PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 5-2
Tre Fiori
Tre Fiori
Vs
76%
16%
7%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pennarossa
Pennarossa
San-Marino: Campionato
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Tre Fiori are the clear favourite, with the model assigning a 76% chance of a home win. Their recent slump - three straight losses - is already behind them, and they have been prolific at home, averaging 2.5 goals scored and only 0.38 conceded against weaker opposition. Pennarossa, on the other hand, have struggled away, conceding 2.3 goals on average and scoring only 0.5 against stronger teams. The venue advantage is decisive, and the model’s pick is a Tre Fiori victory, reflected in the 76% home-win probability, 16% draw and 7% away-win chance. The expected total is 3.2 goals, with the most likely total of 3 goals at a 22% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0 for Tre Fiori, with a 12.9% chance. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls (99.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.5%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (99.0%), Over 21.5 fouls (98.5%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5%), Under 7.5 (98.3%), Home +2 handicap (97.9%) and Away under 2.5 goals (96.7%).

Results analysis

The win extends Tre Fiori’s recent run, as they finished the match 5-2 over Pennarossa, confirming the model’s home win pick with a 76% probability. The model’s favourite call was correct, and the final score matched the actual result, giving the team a decisive victory. The suggested selections performed strongly: Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.5%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.2%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.8%, Under 7.5 at 98.3%, Home +2 handicap at 97.9%, and Away under 2.5 goals at 96.7%. All these picks were settled and hit, underscoring the model’s accuracy across the board.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tre Fiori win✓ Hit
76.3%
Avg Implied 61.7% · @ 1.46
Edge
+14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Superbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Draw✗ Miss
16.3%
Avg Implied 23.0% · @ 3.90
Edge
-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
4.20
Pinnacle
4.07
1xBet
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
Dafabet
3.85
Pennarossa win✗ Miss
7.4%
Avg Implied 15.4% · @ 5.85
Edge
-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
6.60
10Bet
6.25
1xBet
6.24
Marathonbet
6.00
Betano
6.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Tre FioriTre Fiori

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W10W00D30W30W10W11D13L14L05LH·VIR14/03H·VIR18/03H·LA 22/03A·MUR08/04H·LIB12/04A·FAE19/04H·PEN26/04H·LA 23/05H·DRI06/08A·DRI13/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.030.802.060.882.000.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.461.381.621.381.201.40
vs Weaker (17)2.470.352.500.382.440.33
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Pennarossa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PennarossaPennarossa

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-523L11D01L05L20W21W10W00D11D03LH·FOL21/02A·SAN01/03H·LIB07/03A·LA 14/03H·MUR21/03A·CAI07/04A·COS12/04H·JUV18/04A·TRE26/04A·COS29/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.701.141.360.882.00
vs Stronger (18)0.672.170.882.000.502.30
vs Similar (12)1.501.001.500.501.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Tre Fiori) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.5%
@ 1.19+7.5%
Under 1.5
16.5%
@ 3.76-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Under
1xBet
3.96
Marathonbet
3.96
Superbet
3.35
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.8%
@ 1.74+8.8%
Under 2.5
38.2%
@ 1.97-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.85
Superbet
1.83
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.75
1xBet
1.66
Under
Pinnacle
2.09
Marathonbet
2.07
1xBet
2.07
Bet365
1.95
Superbet
1.88
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.5%
@ 2.69+5.8%
Under 3.5
60.5%
@ 1.37-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.90
Pinnacle
2.67
1xBet
2.59
Marathonbet
2.59
Under
1xBet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Superbet
1.31
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.3%
@ 1.81-4.4%
No
53.7%
@ 1.86+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
William Hil
1.73
No
William Hil
1.95
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.86
Superbet
1.76

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.9%@ 6.50+6.5%
3-0
10.8%@ 9.22+6.2%
1-0
9.6%@ 6.36+3.0%
2-1
8.9%@ 7.50+3.3%
1-1
7.8%@ 7.32+2.1%
3-1
7.4%@ 11.34+3.7%
4-0
6.7%@ 16.00+4.1%
0-0
4.8%@ 10.36+0.8%
Tre Fiori goals ↓
Pennarossa goals →
01234
04.8%2.1%1.0%0.2%0.0%
19.6%7.8%2.4%0.6%0.1%
213%8.9%3.0%0.7%0.1%
311%7.4%2.5%0.6%0.1%
46.7%4.6%1.6%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tre Fiori goals (down), columns = Pennarossa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Tre Fiori
2.43
Virtus
2.34
Tre Penne
2.17
La Fiorita
1.97
Folgore
1.88
Domagnano
1.57
Fiorentino
1.53
Cosmos
1.42
Juvenes / Dogana
1.18
Libertas
1.16
San Giovanni
1.03
Pennarossa
1.03
Faetano
0.73
San Marino Academy
0.53
Cailungo
0.37
Murata
0.23
Tre Fiori is 1.40 points better than Pennarossa in terms of average points per game (2.43 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Virtus
2.37
Folgore
2.16
Tre Penne
2.14
Tre Fiori
2.10
La Fiorita
2.00
Domagnano
1.89
Fiorentino
1.25
Juvenes / Dogana
1.12
Libertas
1.06
Cosmos
1.00
Pennarossa
0.94
San Giovanni
0.80
San Marino Academy
0.77
Cailungo
0.77
Faetano
0.73
Murata
0.67
Tre Fiori is 1.16 goals better than Pennarossa in terms of goals scored per game (2.10 vs 0.94).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tre Fiori
0.43
Tre Penne
0.60
Virtus
0.69
Cosmos
0.70
La Fiorita
0.89
Folgore
1.12
Juvenes / Dogana
1.24
Domagnano
1.26
Fiorentino
1.41
San Giovanni
1.43
Pennarossa
1.81
Faetano
1.83
San Marino Academy
2.00
Libertas
2.06
Cailungo
2.37
Murata
2.77
Tre Fiori is 1.37 goals better than Pennarossa in terms of goals conceded per game (0.43 vs 1.81).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Tre Fiori
64%
Tre Penne
60%
San Giovanni
53%
San Marino Academy
51%
Libertas
49%
Juvenes / Dogana
47%
Fiorentino
40%
Cosmos
36%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Tre FioriTre Fiori

For 0.0 · Against 6.0 · Total 6.0

🚩 Corners

903939A·DRIH·DRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.5 · Against 1.0 · Total 1.5

🟨 Cards

301230A·DRIH·DRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 12.5 · Total 27.0

⚠️ Fouls

34011918162034A·DRIH·DRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PennarossaPennarossa

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Tre FioriTre Fiori

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)6.09.04.50.20.00.328.034.025.0
vs Stronger (2)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (18)6.09.04.50.40.00.828.034.025.0
vs Weaker (30)---0.00.00.0---
% over line0%0%0%2%0%4%67%100%50%
% under line100%100%100%98%100%96%33%0%50%
This opponent (Pennarossa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PennarossaPennarossa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (31)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (19)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Tre Fiori) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Libertas
12.0
San Marino Academy
12.0
Fiorentino
10.0
Cosmos
8.7
Tre Penne
7.8
La Fiorita
7.8
Tre Fiori
7.7
Folgore
5.0
Cailungo
5.0
San Giovanni
4.0
Juvenes / Dogana
4.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tre Fiori
5.3
San Giovanni
5.0
Juvenes / Dogana
5.0
Cosmos
4.7
La Fiorita
4.5
Fiorentino
4.0
Tre Penne
3.6
Libertas
3.0
San Marino Academy
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Fiorentino
34.0
San Giovanni
32.0
Juvenes / Dogana
32.0
Cosmos
30.0
Tre Penne
28.5
Tre Fiori
28.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
24.8%
Under 9.5
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
51.8%
Under 3.5
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
98.5%
Under 21.5
1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Tre Fiori or Draw✓ Hit
92.6%
Avg Implied 85.8% · @ 1.07
Edge
+6.8%
76%
16%
7%
covers Tre Fiori + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Tre Fiori or Pennarossa✓ Hit
83.7%
Avg Implied 78.2% · @ 1.17
Edge
+5.5%
76%
16%
7%
covers Tre Fiori + Pennarossa
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Draw or Pennarossa✗ Miss
23.7%
Avg Implied 36.0% · @ 2.55
Edge
-12.3%
76%
16%
7%
covers Draw + Pennarossa
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
2.50
William Hil
2.45
Marathonbet
2.43
1xBet
2.43

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Tre Fiori over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
91.8%
@ 1.06+6.3%
Under
8.2%
@ 6.25-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.06
Under
1xBet
6.25
Tre Fiori over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
71.4%
@ 1.52+11.2%
Under
28.6%
@ 2.30-11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Under
Pinnacle
2.30
Marathonbet
2.30
1xBet
2.30
Tre Fiori over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
45.7%
@ 2.61+10.7%
Under
54.3%
@ 1.41-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.61
Marathonbet
2.61
Under
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Tre Fiori over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
24.3%
@ 3.70-0.5%
Under
75.7%
@ 1.22+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.70
Under
1xBet
1.22
Pennarossa over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
49.7%
@ 1.59-7.7%
Under
50.3%
@ 2.15+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.62
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Under
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.14
Pennarossa over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
15.1%
@ 4.00-7.8%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.19+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Pennarossa over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 11.00-5.2%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.01+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Pennarossa over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Tre Fiori, so a minus line means Tre Fiori give that many goals of a start and Pennarossa receive them. At -1, Tre Fiori must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Tre Fiori win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Tre Fiori)Actual: Tre Fiori
Tre Fiori -2
32.8%
@ 4.00+10.6%
Draw -2
22.1%
@ 4.40+1.8%
Pennarossa +2
45.1%
@ 1.55-12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.00
Draw
Marathonbet
4.40
Away
Marathonbet
1.55
Handicap -1 (Tre Fiori)Actual: Tre Fiori
Tre Fiori -1
54.9%
@ 2.31+16.7%
Draw -1
21.4%
@ 3.42-4.5%
Pennarossa +1
23.7%
@ 2.46-12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.25
Draw
Marathonbet
3.50
10Bet
3.35
Away
10Bet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.43
Handicap +1 (Tre Fiori)Actual: Tre Fiori
Tre Fiori +1
92.6%
Draw +1
5.3%
Pennarossa -1
2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Tre Fiori)Actual: Tre Fiori
Tre Fiori +2
97.9%
Draw +2
1.7%
Pennarossa -2
0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Tre FioriTre Fiori

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W10W00D20W20W00D00D11D00D03LH·VIR14/03H·VIR18/03H·LA 22/03A·MUR08/04H·LIB12/04A·FAE19/04H·PEN26/04H·LA 23/05H·DRI06/08A·DRI13/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.331.120.251.140.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.000.541.120.380.800.80
vs Weaker (17)1.240.181.120.121.330.22
Clean sheet %73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Pennarossa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PennarossaPennarossa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D01L02L10W00D00D00D00D01LH·FOL21/02A·SAN01/03H·LIB07/03A·LA 14/03H·MUR21/03A·CAI07/04A·COS12/04H·JUV18/04A·TRE26/04A·COS29/04
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.770.500.640.250.88
vs Stronger (18)0.170.940.380.880.001.00
vs Similar (12)0.670.500.670.330.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Tre Fiori) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.9%
@ 1.31+9.5%
Under 0.5
21.1%
@ 2.98-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.35
1xBet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Under
William Hil
3.10
1xBet
3.04
Marathonbet
3.04
Pinnacle
2.74
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
52.4%
@ 2.42+15.1%
Under 1.5
47.6%
@ 1.44-15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
Pinnacle
2.44
Marathonbet
2.41
1xBet
2.41
William Hil
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
William Hil
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.8%
@ 5.80+3.7%
Under 2.5
80.2%
@ 1.11-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.80
William Hil
5.80
Under
1xBet
1.11
William Hil
1.11

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tre Fiori over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
76.5%
@ 1.53+16.7%
Under
23.5%
@ 2.29-16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.54
1xBet
1.52
Under
1xBet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.27
Tre Fiori over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
45.0%
@ 3.45+18.4%
Under
55.0%
@ 1.25-18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.45
Under
1xBet
1.25
Tre Fiori over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.3%
@ 8.45+1.3%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.04-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.45
Under
1xBet
1.04
Pennarossa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
20.4%
@ 2.78-12.3%
Under
79.6%
@ 1.35+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.78
Under
1xBet
1.35
Pennarossa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 9.10-6.6%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.03+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Under
1xBet
1.03
Pennarossa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Tre FioriTre Fiori

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D00D10W10W10W11D02L14L02LH·VIR14/03H·VIR18/03H·LA 22/03A·MUR08/04H·LIB12/04A·FAE19/04H·PEN26/04H·LA 23/05H·DRI06/08A·DRI13/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.470.940.620.860.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.460.850.501.000.400.60
vs Weaker (17)1.240.181.380.251.110.11
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Pennarossa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PennarossaPennarossa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D11D00D03L10W21W10W00D11D02LH·FOL21/02A·SAN01/03H·LIB07/03A·LA 14/03H·MUR21/03A·CAI07/04A·COS12/04H·JUV18/04A·TRE26/04A·COS29/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.930.640.710.621.12
vs Stronger (18)0.501.220.501.120.501.30
vs Similar (12)0.830.500.830.170.830.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Tre Fiori) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
88.5%
@ 1.16+8.6%
Under 0.5
11.5%
@ 4.60-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.16
Under
1xBet
4.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
58.4%
@ 1.86+8.9%
Under 1.5
41.6%
@ 1.82-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Under
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
28.4%
Under 2.5
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tre Fiori over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
81.8%
@ 1.41+17.4%
Under
18.2%
@ 2.55-17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.41
Under
1xBet
2.55
Tre Fiori over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
44.6%
@ 2.82+12.4%
Under
55.4%
@ 1.34-12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.82
Under
1xBet
1.34
Tre Fiori over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
18.3%
@ 6.50+4.0%
Under
81.7%
@ 1.08-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Under
1xBet
1.08
Pennarossa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
30.0%
@ 2.35-8.6%
Under
70.0%
@ 1.48+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.35
Under
1xBet
1.48
Pennarossa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.1%
@ 7.85-5.7%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.05+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.85
Under
1xBet
1.05
Pennarossa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 11.00-7.2%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls99.5%--------
Away under 3.5 goals99.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.2%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.8%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+7.2%✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls98.5%--------
Under 7.598.3%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap97.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals96.7%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+5.2%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals96.5%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+6.6%✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls96.3%--------
Under 6.595.6%-------✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals93.9%1.05
1xBet
1.05
----+5.7%✓ Hit
Home or Draw92.6%1.07
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
+6.8%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap92.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls91.9%--------
Home over 0.5 goals91.8%1.06
1xBet
1.06
----+6.3%✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners90.8%--------
Under 5.589.6%1.05
1xBet
1.05
-----0.5%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals88.5%1.16
1xBet
1.16
----+8.6%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals87.7%1.04
1xBet
1.04
-----1.3%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals84.9%1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
---+7.8%✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners84.4%--------
Home or Away83.7%1.17
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
+5.5%✓ Hit
Over 1.583.5%1.19
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
--+7.5%✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards82.2%--------
Home over 0.5 2H goals81.8%1.41
1xBet
1.41
----+17.4%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals81.7%1.08
1xBet
1.08
-----4.0%✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals80.2%1.11
1xBet
1.11
William Hil
1.11
----3.7%✓ Hit
Away under 0.5 HT goals79.6%1.35
1xBet
1.35
----+12.3%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals78.9%1.31
Pinnacle
1.35
1xBet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
-+9.5%✓ Hit
Under 4.578.2%1.12
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
----2.4%✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 HT goals76.5%1.53
Pinnacle
1.54
1xBet
1.52
---+16.7%✓ Hit
Home win76.3%1.46
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Superbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
+14.7%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals75.7%1.22
1xBet
1.22
----+0.5%✗ Miss
Under 9.5 corners75.2%--------
Over 2.5 cards72.4%--------
Under 2.5 2H goals71.6%-------✗ Miss
Home over 1.5 goals71.4%1.52
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
--+11.2%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (20)
€1m
LF (19)
€1m
FOL (19)
€1m
VIR (15)
€1m
DOM (19)
€1m
TP (14)
€1m
J/D (20)
€1m
COS (12)
€0m
CAI (18)
€0m
PEN (11)
€0m
SG (11)
€0m
FIO (9)
€0m
SMA (13)
€0m
LIB (9)
€0m
FAE (10)
€0m
MUR (7)
€0m
Tre Fiori and Pennarossa have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (5)
€1m
LF (5)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
VIR (5)
€0m
J/D (7)
€0m
DOM (6)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (3)
€0m
TP (5)
€0m
CAI (5)
€0m
COS (2)
€0m
FIO (2)
€0m
SMA (5)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
MUR (1)
€0m
LIB (0)
€0m
Tre Fiori and Pennarossa have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LF (7)
€0m
TP (6)
€0m
TF (6)
€0m
VIR (4)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
DOM (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
J/D (5)
€0m
FIO (3)
€0m
LIB (4)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
COS (4)
€0m
CAI (4)
€0m
MUR (6)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
Tre Fiori and Pennarossa have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (9)
€1m
FOL (9)
€0m
LF (7)
€0m
DOM (8)
€0m
J/D (8)
€0m
VIR (6)
€0m
COS (6)
€0m
CAI (9)
€0m
FAE (6)
€0m
LIB (5)
€0m
FIO (4)
€0m
TP (3)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
MUR (0)
€0m
Tre Fiori and Pennarossa have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
TF wins
3
Draws
0
PEN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa · H/A from TF
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26HTF Vs Pennarossa1-1
11/02/26APennarossa Vs TF0-0
21/10/25HTF Vs Pennarossa3-0
24/09/25APennarossa Vs TF1-1
15/03/25HTF Vs Pennarossa3-0
24/11/24APennarossa Vs TF1-6
03/02/24HTF Vs Pennarossa3-0
04/10/23APennarossa Vs TF0-3

Tre FioriTre Fiori

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/08/26ADrita Vs TF5-0
06/08/26HTF Vs Drita1-4
23/05/26HTF Vs La Fiorita1-3
26/04/26HTF Vs Pennarossa1-1
19/04/26AFaetano Vs TF0-1
12/04/26HTF Vs Libertas3-0
08/04/26AMurata Vs TF0-3
22/03/26HTF Vs La Fiorita0-0
18/03/26HTF Vs Virtus1-0
14/03/26HTF Vs Virtus4-1

PennarossaPennarossa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/04/26ACosmos Vs PEN3-0
26/04/26ATre Fiori Vs PEN1-1
18/04/26HPEN Vs Juvenes / Dogana0-0
12/04/26ACosmos Vs PEN0-1
07/04/26ACailungo Vs PEN1-2
21/03/26HPEN Vs Murata2-0
14/03/26ALa Fiorita Vs PEN5-0
07/03/26HPEN Vs Libertas0-1
01/03/26ASan Marino Academy Vs PEN1-1
21/02/26HPEN Vs Folgore2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tre Fiori
Tre Fiori
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLL2.08
HomeDWDLL2.25
AwayWDWWL1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%71%54%
AVG goals2.662.922.42
Over 1.5 %74%83%65%
Over 2.5 %52%58%46%
Over 3.5 %36%38%35%
Scored1.802.041.58
Conceded0.860.880.85
BTTS36%42%31%
Clean Sheet54%54%54%
Corners6.009.004.50
Cards2.670.004.00
Pennarossa
Pennarossa
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDL0.88
HomeDLLWD0.96
AwayLWWDL0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%21%19%
AVG goals3.002.833.15
Over 1.5 %84%75%92%
Over 2.5 %64%54%73%
Over 3.5 %34%42%27%
Scored0.961.000.92
Conceded2.041.832.23
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet16%29%4%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FolgoreFolgore13
100%
3.0
50+5
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0005.00.0
-
2Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana13
100%
3.0
40+4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0004.00.0
47%
3Tre FioriTre Fiori13
100%
3.0
52+3
7.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1015.02.0
64%
4FiorentinoFiorentino13
100%
3.0
20+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.0
40%
5Tre PenneTre Penne13
100%
3.0
32+1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0003.02.0
60%
6DomagnanoDomagnano13
100%
3.0
21+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.0
-
7LibertasLibertas11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
49%
8CosmosCosmos11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
36%
9La FioritaLa Fiorita11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
10VirtusVirtus11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
11San GiovanniSan Giovanni10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
53%
12CailungoCailungo10
0%
0.0
12-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
13San Marino AcademySan Marino Academy10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
51%
14PennarossaPennarossa10
0%
0.0
25-3
7.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.05.0
-
15FaetanoFaetano10
0%
0.0
04-4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.04.0
-
16MurataMurata10
0%
0.0
05-5
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.05.0
-
San-Marino: Campionato 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full San-Marino: Campionato stats & trends →

← all matches