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Treaty United vs Longford Town Result & Analysis

Date: 16/05/2022
Time: 18:45
Final 0-0
Treaty United
Treaty United
Vs
37%
25%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Longford Town
Longford Town
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Treaty United win✗ Miss
36.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Longford Town win✗ Miss
37.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L21W20W00D11D21W00D23L03L22DH·COR18/03H·WAT25/03H·ATH04/04A·BRA08/04A·ATH15/04H·WEX18/04A·LON23/04H·GAL29/04A·COR02/05H·BRA13/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.311.381.671.831.001.00
vs Stronger (8)1.501.881.502.251.501.50
vs Similar (5)1.000.602.001.000.330.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %31% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Longford TownLongford Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W11D20W20W21W00D14L02L21W21WH·GAL25/03A·WAT01/04H·ATH09/04H·COB12/04A·BRA18/04H·TRE23/04A·COR29/04A·GAL02/05H·WEX07/05A·ATH13/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.381.001.290.571.501.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.291.291.330.671.251.75
vs Weaker (6)1.500.671.250.502.001.00
Clean sheet %38% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Treaty United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.7%
Under 1.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
63.3%
Under 2.5
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.1%
Under 3.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.7%
No
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
0-1
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
0-2
5.2%
2-0
5.0%
Treaty United goals ↓
Longford Town goals →
01234
04.8%5.3%5.2%2.8%1.2%
15.2%11%8.4%4.6%1.9%
25.0%8.3%6.8%3.7%1.5%
32.7%4.5%3.7%2.0%0.8%
41.1%1.8%1.5%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Treaty United goals (down), columns = Longford Town goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cork City
2.12
Waterford
2.03
Galway United
1.83
Longford Town
1.56
Treaty United
1.32
Wexford
1.28
Bray Wanderers
0.84
Athlone Town
0.75
Cobh Ramblers
0.53
Treaty United is 0.24 points worse than Longford Town in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.56).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Waterford
2.29
Cork City
1.97
Galway United
1.74
Longford Town
1.50
Wexford
1.41
Athlone Town
1.38
Treaty United
1.21
Cobh Ramblers
1.16
Bray Wanderers
0.94
Treaty United is 0.29 goals worse than Longford Town in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.50).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cork City
0.69
Galway United
0.97
Waterford
1.09
Longford Town
1.35
Wexford
1.47
Treaty United
1.47
Bray Wanderers
1.94
Athlone Town
2.34
Cobh Ramblers
2.44
Treaty United is 0.12 goals worse than Longford Town in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.35).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W10W00D00D10W00D10W00D10WH·COR18/03H·WAT25/03H·ATH04/04A·BRA08/04A·ATH15/04H·WEX18/04A·LON23/04H·GAL29/04A·COR02/05H·BRA13/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.540.460.830.500.290.43
vs Stronger (8)0.620.750.750.750.500.75
vs Similar (5)0.400.001.000.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Longford TownLongford Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W00D10W00D00D11D00D11D21WH·GAL25/03A·WAT01/04H·ATH09/04H·COB12/04A·BRA18/04H·TRE23/04A·COR29/04A·GAL02/05H·WEX07/05A·ATH13/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.460.570.571.000.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.860.430.670.671.000.25
vs Weaker (6)0.670.500.500.501.000.50
Clean sheet %62% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Treaty United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Treaty United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D10W00D11D11D00D13L03L12LH·COR18/03H·WAT25/03H·ATH04/04A·BRA08/04A·ATH15/04H·WEX18/04A·LON23/04H·GAL29/04A·COR02/05H·BRA13/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.920.831.330.710.57
vs Stronger (8)0.881.120.751.501.000.75
vs Similar (5)0.600.601.001.000.330.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %46% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Longford TownLongford Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L20W10W21W00D03L02L10W00DH·GAL25/03A·WAT01/04H·ATH09/04H·COB12/04A·BRA18/04H·TRE23/04A·COR29/04A·GAL02/05H·WEX07/05A·ATH13/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.540.710.000.501.17
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.430.860.670.000.251.50
vs Weaker (6)0.830.170.750.001.000.50
Clean sheet %69% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Treaty United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Treaty United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WAT (6)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
BW (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CR (2)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
TU wins
1
Draws
0
LT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Treaty United vs Longford Town · H/A from TU
DateH/AGameScore
23/04/22ALongford Town Vs TU0-0

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/05/22HTU Vs Bray Wanderers2-2
02/05/22ACork City Vs TU3-0
29/04/22HTU Vs Galway United2-3
23/04/22ALongford Town Vs TU0-0
18/04/22HTU Vs Wexford2-1
15/04/22AAthlone Town Vs TU1-1
08/04/22ABray Wanderers Vs TU0-0
04/04/22HTU Vs Athlone Town2-0
25/03/22HTU Vs Waterford2-1
18/03/22HTU Vs Cork City0-4

Longford TownLongford Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/05/22AAthlone Town Vs LT1-2
07/05/22HLT Vs Wexford2-1
02/05/22AGalway United Vs LT2-0
29/04/22ACork City Vs LT4-1
23/04/22HLT Vs Treaty United0-0
18/04/22ABray Wanderers Vs LT1-2
12/04/22HLT Vs Cobh Ramblers2-0
09/04/22HLT Vs Athlone Town2-0
01/04/22AWaterford Vs LT1-1
25/03/22HLT Vs Galway United2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Treaty United
Treaty United
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLD1.31
HomeWWWLD1.67
AwayLDDDL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%50%14%
AVG goals2.693.502.00
Over 1.5 %77%100%57%
Over 2.5 %62%83%43%
Over 3.5 %31%50%14%
Scored1.311.671.00
Conceded1.381.831.00
BTTS54%67%43%
Clean Sheet31%17%43%
Corners---
Cards---
Longford Town
Longford Town
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWW1.85
HomeWWWDW2.00
AwayDWLLW1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%57%50%
AVG goals2.381.863.00
Over 1.5 %85%71%100%
Over 2.5 %54%43%67%
Over 3.5 %8%0%17%
Scored1.381.291.50
Conceded1.000.571.50
BTTS54%43%67%
Clean Sheet38%57%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1WaterfordWaterford3571
63%
2.0
8038+42
3.4
83%
74%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.31.1
-
2Cork CityCork City3268
62%
2.1
6322+41
2.7
69%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.7
-
3Galway UnitedGalway United3564
51%
1.8
6134+27
2.7
77%
60%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.0
-
4Longford TownLongford Town3453
41%
1.6
5146+5
2.9
88%
62%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
5Treaty UnitedTreaty United3445
32%
1.3
4150-9
2.7
82%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
6WexfordWexford3241
31%
1.3
4547-2
2.9
81%
59%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
7Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3227
19%
0.8
3062-32
2.9
81%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
8Athlone TownAthlone Town3224
22%
0.8
4475-31
3.7
97%
75%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.3
-
9Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3217
12%
0.5
3778-41
3.6
84%
66%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
Ireland: First Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

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