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Toulouse vs Rennes Prediction & Stats

Date: 28/11/2026
Time: 16:00
Toulouse
Toulouse
Vs
25%
23%
52%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rennes
Rennes
France: Ligue 1
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Toulouse’s recent draw against Stade Brestois 29 leaves them still searching for rhythm, while Rennes, fresh from a win over Le Mans, carries a stronger attack into this match. The model predicts an away win, with a 50% chance for Rennes, 26% for Toulouse and 24% for a draw. The expected total goals hover at 3.3, centring on a 3-goal outcome that carries a 22% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.6% chance. Toulouse’s home form shows an average of one goal scored and 0.75 conceded against similar opposition, whereas Rennes’ away record averages 1.92 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.1%), Under 6.5 (95.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (88.7%), Under 5.5 (88.4%), Away +2 handicap (85.9%), Over 1.5 (85.4%) and Away over 0.5 goals (84.0%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toulouse win
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rennes win
51.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ToulouseToulouse

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L04L23L14L22D21W21W02L22D01LA·PAR03/04H·LIL12/04A·LEN17/04A·LEN21/04H·MON25/04A·STR03/05H·LYO10/05H·LYO22/08A·STA29/08H·LIL03/09
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.470.931.211.621.69
vs Stronger (9)1.002.000.671.831.672.33
vs Similar (20)1.451.301.140.861.621.54
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Rennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RennesRennes

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D43W21W30W21W24L21W13L22D32WH·MET22/03A·STA04/04H·ANG11/04A·STR19/04H·NAN26/04A·LYO03/05H·PAR10/05A·MAR17/05H·PAR23/08H·LE 30/08
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.472.071.071.801.87
vs Stronger (3)1.672.672.501.500.005.00
vs Similar (19)2.001.582.141.141.921.83
vs Weaker (8)1.880.751.830.832.000.50
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%318%412%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.9%
Under 1.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65.4%
Under 2.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
43.5%
Under 3.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
65.2%
No
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
6.3%
0-1
6.0%
0-3
4.7%
Toulouse goals ↓
Rennes goals →
01234
04.4%6.0%7.0%4.7%2.4%
13.7%10%9.5%6.3%3.2%
23.2%6.4%6.4%4.3%2.2%
31.4%2.9%2.9%1.9%1.0%
40.5%1.0%1.0%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Toulouse goals (down), columns = Rennes goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.24
Lens
2.06
Lille
1.79
Lyon
1.76
Marseille
1.74
Rennes
1.74
Monaco
1.59
Strasbourg
1.56
Toulouse
1.33
Lorient
1.32
Paris FC
1.29
Stade Brestois 29
1.15
Angers
1.06
Estac Troyes
1.04
Le Havre
1.03
Auxerre
1.00
Nice
1.00
Le Mans
0.83
Toulouse is 0.40 points worse than Rennes in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.74).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.18
Lens
1.94
Marseille
1.85
Monaco
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Strasbourg
1.71
Lyon
1.56
Lille
1.53
Toulouse
1.42
Lorient
1.41
Paris FC
1.38
Stade Brestois 29
1.26
Nice
1.14
Estac Troyes
1.11
Auxerre
1.00
Le Havre
0.94
Le Mans
0.88
Angers
0.85
Toulouse is 0.31 goals worse than Rennes in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.74).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Paris Saint Germain
0.85
Lens
1.03
Lille
1.09
Lyon
1.18
Le Havre
1.29
Auxerre
1.29
Marseille
1.32
Strasbourg
1.38
Toulouse
1.39
Angers
1.41
Rennes
1.47
Paris FC
1.47
Lorient
1.50
Monaco
1.59
Stade Brestois 29
1.62
Nice
1.69
Estac Troyes
1.85
Le Mans
2.32
Toulouse is 0.08 goals better than Rennes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.47).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Paris Saint Germain
69%
Marseille
57%
Lille
56%
Lyon
55%
Monaco
54%
Strasbourg
54%
Rennes
54%
Lens
51%
Paris FC
50%
Le Havre
47%
Nice
47%
Lorient
45%
Auxerre
44%
Stade Brestois 29
43%
Toulouse
42%
Angers
42%
Toulouse is 11.3 percentage points worse than Rennes in terms of average possession (42% vs 54%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ToulouseToulouse

For 3.5 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

1506227647838426114422589101511661567H·LILA·STAH·LYOH·LYOA·STRH·MONA·LENA·LENH·LILA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 0.9 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

9012211723132221311429452331H·LILA·STAH·LYOH·LYOA·STRH·MONA·LENA·LENH·LILA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.9 · Against 9.9 · Total 24.8

⚠️ Fouls

3601691719111020915717101210159131213425362129222722242517H·LILA·STAH·LYOH·LYOA·STRH·MONA·LENA·LENH·LILA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RennesRennes

For 7.3 · Against 4.7 · Total 12.0

🚩 Corners

150861011482576892113738214101510121411141010H·LE H·PARA·MARH·PARA·LYOH·NANA·STRH·ANGA·STAH·MET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

6033221323321233136442351264H·LE H·PARA·MARH·PARA·LYOH·NANA·STRH·ANGA·STAH·MET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.8

⚠️ Fouls

300151576101113111410151512109151113131330132124243022242426H·LE H·PARA·MARH·PARA·LYOH·NANA·STRH·ANGA·STAH·MET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ToulouseToulouse

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.49.53.63.53.625.725.925.5
vs Stronger (15)9.69.010.33.53.73.224.124.923.2
vs Similar (33)9.39.69.13.83.54.026.426.226.5
vs Weaker (2)10.010.0-1.02.00.028.028.0-
% over line51%55%48%54%48%59%80%75%86%
% under line49%45%52%46%52%41%20%25%14%
This opponent (Rennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RennesRennes

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.711.69.83.13.13.024.224.923.4
vs Stronger (4)12.311.514.02.02.02.015.316.014.0
vs Similar (33)10.09.810.13.33.13.425.426.324.6
vs Weaker (13)12.015.08.42.83.42.223.925.522.0
% over line63%79%47%46%50%42%68%79%58%
% under line37%21%53%54%50%58%32%21%42%
This opponent (Toulouse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Nice
10.5
Rennes
10.5
Lens
10.3
Auxerre
10.0
Lyon
9.9
Stade Brestois 29
9.7
Lille
9.6
Monaco
9.6
Paris FC
9.4
Paris Saint Germain
9.3
Le Mans
9.3
Toulouse
9.3
Angers
9.2
Marseille
9.1
Le Havre
9.0
Strasbourg
8.9
Lorient
8.9
Estac Troyes
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Auxerre
4.8
Lyon
4.6
Marseille
4.5
Lens
4.5
Le Mans
4.4
Lille
4.4
Toulouse
4.3
Monaco
4.3
Rennes
4.3
Strasbourg
4.2
Le Havre
4.0
Nice
4.0
Lorient
4.0
Estac Troyes
3.9
Paris FC
3.9
Stade Brestois 29
3.7
Angers
3.4
Paris Saint Germain
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Le Mans
27.1
Estac Troyes
27.0
Le Havre
26.8
Auxerre
25.7
Toulouse
25.4
Lyon
25.1
Stade Brestois 29
25.0
Lens
24.8
Rennes
24.0
Lille
24.0
Monaco
23.5
Strasbourg
23.5
Nice
23.4
Marseille
23.4
Lorient
22.8
Angers
22.7
Paris FC
22.3
Paris Saint Germain
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.8%
Under 9.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
55.1%
Under 3.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
69.3%
Under 21.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Toulouse or Draw
52.6%
Avg Implied -
25%
23%
52%
covers Toulouse + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Toulouse or Rennes
75.1%
Avg Implied -
25%
23%
52%
covers Toulouse + Rennes
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Rennes
72.3%
Avg Implied -
25%
23%
52%
covers Draw + Rennes
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Toulouse over/under 0.5
Over
74.2%
Under
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 1.5
Over
39.3%
Under
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 2.5
Over
15.6%
Under
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 3.5
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 0.5
Over
83.8%
Under
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 1.5
Over
54.3%
Under
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 2.5
Over
27.5%
Under
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 3.5
Over
11.2%
Under
88.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Toulouse, so a minus line means Toulouse give that many goals of a start and Rennes receive them. At -1, Toulouse must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Toulouse win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Toulouse)
Toulouse -2
4.4%
Draw -2
8.1%
Rennes +2
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Toulouse)
Toulouse -1
12.5%
Draw -1
15.2%
Rennes +1
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Toulouse)
Toulouse +1
52.6%
Draw +1
20.7%
Rennes -1
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Toulouse)
Toulouse +2
73.3%
Draw +2
14.7%
Rennes -2
12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ToulouseToulouse

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L20W13L02L11D10W00D11D00DA·PAR03/04H·LIL12/04A·LEN17/04A·LEN21/04H·MON25/04A·STR03/05H·LYO10/05H·LYO22/08A·STA29/08H·LIL03/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.630.360.431.000.81
vs Stronger (9)0.440.780.170.671.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.800.600.430.291.000.77
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Rennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RennesRennes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W20W10W11D12L00D02L20W21WH·MET22/03A·STA04/04H·ANG11/04A·STR19/04H·NAN26/04A·LYO03/05H·PAR10/05A·MAR17/05H·PAR23/08H·LE 30/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.530.930.330.730.73
vs Stronger (3)1.000.671.500.000.002.00
vs Similar (19)0.840.580.860.430.830.67
vs Weaker (8)0.750.380.830.330.500.50
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Toulouse over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ToulouseToulouse

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L03L01L20W10W11D02L11D01LA·PAR03/04H·LIL12/04A·LEN17/04A·LEN21/04H·MON25/04A·STR03/05H·LYO10/05H·LYO22/08A·STA29/08H·LIL03/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.830.570.790.620.88
vs Stronger (9)0.561.220.501.170.671.33
vs Similar (20)0.650.700.710.570.620.77
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Rennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RennesRennes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D22D01L20W10W12L21W11D02L11DH·MET22/03A·STA04/04H·ANG11/04A·STR19/04H·NAN26/04A·LYO03/05H·PAR10/05A·MAR17/05H·PAR23/08H·LE 30/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.931.130.731.071.13
vs Stronger (3)0.672.001.001.500.003.00
vs Similar (19)1.161.001.290.711.081.17
vs Weaker (8)1.120.381.000.501.500.00
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Toulouse over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.4%-------
Under 6.595.7%-------
Home under 3.5 goals95.1%-------
Under 5.589.7%-------
Away under 3.5 goals88.8%-------
Away +2 handicap87.5%-------
Over 1.585.9%-------
Home under 2.5 goals84.4%-------
Away over 0.5 goals83.8%-------
Over 19.5 fouls82.5%-------
Under 5.5 cards79.7%-------
Under 4.578.5%-------
Home or Away75.1%-------
Over 2.5 cards75.0%-------
Under 11.5 corners74.3%-------
Home over 0.5 goals74.2%-------
Home +2 handicap73.3%-------
Away under 2.5 goals72.5%-------
Draw or Away72.3%-------
Away +1 handicap72.3%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Toulouse
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
C. Tapé33%
R. Nicolaisen0%
N. Schmidt0%
M. McKenzie0%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.0%
Guillaume Restes0%
S. Hidalgo0%
T. Jørgensen0%
Ismail Diallo0%
Julián Vignolo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
N. Schmidt67%
R. Nicolaisen33%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.33%
S. Hidalgo33%
M. McKenzie0%
Guillaume Restes0%
T. Jørgensen0%
Ismail Diallo0%
Julián Vignolo0%
C. Tapé0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cristian Cásseres Jr.33%
R. Nicolaisen0%
N. Schmidt0%
M. McKenzie0%
Guillaume Restes0%
S. Hidalgo0%
T. Jørgensen0%
Ismail Diallo0%
Julián Vignolo0%
C. Tapé0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Hidalgo67%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.33%
Julián Vignolo33%
R. Nicolaisen0%
N. Schmidt0%
M. McKenzie0%
Guillaume Restes0%
T. Jørgensen0%
Ismail Diallo0%
C. Tapé0%
Rennes · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Esteban Lepaul49%
Breel Embolo29%
Mousa Tamari19%
Mohamed Kader Meite16%
Ludovic Blas14%
Nordan Mukiele12%
Elias Legendre Quiñonez11%
Arnaud Nordin10%
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal10%
Seko Fofana8%
Quentin Merlin8%
Valentin Rongier6%
Sebastian Szymański6%
Mahdi Camara6%
Przemysław Frankowski5%
Anthony Rouault4%
Glen Kamara0%
Brice Samba0%
Lilian Brassier0%
Fabian Rieder0%
Alidu Seidu0%
Djaoui Cissé0%
Mathys Silistrie0%
Jérémy Jacquet0%
Mahamadou Nagida0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Lucas Rosier0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Przemysław Frankowski26%
Jérémy Jacquet24%
Anthony Rouault21%
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal19%
Valentin Rongier18%
Brice Samba15%
Mahdi Camara14%
Djaoui Cissé12%
Breel Embolo12%
Sebastian Szymański12%
Mousa Tamari11%
Arnaud Nordin10%
Mahamadou Nagida10%
Esteban Lepaul9%
Alidu Seidu8%
Quentin Merlin8%
Lilian Brassier7%
Ludovic Blas3%
Glen Kamara0%
Seko Fofana0%
Fabian Rieder0%
Mathys Silistrie0%
Nordan Mukiele0%
Mohamed Kader Meite0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Lucas Rosier0%
Elias Legendre Quiñonez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Arnaud Nordin30%
Mousa Tamari19%
Sebastian Szymański18%
Quentin Merlin17%
Ludovic Blas14%
Esteban Lepaul14%
Valentin Rongier12%
Przemysław Frankowski11%
Mohamed Kader Meite11%
Breel Embolo9%
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal5%
Anthony Rouault4%
Alidu Seidu4%
Lilian Brassier3%
Mahdi Camara3%
Glen Kamara0%
Brice Samba0%
Seko Fofana0%
Fabian Rieder0%
Djaoui Cissé0%
Mathys Silistrie0%
Jérémy Jacquet0%
Nordan Mukiele0%
Mahamadou Nagida0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Lucas Rosier0%
Elias Legendre Quiñonez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Esteban Lepaul34%
Mousa Tamari22%
Breel Embolo15%
Ludovic Blas11%
Mohamed Kader Meite11%
Arnaud Nordin10%
Djaoui Cissé8%
Mahdi Camara6%
Alidu Seidu4%
Valentin Rongier3%
Glen Kamara0%
Przemysław Frankowski0%
Brice Samba0%
Seko Fofana0%
Sebastian Szymański0%
Lilian Brassier0%
Anthony Rouault0%
Fabian Rieder0%
Quentin Merlin0%
Mathys Silistrie0%
Jérémy Jacquet0%
Nordan Mukiele0%
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal0%
Mahamadou Nagida0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Lucas Rosier0%
Elias Legendre Quiñonez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
STR (32)
€304m
LYO (32)
€293m
REN (26)
€241m
MAR (22)
€225m
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
NIC (28)
€152m
TOU (24)
€115m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
ANG (23)
€73m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
ET (23)
€36m
LM (26)
€24m
Toulouse's squad is €126m less valuable than Rennes's (€115m vs €241m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
STR (13)
€112m
MAR (9)
€91m
REN (8)
€87m
NIC (8)
€62m
PF (13)
€59m
LEN (8)
€52m
ANG (9)
€30m
TOU (7)
€30m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
LH (10)
€9m
ET (7)
€7m
LM (6)
€4m
Toulouse's attack is €58m less valuable than Rennes's (€30m vs €87m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
STR (6)
€56m
PF (7)
€54m
REN (5)
€44m
TOU (7)
€39m
LOR (5)
€32m
NIC (9)
€31m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
ANG (3)
€11m
ET (6)
€11m
LM (8)
€5m
Toulouse's midfield is €5m less valuable than Rennes's (€39m vs €44m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
STR (13)
€136m
LEN (14)
€112m
REN (13)
€109m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
PF (17)
€62m
NIC (11)
€60m
TOU (10)
€46m
LOR (11)
€35m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
LH (10)
€23m
SB2 (8)
€19m
ET (10)
€17m
LM (12)
€15m
Toulouse's defence is €63m less valuable than Rennes's (€46m vs €109m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
TOU wins
2
Draws
2
REN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Toulouse vs Rennes · H/A from TOU
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26ARennes Vs TOU1-0
29/10/25HTOU Vs Rennes2-2
03/05/25HTOU Vs Rennes2-1
10/11/24ARennes Vs TOU0-2
13/04/24ARennes Vs TOU1-2
17/12/23HTOU Vs Rennes0-0
12/02/23HTOU Vs Rennes3-1
12/11/22ARennes Vs TOU2-1

ToulouseToulouse

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/26HTOU Vs Lille0-1
29/08/26AStade Brestois 29 Vs TOU2-2
22/08/26HTOU Vs Lyon0-2
10/05/26HTOU Vs Lyon2-1
03/05/26AStrasbourg Vs TOU1-2
25/04/26HTOU Vs Monaco2-2
21/04/26ALens Vs TOU4-1
17/04/26ALens Vs TOU3-2
12/04/26HTOU Vs Lille0-4
03/04/26AParis Saint Germain Vs TOU3-1

RennesRennes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HREN Vs Le Mans3-2
23/08/26HREN Vs Paris Saint Germain2-2
17/05/26AMarseille Vs REN3-1
10/05/26HREN Vs Paris FC2-1
03/05/26ALyon Vs REN4-2
26/04/26HREN Vs Nantes2-1
19/04/26AStrasbourg Vs REN0-3
11/04/26HREN Vs Angers2-1
04/04/26AStade Brestois 29 Vs REN3-4
22/03/26HREN Vs Metz0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Toulouse
Toulouse
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDL1.22
HomeLDWLL1.29
AwayLLLWD1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%31%
AVG goals2.862.792.92
Over 1.5 %70%67%73%
Over 2.5 %56%50%62%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.361.331.38
Conceded1.501.461.54
BTTS56%46%65%
Clean Sheet22%29%15%
Corners9.269.219.31
Cards4.344.124.54
Rennes
Rennes
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDW1.68
HomeWWWDW1.96
AwayWWWLL1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%58%42%
AVG goals3.342.923.73
Over 1.5 %84%79%88%
Over 2.5 %74%67%81%
Over 3.5 %50%38%62%
Scored1.821.791.85
Conceded1.521.121.88
BTTS58%67%50%
Clean Sheet28%25%31%
Corners10.5011.259.81
Cards4.284.414.17

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LilleLille37
67%
2.3
52+3
2.3
67%
33%
33%
8.0
33%
2.7
33%
22.3
67%
312
133102761.70.7
56%
2MonacoMonaco26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
11.0
100%
4.5
100%
22.0
50%
326
14884931.50.0
54%
3Paris FCParis FC24
50%
2.0
30+3
1.5
50%
50%
0%
5.5
0%
1.5
0%
14.0
0%
176
5954621.50.0
50%
4LyonLyon24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
10.0
100%
2.0
0%
22.0
50%
293
12282891.50.5
55%
5RennesRennes24
50%
2.0
54+1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
12.0
100%
5.0
100%
21.5
50%
241
87441092.52.0
54%
6Estac TroyesEstac Troyes24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
6.0
0%
1.0
0%
17.0
0%
36
711171.00.5
-
7LensLens23
50%
1.5
64+2
5.0
100%
100%
50%
10.0
50%
3.5
50%
24.0
50%
187
52241123.02.0
51%
8MarseilleMarseille23
50%
1.5
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
9.0
50%
4.0
100%
18.5
0%
225
9168662.01.0
57%
9AngersAngers23
50%
1.5
33+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
13.5
100%
4.5
100%
23.0
100%
73
3011321.51.5
42%
10StrasbourgStrasbourg23
50%
1.5
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
8.0
0%
4.0
100%
19.5
0%
304
112561361.02.5
54%
11Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 2922
0%
1.0
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
6.5
0%
3.0
50%
28.0
50%
64
2520192.02.0
43%
12Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain22
0%
1.0
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
7.5
50%
3.5
50%
15.5
0%
1477
6384304092.02.0
69%
13Le MansLe Mans21
0%
0.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
9.0
50%
4.0
50%
25.0
50%
24
45152.02.5
-
14Le HavreLe Havre21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
10.5
100%
3.5
50%
24.0
100%
55
923230.51.0
47%
15LorientLorient21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
8.0
0%
0.5
0%
18.0
0%
87
2032350.51.0
45%
16ToulouseToulouse31
0%
0.3
25-3
2.3
67%
33%
33%
9.0
33%
2.3
33%
27.3
67%
115
3039460.71.7
42%
17NiceNice21
0%
0.5
03-3
1.5
50%
50%
0%
7.5
0%
1.0
0%
15.0
0%
152
6231600.01.5
47%
18AuxerreAuxerre20
0%
0.0
38-5
5.5
100%
100%
100%
13.5
100%
4.0
50%
24.5
100%
84
2328331.54.0
44%
France: Ligue 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →

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