This opponent (Flora II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Flora II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.87
1.50
1.79
1.69
1.94
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.05
2.05
1.30
1.80
0.80
2.30
vs Weaker (10)
2.70
1.50
2.00
1.75
3.17
1.33
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Trans Narva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.8%
Under 1.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.1%
Under 2.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.9%
Under 3.5
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.5%
No
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
14.5%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
12.1%
0-0 ✓
11.3%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
6.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
Trans Narva goals ↓
Flora II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
14%
12%
6.2%
2.4%
1
6.4%
13%
9.0%
4.6%
1.8%
2
2.8%
4.3%
3.3%
1.7%
0.7%
3
0.7%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Trans Narva goals (down), columns = Flora II goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Flora Tallinn
2.60
Paide
2.40
Vaprus
2.40
Tartu Welco
2.40
Trans Narva
2.40
Elva
2.25
Tallinna Kalev
2.25
Nõmme United
2.25
Keila
2.00
Laagri
2.00
Tallinna Kalev II
2.00
Poseidon
2.00
Tallinna FC Zapoos
2.00
Saku Sporting
2.00
FC Tallinn
2.00
Tammeka
2.00
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.00
Viimsi
1.80
Saue
1.50
Läänemaa Haapsalu
1.50
Hell Hunt
1.50
Tabasalu Ulasabat
1.50
Team Helm
1.50
Tallinna Wolves
1.50
Joker
1.50
Tulevik
1.50
Kristiine JK
1.50
Kompanii Marjamaa
1.50
Tamper
1.50
Flora II
1.50
Kuressaare
1.50
Kalju Nomme
1.50
Rae Spordikool
1.33
Volta II / Arsenal
1.00
Rumori Calcio II
0.96
Tammeka Tartu U19
0.96
Lahte United
0.96
Nomme Utd U19
0.96
Rakvere FC Freedom
0.96
Jõgeva Wolves
0.96
Kummik
0.96
Elva III
0.96
Deliirium
0.96
Paide III
0.96
Generation Tallinn
0.96
Kena
0.96
Harju JK Laagri U21
0.96
Põhja-Tallinna JK Volta
0.96
Järva-Jaani
0.00
FC Kohvile
0.00
Flora III
0.00
Vana Hea Puur
0.00
Kose
0.00
TalTech
0.00
Kuusalu Kalev
0.00
Raplamaa
0.00
Welco X
0.00
Hiiumaa
0.00
Helios
0.00
Zealot Sporting
0.00
Soccernet
0.00
EstHam United
0.00
Vigri Maarjamäe
0.00
Legion
0.00
JK Tabasalu
0.00
Phoenix
0.00
Tartu Kalev
0.00
TransferWise
0.00
Olympic
0.00
Rumori Calcio
0.00
Trans Narva is 0.90 points better than Flora II in terms of average points per game (2.40 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Laagri
9.67
Tartu Welco
6.80
Tabasalu Ulasabat
6.50
Flora II
6.00
Vaprus
5.60
FC Tallinn
5.33
Flora Tallinn
4.80
Tammeka
4.67
Tallinna Wolves
4.50
Trans Narva
4.40
Rae Spordikool
4.00
Soccernet
4.00
Tallinna FC Zapoos
4.00
Kuressaare
4.00
Tallinna Kalev
3.25
Saue
3.00
Keila
3.00
Tulevik
3.00
Kompanii Marjamaa
3.00
Viimsi
3.00
Kalju Nomme
3.00
Paide
2.80
Nõmme United
2.75
Tallinna Kalev II
2.67
Saku Sporting
2.67
Joker
2.50
Tamper
2.50
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.50
Elva
2.25
Rumori Calcio II
2.24
Tammeka Tartu U19
2.24
Lahte United
2.24
Nomme Utd U19
2.24
Rakvere FC Freedom
2.24
Jõgeva Wolves
2.24
Kummik
2.24
Elva III
2.24
Deliirium
2.24
Paide III
2.24
Generation Tallinn
2.24
Kena
2.24
Harju JK Laagri U21
2.24
Põhja-Tallinna JK Volta
2.24
Team Helm
2.00
Volta II / Arsenal
2.00
Kristiine JK
2.00
Rumori Calcio
2.00
Poseidon
1.67
Järva-Jaani
1.00
Flora III
1.00
Läänemaa Haapsalu
1.00
TalTech
1.00
Hell Hunt
1.00
Raplamaa
1.00
Zealot Sporting
1.00
Phoenix
1.00
Tartu Kalev
1.00
FC Kohvile
0.00
Vana Hea Puur
0.00
Kose
0.00
Kuusalu Kalev
0.00
Welco X
0.00
Hiiumaa
0.00
Helios
0.00
EstHam United
0.00
Vigri Maarjamäe
0.00
Legion
0.00
JK Tabasalu
0.00
TransferWise
0.00
Olympic
0.00
Trans Narva is 1.60 goals worse than Flora II in terms of goals scored per game (4.40 vs 6.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Laagri
0.33
Tallinna Kalev II
0.33
Tartu Welco
0.40
FC Levadia Tallinn
0.50
Flora Tallinn
0.60
Trans Narva
0.80
Vaprus
1.00
Kuressaare
1.00
Kalju Nomme
1.00
Paide
1.20
Elva
1.25
Nõmme United
1.25
Tallinna FC Zapoos
1.33
Tammeka
1.33
Läänemaa Haapsalu
1.50
Tabasalu Ulasabat
1.50
Kompanii Marjamaa
1.50
Volta II / Arsenal
2.00
Tartu Kalev
2.00
Saku Sporting
2.00
Tallinna Kalev
2.00
Poseidon
2.33
FC Tallinn
2.33
Saue
2.50
Flora II
2.50
Viimsi
2.60
Hiiumaa
3.00
Helios
3.00
Legion
3.00
Tamper
3.00
Hell Hunt
3.50
Joker
3.50
Järva-Jaani
4.00
FC Kohvile
4.00
Rae Spordikool
4.00
Keila
4.00
Tallinna Wolves
4.00
Vigri Maarjamäe
4.00
Kristiine JK
4.00
Rumori Calcio
4.00
Rumori Calcio II
4.31
Tammeka Tartu U19
4.31
Lahte United
4.31
Nomme Utd U19
4.31
Rakvere FC Freedom
4.31
Jõgeva Wolves
4.31
Kummik
4.31
Elva III
4.31
Deliirium
4.31
Paide III
4.31
Generation Tallinn
4.31
Kena
4.31
Harju JK Laagri U21
4.31
Põhja-Tallinna JK Volta
4.31
Raplamaa
5.00
Vana Hea Puur
6.00
Soccernet
6.00
JK Tabasalu
6.00
Phoenix
6.00
Olympic
6.00
Tulevik
6.50
Kose
7.00
TalTech
7.00
Team Helm
7.00
Zealot Sporting
7.00
Flora III
8.00
Welco X
8.00
EstHam United
9.00
Kuusalu Kalev
16.00
TransferWise
26.00
Trans Narva is 1.70 goals better than Flora II in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 2.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Trans Narva or Draw✓ Hit
44.7%
Avg Implied -
17%
28%
55%
covers Trans Narva + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva or Flora II✗ Miss
72.1%
Avg Implied -
17%
28%
55%
covers Trans Narva + Flora II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Flora II✓ Hit
83.2%
Avg Implied -
17%
28%
55%
covers Draw + Flora II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Trans Narva over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
52.5%
Under
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
17.1%
Under
82.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora II over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
78.7%
Under
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora II over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.7%
Under
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora II over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.3%
Under
79.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora II over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.1%
Under
92.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Trans Narva, so a minus line means Trans Narva give that many goals of a start and Flora II receive them. At -1, Trans Narva must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Trans Narva win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Trans Narva)Actual: Flora II
Trans Narva -2
1.1%
Draw -2
4.0%
Flora II +2
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Trans Narva)Actual: Flora II
Trans Narva -1
5.2%
Draw -1
11.6%
Flora II +1
83.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Trans Narva)Actual: Trans Narva
Trans Narva +1
44.7%
Draw +1
25.4%
Flora II -1
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Trans Narva)Actual: Trans Narva
Trans Narva +2
70.1%
Draw +2
17.5%
Flora II -2
12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Trans Narva
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.80
1.20
0.93
0.20
0.67
vs Stronger (14)
0.21
0.93
0.43
1.29
0.00
0.57
vs Similar (14)
0.93
0.79
1.57
0.71
0.29
0.86
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.00
4.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Flora II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.90
0.64
0.79
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.55
1.15
0.70
0.90
0.40
1.40
vs Weaker (10)
1.40
0.40
0.50
0.50
2.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Trans Narva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Trans Narva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Trans Narva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.73
1.40
0.67
1.07
0.80
vs Stronger (14)
0.71
1.29
0.86
1.00
0.57
1.57
vs Similar (14)
1.00
0.29
1.29
0.43
0.71
0.14
vs Weaker (2)
6.50
0.00
6.00
0.00
7.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Flora II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.97
0.86
1.00
0.69
0.94
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.90
0.60
0.90
0.40
0.90
vs Weaker (10)
1.30
1.10
1.50
1.25
1.17
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Trans Narva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Trans Narva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →
Estonia: Esiliiga A 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Esiliiga A stats & trends →