This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Džiugas Telšiai
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.43
1.06
1.31
1.29
1.57
vs Stronger (17)
1.00
1.82
0.80
1.60
1.29
2.14
vs Similar (13)
1.38
0.92
1.50
0.83
1.29
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.4%
Under 1.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.2%
Under 2.5
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.1%
Under 3.5
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.8%
No
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.6%
1-2 ✓
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
TransINVEST Vilnius goals ↓
Džiugas Telšiai goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.9%
7.6%
4.5%
1.5%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.4%
2.2%
0.6%
2
8.8%
9.0%
4.6%
1.6%
0.4%
3
4.2%
4.3%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.5%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = TransINVEST Vilnius goals (down), columns = Džiugas Telšiai goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hegelmann Litauen
2.60
Kauno Žalgiris
2.25
Džiugas Telšiai
2.25
Atmosfera
2.25
Banga
2.20
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.00
FK Trakai
2.00
Jonava
2.00
Ekranas
2.00
Babrungas
2.00
Minija
2.00
Nemunas
2.00
Viltis Vilnius
2.00
FKS Ukmergė
2.00
Alternatyvus FK
2.00
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.50
Garliava
1.50
Tauras
1.50
BFA
1.50
Be1 NFA
1.50
Euforija
1.50
Sendvaris
1.50
Sirijus Klaipėda
1.50
Dembava
1.50
VGTU Vilkai
1.50
Šiauliai
1.33
Nevėžis
1.33
Klaipėdos FM
1.33
Suduva Marijampole
1.00
Panevėžys
0.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
0.00
Dainava
0.00
Sveikata
0.00
Venta
0.00
Granitas
0.00
Šilutė
0.00
Saned Joniškis
0.00
Ave.Ko
0.00
Širvėna Biržai
0.00
Nadruvis
0.00
Futboliukas Vilnius
0.00
Kazlų Rūda Kaunas
0.00
Utenis Utena
0.00
Tera
0.00
Fortūna Kaunas
0.00
Utenos Utena
0.00
Geležinis Vilkas
0.00
Trivartis Vilnius
0.00
Sviedinys Vilnius
0.00
Katastrofa Vilnius
0.00
TOP Kickers
0.00
Baltai
0.00
TransINVEST Vilnius is 0.25 points worse than Džiugas Telšiai in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
VGTU Vilkai
5.50
Ekranas
5.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
4.67
FKS Ukmergė
4.33
Tauras
4.00
Dembava
4.00
Alternatyvus FK
4.00
Kauno Žalgiris
3.75
Babrungas
3.67
Klaipėdos FM
3.67
FK Trakai
3.00
Jonava
3.00
Euforija
3.00
Sendvaris
3.00
TOP Kickers
3.00
Banga
2.60
Džiugas Telšiai
2.50
Garliava
2.50
Atmosfera
2.50
Sirijus Klaipėda
2.50
Hegelmann Litauen
2.20
Šiauliai
2.00
BFA
2.00
Minija
2.00
Nemunas
1.67
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.50
Viltis Vilnius
1.50
Panevėžys
1.00
Suduva Marijampole
1.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.00
Be1 NFA
1.00
Nevėžis
1.00
Sveikata
1.00
Šilutė
1.00
Kazlų Rūda Kaunas
1.00
Fortūna Kaunas
1.00
Geležinis Vilkas
1.00
Trivartis Vilnius
1.00
Sviedinys Vilnius
1.00
Dainava
0.00
Venta
0.00
Granitas
0.00
Saned Joniškis
0.00
Ave.Ko
0.00
Širvėna Biržai
0.00
Nadruvis
0.00
Futboliukas Vilnius
0.00
Utenis Utena
0.00
Tera
0.00
Utenos Utena
0.00
Katastrofa Vilnius
0.00
Baltai
0.00
TransINVEST Vilnius is 2.17 goals better than Džiugas Telšiai in terms of goals scored per game (4.67 vs 2.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Kauno Žalgiris
0.50
Minija
0.50
Be1 NFA
0.50
Alternatyvus FK
0.50
Hegelmann Litauen
0.60
Ekranas
0.67
Banga
0.80
Suduva Marijampole
1.00
Viltis Vilnius
1.00
VGTU Vilkai
1.00
Atmosfera
1.25
Šiauliai
1.33
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.33
Jonava
1.33
FKS Ukmergė
1.33
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.50
Džiugas Telšiai
1.50
Klaipėdos FM
1.67
Panevėžys
2.00
FK Trakai
2.00
Tauras
2.00
Dainava
2.00
Babrungas
2.00
Granitas
2.00
Šilutė
2.00
Fortūna Kaunas
2.00
Sviedinys Vilnius
2.00
Nevėžis
2.33
Garliava
2.50
Sirijus Klaipėda
2.50
Neptūną Klaipėda
3.00
BFA
3.00
Sveikata
3.00
Futboliukas Vilnius
3.00
Sendvaris
3.00
Nemunas
3.00
Baltai
3.00
Dembava
3.50
Venta
4.00
Kazlų Rūda Kaunas
4.00
Saned Joniškis
5.00
Širvėna Biržai
5.00
Tera
5.00
Geležinis Vilkas
5.00
TOP Kickers
5.00
Euforija
5.50
Utenis Utena
7.00
Ave.Ko
8.00
Utenos Utena
9.00
Trivartis Vilnius
10.00
Katastrofa Vilnius
10.00
Nadruvis
13.00
TransINVEST Vilnius is 0.17 goals better than Džiugas Telšiai in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
TransINVEST Vilnius or Draw✗ Miss
74.3%
Avg Implied -
45%
29%
26%
covers TransINVEST Vilnius + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius or Džiugas Telšiai✓ Hit
70.8%
Avg Implied -
45%
29%
26%
covers TransINVEST Vilnius + Džiugas Telšiai
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Džiugas Telšiai✓ Hit
54.9%
Avg Implied -
45%
29%
26%
covers Draw + Džiugas Telšiai
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.0%
Under
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
41.7%
Under
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.3%
Under
82.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.7%
Under
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.9%
Under
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
27.1%
Under
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.4%
Under
91.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to TransINVEST Vilnius, so a minus line means TransINVEST Vilnius give that many goals of a start and Džiugas Telšiai receive them. At -1, TransINVEST Vilnius must win by two or more to land; a one-goal TransINVEST Vilnius win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap +2 (TransINVEST Vilnius)Actual: TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius +2
90.1%
Draw +2
7.1%
Džiugas Telšiai -2
2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
TransINVEST Vilnius
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.33
0.67
0.80
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.21
0.68
0.22
0.67
0.20
0.70
vs Weaker (11)
1.18
0.45
0.50
0.67
2.00
0.20
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Džiugas Telšiai
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.50
0.31
0.56
0.86
0.43
vs Stronger (17)
0.47
0.71
0.20
0.80
0.86
0.57
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.23
0.50
0.17
0.86
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
TransINVEST Vilnius
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.80
0.87
0.80
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.89
1.22
1.11
0.50
0.70
vs Weaker (11)
0.55
0.64
0.33
0.33
0.80
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Džiugas Telšiai
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.93
0.75
0.75
0.43
1.14
vs Stronger (17)
0.53
1.12
0.60
0.80
0.43
1.57
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.69
1.00
0.67
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (27)
€10m
FZV (29)
€7m
PAN (28)
€6m
ŠIA (28)
€6m
SM (26)
€6m
BAN (22)
€6m
HL (22)
€6m
TV (24)
€5m
DT (22)
€5m
MIN (3)
€0m
TAU (2)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
TransINVEST Vilnius and Džiugas Telšiai have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
SM (10)
€2m
BAN (7)
€2m
TV (8)
€2m
FZV (9)
€2m
PAN (8)
€2m
HL (6)
€2m
ŠIA (7)
€2m
DT (5)
€1m
TAU (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
TransINVEST Vilnius's attack is €1m more valuable than Džiugas Telšiai's (€2m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (8)
€3m
PAN (7)
€2m
DT (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ŠIA (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (5)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
TV (5)
€1m
DAI (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
TAU (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
TransINVEST Vilnius and Džiugas Telšiai have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (12)
€4m
FZV (12)
€3m
ŠIA (11)
€3m
PAN (13)
€2m
TV (11)
€2m
HL (9)
€2m
SM (11)
€2m
BAN (10)
€2m
DT (10)
€2m
TAU (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
TransINVEST Vilnius and Džiugas Telšiai have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Lithuania: A Lyga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Hegelmann Litauen
Kauno Žalgiris
Dainava
Banga
Suduva Marijampole
Šiauliai
Panevėžys
Be1 NFA