Trepça Mitrovicë are tipped to win, a 44% chance that the home side will lift the trophy, with a 30% draw and 27% for Kika. The model expects a modest 2.4 goals overall, averaging two goals in the match. The most likely exact score is 1-1, a 14.1% probability. Trepça Mitrovicë, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages one goal scored and two conceded, while Kika, on the road, scores just 0.42 and concedes 1.33. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.0%), Under 5.5 (96.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.9%), Away under 2.5 goals (91.5%), Under 4.5 (90.4%) and Home +2 handicap (89.6%). The home team’s recent form shows a string of losses after a 0-5 defeat to Dinamo Ferizaj, while Kika’s five-match run ends with a 0-0 draw against Mitrovica.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Trepça Mitrovicë win
42.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kika win
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Trepça Mitrovicë
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
2.10
1.13
2.07
1.13
2.13
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
2.60
1.50
3.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.30
1.96
1.17
1.92
1.45
2.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
2.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
4.00
Clean sheet %
10% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Kika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kika
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.17
0.87
0.93
0.33
1.40
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.57
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (22)
0.73
1.09
1.10
0.80
0.42
1.33
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Trepça Mitrovicë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
70.1%
Under 1.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
42.6%
Under 2.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
49.1%
No
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.0%
Trepça Mitrovicë goals ↓
Kika goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
8.3%
5.0%
1.7%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.7%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.3%
8.7%
4.5%
1.6%
0.4%
3
3.7%
3.9%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.3%
1.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Trepça Mitrovicë goals (down), columns = Kika goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Trepça Mitrovicë is 0.03 points better than Kika in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
Trepça Mitrovicë is 0.71 goals better than Kika in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 0.74).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
Trepça Mitrovicë is 0.56 goals worse than Kika in terms of goals conceded per game (1.82 vs 1.26).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Trepça Mitrovicë or Draw
72.4%
Avg Implied -
42%
30%
28%
covers Trepça Mitrovicë + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë or Kika
70.1%
Avg Implied -
42%
30%
28%
covers Trepça Mitrovicë + Kika
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Kika
57.5%
Avg Implied -
42%
30%
28%
covers Draw + Kika
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 0.5
Over
74.0%
Under
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 1.5
Over
39.0%
Under
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 2.5
Over
15.4%
Under
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 3.5
Over
4.8%
Under
95.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 0.5
Over
64.6%
Under
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 1.5
Over
27.8%
Under
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 2.5
Over
8.8%
Under
91.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 3.5
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Trepça Mitrovicë, so a minus line means Trepça Mitrovicë give that many goals of a start and Kika receive them. At -1, Trepça Mitrovicë must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Trepça Mitrovicë win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Trepça Mitrovicë)
Trepça Mitrovicë -2
7.5%
Draw -2
13.0%
Kika +2
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Trepça Mitrovicë)
Trepça Mitrovicë -1
20.4%
Draw -1
22.1%
Kika +1
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Trepça Mitrovicë)
Trepça Mitrovicë +1
72.4%
Draw +1
16.7%
Kika -1
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Trepça Mitrovicë)
Trepça Mitrovicë +2
89.1%
Draw +2
7.7%
Kika -2
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Trepça Mitrovicë
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.64
0.71
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.25
-
-
0.25
0.25
vs Similar (24)
0.58
0.71
0.69
0.77
0.45
0.64
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Kika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kika
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.57
0.20
0.53
0.27
0.60
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.67
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.26
0.57
0.20
0.40
0.31
0.69
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Trepça Mitrovicë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.2%
Under 0.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
28.3%
Under 1.5
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.3%
Under 2.5
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.8%
Under
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.3%
Under
85.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.3%
Under
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Trepça Mitrovicë
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.17
0.79
0.93
0.69
1.38
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.75
-
-
0.00
1.75
vs Similar (24)
0.92
1.08
0.85
0.92
1.00
1.27
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Kika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kika
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.63
0.47
0.60
0.27
0.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.83
0.25
0.50
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.43
0.61
0.60
0.70
0.31
0.54
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Trepça Mitrovicë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.1%
Under 0.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.4%
Under 1.5
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.6%
Under 2.5
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 0.5 2H
Over
51.4%
Under
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.4%
Under
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.1%
Under
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 0.5 2H
Over
44.7%
Under
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.9%
Under
88.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Vëllaznimi
Dinamo Ferizaj
Trepça'89
Liria Prizren
Suhareka
2 Korriku
Rilindja 1974
Vjosa
Ramiz Sadiku
FC Besa Peja
Prishtina e Re
Istogu
KF Lepenci
Mitrovica
Ferizaj
Tefik Canga