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TransINVEST Vilnius vs Džiugas Telšiai Result & Analysis

Date: 26/07/2026
Time: 15:45
Final 1-0
TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius
Vs
33%
29%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Džiugas Telšiai
Džiugas Telšiai
Lithuania: A Lyga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U
10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives TransINVEST Vilnius a 33% win probability against Džiugas Telšiai in the Lithuania: A Lyga on 2026-07-26, with 29% for the draw and 38% for Džiugas Telšiai. The model estimates around 2.6 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (26%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (13.6%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (75%), Under 3.5 (73%).

Results analysis

TransINVEST Vilnius finished 1-0 against Džiugas Telšiai (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 33% home win, 29% draw and 38% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (73%). Missed: Over 1.5 (75%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TransINVEST Vilnius win✓ Hit
33.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai win✗ Miss
38.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W32W30W30W12L50W41W00D13L13LH·BFA20/09A·KAU26/09H·HEG04/10A·PAN17/10H·FA 25/10A·MIN31/10H·ŽAL09/11A·SUD06/07H·BAN12/07A·FK 19/07
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.600.872.500.862.690.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)2.401.202.001.002.671.33
vs Weaker (25)2.640.802.580.832.690.77
Clean sheet %50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D12L10W12L00D14L14L41W22D10WH·DAI12/09A·KAU21/09A·BAN26/09H·FK 05/10H·SUD18/10A·HEG23/10H·PAN26/10H·FK 02/11A·ŠIA08/11H·BAN19/07
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.300.941.171.171.50
vs Stronger (23)1.041.611.001.461.101.80
vs Similar (4)0.500.250.330.331.000.00
vs Weaker (3)1.670.331.500.502.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%016%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.4%
Under 1.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.3%
Under 2.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.4%
Under 3.5
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.0%
No
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
1-0 ✓
7.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
5.7%
TransINVEST Vilnius goals ↓
Džiugas Telšiai goals →
01234
08.3%8.5%6.7%3.1%1.1%
17.8%14%8.5%3.9%1.3%
25.7%7.9%5.4%2.5%0.9%
32.4%3.4%2.3%1.1%0.4%
40.8%1.1%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = TransINVEST Vilnius goals (down), columns = Džiugas Telšiai goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.50
Kauno Žalgiris
2.50
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.25
Banga
1.80
Džiugas Telšiai
1.40
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.14
Panevėžys
1.00
Hegelmann Litauen
0.67
Šiauliai
0.50
TransINVEST Vilnius is 0.26 points worse than Džiugas Telšiai in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.40).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.75
Suduva Marijampole
2.50
Kauno Žalgiris
2.50
Banga
1.80
Džiugas Telšiai
1.20
Hegelmann Litauen
1.17
TransINVEST Vilnius
0.86
Šiauliai
0.83
Panevėžys
0.80
TransINVEST Vilnius is 0.34 goals worse than Džiugas Telšiai in terms of goals scored per game (0.86 vs 1.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Suduva Marijampole
0.25
Kauno Žalgiris
0.25
Panevėžys
1.20
Džiugas Telšiai
1.40
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.43
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.50
Banga
1.60
Hegelmann Litauen
2.17
Šiauliai
2.67
TransINVEST Vilnius is 0.03 goals worse than Džiugas Telšiai in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 1.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W10W00D00D30W31W00D11D02LH·BFA20/09A·KAU26/09H·HEG04/10A·PAN17/10H·FA 25/10A·MIN31/10H·ŽAL09/11A·SUD06/07H·BAN12/07A·FK 19/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.431.070.431.250.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.800.601.000.500.670.67
vs Weaker (25)1.240.401.080.421.380.38
Clean sheet %77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L00D11D00D02L03L10W21W10WH·DAI12/09A·KAU21/09A·BAN26/09H·FK 05/10H·SUD18/10A·HEG23/10H·PAN26/10H·FK 02/11A·ŠIA08/11H·BAN19/07
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.730.390.780.670.67
vs Stronger (23)0.480.910.311.000.700.80
vs Similar (4)0.250.250.330.330.000.00
vs Weaker (3)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.572.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (25)
€9m
FZV (23)
€6m
PAN (21)
€5m
HL (18)
€4m
BAN (20)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
FZV (8)
€2m
PAN (7)
€2m
HL (5)
€1m
BAN (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (6)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
HL (6)
€1m
PAN (4)
€1m
BAN (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (10)
€4m
FZV (9)
€3m
PAN (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
TV wins
0
Draws
2
DT wins

Head-to-head

TransINVEST Vilnius vs Džiugas Telšiai · H/A from TV
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/24ADžiugas Telšiai Vs TV0-3
22/06/24HTV Vs Džiugas Telšiai3-0
27/04/24ADžiugas Telšiai Vs TV2-0
09/03/24HTV Vs Džiugas Telšiai0-1

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/07/26AFK Zalgiris Vilnius Vs TV3-1
12/07/26HTV Vs Banga1-3
06/07/26ASuduva Marijampole Vs TV0-0
09/11/25HTV Vs Žalgiris II4-1
31/10/25AMinija Vs TV0-5
25/10/25HTV Vs FA Šiauliai II1-2
17/10/25APanevėžys II Vs TV0-3
04/10/25HTV Vs Hegelmann II3-0
26/09/25AKauno Žalgiris II Vs TV2-3
20/09/25HTV Vs BFA3-0

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/07/26HDT Vs Banga1-0
08/11/25AŠiauliai Vs DT2-2
02/11/25HDT Vs FK Trakai4-1
26/10/25HDT Vs Panevėžys1-4
23/10/25AHegelmann Litauen Vs DT4-1
18/10/25HDT Vs Suduva Marijampole0-0
05/10/25HDT Vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius1-2
26/09/25ABanga Vs DT0-1
21/09/25AKauno Žalgiris Vs DT2-1
12/09/25HDT Vs Dainava1-1

📊 13. Overall Statistics

TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL1.92
HomeWWLWL1.88
AwayWWWDL1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%58%62%
AVG goals3.062.883.23
Over 1.5 %78%75%81%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %38%33%42%
Scored2.061.962.15
Conceded1.000.921.08
BTTS42%38%46%
Clean Sheet44%46%42%
Corners---
Cards---
Džiugas Telšiai
Džiugas Telšiai
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDW1.20
HomeLDLWW0.88
AwayWLWLD1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%20%48%
AVG goals2.242.282.20
Over 1.5 %62%68%56%
Over 2.5 %38%36%40%
Over 3.5 %18%20%16%
Scored0.980.881.08
Conceded1.261.401.12
BTTS40%48%32%
Clean Sheet32%20%44%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris410
75%
2.5
101+9
2.8
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
4242.50.2
-
2Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole410
75%
2.5
101+9
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.50.2
-
3FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius49
75%
2.2
116+5
4.2
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2232.81.5
-
4BangaBanga59
60%
1.8
98+1
3.4
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.81.6
-
5TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius78
29%
1.1
610-4
2.3
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
6Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai57
40%
1.4
67-1
2.6
60%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
7PanevėžysPanevėžys55
20%
1.0
46-2
2.0
80%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.81.2
-
8Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen64
17%
0.7
713-6
3.3
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.22.2
-
9ŠiauliaiŠiauliai63
17%
0.5
516-11
3.5
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.7
-
10FK TrakaiFK Trakai00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Lithuania: A Lyga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →

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