Trepça'89 vs Liria Prizren Result & Analysis

Trep'89 are expected to continue their winning streak as they face Liria Prizren. The home side has been on a 5-game winning run, scoring 7 goals against Rilindja 1974 in their last match. Liria Prizren, on the other hand, suffered a defeat to Dinamo Ferizaj, conceding 2 goals in the process.

The model predicts a home win with a 45% probability, while a draw has a 27% chance and an away win a 28% chance. The expected total number of goals is 2.9, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely score is a 1-1 draw with a 12.6% probability.

Trep'89 have scored an average of 3.17 goals at home against weaker opponents, while conceding just 0.75 goals. Liria Prizren, however, have scored 2.5 goals away against stronger opponents, but conceded 1 goal on average.

The model's selection is an Over 1.5 goal match with a 79.4% probability. In terms of match result, Trep'89 have a 45% chance of winning, a 27% chance of drawing, and a 28% chance of losing to Liria Prizren.

The 0-0 draw shocked the pre-match favourite, Trepça'89, who were tipped for a home win with a 45 % chance. The model’s call was wrong, and the match finished level. The upset fits the narrative of both sides’ recent form: Trepça'89 unbeaten in their last five, Liria Prizren coming off a draw. Every suggested pick was correct: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.7 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.4 %, Under 6.5 at 97.2 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.9 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.1 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.9 %, and Under 5.5 at 92.7 %. All probabilities were expressed as percentages.