Trepça'89 are the clear favourites, with the model rating a home win at 68 %. Their recent unbeaten run of five games, ending in a 0-0 draw against Liria Prizren, shows they are in fine form at home, while Vjosa’s away record of 1.0 goal scored and 2.5 conceded against stronger opponents signals a struggle on the road. The expected total goals is 3.0, yet the most likely total is 2, with a 24 % chance of that outcome. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0 for Trepça'89, carrying a 12.2 % probability.
Home side Trepça'89 average 2.33 goals scored and 0.56 conceded at home against weaker teams. Vjosa averages 1.0 goal scored and 2.5 conceded away against stronger teams. The model’s suggested picks include Away under 3.5 goals (99.1 %), Under 7.5 (98.9 %), Under 6.5 (96.9 %), Home +2 handicap (96.5 %), Away under 2.5 goals (95.4 %), Under 5.5 (92.1 %), Home or Draw (88.6 %) and Home +1 handicap (88.6 %). The probabilities for the match outcome are 68 % for a home win, 20 % for a draw, and 11 % for an away win.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Trepça'89 win
68.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
20.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vjosa win
11.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Trepça'89
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
0.87
2.20
0.73
1.87
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.83
0.83
2.00
1.00
1.67
0.67
vs Weaker (18)
2.17
0.89
2.33
0.56
2.00
1.22
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Vjosa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vjosa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.50
1.60
1.53
0.87
1.47
vs Stronger (4)
1.75
2.25
2.50
2.00
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (24)
1.12
1.33
1.50
1.50
0.75
1.17
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
2.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Trepça'89) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.7%
Under 1.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57.3%
Under 2.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
34.9%
Under 3.5
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
49.3%
No
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.2%
1-0
10.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.9%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
6.0%
4-0
4.9%
Trepça'89 goals ↓
Vjosa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
3.1%
1.6%
0.4%
0.1%
1
10%
9.7%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
2
12%
9.6%
3.8%
1.0%
0.2%
3
8.9%
7.0%
2.8%
0.7%
0.1%
4
4.9%
3.9%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Trepça'89 goals (down), columns = Vjosa goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Trepça'89 is 1.03 points better than Vjosa in terms of average points per game (2.06 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
Trepça'89 is 0.97 goals better than Vjosa in terms of goals scored per game (2.12 vs 1.15).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
Trepça'89 is 0.82 goals better than Vjosa in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.79).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Trepça'89 or Draw
88.8%
Avg Implied -
69%
20%
11%
covers Trepça'89 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 or Vjosa
79.8%
Avg Implied -
69%
20%
11%
covers Trepça'89 + Vjosa
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Vjosa
31.4%
Avg Implied -
69%
20%
11%
covers Draw + Vjosa
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Trepça'89 over/under 0.5
Over
88.8%
Under
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 1.5
Over
64.4%
Under
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 2.5
Over
37.5%
Under
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 3.5
Over
17.9%
Under
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 0.5
Over
54.5%
Under
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 1.5
Over
18.7%
Under
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 2.5
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 3.5
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Trepça'89, so a minus line means Trepça'89 give that many goals of a start and Vjosa receive them. At -1, Trepça'89 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Trepça'89 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Trepça'89)
Trepça'89 -2
24.6%
Draw -2
20.9%
Vjosa +2
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Trepça'89)
Trepça'89 -1
45.5%
Draw -1
23.1%
Vjosa +1
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Trepça'89)
Trepça'89 +1
88.8%
Draw +1
7.7%
Vjosa -1
3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Trepça'89)
Trepça'89 +2
96.5%
Draw +2
2.7%
Vjosa -2
0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Trepça'89
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.40
1.00
0.33
0.73
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.38
0.67
0.33
0.71
0.43
vs Weaker (17)
1.00
0.41
1.22
0.33
0.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Vjosa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vjosa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.62
0.75
0.43
0.29
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.20
0.00
1.50
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.39
0.77
0.69
0.40
0.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Trepça'89) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.9%
Under 0.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.6%
Under 1.5
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.8%
Under 2.5
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Trepça'89 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
64.6%
Under
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
23.4%
Under
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
6.4%
Under
93.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 0.5 HT
Over
29.5%
Under
70.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.0%
Under
94.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Trepça'89
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.43
1.53
0.33
1.13
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.08
0.46
1.33
0.67
0.86
0.29
vs Weaker (17)
1.53
0.41
1.67
0.11
1.38
0.75
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Vjosa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vjosa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.07
1.06
0.69
0.43
1.50
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
2.00
2.50
0.50
0.33
3.00
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.83
0.85
0.69
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Trepça'89) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.8%
Under 0.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
52.1%
Under 1.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
26.1%
Under 2.5
73.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Trepça'89 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
70.1%
Under
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
36.6%
Under
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
15.3%
Under
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 0.5 2H
Over
38.0%
Under
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 1.5 2H
Over
8.2%
Under
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 0.5 HT goals
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 2H goals
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Vëllaznimi
Dinamo Ferizaj
Liria Prizren
Suhareka
2 Korriku
Rilindja 1974
Ramiz Sadiku
Kika
FC Besa Peja
Trepça Mitrovicë
Prishtina e Re
Istogu
KF Lepenci
Mitrovica
Ferizaj
Tefik Canga