This opponent (GIF Sundsvall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GIF Sundsvall
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.67
1.27
1.40
0.80
1.93
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
2.36
0.80
1.80
0.83
2.83
vs Similar (19)
1.16
1.26
1.50
1.20
0.78
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.4%
Under 1.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.8%
Under 2.5
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.2%
Under 3.5
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.3%
No
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.5%
Trelleborg goals ↓
GIF Sundsvall goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
7.7%
4.2%
1.3%
0.3%
1
12%
14%
5.9%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.5%
8.9%
4.2%
1.3%
0.3%
3
4.5%
4.2%
2.0%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.6%
1.5%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Trelleborg goals (down), columns = GIF Sundsvall goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Degerfors IF
1.83
Osters IF
1.80
Landskrona BoIS
1.63
Helsingborg
1.57
Stockholm Internazionale
1.50
Orgryte IS
1.47
Sandviken
1.43
Trelleborg
1.40
IK brage
1.37
Utsikten
1.37
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.30
Orebro SK
1.30
Oddevold
1.20
Ostersunds FK
1.19
GIF Sundsvall
1.16
Gefle IF
1.07
Skövde AIK
0.83
Lund
0.00
Trelleborg is 0.24 points better than GIF Sundsvall in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 1.16).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Osters IF
1.83
Degerfors IF
1.67
Orgryte IS
1.67
Sandviken
1.63
Landskrona BoIS
1.53
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.53
Helsingborg
1.37
Utsikten
1.30
Gefle IF
1.23
Orebro SK
1.23
Oddevold
1.13
Trelleborg
1.10
Ostersunds FK
1.09
IK brage
1.03
Stockholm Internazionale
1.00
Lund
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.97
Skövde AIK
0.87
Trelleborg is 0.13 goals better than GIF Sundsvall in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 0.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Degerfors IF
0.93
IK brage
0.97
Stockholm Internazionale
1.00
Osters IF
1.03
Landskrona BoIS
1.13
Helsingborg
1.13
Orebro SK
1.20
Utsikten
1.27
Trelleborg
1.27
GIF Sundsvall
1.31
Sandviken
1.37
Orgryte IS
1.43
Ostersunds FK
1.44
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.47
Oddevold
1.57
Skövde AIK
1.73
Gefle IF
1.80
Lund
2.50
Trelleborg is 0.05 goals better than GIF Sundsvall in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.31).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
64%
Sandviken
61%
Osters IF
58%
Lund
56%
IK brage
55%
Orebro SK
51%
Ostersunds FK
51%
GIF Sundsvall
50%
Helsingborg
48%
Trelleborg
48%
Degerfors IF
47%
Skövde AIK
47%
Orgryte IS
47%
Gefle IF
46%
Utsikten
46%
Stockholm Internazionale
43%
Oddevold
43%
Varbergs BoIS FC
40%
Trelleborg is 1.9 percentage points worse than GIF Sundsvall in terms of average possession (48% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Trelleborg
For 4.9 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 13.9 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
GIF Sundsvall
For 3.8 · Against 6.0 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 11.2 · Total 20.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Trelleborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
9.7
10.9
2.7
2.8
2.6
25.2
26.9
23.7
vs Stronger (2)
7.5
5.0
10.0
3.0
4.0
2.0
24.5
29.0
20.0
vs Similar (48)
10.5
10.0
11.0
2.7
2.7
2.6
25.2
26.8
23.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
53%
44%
61%
40%
46%
33%
79%
94%
67%
% under line
47%
56%
39%
60%
54%
67%
21%
6%
33%
This opponent (GIF Sundsvall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GIF Sundsvall
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
9.8
11.2
2.7
2.7
2.7
21.0
21.7
20.4
vs Stronger (23)
10.5
8.6
12.0
3.0
3.1
2.8
20.5
20.9
20.1
vs Similar (27)
10.5
10.8
10.3
2.5
2.4
2.5
21.6
22.5
20.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
66%
52%
78%
30%
32%
28%
50%
57%
43%
% under line
34%
48%
22%
70%
68%
72%
50%
43%
57%
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Skövde AIK
11.6
Helsingborg
11.2
Orgryte IS
11.0
GIF Sundsvall
10.9
Landskrona BoIS
10.7
Orebro SK
10.7
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.5
Degerfors IF
10.5
Osters IF
10.4
Ostersunds FK
10.4
Trelleborg
10.3
Gefle IF
10.0
Utsikten
10.0
IK brage
9.4
Oddevold
9.3
Sandviken
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Utsikten
5.6
Osters IF
4.7
Orgryte IS
4.5
Ostersunds FK
4.5
Helsingborg
4.5
Landskrona BoIS
4.3
Gefle IF
4.2
Varbergs BoIS FC
4.1
Trelleborg
4.1
Orebro SK
4.0
Sandviken
4.0
Degerfors IF
3.9
Skövde AIK
3.9
IK brage
3.6
GIF Sundsvall
3.1
Oddevold
2.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Utsikten
29.5
Varbergs BoIS FC
27.9
Gefle IF
27.2
Skövde AIK
26.7
Ostersunds FK
26.1
Trelleborg
26.0
Helsingborg
25.2
Osters IF
25.2
Orgryte IS
25.2
Landskrona BoIS
24.8
Sandviken
24.8
IK brage
24.6
Orebro SK
24.4
Degerfors IF
24.0
Oddevold
21.3
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.0%
Under 9.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
52.4%
Under 3.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
65.5%
Under 21.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Trelleborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.70
0.53
0.87
0.33
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.45
0.62
0.57
0.71
0.33
0.53
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (GIF Sundsvall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GIF Sundsvall
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.67
0.47
0.60
0.33
0.73
vs Stronger (11)
0.27
1.00
0.60
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.47
0.47
0.40
0.40
0.56
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Trelleborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trelleborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trelleborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIF Sundsvall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIF Sundsvall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIF Sundsvall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Trelleborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.73
0.47
0.80
0.87
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.69
0.66
0.50
0.64
0.87
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (GIF Sundsvall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GIF Sundsvall
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.00
0.80
0.80
0.47
1.20
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
1.36
0.20
0.80
0.83
1.83
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.79
1.10
0.80
0.22
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Trelleborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trelleborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trelleborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIF Sundsvall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIF Sundsvall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIF Sundsvall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Trelleborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Hady Saleh Karim44%
Nicolas Mortensen25%
Fritiof Björkén20%
Filip Bohman20%
Pierre Larsen17%
Othmane Salama8%
Eren Alievski8%
Andreas Larsen0%
Felix Hörberg0%
Charlie Weberg0%
Mattias Andersson0%
Zander Hyltoft0%
Tobias Karlsson0%
Viktor Christiansson0%
Fredrik Martinsson0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Markus Björkqvist0%
Abel Ogwuche0%
Ammar Asani0%
Johannes Kack0%
Armin Culum0%
Emmanuel Godwin0%
Karl Wendt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zander Hyltoft40%
Abel Ogwuche25%
Filip Bohman20%
Felix Hörberg17%
Ammar Asani17%
Hady Saleh Karim11%
Emmanuel Godwin11%
Tobias Karlsson8%
Othmane Salama8%
Eren Alievski8%
Pierre Larsen0%
Nicolas Mortensen0%
Andreas Larsen0%
Fritiof Björkén0%
Charlie Weberg0%
Mattias Andersson0%
Viktor Christiansson0%
Fredrik Martinsson0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Markus Björkqvist0%
Johannes Kack0%
Armin Culum0%
Karl Wendt0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Johannes Kack20%
Armin Culum18%
Emmanuel Godwin11%
Pierre Larsen8%
Felix Hörberg8%
Nicolas Mortensen0%
Andreas Larsen0%
Fritiof Björkén0%
Charlie Weberg0%
Mattias Andersson0%
Zander Hyltoft0%
Tobias Karlsson0%
Viktor Christiansson0%
Fredrik Martinsson0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Filip Bohman0%
Hady Saleh Karim0%
Markus Björkqvist0%
Othmane Salama0%
Abel Ogwuche0%
Eren Alievski0%
Ammar Asani0%
Karl Wendt0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hady Saleh Karim44%
Armin Culum18%
Othmane Salama17%
Karl Wendt17%
Filip Bohman10%
Pierre Larsen8%
Felix Hörberg8%
Nicolas Mortensen0%
Andreas Larsen0%
Fritiof Björkén0%
Charlie Weberg0%
Mattias Andersson0%
Zander Hyltoft0%
Tobias Karlsson0%
Viktor Christiansson0%
Fredrik Martinsson0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Markus Björkqvist0%
Abel Ogwuche0%
Eren Alievski0%
Ammar Asani0%
Johannes Kack0%
Emmanuel Godwin0%
GIF Sundsvall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Taiki Kagayama33%
Yaqub Finey27%
Marcelo Palomino14%
Gustav Nordh14%
Marcus Burman8%
Monir Jelassi8%
Johan Bengtsson7%
Hugo Aviander7%
Dennis Olsson0%
Jonas Olsson0%
Abdul Halik Hudu0%
Anton Kralj0%
Pontus Engblom0%
Jesper Carström0%
Amaro Bahtijar0%
Marc Manchón0%
Pontus Lindgren0%
Lucas Forsberg0%
Ludvig Svanberg0%
Kojo Peprah Oppong0%
Edvard Carrick0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kojo Peprah Oppong40%
Amaro Bahtijar33%
Marc Manchón27%
Anton Kralj25%
Ludvig Svanberg23%
Lucas Forsberg20%
Hugo Aviander20%
Taiki Kagayama17%
Monir Jelassi17%
Abdul Halik Hudu13%
Dennis Olsson10%
Pontus Lindgren10%
Marcus Burman8%
Pontus Engblom7%
Gustav Nordh7%
Yaqub Finey7%
Jonas Olsson0%
Jesper Carström0%
Marcelo Palomino0%
Johan Bengtsson0%
Edvard Carrick0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dennis Olsson20%
Monir Jelassi17%
Gustav Nordh14%
Yaqub Finey13%
Pontus Engblom7%
Marcelo Palomino7%
Jonas Olsson0%
Abdul Halik Hudu0%
Taiki Kagayama0%
Anton Kralj0%
Jesper Carström0%
Amaro Bahtijar0%
Marcus Burman0%
Marc Manchón0%
Pontus Lindgren0%
Lucas Forsberg0%
Ludvig Svanberg0%
Johan Bengtsson0%
Hugo Aviander0%
Kojo Peprah Oppong0%
Edvard Carrick0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pontus Engblom21%
Gustav Nordh21%
Taiki Kagayama17%
Yaqub Finey13%
Hugo Aviander7%
Dennis Olsson0%
Jonas Olsson0%
Abdul Halik Hudu0%
Anton Kralj0%
Jesper Carström0%
Amaro Bahtijar0%
Marcus Burman0%
Monir Jelassi0%
Marc Manchón0%
Pontus Lindgren0%
Lucas Forsberg0%
Marcelo Palomino0%
Ludvig Svanberg0%
Johan Bengtsson0%
Kojo Peprah Oppong0%
Edvard Carrick0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Sweden: Superettan 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
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Degerfors IF
Osters IF
Landskrona BoIS
Helsingborg
Orgryte IS
Sandviken
IK brage
Utsikten
Varbergs BoIS FC
Orebro SK
Ostersunds FK
Oddevold
Gefle IF
Skövde AIK
Stockholm Internazionale
Lund