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TransINVEST Vilnius vs Šiauliai Result & Analysis

Date: 24/08/2026
Time: 15:45
Final 3-0
TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius
Vs
34%
28%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Šiauliai
Šiauliai
Lithuania: A Lyga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

TransINVEST Vilnius enter the match after a draw, while Šiauliai come off a win, setting a narrative of momentum swing. The model’s most likely outcome is an away win, with probabilities of 38 % for Šiauliai, 34 % for TransINVEST Vilnius and 28 % for a draw. The expected total goals is 2.7, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.4 % chance. Home form shows the Vilnius side scoring and conceding an average of one goal against similar opponents, whereas Šiauliai’s away record against comparable teams averages 1.3 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.3 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.2 %) with an 8 % edge, Under 6.5 (97.9 %) with a 7 % edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.6 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.5 %) with an 11 % edge, Home under 3.5 goals (95.6 %) with a 15 % edge, and Away under 3.5 goals (94.6 %) with a 1 % edge.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Away win, failed to materialise as TransINVEST Vilnius secured a 3-0 home victory, extending their recent run with a win. The model’s call was wrong, with a 38% probability for the away side. The final score of 3-0 confirmed a home win, contrary to expectations. All suggested picks were settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.2%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.9%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.6%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.5%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 95.6%, and Away under 3.5 goals hit at 94.6%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage and mentioned only once.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TransINVEST Vilnius win✓ Hit
33.9%
Avg Implied 59.9% · @ 1.50
Edge
-26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.56
Superbet
1.54
William Hil
1.53
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Draw✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied 22.1% · @ 4.06
Edge
+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.30
Pinnacle
4.20
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.15
Betano
4.15
Šiauliai win✗ Miss
38.0%
Avg Implied 18.0% · @ 4.99
Edge
+20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
5.40
1xBet
5.38
Dafabet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.15
Pinnacle
5.06

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Last 10 – goals for & against
100-10101W20W11D00D13L13L10W21W02L11DA·VEN22/04H·HEG20/05A·DAI24/06A·SUD06/07H·BAN12/07A·FK 19/07H·DŽI26/07A·HEG02/08H·PAN10/08A·KAU16/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.630.872.081.003.060.76
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.561.001.001.001.831.00
vs Weaker (21)3.100.812.401.003.730.64
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Šiauliai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠiauliaiŠiauliai

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D40W21W21W03L04L02L13L34L10WH·DŽI08/11A·JON29/04A·ATA20/05H·DŽI24/06H·FK 05/07A·KAU18/07H·HEG24/07H·BAN03/08H·DŽI09/08H·PAN17/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.801.821.821.541.77
vs Stronger (3)0.672.001.002.500.001.00
vs Similar (24)1.621.961.861.791.302.20
vs Weaker (3)3.330.333.001.003.500.00
Clean sheet %17% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.6%
@ 1.14-2.8%
Under 1.5
23.4%
@ 4.41+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Under
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.60
1xBet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.0%
@ 1.51-9.4%
Under 2.5
49.0%
@ 2.30+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Under
Betfair
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Unibet
2.38
Pinnacle
2.35
10Bet
2.35
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.9%
@ 2.29-11.0%
Under 3.5
71.1%
@ 1.52+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.45
10Bet
2.40
Pinnacle
2.39
Superbet
2.30
1xBet
2.28
Under
Bet365
1.57
Unibet
1.56
Betfair
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.3%
@ 1.60-0.4%
No
43.7%
@ 2.11+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.64
William Hil
1.62
Betfair
1.62
Unibet
1.61
No
Betfair
2.20
William Hil
2.15
1xBet
2.13
Superbet
2.12
Unibet
2.12

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%@ 7.52+7.7%
1-2
8.5%@ 14.67+5.6%
0-1
8.1%@ 16.11+5.4%
2-1
8.0%@ 7.11+2.0%
0-0
7.8%@ 14.49+4.9%
1-0
7.5%@ 7.87+2.0%
0-2
6.5%@ 29.44+5.1%
2-0
5.7%@ 7.62+0.1%
TransINVEST Vilnius goals ↓
Šiauliai goals →
01234
07.8%8.1%6.5%3.0%1.1%
17.5%13%8.5%4.0%1.4%
25.7%8.0%5.6%2.6%0.9%
32.5%3.5%2.5%1.1%0.4%
40.8%1.1%0.8%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = TransINVEST Vilnius goals (down), columns = Šiauliai goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.67
Kauno Žalgiris
2.20
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.38
Banga
1.38
Panevėžys
1.38
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
Hegelmann Litauen
0.75
Šiauliai
0.38
TransINVEST Vilnius is 1.00 points better than Šiauliai in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 0.38).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.33
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.17
Kauno Žalgiris
2.00
Banga
1.25
Hegelmann Litauen
1.25
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.12
Panevėžys
1.12
Šiauliai
0.75
TransINVEST Vilnius is 0.38 goals better than Šiauliai in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 0.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kauno Žalgiris
0.20
Suduva Marijampole
0.33
Panevėžys
1.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.25
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.33
Banga
1.50
Džiugas Telšiai
1.57
Hegelmann Litauen
2.00
Šiauliai
2.62
TransINVEST Vilnius is 1.38 goals better than Šiauliai in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 2.62).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
TransINVEST Vilnius or Draw✓ Hit
62.0%
Avg Implied 82.1% · @ 1.11
Edge
-20.1%
34%
28%
38%
covers TransINVEST Vilnius + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
TransINVEST Vilnius or Šiauliai✓ Hit
71.9%
Avg Implied 78.3% · @ 1.17
Edge
-6.4%
34%
28%
38%
covers TransINVEST Vilnius + Šiauliai
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Draw or Šiauliai✗ Miss
66.1%
Avg Implied 39.6% · @ 2.31
Edge
+26.5%
34%
28%
38%
covers Draw + Šiauliai
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.40
10Bet
2.38
Unibet
2.32
Bet365
2.30
1xBet
2.30

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.1%
@ 1.08-12.2%
Under
26.9%
@ 6.26+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Under
1xBet
6.80
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.00
Superbet
5.75
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
37.8%
@ 1.50-24.1%
Under
62.2%
@ 2.42+24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Under
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.46
1xBet
2.44
Superbet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.38
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
14.6%
@ 2.46-22.9%
Under
85.4%
@ 1.48+22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.51
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.49
Superbet
2.47
Under
Pinnacle
1.52
Unibet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 4.75-15.0%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.15+15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Bet365
4.50
Under
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.12
Šiauliai over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
75.4%
@ 1.45+12.2%
Under
24.6%
@ 2.49-12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
1xBet
1.46
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.44
Under
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.60
Superbet
2.52
10Bet
2.50
1xBet
2.47
Šiauliai over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
40.9%
@ 3.13+11.5%
Under
59.1%
@ 1.30-11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.18
10Bet
3.10
1xBet
3.10
Superbet
3.00
Under
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Šiauliai over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.7%
@ 7.90+5.1%
Under
83.3%
@ 1.03-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.70
Marathonbet
8.50
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
6.90
Under
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
Šiauliai over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 15.00-0.9%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.01+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Under
Bet365
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to TransINVEST Vilnius, so a minus line means TransINVEST Vilnius give that many goals of a start and Šiauliai receive them. At -1, TransINVEST Vilnius must win by two or more to land; a one-goal TransINVEST Vilnius win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (TransINVEST Vilnius)Actual: TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius -2
5.4%
@ 3.82-17.1%
Draw -2
10.1%
@ 4.18-10.4%
Šiauliai +2
84.5%
@ 1.50+27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
3.25
Draw
Marathonbet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
3.50
Away
Bet365
1.53
Unibet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
Handicap -1 (TransINVEST Vilnius)Actual: TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius -1
15.5%
@ 2.26-22.8%
Draw -1
18.3%
@ 3.53-6.2%
Šiauliai +1
66.1%
@ 2.33+29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.33
Betfair
2.30
Bet365
2.30
Unibet
1.98
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
Unibet
3.10
Away
Betfair
2.40
10Bet
2.38
Unibet
2.32
Bet365
2.30
Marathonbet
2.27
Handicap +1 (TransINVEST Vilnius)Actual: TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius +1
62.0%
@ 1.11-17.4%
Draw +1
19.7%
@ 7.00+7.1%
Šiauliai -1
18.3%
@ 11.00+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Away
Bet365
11.00
Handicap +2 (TransINVEST Vilnius)Actual: TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius +2
81.7%
@ 1.04-9.5%
Draw +2
11.5%
@ 17.00+6.0%
Šiauliai -2
6.8%
@ 29.00+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Away
Bet365
29.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W00D11D00D11D02L00D10W01L01LA·VEN22/04H·HEG20/05A·DAI24/06A·SUD06/07H·BAN12/07A·FK 19/07H·DŽI26/07A·HEG02/08H·PAN10/08A·KAU16/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.431.000.461.410.41
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.440.440.330.330.500.50
vs Weaker (21)1.570.431.200.501.910.36
Clean sheet %70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Šiauliai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠiauliaiŠiauliai

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L30W01L11D00D02L02L12L13L10WH·DŽI08/11A·JON29/04A·ATA20/05H·DŽI24/06H·FK 05/07A·KAU18/07H·HEG24/07H·BAN03/08H·DŽI09/08H·PAN17/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.830.820.880.690.77
vs Stronger (3)0.330.670.500.500.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.710.920.860.930.500.90
vs Weaker (3)1.670.331.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.0%
@ 1.25-5.1%
Under 0.5
32.0%
@ 3.38+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
1xBet
3.60
William Hil
3.60
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
31.8%
@ 2.18-9.9%
Under 1.5
68.2%
@ 1.56+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.30
Betfair
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Marathonbet
2.22
1xBet
2.22
Under
William Hil
1.62
Pinnacle
1.59
Unibet
1.58
1xBet
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.0%
@ 4.52-10.1%
Under 2.5
90.0%
@ 1.14+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
William Hil
5.00
1xBet
4.60
Superbet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Under
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.12

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
44.1%
@ 1.52-16.8%
Under
55.9%
@ 2.37+16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.54
Superbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
Under
Pinnacle
2.41
1xBet
2.38
Superbet
2.32
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.7%
@ 3.49-14.5%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.24+14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.58
1xBet
3.40
Under
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.22
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 9.50-7.8%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.50
Under
1xBet
1.01
Šiauliai over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
41.8%
@ 2.48+4.6%
Under
58.2%
@ 1.47-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.60
1xBet
2.47
Superbet
2.42
Marathonbet
2.41
Under
1xBet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
Superbet
1.46
Šiauliai over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 9.15+0.0%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.01-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.20
1xBet
9.10
Under
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
Šiauliai over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
70-770W20W00D00D02L11D10W11D01L10WA·VEN22/04H·HEG20/05A·DAI24/06A·SUD06/07H·BAN12/07A·FK 19/07H·DŽI26/07A·HEG02/08H·PAN10/08A·KAU16/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.431.080.541.650.35
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.110.560.670.671.330.50
vs Weaker (21)1.520.381.200.501.820.27
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Šiauliai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠiauliaiŠiauliai

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W20W10W03L02L00D01L21W00DH·DŽI08/11A·JON29/04A·ATA20/05H·DŽI24/06H·FK 05/07A·KAU18/07H·HEG24/07H·BAN03/08H·DŽI09/08H·PAN17/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.971.000.940.851.00
vs Stronger (3)0.331.330.502.000.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.921.041.000.860.801.30
vs Weaker (3)1.670.002.000.001.500.00
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.9%
@ 1.16-4.3%
Under 0.5
24.1%
@ 4.69+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.90
William Hil
4.50
Superbet
4.35
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.6%
@ 1.78-11.4%
Under 1.5
59.4%
@ 1.93+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.78
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.76
Under
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.8%
@ 3.36-10.6%
Under 2.5
83.2%
@ 1.27+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.25
1xBet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.25
William Hil
1.25

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
52.0%
@ 1.36-15.2%
Under
48.0%
@ 2.79+15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.35
Under
1xBet
2.90
Superbet
2.67
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
15.9%
@ 2.64-18.7%
Under
84.1%
@ 1.40+18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.67
Superbet
2.65
1xBet
2.60
Under
1xBet
1.43
Superbet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.38
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 6.40-10.8%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.07+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.40
Under
1xBet
1.07
Šiauliai over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
52.1%
@ 2.07+7.6%
Under
47.9%
@ 1.65-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
Superbet
2.05
Under
Superbet
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.63
Šiauliai over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.2%
@ 6.80+1.7%
Under
84.8%
@ 1.05-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.80
Marathonbet
6.80
Under
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Šiauliai over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.3%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.2%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.2%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+7.8%✓ Hit
Under 6.597.9%1.02
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.02
---+7.0%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.6%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.5%1.07
1xBet
1.07
----+10.8%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals95.6%1.15
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.12
---+15.0%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals94.6%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+0.9%✓ Hit
Under 5.594.2%1.05
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.03
BetVictor
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
+7.6%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals90.0%1.14
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.12
+10.1%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals90.0%1.01
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
----0.0%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals88.3%1.24
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.22
---+14.5%✓ Hit
Under 4.586.1%1.18
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
+9.8%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals84.8%1.05
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
----1.7%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals84.1%1.40
1xBet
1.43
Superbet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.38
--+18.7%✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals83.3%1.03
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
--5.1%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals83.2%1.27
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
-+10.6%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap81.7%1.04
Bet365
1.04
-----9.5%✓ Hit
Over 1.576.6%1.14
10Bet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
-2.8%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals75.9%1.16
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.13
--4.3%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals75.4%1.45
Marathonbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
1xBet
1.46
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.44
+12.2%✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals73.1%1.08
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
--12.2%✓ Hit
Home or Away71.9%1.17
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
-6.4%✓ Hit
Under 3.571.1%1.52
Bet365
1.57
Unibet
1.56
Betfair
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
+11.0%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (27)
€10m
FZV (29)
€7m
PAN (28)
€6m
ŠIA (28)
€6m
SM (26)
€6m
BAN (22)
€6m
HL (22)
€6m
TV (24)
€5m
DT (22)
€5m
TransINVEST Vilnius and Šiauliai have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
SM (10)
€2m
BAN (7)
€2m
TV (8)
€2m
FZV (9)
€2m
PAN (8)
€2m
HL (6)
€2m
ŠIA (7)
€2m
DT (5)
€1m
TransINVEST Vilnius and Šiauliai have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (8)
€3m
PAN (7)
€2m
DT (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ŠIA (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (5)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
TV (5)
€1m
TransINVEST Vilnius and Šiauliai have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (12)
€4m
FZV (12)
€3m
ŠIA (11)
€3m
PAN (13)
€2m
TV (11)
€2m
HL (9)
€2m
SM (11)
€2m
BAN (10)
€2m
DT (10)
€2m
TransINVEST Vilnius and Šiauliai have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
TV wins
0
Draws
2
ŠIA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

TransINVEST Vilnius vs Šiauliai · H/A from TV
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/24HTV Vs Šiauliai2-0
05/07/24AŠiauliai Vs TV1-0
18/05/24HTV Vs Šiauliai1-3
30/03/24AŠiauliai Vs TV0-1

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26AKauno Žalgiris Vs TV1-1
10/08/26HTV Vs Panevėžys0-2
02/08/26AHegelmann Litauen Vs TV1-2
26/07/26HTV Vs Džiugas Telšiai1-0
19/07/26AFK Zalgiris Vilnius Vs TV3-1
12/07/26HTV Vs Banga1-3
06/07/26ASuduva Marijampole Vs TV0-0
24/06/26ADainava Vs TV1-1
20/05/26HTV Vs Hegelmann Litauen2-0
22/04/26AVenta Vs TV1-10

ŠiauliaiŠiauliai

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/26HŠIA Vs Panevėžys1-0
09/08/26HŠIA Vs Džiugas Telšiai3-4
03/08/26HŠIA Vs Banga1-3
24/07/26HŠIA Vs Hegelmann Litauen0-2
18/07/26AKauno Žalgiris Vs ŠIA4-0
05/07/26HŠIA Vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius0-3
24/06/26HŠIA Vs Džiugas Telšiai2-1
20/05/26AAtaka Vilnius Vs ŠIA1-2
29/04/26AJonava Vs ŠIA0-4
08/11/25HŠIA Vs Džiugas Telšiai2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLD2.12
HomeWWLWL2.08
AwayDDLWD2.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%67%65%
AVG goals3.282.753.77
Over 1.5 %82%75%88%
Over 2.5 %62%54%69%
Over 3.5 %40%29%50%
Scored2.382.002.73
Conceded0.900.751.04
BTTS48%33%62%
Clean Sheet46%54%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Šiauliai
Šiauliai
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.40
HomeLLLLW1.42
AwayLDWWL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%38%42%
AVG goals3.203.582.85
Over 1.5 %82%92%73%
Over 2.5 %72%83%62%
Over 3.5 %46%54%38%
Scored1.581.831.35
Conceded1.621.751.50
BTTS58%67%50%
Clean Sheet20%17%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole616
83%
2.7
142+12
2.7
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2122.30.3
-
2FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius612
67%
2.0
138+5
3.5
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2332.21.3
-
3Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris511
60%
2.2
101+9
2.2
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4242.00.2
-
4PanevėžysPanevėžys811
38%
1.4
98+1
2.1
88%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.11.0
-
5TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius811
38%
1.4
910-1
2.4
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.2
-
6BangaBanga811
38%
1.4
1012-2
2.8
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.21.5
-
7Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai78
29%
1.1
811-3
2.7
71%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.11.6
-
8Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen86
12%
0.8
1016-6
3.2
100%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.22.0
-
9ŠiauliaiŠiauliai83
12%
0.4
621-15
3.4
88%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2230.82.6
-
10FK TrakaiFK Trakai00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Lithuania: A Lyga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →

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