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Toulouse vs Marseille Result & Analysis

Date: 07/03/2026
Time: 20:05
Final 0-1
Toulouse
Toulouse
Vs
38%
25%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Marseille
Marseille
France: Ligue 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toulouse win✗ Miss
38.5%
Avg Implied 31.9% · @ 2.93
Edge
+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied 27.0% · @ 3.46
Edge
-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Marseille win✓ Hit
36.8%
Avg Implied 41.0% · @ 2.28
Edge
-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ToulouseToulouse

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D51W20W00D10W01L12L11D01L22DA·ANG10/01H·NIC17/01A·STA25/01H·AUX01/02H·AMI04/02A·ANG08/02A·LE 15/02H·PAR21/02A·REN28/02A·MAR04/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.171.571.211.311.12
vs Stronger (6)1.672.333.006.001.401.60
vs Similar (23)1.390.911.500.921.270.91
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Marseille) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarseilleMarseille

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L31W03L22D30W05L22D02L32W22DH·LIV21/01H·LEN24/01A·CLU28/01A·PAR31/01H·REN03/02A·PAR08/02H·STR14/02A·STA20/02H·LYO01/03H·TOU04/03
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.371.432.201.332.531.53
vs Stronger (2)0.503.50--0.503.50
vs Similar (16)1.941.382.001.111.861.71
vs Weaker (12)3.251.172.501.674.000.67
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%121%222%318%412%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
85.9%
Under 1.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
65.4%
@ 1.81+13.8%
Under 2.5
34.6%
@ 1.93-13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.5%
Under 3.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.3%
No
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
2-0
5.0%
1-0
4.9%
0-2
4.8%
0-1 ✓
4.8%
Toulouse goals ↓
Marseille goals →
01234
04.4%4.8%4.8%2.6%1.1%
14.9%11%8.1%4.5%1.9%
25.0%8.3%6.9%3.8%1.6%
32.8%4.7%3.9%2.2%0.9%
41.2%2.0%1.7%0.9%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Toulouse goals (down), columns = Marseille goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.24
Lens
2.06
Rodez
2.00
Lille
1.79
Lyon
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Marseille
1.74
Monaco
1.59
Strasbourg
1.56
Toulouse
1.33
Lorient
1.32
Paris FC
1.29
Stade Brestois 29
1.15
Angers
1.06
Le Havre
1.03
Auxerre
1.00
Nice
1.00
Nantes
0.70
Saint Etienne
0.67
Metz
0.50
RED Star FC 93
0.00
Toulouse is 0.40 points worse than Marseille in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.74).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.18
RED Star FC 93
2.00
Lens
1.94
Marseille
1.85
Monaco
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Strasbourg
1.71
Lyon
1.56
Lille
1.53
Rodez
1.50
Toulouse
1.42
Lorient
1.41
Paris FC
1.38
Stade Brestois 29
1.26
Nice
1.14
Auxerre
1.00
Metz
0.94
Le Havre
0.94
Nantes
0.88
Angers
0.85
Saint Etienne
0.33
Toulouse is 0.43 goals worse than Marseille in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.85).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Paris Saint Germain
0.85
Rodez
1.00
Lens
1.03
Lille
1.09
Lyon
1.18
Auxerre
1.29
Le Havre
1.29
Marseille
1.32
Saint Etienne
1.33
Strasbourg
1.38
Toulouse
1.39
Angers
1.41
Rennes
1.47
Paris FC
1.47
Lorient
1.50
Nantes
1.58
Monaco
1.59
Stade Brestois 29
1.62
Nice
1.69
Metz
2.24
RED Star FC 93
3.00
Toulouse is 0.07 goals worse than Marseille in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Paris Saint Germain
69%
RED Star FC 93
63%
Marseille
57%
Lille
56%
Lyon
55%
Monaco
54%
Strasbourg
54%
Rennes
54%
Saint Etienne
52%
Lens
51%
Paris FC
50%
Metz
49%
Le Havre
47%
Nice
47%
Lorient
45%
Auxerre
44%
Stade Brestois 29
43%
Toulouse
42%
Nantes
42%
Angers
42%
Rodez
38%
Toulouse is 14.7 percentage points worse than Marseille in terms of average possession (42% vs 57%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ToulouseToulouse

For 5.9 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

1506616123101536454236761127151181095137A·MARA·RENH·PARA·LE A·ANGH·AMIH·AUXA·STAH·NICA·ANG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

80223125432311123212354477523538A·MARA·RENH·PARA·LE A·ANGH·AMIH·AUXA·STAH·NICA·ANG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 11.1 · Total 25.7

⚠️ Fouls

32011913913716716111810121316161217191220222023272825322931A·MARA·RENH·PARA·LE A·ANGH·AMIH·AUXA·STAH·NICA·ANG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MarseilleMarseille

For 4.8 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

14066812355252344104227412951075814411H·TOUH·LYOA·STAH·STRA·PARH·RENA·PARA·CLUH·LENH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

8022324142224441211314556485341H·TOUH·LYOA·STAH·STRA·PARH·RENA·PARA·CLUH·LENH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 11.4 · Total 25.4

⚠️ Fouls

34091116817101110181119141512910181681220242721293327193420H·TOUH·LYOA·STAH·STRA·PARH·RENA·PARA·CLUH·LENH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ToulouseToulouse

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.29.44.23.64.725.626.624.8
vs Stronger (11)9.78.210.63.72.54.423.323.023.4
vs Similar (35)9.29.49.04.74.45.026.327.425.3
vs Weaker (4)10.010.0-0.50.70.028.028.0-
% over line47%50%44%64%54%73%81%82%80%
% under line53%50%56%36%46%27%19%18%20%
This opponent (Marseille) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarseilleMarseille

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.98.69.14.14.33.823.324.821.7
vs Stronger (5)8.48.08.54.44.04.523.623.023.8
vs Similar (23)9.38.810.04.64.74.523.525.021.9
vs Weaker (22)8.58.58.43.54.02.922.924.820.7
% over line38%36%40%64%68%60%58%68%48%
% under line62%64%60%36%32%40%42%32%52%
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Rodez
10.4
Nice
10.4
Stade Brestois 29
9.9
Auxerre
9.8
Lyon
9.7
Rennes
9.6
Lille
9.5
Lens
9.5
Saint Etienne
9.5
Le Havre
9.4
Nantes
9.4
Monaco
9.3
Paris FC
9.2
Toulouse
9.1
Paris Saint Germain
9.1
Metz
9.1
Marseille
8.9
RED Star FC 93
8.8
Strasbourg
8.6
Lorient
8.5
Angers
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lyon
4.8
Lens
4.7
Auxerre
4.6
Nantes
4.5
Rennes
4.5
Monaco
4.5
Toulouse
4.5
Paris FC
4.4
Marseille
4.3
Strasbourg
4.3
Lille
4.3
Nice
4.2
Rodez
4.1
Lorient
4.1
Saint Etienne
4.1
Le Havre
4.0
Metz
3.8
Stade Brestois 29
3.8
RED Star FC 93
3.7
Angers
3.5
Paris Saint Germain
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Lens
26.0
Saint Etienne
25.9
Toulouse
25.9
RED Star FC 93
25.8
Lyon
25.5
Nantes
25.4
Rodez
25.4
Le Havre
25.4
Stade Brestois 29
25.2
Auxerre
25.0
Rennes
24.6
Nice
24.5
Monaco
24.5
Lille
24.3
Paris FC
24.1
Lorient
24.0
Metz
23.4
Strasbourg
23.3
Marseille
23.3
Angers
22.8
Paris Saint Germain
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
44.6%
Under 9.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
61.0%
Under 3.5
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
73.5%
Under 21.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ToulouseToulouse

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W20W00D10W00D11D01L01L11DA·ANG10/01H·NIC17/01A·STA25/01H·AUX01/02H·AMI04/02A·ANG08/02A·LE 15/02H·PAR21/02A·REN28/02A·MAR04/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.500.500.500.560.50
vs Stronger (6)0.501.171.004.000.400.60
vs Similar (23)0.520.350.420.250.640.45
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Marseille) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarseilleMarseille

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W02L10W10W02L10W02L01L11DH·LIV21/01H·LEN24/01A·CLU28/01A·PAR31/01H·REN03/02A·PAR08/02H·STR14/02A·STA20/02H·LYO01/03H·TOU04/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.600.730.531.130.67
vs Stronger (2)0.501.00--0.501.00
vs Similar (16)0.810.500.780.330.860.71
vs Weaker (12)1.170.670.670.831.670.50
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Toulouse over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ToulouseToulouse

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D31W00D00D00D01L01L10W00D11DA·ANG10/01H·NIC17/01A·STA25/01H·AUX01/02H·AMI04/02A·ANG08/02A·LE 15/02H·PAR21/02A·REN28/02A·MAR04/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.671.070.710.750.62
vs Stronger (6)1.171.172.002.001.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.870.571.080.670.640.45
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Marseille) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarseilleMarseille

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D01L12L20W03L12L00D31W11DH·LIV21/01H·LEN24/01A·CLU28/01A·PAR31/01H·REN03/02A·PAR08/02H·STR14/02A·STA20/02H·LYO01/03H·TOU04/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.831.470.801.400.87
vs Stronger (2)0.002.50--0.002.50
vs Similar (16)1.120.881.220.781.001.00
vs Weaker (12)2.080.501.830.832.330.17
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Toulouse over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls85.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards79.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners77.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards74.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls73.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Toulouse
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Frank Magri24%
Yann Gboho23%
Emersonn23%
Aron Dønnum16%
Santiago Hidalgo16%
Julian Vignolo13%
Charlie Cresswell12%
Djibril Sidibé9%
Seny Koumbassa8%
Jacen Russell-Rowe7%
Dayann Methalie7%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.6%
Pape Diop5%
Alexis Vossah4%
Warren Kamanzi4%
Mario Sauer3%
Rasmus Nicolaisen3%
Kjetil Haug0%
Mark McKenzie0%
Abu Francis0%
Guillaume Restes0%
Rafik Messali0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Ilyas Azizi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kjetil Haug33%
Dayann Methalie33%
Aron Dønnum28%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.26%
Abu Francis25%
Charlie Cresswell25%
Rafik Messali21%
Mark McKenzie21%
Pape Diop21%
Alexis Vossah20%
Emersonn19%
Frank Magri18%
Mario Sauer17%
Santiago Hidalgo16%
Rasmus Nicolaisen11%
Guillaume Restes9%
Seny Koumbassa8%
Warren Kamanzi4%
Djibril Sidibé3%
Yann Gboho3%
Jacen Russell-Rowe0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Julian Vignolo0%
Ilyas Azizi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Santiago Hidalgo19%
Aron Dønnum16%
Pape Diop11%
Emersonn10%
Charlie Cresswell9%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.9%
Djibril Sidibé9%
Yann Gboho9%
Mark McKenzie6%
Frank Magri6%
Alexis Vossah4%
Warren Kamanzi4%
Dayann Methalie3%
Rasmus Nicolaisen3%
Kjetil Haug0%
Abu Francis0%
Jacen Russell-Rowe0%
Mario Sauer0%
Guillaume Restes0%
Rafik Messali0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Julian Vignolo0%
Ilyas Azizi0%
Seny Koumbassa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Emersonn26%
Frank Magri18%
Pape Diop16%
Santiago Hidalgo12%
Aron Dønnum9%
Charlie Cresswell9%
Yann Gboho9%
Noah Edjouma8%
Jacen Russell-Rowe7%
Dayann Methalie3%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.3%
Rasmus Nicolaisen3%
Djibril Sidibé0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Mark McKenzie0%
Abu Francis0%
Warren Kamanzi0%
Mario Sauer0%
Guillaume Restes0%
Rafik Messali0%
Julian Vignolo0%
Ilyas Azizi0%
Seny Koumbassa0%
Alexis Vossah0%
Marseille
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mason Greenwood41%
Neal Maupay33%
Amine Gouiri33%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang28%
Igor Paixão27%
Angel Gomes20%
Ethan Nwaneri18%
Hamed Junior Traorè17%
Tadjidine Mmadi17%
Robinio Vaz16%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg12%
Amir Murillo8%
Tim Weah8%
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley6%
Nayef Aguerd5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Bilal Nadir4%
Leonardo Balerdi3%
Benjamin Pavard3%
Geoffrey Kondogbia0%
Ulisses Garcia0%
Emerson Palmieri0%
Facundo Medina0%
Himad Abdelli0%
Pol Lirola0%
Jeffrey De Lange0%
Quinten Timber0%
Gerónimo Rulli0%
Arthur Vermeeren0%
Tochukwu Nnadi0%
Darryl Bakola0%
Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri0%
Nouhoum Kamissoko0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Facundo Medina32%
Quinten Timber31%
Nayef Aguerd27%
Geoffrey Kondogbia25%
Benjamin Pavard22%
Himad Abdelli22%
Amir Murillo21%
Leonardo Balerdi20%
Angel Gomes20%
Ethan Nwaneri18%
Bilal Nadir18%
Ulisses Garcia17%
Tim Weah15%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg14%
Mason Greenwood14%
Matt O'Riley12%
Tochukwu Nnadi12%
Emerson Palmieri11%
Darryl Bakola10%
Gerónimo Rulli8%
Arthur Vermeeren8%
Amine Gouiri7%
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley6%
Hamed Junior Traorè6%
Robinio Vaz5%
Igor Paixão5%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang2%
Neal Maupay0%
Pol Lirola0%
Jeffrey De Lange0%
Tadjidine Mmadi0%
Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri0%
Nouhoum Kamissoko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matt O'Riley21%
Amine Gouiri19%
Mason Greenwood18%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang18%
Tadjidine Mmadi17%
Igor Paixão15%
Bilal Nadir14%
Tochukwu Nnadi12%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg12%
Hamed Junior Traorè11%
Robinio Vaz11%
Tim Weah10%
Darryl Bakola10%
Ethan Nwaneri9%
Benjamin Pavard8%
Amir Murillo8%
Arthur Vermeeren8%
Geoffrey Kondogbia6%
Emerson Palmieri6%
Angel Gomes5%
Facundo Medina4%
Leonardo Balerdi3%
Ulisses Garcia0%
Neal Maupay0%
Himad Abdelli0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Pol Lirola0%
Jeffrey De Lange0%
Quinten Timber0%
Gerónimo Rulli0%
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley0%
Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri0%
Nouhoum Kamissoko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mason Greenwood48%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang22%
Igor Paixão22%
Amine Gouiri19%
Leonardo Balerdi6%
Hamed Junior Traorè6%
Tim Weah5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg2%
Angel Gomes0%
Geoffrey Kondogbia0%
Ulisses Garcia0%
Emerson Palmieri0%
Benjamin Pavard0%
Amir Murillo0%
Facundo Medina0%
Neal Maupay0%
Himad Abdelli0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Pol Lirola0%
Jeffrey De Lange0%
Quinten Timber0%
Gerónimo Rulli0%
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley0%
Bilal Nadir0%
Ethan Nwaneri0%
Arthur Vermeeren0%
Tochukwu Nnadi0%
Robinio Vaz0%
Darryl Bakola0%
Tadjidine Mmadi0%
Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri0%
Nouhoum Kamissoko0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
STR (32)
€304m
LYO (32)
€293m
REN (26)
€241m
MAR (22)
€225m
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
NIC (28)
€152m
TOU (24)
€115m
SE (30)
€93m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
NAN (25)
€82m
ANG (23)
€73m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
MET (26)
€43m
ROD (23)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
Toulouse's squad is €110m less valuable than Marseille's (€115m vs €225m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
STR (13)
€112m
MAR (9)
€91m
REN (8)
€87m
NIC (8)
€62m
PF (13)
€59m
SE (10)
€54m
LEN (8)
€52m
NAN (8)
€31m
ANG (9)
€30m
TOU (7)
€30m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
MET (11)
€17m
LH (10)
€9m
RSF (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
Toulouse's attack is €62m less valuable than Marseille's (€30m vs €91m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
STR (6)
€56m
PF (7)
€54m
REN (5)
€44m
TOU (7)
€39m
LOR (5)
€32m
NIC (9)
€31m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
ANG (3)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
Toulouse's midfield is €28m less valuable than Marseille's (€39m vs €68m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
STR (13)
€136m
LEN (14)
€112m
REN (13)
€109m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
PF (17)
€62m
NIC (11)
€60m
TOU (10)
€46m
LOR (11)
€35m
NAN (10)
€34m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
LH (10)
€23m
SB2 (8)
€19m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
Toulouse's defence is €20m less valuable than Marseille's (€46m vs €66m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
TOU wins
4
Draws
4
MAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Toulouse vs Marseille · H/A from TOU
DateH/AGameScore
04/03/26AMarseille Vs TOU2-2
29/11/25AMarseille Vs TOU2-2
06/04/25AMarseille Vs TOU3-2
31/08/24HTOU Vs Marseille1-3
21/04/24HTOU Vs Marseille2-2
17/09/23AMarseille Vs TOU0-0
19/02/23HTOU Vs Marseille2-3
29/12/22AMarseille Vs TOU6-1

ToulouseToulouse

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/03/26AMarseille Vs TOU2-2
28/02/26ARennes Vs TOU1-0
21/02/26HTOU Vs Paris FC1-1
15/02/26ALe Havre Vs TOU2-1
08/02/26AAngers Vs TOU1-0
04/02/26HTOU Vs Amiens1-0
01/02/26HTOU Vs Auxerre0-0
25/01/26AStade Brestois 29 Vs TOU0-2
17/01/26HTOU Vs Nice5-1
10/01/26AAngers Vs TOU1-1

MarseilleMarseille

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/03/26HMAR Vs Toulouse2-2
01/03/26HMAR Vs Lyon3-2
20/02/26AStade Brestois 29 Vs MAR2-0
14/02/26HMAR Vs Strasbourg2-2
08/02/26AParis Saint Germain Vs MAR5-0
03/02/26HMAR Vs Rennes3-0
31/01/26AParis FC Vs MAR2-2
28/01/26AClub Brugge KV Vs MAR3-0
24/01/26HMAR Vs Lens3-1
21/01/26HMAR Vs Liverpool0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Toulouse
Toulouse
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLD1.28
HomeLWDWD1.21
AwayWLLLD1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%29%35%
AVG goals2.582.792.38
Over 1.5 %68%75%62%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %26%25%27%
Scored1.361.381.35
Conceded1.221.421.04
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet28%25%31%
Corners9.329.189.44
Cards4.433.954.84
Marseille
Marseille
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWD1.74
HomeWWDWD2.20
AwayWLDLL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%68%40%
AVG goals3.683.843.52
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %74%76%72%
Over 3.5 %50%60%40%
Scored2.262.641.88
Conceded1.421.201.64
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners8.868.609.12
Cards4.344.324.36

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain3476
71%
2.2
7429+45
3.0
76%
62%
32%
9.5
41%
2.9
26%
18.6
26%
1477
6384304092.20.9
69%
2LensLens3470
65%
2.1
6635+31
3.0
82%
65%
29%
10.4
53%
4.6
70%
24.7
59%
187
52241121.91.0
51%
3LilleLille3461
53%
1.8
5237+15
2.6
65%
38%
21%
9.5
44%
4.5
68%
24.2
68%
312
133102761.51.1
56%
4LyonLyon3460
53%
1.8
5340+13
2.7
65%
56%
32%
10.9
50%
4.8
71%
26.4
79%
293
12282891.61.2
55%
5MarseilleMarseille3459
53%
1.7
6345+18
3.2
74%
62%
41%
8.8
38%
4.4
73%
23.7
56%
225
9168661.91.3
57%
6RennesRennes3459
50%
1.7
5950+9
3.2
82%
71%
50%
10.6
62%
4.3
66%
24.4
71%
241
87441091.71.5
54%
7MonacoMonaco3454
47%
1.6
6054+6
3.4
74%
65%
53%
9.4
47%
4.2
62%
23.8
65%
326
14884931.81.6
54%
8StrasbourgStrasbourg3453
44%
1.6
5847+11
3.1
76%
65%
35%
8.9
44%
3.8
56%
24.1
74%
304
112561361.71.4
54%
9LorientLorient3445
32%
1.3
4851-3
2.9
88%
44%
35%
8.9
47%
4.1
55%
22.8
50%
87
2032351.41.5
45%
10ToulouseToulouse3344
36%
1.3
4746+1
2.8
67%
55%
33%
9.6
55%
4.5
70%
25.5
82%
115
3039461.41.4
42%
11Paris FCParis FC3444
32%
1.3
4750-3
2.9
74%
56%
32%
9.9
59%
3.9
47%
21.4
50%
176
5954621.41.5
50%
12Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 293439
29%
1.1
4355-12
2.9
82%
50%
29%
9.7
47%
3.8
55%
24.4
65%
64
2520191.31.6
43%
13AngersAngers3436
26%
1.1
2948-19
2.3
65%
29%
18%
8.8
41%
3.2
45%
22.4
53%
73
3011320.91.4
42%
14NiceNice3636
22%
1.0
4161-20
2.8
75%
50%
42%
10.8
67%
4.0
56%
23.6
53%
152
6231601.11.7
47%
15Le HavreLe Havre3435
21%
1.0
3244-12
2.2
62%
32%
18%
9.1
44%
4.2
65%
27.8
94%
55
923230.91.3
47%
16AuxerreAuxerre3434
24%
1.0
3444-10
2.3
62%
44%
26%
9.5
41%
4.9
74%
27.2
85%
84
2328331.01.3
44%
17NantesNantes3323
15%
0.7
2952-23
2.5
67%
45%
21%
9.4
48%
4.7
73%
26.8
85%
82
3116340.91.6
42%
18MetzMetz3417
9%
0.5
3276-44
3.2
74%
62%
41%
9.5
41%
3.5
53%
22.6
59%
43
171880.92.2
49%
19RodezRodez24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
8.0
50%
3.5
50%
24.5
100%
15
4471.51.0
38%
20Saint EtienneSaint Etienne32
0%
0.7
14-3
1.7
33%
33%
33%
11.0
100%
1.7
0%
19.3
33%
93
5411280.31.3
52%
21RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 9310
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
5.0
0%
5.0
100%
23.0
100%
15
4372.03.0
63%
France: Ligue 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches