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Treaty United vs Wexford Result & Analysis

Date: 05/06/2023
Time: 18:45
Final 1-1
Treaty United
Treaty United
Vs
24%
25%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Wexford
Wexford
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Treaty United win✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Wexford win✗ Miss
50.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-702L11D14L40W30W21W30W03L03L07LA·FIN14/04A·COB21/04H·WAT24/04H·KER28/04A·BRA01/05H·ATH05/05A·LON13/05H·GAL19/05H·FIN26/05A·WAT02/06
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.701.271.801.271.60
vs Stronger (16)1.252.121.252.251.252.00
vs Similar (12)1.081.330.831.501.331.17
vs Weaker (2)2.500.504.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Wexford) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WexfordWexford

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-604L21W01L03L10W11D02L03L60W21WH·GAL07/04A·LON15/04H·FIN21/04A·ATH28/04A·WAT01/05H·BRA05/05A·GAL12/05H·LON19/05A·KER26/05H·COB02/06
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.401.331.531.401.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.771.540.332.171.141.00
vs Weaker (17)1.821.292.001.111.621.50
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Treaty United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.1%
Under 1.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.6%
Under 2.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.2%
Under 3.5
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.4%
No
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.1%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
0-0
6.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
Treaty United goals ↓
Wexford goals →
01234
06.1%7.9%8.1%4.8%2.2%
14.9%12%9.7%5.8%2.6%
23.6%6.4%5.8%3.5%1.6%
31.4%2.6%2.3%1.4%0.6%
40.4%0.8%0.7%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Treaty United goals (down), columns = Wexford goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Galway United
2.61
Waterford
1.90
Cobh Ramblers
1.64
Wexford
1.42
Athlone Town
1.26
Treaty United
1.22
Bray Wanderers
1.22
Longford Town
1.11
Finn Harps
1.03
Kerry
0.28
Treaty United is 0.20 points worse than Wexford in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.42).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Galway United
2.72
Waterford
2.28
Cobh Ramblers
1.64
Athlone Town
1.50
Treaty United
1.36
Bray Wanderers
1.33
Wexford
1.29
Longford Town
1.08
Finn Harps
1.08
Kerry
0.81
Treaty United is 0.07 goals better than Wexford in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.29).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Galway United
0.50
Waterford
0.90
Wexford
1.34
Cobh Ramblers
1.36
Longford Town
1.42
Treaty United
1.69
Athlone Town
1.71
Bray Wanderers
1.72
Finn Harps
2.06
Kerry
2.53
Treaty United is 0.35 goals worse than Wexford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.69 vs 1.34).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L11D02L30W00D01L10W02L02L05LA·FIN14/04A·COB21/04H·WAT24/04H·KER28/04A·BRA01/05H·ATH05/05A·LON13/05H·GAL19/05H·FIN26/05A·WAT02/06
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.900.470.870.670.93
vs Stronger (16)0.561.250.251.250.881.25
vs Similar (12)0.330.500.330.500.330.50
vs Weaker (2)2.000.503.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Wexford) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WexfordWexford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D02L10W00D00D02L20W10WH·GAL07/04A·LON15/04H·FIN21/04A·ATH28/04A·WAT01/05H·BRA05/05A·GAL12/05H·LON19/05A·KER26/05H·COB02/06
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.400.470.600.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.230.620.001.000.430.29
vs Weaker (17)0.710.410.670.110.750.75
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Treaty United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Treaty United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D12L10W30W20W20W01L01L02LA·FIN14/04A·COB21/04H·WAT24/04H·KER28/04A·BRA01/05H·ATH05/05A·LON13/05H·GAL19/05H·FIN26/05A·WAT02/06
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.800.800.930.600.67
vs Stronger (16)0.690.881.001.000.380.75
vs Similar (12)0.750.830.501.001.000.67
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Wexford) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WexfordWexford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L21W01L01L00D11D02L01L40W11DH·GAL07/04A·LON15/04H·FIN21/04A·ATH28/04A·WAT01/05H·BRA05/05A·GAL12/05H·LON19/05A·KER26/05H·COB02/06
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.900.931.070.800.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.540.920.331.170.710.71
vs Weaker (17)1.120.881.331.000.880.75
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Treaty United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Treaty United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
FH (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WAT (6)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
TU (1)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
FH (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CR (2)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
FH (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
TU wins
2
Draws
1
WEX wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Treaty United vs Wexford · H/A from TU
DateH/AGameScore
31/03/23AWexford Vs TU1-1
21/10/22HTU Vs Wexford0-2
10/06/22AWexford Vs TU1-1
18/04/22HTU Vs Wexford2-1
18/02/22AWexford Vs TU1-5

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/06/23AWaterford Vs TU7-0
26/05/23HTU Vs Finn Harps0-3
19/05/23HTU Vs Galway United0-3
13/05/23ALongford Town Vs TU0-3
05/05/23HTU Vs Athlone Town2-1
01/05/23ABray Wanderers Vs TU0-3
28/04/23HTU Vs Kerry4-0
24/04/23HTU Vs Waterford1-4
21/04/23ACobh Ramblers Vs TU1-1
14/04/23AFinn Harps Vs TU2-0

WexfordWexford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/06/23HWEX Vs Cobh Ramblers2-1
26/05/23AKerry Vs WEX0-6
19/05/23HWEX Vs Longford Town0-3
12/05/23AGalway United Vs WEX2-0
05/05/23HWEX Vs Bray Wanderers1-1
01/05/23AWaterford Vs WEX0-1
28/04/23AAthlone Town Vs WEX3-0
21/04/23HWEX Vs Finn Harps0-1
15/04/23ALongford Town Vs WEX1-2
07/04/23HWEX Vs Galway United0-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Treaty United
Treaty United
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.22
HomeLWWLL1.36
AwayLDWWL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals2.763.162.36
Over 1.5 %84%88%80%
Over 2.5 %56%76%36%
Over 3.5 %26%36%16%
Scored1.141.320.96
Conceded1.621.841.40
BTTS44%52%36%
Clean Sheet28%20%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Wexford
Wexford
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWW1.27
HomeLLDLW1.24
AwayWLWLW1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%32%33%
AVG goals2.843.002.67
Over 1.5 %82%84%79%
Over 2.5 %61%64%58%
Over 3.5 %29%32%25%
Scored1.351.241.46
Conceded1.491.761.21
BTTS53%56%50%
Clean Sheet20%8%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Galway UnitedGalway United3694
83%
2.6
9818+80
3.2
75%
58%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.70.5
-
2WaterfordWaterford3974
54%
1.9
8935+54
3.2
77%
59%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.30.9
-
3Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3964
44%
1.6
6453+11
3.0
77%
51%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.4
-
4WexfordWexford3854
39%
1.4
4951-2
2.6
79%
53%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
5Athlone TownAthlone Town3848
37%
1.3
5765-8
3.2
76%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
6Treaty UnitedTreaty United3644
33%
1.2
4961-12
3.1
83%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
7Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3644
28%
1.2
4862-14
3.1
83%
61%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
8Longford TownLongford Town3640
28%
1.1
3951-12
2.5
64%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
9Finn HarpsFinn Harps3637
25%
1.0
3974-35
3.1
75%
53%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.1
-
10KerryKerry3610
3%
0.3
2991-62
3.3
83%
64%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.5
-
Ireland: First Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

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