.80
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Meshakhte) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Meshakhte
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.47
0.33
0.47
0.33
0.47
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.00
0.00
1.33
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (21)
0.38
0.33
0.40
0.30
0.36
0.36
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
76.4%
@ 1.27+4.6%
Under 0.5
23.6%
@ 3.23-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.50
William Hil
3.30
1xBet
3.08
Marathonbet
3.04
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
41.3%
@ 2.24+0.8%
Under 1.5
58.7%
@ 1.52-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.36
1xBet
2.31
William Hil
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.18
Under
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.55
William Hil
1.55
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.6%
@ 5.23+0.0%
Under 2.5
82.4%
@ 1.12-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.20
William Hil
5.00
Under
Betfair
1.13
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
67.8%
@ 1.49+5.8%
Under
32.2%
@ 2.44-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.49
Under
1xBet
2.44
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
30.4%
@ 3.44+3.8%
Under
69.6%
@ 1.25-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.58
1xBet
3.30
Under
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.22
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.8%
@ 9.00-0.4%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.02+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.00
Under
1xBet
1.02
Meshakhte over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
31.4%
@ 2.82-1.1%
Under
68.6%
@ 1.36+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.85
Marathonbet
2.79
Under
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.35
Meshakhte over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.7%
@ 10.00-3.5%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.01+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Meshakhte over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Torpedo Kutaisi
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.80
1.00
0.88
0.93
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.89
0.90
1.10
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (11)
1.55
0.64
1.17
0.50
2.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Meshakhte) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Meshakhte
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.73
0.67
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.67
0.50
0.70
0.45
0.64
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
85.9%
@ 1.18+7.1%
Under 0.5
14.1%
@ 4.35-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.15
Under
1xBet
4.70
William Hil
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
53.1%
@ 1.82+2.7%
Under 1.5
46.9%
@ 1.85-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.85
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.79
Under
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.86
William Hil
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
25.3%
@ 3.60-0.3%
Under 2.5
74.7%
@ 1.24+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.80
1xBet
3.40
Under
1xBet
1.25
William Hil
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
76.6%
@ 1.32+6.5%
Under
23.4%
@ 3.10-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.32
Under
1xBet
3.10
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
40.8%
@ 2.53+4.5%
Under
59.2%
@ 1.44-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.56
1xBet
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.41
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.3%
@ 5.90+1.9%
Under
82.7%
@ 1.08-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.90
Under
1xBet
1.08
Meshakhte over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
35.5%
@ 2.37-3.3%
Under
64.5%
@ 1.50+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.44
Marathonbet
2.29
Under
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.49
Meshakhte over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
7.0%
@ 8.45-3.8%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.00
Marathonbet
7.90
Under
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Meshakhte over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
99.4%
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-
-
+18.8%
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.8%
1.02
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
-
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.3%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
93.0%
1.02
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+3.8%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
91.5%
1.06
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
+5.1%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 HT goals
90.2%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
-
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
88.4%
1.18
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.16
-
-
-
+10.5%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
87.3%
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
-
-
-0.1%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
87.1%
1.16
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
-
-
+9.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
85.9%
1.18
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.15
-
-
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
84.6%
1.18
1xBet
1.18
-
-
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
82.7%
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-
-
-
-
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
82.4%
1.12
Betfair
1.13
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-0.0%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
79.7%
1.14
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.13
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals
76.6%
1.32
1xBet
1.32
-
-
-
-
+6.5%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
76.4%
1.27
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
-
+4.6%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
75.0%
1.16
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.15
-
-
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
74.7%
1.24
1xBet
1.25
William Hil
1.22
-
-
-
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.6%
1.48
Betano
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.43
+11.2%
✓ Hit
Home win
71.3%
1.38
Bet365
1.48
Marathonbet
1.41
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.39
10Bet
1.36
+6.0%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
RUS (22)
€2m
MES (21)
€2m
SPA (20)
€2m
Torpedo Kutaisi's squad is €5m more valuable than Meshakhte's (€7m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
RUS (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
MES (7)
€1m
Torpedo Kutaisi's attack is €2m more valuable than Meshakhte's (€2m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
MES (5)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
RUS (4)
€0m
SPA (4)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi's midfield is €1m more valuable than Meshakhte's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
RUS (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
MES (9)
€1m
Torpedo Kutaisi's defence is €2m more valuable than Meshakhte's (€2m vs €1m).
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →