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Transinvest 2 vs Atmosfera Result & Analysis

Date: 14/08/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 2-0
Transinvest 2
Transinvest 2
Vs
49%
27%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Atmosfera
Atmosfera
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Transinvest 2's recent form has been a concern, having suffered three consecutive defeats, including a 2-4 loss to BFA. However, they are favoured to win at home against Atmosfera, with a 49% chance of victory, ahead of a 27% draw probability and a 24% chance of an Atmosfera win. The expected total goals sits at 2.8, with the most likely total goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 12.7% probability.

At home, Transinvest 2 has averaged 1 goal scored and 1.5 conceded against stronger opponents. In contrast, Atmosfera, who are coming off a draw, has averaged 0 goals scored and 1 conceded away against stronger opponents.

The model is backing Transinvest 2 to win at home, but also suggests two other selections: Over 1.5 goals, with a 77.3% probability, and Under 3.5 goals, with a 70.1% probability and a 13% edge over the market.

Results analysis

The win extends their run, with Transinvest 2 now on a high note after defeating Atmosfera 2-0. The model's call was correct, as Home win was the favourite with a 49% pre-match probability. The model's selection of Home win landed, as the actual result was a home win. The suggested picks largely came in, with Over 1.5 hitting at 77.3% and Under 3.5 also hitting at 70.1%, giving the model a solid edge.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Transinvest 2 win✓ Hit
49.0%
Avg Implied 17.3% · @ 5.14
Edge
+31.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
5.65
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
10Bet
5.25
Draw✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied 22.2% · @ 4.01
Edge
+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
4.20
Dafabet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
10Bet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Atmosfera win✗ Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied 60.5% · @ 1.47
Edge
-36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.58
Betano
1.52
Dafabet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.49
1xBet
1.47

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Transinvest 2Transinvest 2

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D13L01L24LH·NEP20/07A·DAI28/07H·BAB03/08A·BFA08/08
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.252.501.001.501.503.50
vs Stronger (4)1.252.501.001.501.503.50
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (Atmosfera) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AtmosferaAtmosfera

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W20W30W22D20W21W03L41W13L11DH·NEV18/10A·JON25/10A·EKR01/11H·BFA09/11A·FK 11/04H·FK 21/04H·PAN20/05H·HEG25/07A·KAU01/08H·FA 08/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.132.311.441.290.79
vs Stronger (26)1.651.152.131.531.000.64
vs Similar (4)3.001.005.000.002.331.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Transinvest 2) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.3%
@ 1.16-3.2%
Under 1.5
22.7%
@ 4.80+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.60
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.0%
@ 1.51-8.0%
Under 2.5
48.0%
@ 2.26+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Under
Unibet
2.43
Bet365
2.35
Pinnacle
2.26
Betfair
2.25
1xBet
2.24
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.9%
@ 2.26-10.2%
Under 3.5
70.1%
@ 1.51+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.55
Marathonbet
2.34
1xBet
2.34
Pinnacle
2.34
10Bet
2.25
Under
Unibet
1.58
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.2%
@ 1.57-2.3%
No
44.8%
@ 2.13+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
William Hil
1.62
Betfair
1.60
Unibet
1.50
No
Unibet
2.35
Betfair
2.25
William Hil
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%@ 7.67+7.2%
2-1
9.6%@ 15.50+6.8%
1-0
9.3%@ 17.17+6.9%
2-0 ✓
8.7%@ 32.00+7.4%
0-0
7.5%@ 13.67+4.4%
1-2
6.4%@ 7.25+0.5%
0-1
5.8%@ 7.67+0.3%
2-2
5.3%@ 12.67+1.9%
Transinvest 2 goals ↓
Atmosfera goals →
01234
07.5%5.8%3.9%1.4%0.4%
19.3%13%6.4%2.4%0.6%
28.7%9.6%5.3%1.9%0.5%
34.8%5.3%2.9%1.1%0.3%
42.0%2.2%1.2%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Transinvest 2 goals (down), columns = Atmosfera goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Žalgiris II
2.71
Minija
2.40
Babrungas
2.29
BFA
2.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.86
Be1 NFA
1.50
Jonava
1.50
Dainava
1.50
Tauras
1.50
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.50
FA Šiauliai II
1.17
Hegelmann II
0.86
Atmosfera
0.83
Ekranas
0.57
Transinvest 2
0.57
Garliava
0.00
Transinvest 2 is 0.26 points worse than Atmosfera in terms of average points per game (0.57 vs 0.83).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Minija
2.80
BFA
2.14
Žalgiris II
2.14
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.83
Babrungas
1.71
Be1 NFA
1.67
Transinvest 2
1.57
Tauras
1.50
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.43
Atmosfera
1.33
Jonava
1.17
Dainava
1.17
Hegelmann II
1.14
FA Šiauliai II
1.00
Ekranas
0.86
Garliava
0.17
Transinvest 2 is 0.24 goals better than Atmosfera in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Minija
0.40
Babrungas
0.43
Dainava
0.83
Žalgiris II
0.86
Jonava
1.00
BFA
1.00
Tauras
1.33
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.43
Be1 NFA
1.50
Garliava
1.50
FA Šiauliai II
1.50
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.67
Atmosfera
1.83
Transinvest 2
2.29
Hegelmann II
2.57
Ekranas
3.00
Transinvest 2 is 0.45 goals worse than Atmosfera in terms of goals conceded per game (2.29 vs 1.83).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Transinvest 2Transinvest 2

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D12L00D02LH·NEP20/07A·DAI28/07H·BAB03/08A·BFA08/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.250.500.500.502.00
vs Stronger (4)0.501.250.500.500.502.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Atmosfera) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AtmosferaAtmosfera

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W10W01L10W01L01L10W10W11DH·NEV18/10A·JON25/10A·EKR01/11H·BFA09/11A·FK 11/04H·FK 21/04H·PAN20/05H·HEG25/07A·KAU01/08H·FA 08/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.501.000.690.500.29
vs Stronger (26)0.690.581.000.730.270.36
vs Similar (4)1.250.001.000.001.330.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Transinvest 2) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Transinvest 2 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Transinvest 2 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Transinvest 2 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atmosfera over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atmosfera over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atmosfera over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Transinvest 2Transinvest 2

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L01L22DH·NEP20/07A·DAI28/07H·BAB03/08A·BFA08/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.751.250.501.001.001.50
vs Stronger (4)0.751.250.501.001.001.50
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (Atmosfera) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AtmosferaAtmosfera

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W20W21W10W20W02L31W03L00DH·NEV18/10A·JON25/10A·EKR01/11H·BFA09/11A·FK 11/04H·FK 21/04H·PAN20/05H·HEG25/07A·KAU01/08H·FA 08/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.631.310.750.790.50
vs Stronger (26)0.960.581.130.800.730.27
vs Similar (4)1.751.004.000.001.001.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Transinvest 2) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Transinvest 2 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Transinvest 2 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Transinvest 2 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atmosfera over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atmosfera over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atmosfera over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.3%1.16
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.15
----3.2%✓ Hit
Under 3.570.1%1.51
Unibet
1.58
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
10Bet
1.50
+10.2%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (6)
€1m
HI (4)
€0m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
TAU (2)
€0m
T2 (3)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
Transinvest 2 and Atmosfera have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TAU (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
T2 (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FŠI (2)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
T2 (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
TAU (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
Transinvest 2 and Atmosfera have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (3)
€0m
HI (2)
€0m
TAU (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
T2 (2)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
Transinvest 2 and Atmosfera have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
T2 wins
0
Draws
0
ATM wins

Head-to-head

Transinvest 2 vs Atmosfera · H/A from T2
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Transinvest 2Transinvest 2

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26ABFA Vs T24-2
03/08/26HT2 Vs Babrungas0-1
28/07/26ADainava Vs T23-1
20/07/26HT2 Vs Neptūną Klaipėda2-2

AtmosferaAtmosfera

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26HATM Vs FA Šiauliai II1-1
01/08/26AKauno Žalgiris II Vs ATM3-1
25/07/26HATM Vs Hegelmann II4-1
20/05/26HATM Vs Panevėžys0-3
21/04/26HATM Vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius2-1
11/04/26AFK Ketera Vs ATM0-2
09/11/25HATM Vs BFA2-2
01/11/25AEkranas Vs ATM0-3
25/10/25AJonava Vs ATM0-2
18/10/25HATM Vs Nevėžis4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Transinvest 2
Transinvest 2
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 0 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLL0.25
HomeDL0.50
AwayLL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%0%0%
AVG goals3.752.505.00
Over 1.5 %75%50%100%
Over 2.5 %75%50%100%
Over 3.5 %75%50%100%
Scored1.251.001.50
Conceded2.501.503.50
BTTS75%50%100%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Atmosfera
Atmosfera
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLD1.62
HomeDWLWD1.41
AwayDWWWL1.87
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%41%57%
AVG goals2.803.302.22
Over 1.5 %72%81%61%
Over 2.5 %52%67%35%
Over 3.5 %30%41%17%
Scored1.681.811.52
Conceded1.121.480.70
BTTS50%67%30%
Clean Sheet32%15%52%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II719
86%
2.7
156+9
3.0
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.10.9
-
2BabrungasBabrungas716
71%
2.3
123+9
2.1
71%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.4
-
3BFABFA714
57%
2.0
157+8
3.1
71%
57%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.0
-
4Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda713
57%
1.9
1010+0
2.9
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
5MinijaMinija512
80%
2.4
142+12
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.4
-
6DainavaDainava69
33%
1.5
75+2
2.0
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
-
7Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II69
50%
1.5
1110+1
3.5
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.7
-
8Be1 NFABe1 NFA69
50%
1.5
109+1
3.2
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.5
-
9TaurasTauras69
33%
1.5
98+1
2.8
83%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
10JonavaJonava69
50%
1.5
76+1
2.2
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
11FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II67
33%
1.2
69-3
2.5
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
12Hegelmann IIHegelmann II76
29%
0.9
818-10
3.7
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.6
-
13AtmosferaAtmosfera65
17%
0.8
811-3
3.2
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
14Transinvest 2Transinvest 274
14%
0.6
1116-5
3.9
86%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.3
-
15EkranasEkranas74
14%
0.6
621-15
3.9
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.0
-
16GarliavaGarliava60
0%
0.0
19-8
1.7
33%
17%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.21.5
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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