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Toulouse vs Paris Saint Germain Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2025
Time: 19:05
Final 3-6
Toulouse
Toulouse
Vs
11%
19%
70%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
France: Ligue 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toulouse win✗ Miss
11.1%
Avg Implied 11.5% · @ 8.17
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
18.6%
Avg Implied 18.4% · @ 5.12
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain win✓ Hit
70.3%
Avg Implied 70.1% · @ 1.34
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ToulouseToulouse

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-424L23L12L01L00D21W11D32W10W20WH·STA30/03A·MAR06/04H·LIL12/04A·REI20/04A·NAN27/04H·REN03/05H·LEN10/05A·SAI17/05A·NIC16/08H·STA24/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.171.271.271.331.07
vs Stronger (7)0.571.710.671.330.502.00
vs Similar (20)1.651.001.501.201.800.80
vs Weaker (3)0.671.001.001.500.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris Saint Germain) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L10W12L21W41W31W30W50W10W10WH·NIC25/04A·ARS29/04A·STR03/05H·ARS07/05A·MON10/05H·AUX17/05H·REI24/05H·INT31/05A·NAN17/08H·ANG22/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.830.872.790.792.880.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.800.402.330.671.000.00
vs Weaker (25)3.040.962.910.823.141.07
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.7%
Under 1.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.8%
@ 1.56+3.8%
Under 2.5
36.2%
@ 2.34-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.6%
Under 3.5
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.0%
No
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
1-1
8.7%
0-3
8.7%
0-1
8.2%
1-3
7.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-4
4.6%
Toulouse goals ↓
Paris Saint Germain goals →
01234
04.5%8.2%11%8.7%5.2%
12.5%8.7%9.5%7.6%4.6%
21.5%3.5%4.2%3.4%2.0%
30.4%1.0%1.2%1.0%0.6%
40.1%0.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Toulouse goals (down), columns = Paris Saint Germain goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.24
Lens
2.06
Rodez
2.00
Lille
1.79
Lyon
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Marseille
1.74
Monaco
1.59
Strasbourg
1.56
Toulouse
1.33
Lorient
1.32
Paris FC
1.29
Stade Brestois 29
1.15
Angers
1.06
Le Havre
1.03
Auxerre
1.00
Nice
1.00
Nantes
0.70
Saint Etienne
0.67
Metz
0.50
RED Star FC 93
0.00
Toulouse is 0.90 points worse than Paris Saint Germain in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 2.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.18
RED Star FC 93
2.00
Lens
1.94
Marseille
1.85
Monaco
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Strasbourg
1.71
Lyon
1.56
Lille
1.53
Rodez
1.50
Toulouse
1.42
Lorient
1.41
Paris FC
1.38
Stade Brestois 29
1.26
Nice
1.14
Auxerre
1.00
Metz
0.94
Le Havre
0.94
Nantes
0.88
Angers
0.85
Saint Etienne
0.33
Toulouse is 0.75 goals worse than Paris Saint Germain in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 2.18).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Paris Saint Germain
0.85
Rodez
1.00
Lens
1.03
Lille
1.09
Lyon
1.18
Auxerre
1.29
Le Havre
1.29
Marseille
1.32
Saint Etienne
1.33
Strasbourg
1.38
Toulouse
1.39
Angers
1.41
Rennes
1.47
Paris FC
1.47
Lorient
1.50
Nantes
1.58
Monaco
1.59
Stade Brestois 29
1.62
Nice
1.69
Metz
2.24
RED Star FC 93
3.00
Toulouse is 0.54 goals worse than Paris Saint Germain in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 0.85).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Paris Saint Germain
69%
RED Star FC 93
63%
Marseille
57%
Lille
56%
Lyon
55%
Monaco
54%
Strasbourg
54%
Rennes
54%
Saint Etienne
52%
Lens
51%
Paris FC
50%
Metz
49%
Le Havre
47%
Nice
47%
Lorient
45%
Auxerre
44%
Stade Brestois 29
43%
Toulouse
42%
Nantes
42%
Angers
42%
Rodez
38%
Toulouse is 26.6 percentage points worse than Paris Saint Germain in terms of average possession (42% vs 69%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ToulouseToulouse

For 5.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

13039496721655394215103121313311896613H·STAA·NICA·SAIH·LENH·RENA·NANA·REIH·LILA·MARH·STA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

701322325224211123251557462355H·STAA·NICA·SAIH·LENH·RENA·NANA·REIH·LILA·MARH·STA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 12.3 · Total 24.4

⚠️ Fouls

2901410131271017127151113121115111511101824251729222423262628H·STAA·NICA·SAIH·LENH·RENA·NANA·REIH·LILA·MARH·STA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

For 6.4 · Against 3.1 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

17012724610152452626131712910117988417H·ANGA·NANH·INTH·REIH·AUXA·MONH·ARSA·STRA·ARSH·NIC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

601123121124212231212532634421A·NANH·INTH·AUXA·MONH·ARSA·STRA·ARSH·NICA·NANA·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 9.8 · Total 20.1

⚠️ Fouls

3003966137122109111411111314151591112122014192522273020H·ANGA·NANH·INTH·REIH·AUXA·MONH·ARSA·STRA·ARSH·NIC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ToulouseToulouse

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.98.89.13.73.73.826.526.826.1
vs Stronger (13)8.37.49.33.53.93.024.525.723.2
vs Similar (33)9.09.48.64.14.04.227.227.327.2
vs Weaker (4)15.0-15.01.00.02.027.0-27.0
% over line38%38%39%56%54%58%83%88%78%
% under line62%62%61%44%46%42%17%12%22%
This opponent (Paris Saint Germain) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.59.42.52.72.318.918.719.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (9)11.412.39.74.13.75.020.919.224.3
vs Weaker (41)9.69.89.42.12.32.018.518.518.4
% over line52%67%36%24%33%15%26%29%23%
% under line48%33%64%76%67%85%74%71%77%
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Rodez
10.4
Nantes
10.3
Saint Etienne
10.3
Nice
10.1
Lyon
10.1
Paris Saint Germain
10.0
Auxerre
10.0
Lorient
9.6
RED Star FC 93
9.6
Metz
9.2
Lens
9.2
Toulouse
9.1
Paris FC
9.0
Marseille
8.9
Le Havre
8.9
Strasbourg
8.9
Angers
8.8
Stade Brestois 29
8.8
Rennes
8.8
Lille
8.6
Monaco
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lens
4.8
Rennes
4.6
Lille
4.5
Lyon
4.4
Nice
4.4
Strasbourg
4.3
Monaco
4.3
Le Havre
4.1
Nantes
4.1
Marseille
4.1
Toulouse
4.1
Lorient
4.0
Stade Brestois 29
4.0
Auxerre
4.0
Paris FC
4.0
Metz
4.0
Saint Etienne
3.9
Angers
3.7
Rodez
3.6
RED Star FC 93
3.4
Paris Saint Germain
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Monaco
26.8
Toulouse
26.5
Lens
25.9
Saint Etienne
25.8
Rennes
25.7
Paris FC
25.1
Metz
25.1
Stade Brestois 29
25.1
RED Star FC 93
24.9
Strasbourg
24.8
Lorient
24.4
Nantes
24.1
Le Havre
24.0
Lyon
23.8
Lille
23.6
Rodez
23.5
Auxerre
23.4
Nice
23.3
Angers
23.2
Marseille
23.0
Paris Saint Germain
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
46.3%
Under 9.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.4%
Under 3.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
62.3%
Under 21.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ToulouseToulouse

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D12L01L00D10W00D21W00D00DH·STA30/03A·MAR06/04H·LIL12/04A·REI20/04A·NAN27/04H·REN03/05H·LEN10/05A·SAI17/05A·NIC16/08H·STA24/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.400.470.530.470.27
vs Stronger (7)0.290.710.331.000.250.50
vs Similar (20)0.500.350.400.500.600.20
vs Weaker (3)0.670.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris Saint Germain) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W02L10W10W01L30W20W00D00DH·NIC25/04A·ARS29/04A·STR03/05H·ARS07/05A·MON10/05H·AUX17/05H·REI24/05H·INT31/05A·NAN17/08H·ANG22/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.331.290.290.940.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
vs Weaker (25)1.120.401.360.360.930.43
Clean sheet %73% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Toulouse over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ToulouseToulouse

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D12L00D00D00D11D11D11D10W20WH·STA30/03A·MAR06/04H·LIL12/04A·REI20/04A·NAN27/04H·REN03/05H·LEN10/05A·SAI17/05A·NIC16/08H·STA24/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.770.800.730.870.80
vs Stronger (7)0.291.000.330.330.251.50
vs Similar (20)1.150.651.100.701.200.60
vs Weaker (3)0.001.000.001.500.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris Saint Germain) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D10W11D31W30W00D30W10W10WH·NIC25/04A·ARS29/04A·STR03/05H·ARS07/05A·MON10/05H·AUX17/05H·REI24/05H·INT31/05A·NAN17/08H·ANG22/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.730.531.500.501.940.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.800.401.330.670.000.00
vs Weaker (25)1.920.561.550.452.210.64
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Toulouse over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards86.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.584.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls77.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners76.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards73.4%-------✓ Hit
Away win70.3%1.34-----+0.2%✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Toulouse
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Frank Magri24%
Yann Gboho23%
Emersonn23%
Aron Dønnum16%
Santiago Hidalgo16%
Julian Vignolo13%
Charlie Cresswell12%
Djibril Sidibé9%
Seny Koumbassa8%
Jacen Russell-Rowe7%
Dayann Methalie7%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.6%
Pape Diop5%
Alexis Vossah4%
Warren Kamanzi4%
Mario Sauer3%
Rasmus Nicolaisen3%
Kjetil Haug0%
Mark McKenzie0%
Abu Francis0%
Guillaume Restes0%
Rafik Messali0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Ilyas Azizi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kjetil Haug33%
Dayann Methalie33%
Aron Dønnum28%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.26%
Abu Francis25%
Charlie Cresswell25%
Rafik Messali21%
Mark McKenzie21%
Pape Diop21%
Alexis Vossah20%
Emersonn19%
Frank Magri18%
Mario Sauer17%
Santiago Hidalgo16%
Rasmus Nicolaisen11%
Guillaume Restes9%
Seny Koumbassa8%
Warren Kamanzi4%
Djibril Sidibé3%
Yann Gboho3%
Jacen Russell-Rowe0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Julian Vignolo0%
Ilyas Azizi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Santiago Hidalgo19%
Aron Dønnum16%
Pape Diop11%
Emersonn10%
Charlie Cresswell9%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.9%
Djibril Sidibé9%
Yann Gboho9%
Mark McKenzie6%
Frank Magri6%
Alexis Vossah4%
Warren Kamanzi4%
Dayann Methalie3%
Rasmus Nicolaisen3%
Kjetil Haug0%
Abu Francis0%
Jacen Russell-Rowe0%
Mario Sauer0%
Guillaume Restes0%
Rafik Messali0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Julian Vignolo0%
Ilyas Azizi0%
Seny Koumbassa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Emersonn26%
Frank Magri18%
Pape Diop16%
Santiago Hidalgo12%
Aron Dønnum9%
Charlie Cresswell9%
Yann Gboho9%
Noah Edjouma8%
Jacen Russell-Rowe7%
Dayann Methalie3%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.3%
Rasmus Nicolaisen3%
Djibril Sidibé0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Mark McKenzie0%
Abu Francis0%
Warren Kamanzi0%
Mario Sauer0%
Guillaume Restes0%
Rafik Messali0%
Julian Vignolo0%
Ilyas Azizi0%
Seny Koumbassa0%
Alexis Vossah0%
Paris Saint Germain
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ousmane Dembélé35%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia31%
Désiré Doué29%
Bradley Barcola26%
Gonçalo Ramos21%
Nuno Mendes16%
Senny Mayulu15%
João Neves14%
Ibrahim Mbaye11%
Vitinha11%
Kang-in Lee8%
Lucas Beraldo8%
Dro Fernández8%
Quentin Ndjantou7%
Marquinhos7%
Achraf Hakimi6%
Fabián Ruiz6%
Warren Zaïre-Emery6%
Willian Pacho5%
Ilya Zabarnyi3%
Lucas Hernández0%
Matvey Safonov0%
Lucas Chevalier0%
Renato Marin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ilya Zabarnyi19%
Achraf Hakimi16%
Nuno Mendes13%
Lucas Hernández11%
Fabián Ruiz10%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia9%
Kang-in Lee8%
Lucas Beraldo8%
Quentin Ndjantou7%
Gonçalo Ramos7%
Marquinhos7%
Bradley Barcola7%
Warren Zaïre-Emery6%
Senny Mayulu5%
Matvey Safonov4%
João Neves3%
Désiré Doué3%
Vitinha2%
Ousmane Dembélé0%
Willian Pacho0%
Lucas Chevalier0%
Renato Marin0%
Ibrahim Mbaye0%
Dro Fernández0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ousmane Dembélé27%
Achraf Hakimi26%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia22%
Nuno Mendes18%
Désiré Doué18%
Fabián Ruiz16%
Quentin Ndjantou14%
Vitinha13%
João Neves11%
Bradley Barcola11%
Kang-in Lee11%
Senny Mayulu10%
Warren Zaïre-Emery10%
Lucas Hernández8%
Lucas Beraldo4%
Ibrahim Mbaye4%
Willian Pacho2%
Gonçalo Ramos2%
Marquinhos0%
Matvey Safonov0%
Ilya Zabarnyi0%
Lucas Chevalier0%
Renato Marin0%
Dro Fernández0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ousmane Dembélé35%
Désiré Doué26%
Gonçalo Ramos26%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia24%
Bradley Barcola20%
Senny Mayulu15%
Vitinha15%
Nuno Mendes11%
Fabián Ruiz10%
Kang-in Lee8%
Ibrahim Mbaye7%
Achraf Hakimi6%
João Neves6%
Lucas Beraldo4%
Warren Zaïre-Emery2%
Lucas Hernández0%
Marquinhos0%
Matvey Safonov0%
Willian Pacho0%
Ilya Zabarnyi0%
Lucas Chevalier0%
Renato Marin0%
Quentin Ndjantou0%
Dro Fernández0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
STR (32)
€304m
LYO (32)
€293m
REN (26)
€241m
MAR (22)
€225m
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
NIC (28)
€152m
TOU (24)
€115m
SE (30)
€93m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
NAN (25)
€82m
ANG (23)
€73m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
MET (26)
€43m
ROD (23)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
Toulouse's squad is €1363m less valuable than Paris Saint Germain's (€115m vs €1477m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
STR (13)
€112m
MAR (9)
€91m
REN (8)
€87m
NIC (8)
€62m
PF (13)
€59m
SE (10)
€54m
LEN (8)
€52m
NAN (8)
€31m
ANG (9)
€30m
TOU (7)
€30m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
MET (11)
€17m
LH (10)
€9m
RSF (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
Toulouse's attack is €608m less valuable than Paris Saint Germain's (€30m vs €638m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
STR (6)
€56m
PF (7)
€54m
REN (5)
€44m
TOU (7)
€39m
LOR (5)
€32m
NIC (9)
€31m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
ANG (3)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
Toulouse's midfield is €391m less valuable than Paris Saint Germain's (€39m vs €430m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
STR (13)
€136m
LEN (14)
€112m
REN (13)
€109m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
PF (17)
€62m
NIC (11)
€60m
TOU (10)
€46m
LOR (11)
€35m
NAN (10)
€34m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
LH (10)
€23m
SB2 (8)
€19m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
Toulouse's defence is €363m less valuable than Paris Saint Germain's (€46m vs €409m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
TOU wins
1
Draws
6
PSG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Toulouse vs Paris Saint Germain · H/A from TOU
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/25HTOU Vs Paris Saint Germain0-1
22/11/24AParis Saint Germain Vs TOU3-0
12/05/24AParis Saint Germain Vs TOU1-3
19/08/23HTOU Vs Paris Saint Germain1-1
04/02/23AParis Saint Germain Vs TOU2-1
31/08/22HTOU Vs Paris Saint Germain0-3
25/08/19AParis Saint Germain Vs TOU4-0
31/03/19HTOU Vs Paris Saint Germain0-1

ToulouseToulouse

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/08/25HTOU Vs Stade Brestois 292-0
16/08/25ANice Vs TOU0-1
17/05/25ASaint Etienne Vs TOU2-3
10/05/25HTOU Vs Lens1-1
03/05/25HTOU Vs Rennes2-1
27/04/25ANantes Vs TOU0-0
20/04/25AReims Vs TOU1-0
12/04/25HTOU Vs Lille1-2
06/04/25AMarseille Vs TOU3-2
30/03/25HTOU Vs Stade Brestois 292-4

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/25HPSG Vs Angers1-0
17/08/25ANantes Vs PSG0-1
31/05/25HPSG Vs Inter5-0
24/05/25HPSG Vs Reims3-0
17/05/25HPSG Vs Auxerre3-1
10/05/25AMontpellier Vs PSG1-4
07/05/25HPSG Vs Arsenal2-1
03/05/25AStrasbourg Vs PSG2-1
29/04/25AArsenal Vs PSG0-1
25/04/25HPSG Vs Nice1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Toulouse
Toulouse
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW1.38
HomeLLWDW1.19
AwayLLDWW1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%31%46%
AVG goals2.542.582.50
Over 1.5 %78%85%71%
Over 2.5 %54%54%54%
Over 3.5 %20%15%25%
Scored1.321.191.46
Conceded1.221.381.04
BTTS54%65%42%
Clean Sheet30%23%38%
Corners8.948.799.09
Cards4.114.134.09
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.40
HomeWWWWW2.38
AwayDWLWW2.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %76%75%77%
AVG goals3.563.423.69
Over 1.5 %80%83%77%
Over 2.5 %68%71%65%
Over 3.5 %46%46%46%
Scored2.622.502.73
Conceded0.940.920.96
BTTS62%67%58%
Clean Sheet34%29%38%
Corners9.9610.469.41
Cards2.953.202.73

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain3476
71%
2.2
7429+45
3.0
76%
62%
32%
9.5
41%
2.9
26%
18.6
26%
1477
6384304092.20.9
69%
2LensLens3470
65%
2.1
6635+31
3.0
82%
65%
29%
10.4
53%
4.6
70%
24.7
59%
187
52241121.91.0
51%
3LilleLille3461
53%
1.8
5237+15
2.6
65%
38%
21%
9.5
44%
4.5
68%
24.2
68%
312
133102761.51.1
56%
4LyonLyon3460
53%
1.8
5340+13
2.7
65%
56%
32%
10.9
50%
4.8
71%
26.4
79%
293
12282891.61.2
55%
5MarseilleMarseille3459
53%
1.7
6345+18
3.2
74%
62%
41%
8.8
38%
4.4
73%
23.7
56%
225
9168661.91.3
57%
6RennesRennes3459
50%
1.7
5950+9
3.2
82%
71%
50%
10.6
62%
4.3
66%
24.4
71%
241
87441091.71.5
54%
7MonacoMonaco3454
47%
1.6
6054+6
3.4
74%
65%
53%
9.4
47%
4.2
62%
23.8
65%
326
14884931.81.6
54%
8StrasbourgStrasbourg3453
44%
1.6
5847+11
3.1
76%
65%
35%
8.9
44%
3.8
56%
24.1
74%
304
112561361.71.4
54%
9LorientLorient3445
32%
1.3
4851-3
2.9
88%
44%
35%
8.9
47%
4.1
55%
22.8
50%
87
2032351.41.5
45%
10ToulouseToulouse3344
36%
1.3
4746+1
2.8
67%
55%
33%
9.6
55%
4.5
70%
25.5
82%
115
3039461.41.4
42%
11Paris FCParis FC3444
32%
1.3
4750-3
2.9
74%
56%
32%
9.9
59%
3.9
47%
21.4
50%
176
5954621.41.5
50%
12Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 293439
29%
1.1
4355-12
2.9
82%
50%
29%
9.7
47%
3.8
55%
24.4
65%
64
2520191.31.6
43%
13AngersAngers3436
26%
1.1
2948-19
2.3
65%
29%
18%
8.8
41%
3.2
45%
22.4
53%
73
3011320.91.4
42%
14NiceNice3636
22%
1.0
4161-20
2.8
75%
50%
42%
10.8
67%
4.0
56%
23.6
53%
152
6231601.11.7
47%
15Le HavreLe Havre3435
21%
1.0
3244-12
2.2
62%
32%
18%
9.1
44%
4.2
65%
27.8
94%
55
923230.91.3
47%
16AuxerreAuxerre3434
24%
1.0
3444-10
2.3
62%
44%
26%
9.5
41%
4.9
74%
27.2
85%
84
2328331.01.3
44%
17NantesNantes3323
15%
0.7
2952-23
2.5
67%
45%
21%
9.4
48%
4.7
73%
26.8
85%
82
3116340.91.6
42%
18MetzMetz3417
9%
0.5
3276-44
3.2
74%
62%
41%
9.5
41%
3.5
53%
22.6
59%
43
171880.92.2
49%
19RodezRodez24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
8.0
50%
3.5
50%
24.5
100%
15
4471.51.0
38%
20Saint EtienneSaint Etienne32
0%
0.7
14-3
1.7
33%
33%
33%
11.0
100%
1.7
0%
19.3
33%
93
5411280.31.3
52%
21RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 9310
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
5.0
0%
5.0
100%
23.0
100%
15
4372.03.0
63%
France: Ligue 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches