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TransINVEST Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris Prediction & Stats

Date: 07/11/2026
Time: 12:15
TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius
Vs
21%
29%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuania: A Lyga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

TransINVEST Vilnius face a tough test at home against Kauno Žalgiris, with the model favouring an away win. The expected total is 2.3 goals, centring on a 1-1 draw as the single most likely scoreline at 13.7%. Home form shows an average of 1.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded against similar opposition, while away side averages only 0.6 scored and 1.2 conceded on the road. The match carries a 22% chance of a home victory, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 48% chance of an away win. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (99.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.6%), Under 5.5 (96.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.1%), Home under 2.5 goals (93.7%), Away +2 handicap (92.1%) and Under 4.5 (91.1%). The home side is coming off a win, while the away side follows a draw.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TransINVEST Vilnius win
21.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris win
49.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D00D13L13L10W21W02L11D30WH·HEG20/05A·DAI24/06A·SUD06/07H·BAN12/07A·FK 19/07H·DŽI26/07A·HEG02/08H·PAN10/08A·KAU16/08H·ŠIA24/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.570.872.140.932.940.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.700.901.500.751.831.00
vs Weaker (20)3.000.852.401.003.600.70
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D10W05L20W12L11D03L10W00D10WA·KI 21/07H·KI 29/07A·DIN04/08H·HEG08/08H·DIN11/08H·TRA16/08A·BEŞ20/08H·BEŞ27/08A·BAN30/08A·ŠIA03/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.872.070.801.130.93
vs Stronger (4)0.502.501.001.000.004.00
vs Similar (14)1.710.792.220.780.800.80
vs Weaker (12)1.830.422.250.751.620.25
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
69.4%
Under 1.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
41.9%
Under 2.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
21.2%
Under 3.5
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
46.5%
No
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
0-1
12.7%
0-0
10.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.0%
TransINVEST Vilnius goals ↓
Kauno Žalgiris goals →
01234
011%13%10%5.0%1.8%
17.2%14%9.1%4.4%1.6%
23.7%5.5%4.0%2.0%0.7%
31.1%1.6%1.2%0.6%0.2%
40.2%0.4%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = TransINVEST Vilnius goals (down), columns = Kauno Žalgiris goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.67
Kauno Žalgiris
2.20
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.38
Banga
1.38
Panevėžys
1.38
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
Hegelmann Litauen
0.75
Šiauliai
0.38
TransINVEST Vilnius is 0.83 points worse than Kauno Žalgiris in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 2.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.33
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.17
Kauno Žalgiris
2.00
Banga
1.25
Hegelmann Litauen
1.25
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.12
Panevėžys
1.12
Šiauliai
0.75
TransINVEST Vilnius is 0.88 goals worse than Kauno Žalgiris in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kauno Žalgiris
0.20
Suduva Marijampole
0.33
Panevėžys
1.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.25
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.33
Banga
1.50
Džiugas Telšiai
1.57
Hegelmann Litauen
2.00
Šiauliai
2.62
TransINVEST Vilnius is 1.05 goals worse than Kauno Žalgiris in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 0.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
TransINVEST Vilnius or Draw
50.4%
Avg Implied -
21%
29%
50%
covers TransINVEST Vilnius + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius or Kauno Žalgiris
71.1%
Avg Implied -
21%
29%
50%
covers TransINVEST Vilnius + Kauno Žalgiris
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Kauno Žalgiris
78.6%
Avg Implied -
21%
29%
50%
covers Draw + Kauno Žalgiris
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 0.5
Over
58.7%
Under
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 1.5
Over
22.2%
Under
77.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 2.5
Over
6.0%
Under
94.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 3.5
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 0.5
Over
77.0%
Under
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 1.5
Over
43.2%
Under
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 2.5
Over
18.4%
Under
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 3.5
Over
6.2%
Under
93.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to TransINVEST Vilnius, so a minus line means TransINVEST Vilnius give that many goals of a start and Kauno Žalgiris receive them. At -1, TransINVEST Vilnius must win by two or more to land; a one-goal TransINVEST Vilnius win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (TransINVEST Vilnius)
TransINVEST Vilnius -2
1.9%
Draw -2
5.6%
Kauno Žalgiris +2
92.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (TransINVEST Vilnius)
TransINVEST Vilnius -1
7.5%
Draw -1
13.9%
Kauno Žalgiris +1
78.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (TransINVEST Vilnius)
TransINVEST Vilnius +1
50.4%
Draw +1
24.0%
Kauno Žalgiris -1
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (TransINVEST Vilnius)
TransINVEST Vilnius +2
74.4%
Draw +2
15.5%
Kauno Žalgiris -2
10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D11D02L00D10W01L01L10WH·HEG20/05A·DAI24/06A·SUD06/07H·BAN12/07A·FK 19/07H·DŽI26/07A·HEG02/08H·PAN10/08A·KAU16/08H·ŠIA24/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.431.000.431.380.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.500.400.500.250.500.50
vs Weaker (20)1.550.451.200.501.900.40
Clean sheet %70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L20W02L10W02L00D00D00DA·KI 21/07H·KI 29/07A·DIN04/08H·HEG08/08H·DIN11/08H·TRA16/08A·BEŞ20/08H·BEŞ27/08A·BAN30/08A·ŠIA03/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.330.930.270.670.40
vs Stronger (4)0.001.500.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (14)0.790.211.000.110.400.40
vs Weaker (12)1.080.081.250.251.000.00
Clean sheet %77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D02L11D10W11D01L10W20WH·HEG20/05A·DAI24/06A·SUD06/07H·BAN12/07A·FK 19/07H·DŽI26/07A·HEG02/08H·PAN10/08A·KAU16/08H·ŠIA24/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.431.140.501.560.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.200.501.000.501.330.50
vs Weaker (20)1.450.401.200.501.700.30
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W03L00D10W01L01L10W00D10WA·KI 21/07H·KI 29/07A·DIN04/08H·HEG08/08H·DIN11/08H·TRA16/08A·BEŞ20/08H·BEŞ27/08A·BAN30/08A·ŠIA03/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.531.130.530.470.53
vs Stronger (4)0.501.001.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (14)0.930.571.220.670.400.40
vs Weaker (12)0.750.331.000.500.620.25
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.7%-------
Under 6.598.9%-------
Home under 3.5 goals98.7%-------
Under 5.596.7%-------
Home under 2.5 goals94.0%-------
Away under 3.5 goals93.8%-------
Away +2 handicap92.5%-------
Under 4.591.0%-------
Away under 2.5 goals81.6%-------
Under 3.578.8%-------
Draw or Away78.6%-------
Away +1 handicap78.6%-------
Home under 1.5 goals77.8%-------
Away over 0.5 goals77.0%-------
Home +2 handicap74.4%-------
Home or Away71.1%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (27)
€10m
FZV (29)
€7m
PAN (28)
€6m
ŠIA (28)
€6m
SM (26)
€6m
BAN (22)
€6m
HL (22)
€6m
TV (24)
€5m
DT (22)
€5m
TransINVEST Vilnius's squad is €4m less valuable than Kauno Žalgiris's (€5m vs €10m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
SM (10)
€2m
BAN (7)
€2m
TV (8)
€2m
FZV (9)
€2m
PAN (8)
€2m
HL (6)
€2m
ŠIA (7)
€2m
DT (5)
€1m
TransINVEST Vilnius's attack is €2m less valuable than Kauno Žalgiris's (€2m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (8)
€3m
PAN (7)
€2m
DT (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ŠIA (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (5)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
TV (5)
€1m
TransINVEST Vilnius and Kauno Žalgiris have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (12)
€4m
FZV (12)
€3m
ŠIA (11)
€3m
PAN (13)
€2m
TV (11)
€2m
HL (9)
€2m
SM (11)
€2m
BAN (10)
€2m
DT (10)
€2m
TransINVEST Vilnius's defence is €2m less valuable than Kauno Žalgiris's (€2m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
TV wins
1
Draws
3
KŽ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

TransINVEST Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris · H/A from TV
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26AKauno Žalgiris Vs TV1-1
31/08/24HTV Vs Kauno Žalgiris0-3
26/06/24AKauno Žalgiris Vs TV2-0
02/05/24HTV Vs Kauno Žalgiris3-2
12/03/24AKauno Žalgiris Vs TV2-1

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/08/26HTV Vs Šiauliai3-0
16/08/26AKauno Žalgiris Vs TV1-1
10/08/26HTV Vs Panevėžys0-2
02/08/26AHegelmann Litauen Vs TV1-2
26/07/26HTV Vs Džiugas Telšiai1-0
19/07/26AFK Zalgiris Vilnius Vs TV3-1
12/07/26HTV Vs Banga1-3
06/07/26ASuduva Marijampole Vs TV0-0
24/06/26ADainava Vs TV1-1
20/05/26HTV Vs Hegelmann Litauen2-0

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/26AŠiauliai Vs KŽ0-1
30/08/26ABanga Vs KŽ0-0
27/08/26HKŽ Vs Beşiktaş1-0
20/08/26ABeşiktaş Vs KŽ3-0
16/08/26HKŽ Vs TransINVEST Vilnius1-1
11/08/26HKŽ Vs Dinamo Zagreb1-2
08/08/26HKŽ Vs Hegelmann Litauen2-0
04/08/26ADinamo Zagreb Vs KŽ5-0
29/07/26HKŽ Vs KI Klaksvik1-0
21/07/26AKI Klaksvik Vs KŽ0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDW2.12
HomeWLWLW2.08
AwayDDLWD2.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%67%65%
AVG goals3.302.793.77
Over 1.5 %82%75%88%
Over 2.5 %64%58%69%
Over 3.5 %40%29%50%
Scored2.402.042.73
Conceded0.900.751.04
BTTS48%33%62%
Clean Sheet46%54%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDW1.98
HomeWWLDW2.20
AwayDLLDW1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%68%48%
AVG goals2.562.842.28
Over 1.5 %74%84%64%
Over 2.5 %56%64%48%
Over 3.5 %22%24%20%
Scored1.762.161.36
Conceded0.800.680.92
BTTS40%44%36%
Clean Sheet46%48%44%
Corners11.008.0017.00
Cards3.673.005.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole616
83%
2.7
142+12
2.7
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2122.30.3
-
2FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius612
67%
2.0
138+5
3.5
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2332.21.3
-
3Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris511
60%
2.2
101+9
2.2
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4242.00.2
-
4PanevėžysPanevėžys811
38%
1.4
98+1
2.1
88%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.11.0
-
5TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius811
38%
1.4
910-1
2.4
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.2
-
6BangaBanga811
38%
1.4
1012-2
2.8
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.21.5
-
7Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai78
29%
1.1
811-3
2.7
71%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.11.6
-
8Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen86
12%
0.8
1016-6
3.2
100%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.22.0
-
9ŠiauliaiŠiauliai83
12%
0.4
621-15
3.4
88%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2230.82.6
-
10FK TrakaiFK Trakai00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Lithuania: A Lyga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →

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